Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#310
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#301
Pace70.6#115
Improvement-2.8#307

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#180
First Shot+0.8#148
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#239
Layup/Dunks+1.3#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#177
Freethrows-2.7#326
Improvement-0.3#200

Defense
Total Defense-8.6#359
First Shot-9.6#363
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#98
Layups/Dunks-2.5#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#349
Freethrows-1.7#290
Improvement-2.5#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 8.3% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 8.5% 13.2% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 75.2% 86.9% 60.5%
Conference Champion 5.1% 7.7% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 1.3%
First Four6.8% 7.5% 5.9%
First Round3.8% 4.4% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 410 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 7   @ Kansas L 57-87 1%     0 - 1 -8.5 -4.5 -3.5
  Nov 08, 2024 23   @ Missouri L 62-77 2%     0 - 2 +2.5 -3.2 +5.6
  Nov 13, 2024 289   Tennessee St. W 88-84 OT 44%     1 - 2 -3.0 +8.4 -11.6
  Nov 18, 2024 243   @ Florida International W 75-70 28%     2 - 2 +2.6 +2.6 -0.1
  Nov 24, 2024 294   Boston University L 62-69 45%     2 - 3 -14.3 -7.1 -7.7
  Nov 25, 2024 261   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-95 30%     2 - 4 -21.2 +0.0 -21.4
  Nov 30, 2024 260   Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 48%     2 - 5 -12.1 -3.3 -8.6
  Dec 08, 2024 59   @ Cincinnati L 67-84 4%     2 - 6 -4.8 +4.6 -9.6
  Dec 14, 2024 117   UNC Wilmington W 88-83 20%     3 - 6 +5.3 +11.7 -6.6
  Dec 17, 2024 195   Drexel L 65-68 33%     3 - 7 -7.1 -5.1 -2.2
  Dec 28, 2024 287   @ Hampton L 67-83 34%     3 - 8 -20.4 -5.0 -16.0
  Jan 01, 2025 69   @ Yale L 65-93 5%     3 - 9 -17.7 +1.1 -20.8
  Jan 04, 2025 314   Delaware St. W 100-94 61%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -5.3 +13.9 -19.7
  Jan 11, 2025 329   Morgan St. W 100-95 67%     5 - 9 2 - 0 -8.0 +7.5 -16.1
  Jan 13, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 90-75 86%     6 - 9 3 - 0 -5.2 +11.8 -17.0
  Jan 25, 2025 185   @ Norfolk St. L 75-92 18%     6 - 10 3 - 1 -15.8 +0.4 -16.0
  Feb 01, 2025 287   Hampton L 79-80 OT 44%     6 - 11 -7.9 +3.8 -11.7
  Feb 03, 2025 229   South Carolina St. L 66-89 41%     6 - 12 3 - 2 -29.2 -15.4 -11.2
  Feb 08, 2025 295   NC Central W 79-78 56%    
  Feb 10, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-73 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 314   @ Delaware St. L 79-81 40%    
  Feb 17, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-71 85%    
  Feb 22, 2025 329   @ Morgan St. L 84-85 45%    
  Feb 24, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 78-71 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 295   @ NC Central L 76-80 35%    
  Mar 03, 2025 229   @ South Carolina St. L 74-81 23%    
  Mar 06, 2025 185   Norfolk St. L 75-80 34%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.4 1.8 0.4 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.7 8.8 5.6 0.8 16.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 12.0 7.4 0.4 21.2 3rd
4th 0.9 10.5 8.6 0.3 20.2 4th
5th 0.6 7.0 10.8 0.6 19.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.6 7.9 1.4 0.0 16.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.1 8th
Total 0.2 1.9 6.8 15.9 24.0 22.9 16.9 8.4 2.6 0.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
11-3 70.7% 1.8    0.9 0.9 0.0
10-4 28.9% 2.4    0.5 1.1 0.8 0.0
9-5 2.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 1.7 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.4% 12.8% 12.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-3 2.6% 20.3% 20.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 2.0
10-4 8.4% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.0 1.3 7.1
9-5 16.9% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 1.9 15.0
8-6 22.9% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 1.5 21.4
7-7 24.0% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 1.3 22.7
6-8 15.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.5 15.4
5-9 6.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 6.6
4-10 1.9% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.1 1.8
3-11 0.2% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.2 92.7 0.0%