Hawaii
Big West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.9 119
Results Rating +2.6 122
Pace 73.2 63
Improvement -5.7 351

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 240 C C D B B
Defense B 45 B+ B C- C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 45 C+ 60% 110 +4.0 50
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 252 D 34% 305 -2.6 300
Three Pointers 41% 185 D 31% 301 -2.0 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 58 C- -1.6 230
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 189
Second Chance C 30.6% 175 C+ 1.06 128 C 0.32 149
Turnovers D 19.1% 313
Freethrows B+ 0.36 29 C 72% 188 B 0.26 45
Total Offense C- -2.6 240

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 287 B- 9.6% 107
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 205 C- 5.9% 245
Three Pointers C- 83% 219 C+ 0.6% 119
Total D+ 51% 280 C+ 5.4% 158

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 39 B+ 52% 42 +0.5 200
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 104 C- 39% 225 +1.0 269
Three Pointers 33% 355 A- 29% 14 -6.4 2
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.1 194 B+ -4.9 33
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.92 39
Second Chance B 26.2% 42 C+ 1.00 137 B 0.26 56
Turnovers C- 16.1% 222
Freethrows C 0.31 205 A- 68% 22 C+ 0.21 152
Total Defense B +5.5 45

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 37% 12 C- 10.4% 195
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 11% 3 D+ 3.1% 287
Three Pointers B+ 77% 27 C 1.0% 145
Total A 41% 3 C 5.6% 172

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 109 17.0 126
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 194 0.17 174
Improvement -0.4 #212 -5.2 #357

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 141 118 101
Results Rating Rank 149 124 81
Conference Record 12 - 8 14 - 6 15 - 5
Conference Finish 3 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28% 32% 23%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.9 13.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 54% 74% 30%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round28% 32% 23%
Second Round2% 2% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Away) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 37 - 47 - 8
Quad 414 - 121 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 89 @Oregon L 59 - 60 27% -3  18% 0 - 1 B +8 F -16 F C+ F A+ +24 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Nov 9 308 East Texas A&M W 100 - 74 91% +17  92% 1 - 1 B+ +14 A +12 A A+ C- C +0 C- C C
 Wed, Nov 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 88 - 56 99% +18  99% 2 - 1 B- +6 B +7 A- B- C C+ +1 B- B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 319 Manhattan W 86 - 56 93% +15  96% 3 - 1 A- +17 C- -2 D- B C+ A+ +18 B A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 189 Utah Tech W 68 - 62 77% +6  98% 4 - 1 C +1 F -11 D A+ F A+ +12 A A+ B
 Thu, Nov 20 60 Arizona St. L 76 - 83 39% +2  68% 4 - 2 C -1 D+ -3 C+ C+ D+ B- +2 C A+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 294 North Dakota W 92 - 55 89% +14  77% 5 - 2 A+ +26 C- -0 B+ D D A+ +23 A+ B+ A
 Thu, Dec 4 177 UC Davis W 75 - 69 75% +6  95% 6 - 2 1 - 0 C+ +2 D+ -3 B+ C D B+ +5 A- B D
 Sat, Dec 6 208 Cal St. Fullerton W 69 - 59 79% +9  95% 7 - 2 2 - 0 C+ +4 F -12 F+ C- D A+ +16 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 243 UTEP W 66 - 61 83% -2  34% 8 - 2 C- -2 D -5 D- F+ A+ B- +3 A- F D
 Thu, Jan 1 283 @UC Riverside W 88 - 45 74% +21  99% 9 - 2 3 - 0 A+ +39 A+ +21 A+ A+ F+ A+ +22 A+ B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 134 @UC San Diego L 73 - 83 43% -7  16% 9 - 3 3 - 1 D+ -5 B- +5 C+ A- C F -10 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 120 UC Irvine W 67 - 66 62% +2  60% 10 - 3 4 - 1 C +1 D -5 B- D D B+ +5 A D- B+
 Thu, Jan 15 231 @Cal Poly W 86 - 66 64% +8  89% 11 - 3 5 - 1 A +19 C +1 B- C- D- A+ +17 B+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 17 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 62 - 77 46% -12  0% 11 - 4 5 - 2 D -11 D- -7 D- C F D -6 D- D B-
 Thu, Jan 22 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 98 - 71 94% +18  98% 12 - 4 6 - 2 B+ +13 B +7 F+ A+ C+ B +4 A- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 159 Cal St. Northridge W 89 - 68 72% +9  88% 13 - 4 7 - 2 A +18 B- +4 A F+ F A+ +12 B+ A+ C+
 Thu, Jan 29 120 @UC Irvine L 76 - 87 OT 39% -2  16% 13 - 5 7 - 3 D+ -5 D -5 C F C C+ +2 C+ C- B-
 Sat, Jan 31 263 @Long Beach St. W 89 - 82 71% +4  63% 14 - 5 8 - 3 C+ +4 A- +10 A+ D+ C- D -6 A- F D
 Sat, Feb 7 134 UC San Diego W 72 - 67 66% +4  75% 15 - 5 9 - 3 C+ +4 D- -6 C- C- D- A +10 B+ A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 12 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 89 - 74 85% +10  88% 16 - 5 10 - 3 B- +7 B +7 C A- C- C -1 D B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 159 @Cal St. Northridge L 60 - 84 50% -14  0% 16 - 6 10 - 4 F -21 F -15 D- F F D -5 F B C
 Thu, Feb 19 231 Cal Poly L 75 - 86 82% -6  0% 16 - 7 10 - 5 F -18 F -16 F D- F C -0 C A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 141 UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 75 OT 68% -0  42% 17 - 7 11 - 5 C +1 D -6 F A+ A B+ +7 B A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 26 177 @UC Davis W 74 - 73 54%
 Sat, Feb 28 208 @Cal St. Fullerton W 80 - 77 59%
 Fri, Mar 6 283 UC Riverside W 78 - 65 88%
 Sun, Mar 8 263 Long Beach St. W 78 - 66 86%
Totals 20 - 8 14 - 6 +3 C- -3 A C- B B +5 D C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ D D C- 44% 31% 41% B C C C+ C D B+ C B B B+ C- A- B+ 44% 23% 33% C- B+ B C+ B C- C A- C+
1.05 60% 34% 31% -2 +1 1.01 31% 1.1 .32 19% .36 72% .26 1.01 52% 39% 29% -5 0 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 16% .31 68% .25
Nov
4		 Oregon F D- F F F 35% 22% 44% B- F B C C+ F A- F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 59% 13% 28% F A+ D A B- A+ F A+ D-
0.78 47% 25% 21% -15 0 0.71 33% 0.9 .29 24% .33 63% .21 0.79 48% 17% 15% -17 +2 0.74 40% 0.9 .37 28% .48 62% .29
Nov
9		 East Texas A&M A A D A+ A 56% 13% 31% B A B+ A+ A+ C- A+ D+ A+ C C A+ D+ C+ 46% 11% 43% F C- C C C C F D+ F
1.29 68% 33% 43% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.5 .58 18% .85 69% .58 0.96 57% 0% 35% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 18% .50 69% .35
Nov
12		 Mississippi Valley B A F A+ A- 40% 13% 47% B- A- A F+ B- C A+ C+ A+ C+ C A D+ C 20% 52% 28% A+ B- C+ B B- F C+ D+ C
1.32 74% 17% 45% +12 +1 1.28 48% 1.1 .52 17% .52 76% .40 0.84 55% 29% 33% -6 -5 0.80 23% 0.8 .18 14% .26 73% .19
Nov
14		 Manhattan C- F+ F A+ F 55% 13% 32% A- D- B- B B C+ A+ D+ A+ A+ B A+ F A- 57% 25% 19% F+ B A+ A+ A+ C+ D A+ A
1.19 52% 0% 47% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.2 .47 14% .42 73% .30 0.77 50% 15% 40% -8 +1 0.87 15% 0.2 .03 17% .33 50% .17
Nov
15		 Utah Tech F B A+ F D- 50% 17% 33% B- D C A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ C+ A+ A- 35% 26% 39% B+ A A+ B+ A+ B D+ D+ D+
0.96 67% 57% 7% -6 +1 0.93 32% 1.7 .54 27% .49 84% .41 0.88 63% 36% 24% -5 -1 0.91 14% 0.8 .11 18% .26 73% .19
Nov
20		 Arizona St. D+ A- D F C- 45% 6% 49% A+ C+ D+ A C+ D+ A+ B A+ B- A- D F C 42% 27% 31% B- C C A+ A+ F F A+ F
1.01 67% 33% 26% -2 +2 1.02 28% 1.3 .34 23% .44 77% .34 1.10 50% 43% 44% +2 -1 1.06 32% 0.7 .22 11% .55 65% .36
Nov
28		 North Dakota C- A+ D F B- 60% 6% 34% A B+ C- D- D D A+ D A A+ A+ A A+ A+ 50% 8% 42% F+ A+ A+ F B+ A F A+ D-
1.19 80% 33% 24% +8 +3 1.24 33% 1.0 .33 22% .51 68% .35 0.71 38% 25% 20% -20 +2 0.67 16% 1.3 .22 21% .46 61% .28
Dec
4		 UC Davis D+ A F A- B+ 49% 15% 37% B- B+ F A+ C D A+ F A B+ A- F+ A+ A- 42% 30% 28% B A- A- C B D C B C+
1.05 70% 17% 40% +6 +2 1.17 17% 1.8 .31 21% .55 58% .32 0.97 50% 44% 27% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.0 .21 15% .35 71% .25
Dec
6		 Cal St. Fullerton F C+ F D- F 30% 8% 62% B- F+ B- F C- D C- F D A+ A C A+ A+ 54% 14% 32% F A+ A A+ A+ D- B B+ B+
0.95 63% 0% 30% -5 +1 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 21% .29 65% .19 0.81 45% 38% 17% -15 +2 0.75 18% 0.5 .09 12% .28 67% .19
Dec
13		 UTEP D F A C F 52% 9% 39% A+ D- F B F+ A+ B- A+ A- B- A+ B+ B- A 35% 27% 37% D A- B- F F D A A+ A+
1.03 42% 50% 33% -8 +3 0.91 21% 1.1 .24 12% .39 82% .32 0.95 44% 29% 32% -9 -1 0.82 24% 1.8 .43 14% .18 50% .09
Jan
1		 UC Riverside A+ B- A A+ A+ 47% 8% 45% A- A+ A+ C+ A+ F+ F+ F F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 56% 16% 29% F A+ A+ F+ B+ D+ C+ A- B
1.39 63% 50% 48% +12 +2 1.31 47% 1.0 .47 19% .27 50% .14 0.71 44% 14% 15% -20 +2 0.67 17% 1.0 .17 17% .29 67% .19
Jan
3		 UC San Diego B- C+ A+ F C- 46% 9% 46% A C+ D A+ A- C A A+ A+ F A F B C+ 45% 13% 42% C- C+ D- F F F C+ F D
1.08 57% 75% 24% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 16% .34 84% .28 1.23 48% 86% 30% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.3 .41 12% .25 87% .22
Jan
10		 UC Irvine D D+ A+ F C 48% 13% 38% A B- C F D D D+ D+ D+ B+ A+ C- A+ A+ 68% 20% 12% F A F B+ D- B+ B- F C-
0.94 48% 71% 25% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.7 .23 20% .23 69% .16 0.93 41% 40% 17% -14 +2 0.78 44% 0.9 .39 21% .27 80% .21
Jan
15		 Cal Poly C A- A+ F B 40% 21% 39% C- B- C D+ C- D- F+ A+ D+ A+ B- F A B+ 40% 8% 52% C B+ D- B+ C- A+ C A+ A-
1.10 70% 58% 27% +5 0 1.12 31% 1.0 .31 19% .22 86% .19 0.85 55% 50% 27% -6 +2 0.94 36% 0.9 .31 30% .31 59% .18
Jan
17		 UC Santa Barbara D- F A+ C+ D- 39% 16% 45% B- D- B F C F F B+ D- D F D+ F+ F 36% 27% 38% A- D- D+ D D B- C+ D+ C
1.00 41% 57% 35% -3 +1 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 21% .26 77% .20 1.24 75% 42% 41% +11 -1 1.22 35% 1.1 .38 19% .30 80% .24
Jan
22		 Cal St. Bakersfield B A+ F F F 38% 14% 48% C+ F+ A- A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ B A+ B A- A 43% 36% 21% C- A- A+ F A+ F F B F
1.27 74% 29% 21% -5 +1 0.94 45% 1.5 .68 17% .53 79% .42 0.92 39% 32% 27% -13 -2 0.74 12% 1.2 .15 9% .55 72% .40
Jan
24		 Cal St. Northridge B- B A+ A A 30% 19% 51% C- A B+ F F+ F A+ D+ A+ A+ A F+ B B 45% 28% 28% A B+ D A+ A+ C+ C A+ A-
1.15 63% 50% 41% +9 0 1.19 34% 0.6 .21 22% .48 72% .35 0.88 46% 44% 31% -5 0 0.91 35% 0.5 .19 18% .30 47% .14
Jan
29		 UC Irvine D F F A+ D+ 40% 10% 50% A C F F F C C+ A+ A C+ A F A+ C+ 53% 31% 17% D+ C+ D+ C+ C- B- F B- F
0.90 32% 0% 42% -8 +2 0.89 19% 0.4 .09 18% .27 89% .24 1.02 45% 61% 20% -3 0 0.95 33% 1.0 .33 19% .42 66% .28
Jan
31		 Long Beach St. A- C- A+ A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% D- A+ F A+ D+ C- A+ B+ A+ D C+ B+ A- A- 31% 36% 33% B+ A- F F F D D- F+ F+
1.23 58% 57% 57% +16 -1 1.32 20% 1.6 .32 18% .49 79% .39 1.14 59% 30% 28% -6 -3 0.85 40% 1.6 .63 15% .33 80% .26
Feb
7		 UC San Diego D- A A+ F D+ 42% 8% 50% A- C- B F C- D- A+ D- A A C+ D+ A B+ 38% 18% 45% B B+ A+ F A+ D+ C- A+ B-
0.97 67% 50% 20% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.8 .28 19% .38 65% .25 0.90 57% 40% 28% -4 0 0.95 5% 2.0 .11 15% .28 56% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Cal St. Bakersfield B A+ F B- B- 30% 30% 40% F C C A+ A- C- A+ B+ A+ C F+ F A+ F 25% 55% 20% A+ D A- B- B+ F+ C+ C C+
1.23 86% 21% 37% +5 -2 1.09 38% 1.3 .50 18% .54 78% .42 1.02 64% 53% 9% +2 -5 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 15% .33 75% .24
Feb
14		 Cal St. Northridge F F B F+ F 35% 14% 51% B- D- C+ F F F A- F C+ D B C F F 48% 21% 31% B- F A+ F B C D F+ F+
0.84 47% 43% 28% -8 +1 0.88 29% 0.7 .20 25% .37 65% .24 1.17 52% 36% 56% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.3 .27 17% .35 71% .25
Feb
19		 Cal Poly F B+ F F F 49% 10% 41% A- F C- F D- F A+ D A+ C F A+ A C 47% 8% 44% D+ C A+ A+ A+ F F+ D F
0.91 68% 0% 14% -11 +2 0.84 31% 0.8 .26 21% .58 68% .40 1.04 71% 0% 27% -2 +2 1.03 14% 0.6 .08 16% .39 81% .32
Feb
21		 UC Santa Barbara D F+ F F F 47% 18% 35% B F D+ A+ A+ A A+ D- A+ B+ B+ F C B+ 47% 15% 38% D- B A+ A- A+ D+ D- C- D-
1.05 50% 22% 28% -10 +1 0.84 24% 1.9 .46 12% .52 68% .35 1.01 52% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 21% 0.9 .18 16% .37 78% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 2.9 25.2 25.8 53.9 1st
2nd 0.4 14.9 17.4 32.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.8 7.7 10.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 2.1 4th
5th 0.2 0.2 0.4 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.5 5.5 25.6 42.7 25.8 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 25.8    15.3 10.5
14-6 59.1% 25.2    4.6 13.9 6.7
13-7 11.3% 2.9    0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 53.9% 53.9 19.9 24.6 7.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 25.8% 36.9% 36.9% 12.7 0.1 3.5 5.3 0.7 0.0 16.2
14-6 42.7% 29.7% 29.7% 13.1 0.0 1.6 7.7 3.3 0.1 30.0
13-7 25.6% 18.7% 18.7% 13.4 0.3 2.6 1.8 0.1 0.0 20.8
12-8 5.5% 11.1% 11.1% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 4.9
11-9 0.5% 9.6% 9.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 27.6% 27.6% 0.0% 13.0 72.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.5% 100.0% 12.7 0.7 36.6 55.8 6.9 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.6%
Lose Out 0.2%