Hawaii
Big West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#166
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#141
Pace65.3#268
Improvement+0.1#177

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#209
First Shot+0.3#167
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#279
Layup/Dunks+2.8#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#305
Freethrows+1.6#85
Improvement-2.3#329

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#140
First Shot+1.0#134
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#202
Layups/Dunks-0.7#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#45
Freethrows-1.7#304
Improvement+2.4#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 5.7% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.2 13.5
.500 or above 72.8% 82.7% 59.4%
.500 or above in Conference 58.0% 69.4% 42.5%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.3% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 2.2% 6.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.4% 5.7% 2.6%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Home) - 57.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 55 - 11
Quad 412 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 162   San Jose St. W 80-69 60%     1 - 0 +7.9 +13.2 -4.1
  Nov 11, 2024 301   Pacific W 76-66 83%     2 - 0 -0.7 +0.2 -0.7
  Nov 17, 2024 210   Weber St. W 73-68 OT 69%     3 - 0 -0.5 -4.8 +4.3
  Nov 22, 2024 22   North Carolina L 69-87 13%     3 - 1 -6.4 +2.4 -9.3
  Dec 03, 2024 107   @ Grand Canyon L 72-78 23%     3 - 2 +1.4 -2.0 +3.9
  Dec 07, 2024 258   @ Long Beach St. L 68-76 57%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -10.3 -1.8 -9.0
  Dec 14, 2024 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-62 65%     4 - 3 +4.5 +0.8 +4.3
  Dec 22, 2024 193   Charlotte W 78-61 66%     5 - 3 +12.4 +6.0 +7.5
  Dec 23, 2024 40   Nebraska L 55-69 20%     5 - 4 -5.5 -5.4 -1.8
  Dec 25, 2024 183   Oakland W 73-70 OT 64%     6 - 4 -1.2 -2.4 +1.2
  Jan 03, 2025 146   UC Santa Barbara W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 05, 2025 271   Cal Poly W 82-74 79%    
  Jan 09, 2025 177   @ UC Riverside L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 278   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 67-64 61%    
  Jan 17, 2025 153   Cal St. Northridge W 74-72 59%    
  Jan 19, 2025 260   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-62 77%    
  Jan 23, 2025 223   @ UC Davis W 68-67 50%    
  Jan 25, 2025 77   @ UC Irvine L 62-73 16%    
  Jan 31, 2025 90   UC San Diego L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 02, 2025 278   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-61 79%    
  Feb 06, 2025 271   @ Cal Poly W 79-77 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 146   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 14, 2025 258   Long Beach St. W 71-63 76%    
  Feb 16, 2025 77   UC Irvine L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 90   @ UC San Diego L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 28, 2025 177   UC Riverside W 70-67 62%    
  Mar 02, 2025 223   UC Davis W 71-65 71%    
  Mar 06, 2025 260   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 67-65 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 153   @ Cal St. Northridge L 71-75 37%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.4 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 4.6 5.0 2.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 5.7 5.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 15.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 6.1 5.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.8 4.4 1.1 0.1 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 4.2 0.9 0.1 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.8 5.0 8.1 10.7 13.2 14.0 13.6 11.5 8.4 5.5 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 79.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 52.1% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 22.9% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 6.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 44.4% 44.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 35.6% 35.6% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.4% 25.6% 25.6% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0
15-5 3.2% 19.1% 19.1% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6
14-6 5.5% 14.4% 14.4% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.7
13-7 8.4% 8.7% 8.7% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.6
12-8 11.5% 6.0% 6.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 10.8
11-9 13.6% 3.6% 3.6% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 13.1
10-10 14.0% 1.9% 1.9% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 13.7
9-11 13.2% 1.3% 1.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.0
8-12 10.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.6
7-13 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 8.1
6-14 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
5-15 2.8% 2.8
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.9 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 95.6 0.0%