Idaho St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#215
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#244
Pace65.1#266
Improvement-0.9#233

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#194
First Shot-6.6#339
After Offensive Rebound+6.0#4
Layup/Dunks-4.5#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#299
Freethrows+1.4#91
Improvement+2.6#65

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#243
First Shot+0.3#171
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#342
Layups/Dunks+3.0#70
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#274
Freethrows-1.6#288
Improvement-3.5#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 411 - 412 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 77   @ Arizona St. L 48-55 11%     0 - 1 +3.2 -17.3 +20.1
  Nov 07, 2024 61   @ USC L 69-75 9%     0 - 2 +6.2 +3.4 +2.6
  Nov 16, 2024 312   @ San Diego W 78-66 63%     1 - 2 +5.7 -3.9 +8.5
  Nov 18, 2024 351   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 61-62 76%     1 - 3 -11.5 -6.7 -5.0
  Nov 20, 2024 24   @ UCLA L 70-84 3%     1 - 4 +4.4 +15.5 -12.8
  Dec 04, 2024 237   @ South Dakota L 80-94 44%     1 - 5 -15.4 +6.5 -22.5
  Dec 07, 2024 322   Oral Roberts W 71-55 81%     2 - 5 +3.7 -6.4 +10.9
  Dec 18, 2024 114   Utah Valley L 56-70 36%     2 - 6 -13.3 -15.4 +2.3
  Jan 02, 2025 244   @ Northern Arizona W 72-67 45%     3 - 6 1 - 0 +3.2 +1.6 +1.9
  Jan 04, 2025 125   @ Northern Colorado L 92-93 OT 22%     3 - 7 1 - 1 +4.0 +10.6 -6.5
  Jan 11, 2025 284   Weber St. L 69-77 75%     3 - 8 1 - 2 -17.9 -4.4 -14.0
  Jan 16, 2025 188   Montana St. W 70-67 55%     4 - 8 2 - 2 -1.3 +7.5 -8.3
  Jan 18, 2025 155   Montana W 86-61 48%     5 - 8 3 - 2 +22.6 +15.3 +9.0
  Jan 23, 2025 336   @ Sacramento St. L 71-75 71%     5 - 9 3 - 3 -12.8 -0.8 -12.1
  Jan 25, 2025 201   @ Portland St. L 59-76 37%     5 - 10 3 - 4 -16.6 -8.9 -8.1
  Jan 30, 2025 294   Eastern Washington W 78-70 76%     6 - 10 4 - 4 -2.4 +1.0 -3.2
  Feb 01, 2025 269   Idaho W 87-71 71%     7 - 10 5 - 4 +7.2 +18.5 -9.1
  Feb 03, 2025 125   Northern Colorado L 72-86 40%     7 - 11 5 - 5 -14.5 -0.8 -14.1
  Feb 08, 2025 284   @ Weber St. W 72-67 55%     8 - 11 6 - 5 +0.6 +1.3 -0.4
  Feb 13, 2025 155   @ Montana L 68-81 28%     8 - 12 6 - 6 -10.0 -2.5 -8.1
  Feb 15, 2025 188   @ Montana St. L 69-74 34%     8 - 13 6 - 7 -3.8 -1.6 -2.3
  Feb 20, 2025 201   Portland St. W 82-74 58%     9 - 13 7 - 7 +2.9 +9.4 -6.6
  Feb 22, 2025 336   Sacramento St. W 83-66 85%     10 - 13 8 - 7 +2.7 +8.5 -5.0
  Feb 27, 2025 269   @ Idaho W 69-65 51%     11 - 13 9 - 7 +0.7 -3.2 +4.2
  Mar 01, 2025 294   @ Eastern Washington W 78-54 57%     12 - 13 10 - 7 +19.1 +8.0 +12.8
  Mar 03, 2025 244   Northern Arizona L 79-82 66%     12 - 14 10 - 8 -10.3 +8.1 -18.6
  Mar 10, 2025 188   Montana St. L 60-80 44%     12 - 15 -21.5 -10.3 -12.2
Projected Record 12 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%