Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#316
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#310
Pace72.1#69
Improvement-3.2#308

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#240
First Shot-1.4#215
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#258
Layup/Dunks+0.5#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#199
Freethrows-3.0#337
Improvement-5.0#350

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#344
First Shot-7.9#358
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#84
Layups/Dunks-1.9#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#341
Freethrows-1.3#273
Improvement+1.8#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 6.9% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.9% 6.9% 0.0%
First Round1.9% 3.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 410 - 1011 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 19   @ Kansas L 57-87 1%     0 - 1 -10.5 -5.4 -4.6
  Nov 08, 2024 18   @ Missouri L 62-77 1%     0 - 2 +4.5 -5.1 +9.4
  Nov 13, 2024 260   Tennessee St. W 88-84 OT 35%     1 - 2 -1.5 +9.1 -10.7
  Nov 18, 2024 252   @ Florida International W 75-70 25%     2 - 2 +2.8 +3.8 -1.0
  Nov 24, 2024 298   Boston University L 62-69 44%     2 - 3 -14.8 -8.0 -7.3
  Nov 25, 2024 302   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-95 35%     2 - 4 -23.3 -1.7 -21.9
  Nov 30, 2024 259   Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 45%     2 - 5 -12.1 -3.4 -8.6
  Dec 08, 2024 48   @ Cincinnati L 67-84 3%     2 - 6 -3.1 +4.1 -7.3
  Dec 14, 2024 112   UNC Wilmington W 88-83 17%     3 - 6 +5.7 +11.6 -6.0
  Dec 17, 2024 181   Drexel L 65-68 31%     3 - 7 -7.1 -5.4 -1.9
  Dec 28, 2024 213   @ Hampton L 67-83 19%     3 - 8 -16.2 -2.7 -14.0
  Jan 01, 2025 78   @ Yale L 65-93 5%     3 - 9 -17.8 +0.3 -20.2
  Jan 04, 2025 310   Delaware St. W 100-94 59%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -5.7 +12.4 -18.6
  Jan 11, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 100-95 67%     5 - 9 2 - 0 -8.8 +6.9 -16.3
  Jan 13, 2025 361   Coppin St. W 90-75 83%     6 - 9 3 - 0 -4.4 +12.7 -17.0
  Jan 25, 2025 190   @ Norfolk St. L 75-92 16%     6 - 10 3 - 1 -15.9 -0.4 -15.1
  Feb 01, 2025 213   Hampton L 79-80 OT 27%     6 - 11 -3.9 +6.0 -9.9
  Feb 03, 2025 198   South Carolina St. L 66-89 33%     6 - 12 3 - 2 -27.8 -15.1 -10.1
  Feb 08, 2025 318   NC Central W 82-78 61%     7 - 12 4 - 2 -8.1 +0.3 -8.4
  Feb 10, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-57 65%     8 - 12 5 - 2 +6.7 +2.5 +5.3
  Feb 15, 2025 310   @ Delaware St. L 69-90 38%     8 - 13 5 - 3 -27.2 -11.2 -14.9
  Feb 17, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 86-62 82%     9 - 13 6 - 3 +5.2 +5.9 -0.2
  Feb 22, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. W 87-81 46%     10 - 13 7 - 3 -2.3 +9.3 -11.5
  Feb 24, 2025 361   @ Coppin St. L 61-72 67%     10 - 14 7 - 4 -24.9 -17.5 -6.7
  Mar 01, 2025 318   @ NC Central L 68-72 40%     10 - 15 7 - 5 -10.6 -11.1 +0.6
  Mar 03, 2025 198   @ South Carolina St. L 69-79 17%     10 - 16 7 - 6 -9.3 -5.9 -2.8
  Mar 06, 2025 190   Norfolk St. L 69-81 32%     10 - 17 7 - 7 -16.4 -7.6 -8.8
  Mar 13, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 84-82 57%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 100.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 3.9 96.1
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 16.0 3.9 96.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.9% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 8.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 44.8%
Lose Out 42.6%