IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -13.4 #355
Expected Predictive Rating -14.4 #343
Pace 87.0 #1
Improvement -0.5 #208

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #312 C- C C+ F D
Defense #360 F F B F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #346 1.23 #99 -3.8 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #147 0.78 #142 +0.8 #138
Three Pointers 48% #52 0.91 #297 +1.2 #136
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #222 -1.8 #224
Freethrows 11.2 #364 70% #260 7.9 #362
Second Chance 27.5% #272 1.15 #64 0.32 #180
Turnovers 16.2% #146
Total Offense -5.4 #312

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #24 1.32 #338 -7.9 #361
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #313 0.75 #172 +1.7 #72
Three Pointers 39% #255 1.12 #313 -0.8 #210
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #351 -7.1 #351
Freethrows 22.5 #353 77% #334 17.3 #11
Second Chance 37.0% #347 1.26 #351 0.47 #361
Turnovers 18.9% #62
Total Defense -8.0 #360

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.6% #283 2.3% #347
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.0% #208 11.3% #342
Possession Length 15.5 #38 15.5 #11
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #117 0.29 #365
Improvement -1.3 #268 +0.9 #125

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 86.0% 71.3% 87.9%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 11.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 43 - 135 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 30 @Ohio St. L 102 - 118 1%  -12  0 - 1 +1 +17 A+ A B- -13 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 209 LIU Brooklyn L 90 - 94 23%  +1  0 - 2 -10 -4 D- C B- -5 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 57 @Butler L 80 - 112 2%  -14  0 - 3 -20 -5 D+ F D- -7 C+ F A-
 Fri, Nov 14 197 @Eastern Michigan W 90 - 83 10%  +3  1 - 3 +8 +9 A+ A+ F -2 A F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 225 @Charleston Southern L 91 - 103 12%  -13  1 - 4 -13 +5 C C A+ -16 F F A-
 Fri, Nov 21 301 Alabama St. L 80 - 101 30%  -9  1 - 5 -29 -9 C+ F F -18 F F B
 Sun, Nov 23 334 @Air Force L 85 - 98 29%  -2  1 - 6 -21 +2 C- B C -21 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 308 Morehead St. W 85 - 80 43%  +2  2 - 6 -7 -6 B F C -2 C- B A+
 Wed, Dec 3 281 @Detroit Mercy L 78 - 92 18%  -10  2 - 7 0 - 1 -18 +1 D+ C- C -19 C F D-
 Sat, Dec 6 210 Youngstown St. L 55 - 78 23%  -13  2 - 8 0 - 2 -29 -17 F F B- -13 F F A
 Thu, Dec 11 249 Green Bay L 75 - 85 30%  -1  2 - 9 0 - 3 -18 -7 F B- C+ -11 D- F A-
 Mon, Dec 22 83 @Grand Canyon L 78 - 91 3%  -8  2 - 10 -3 +7 B A+ D -9 F F A
 Mon, Dec 29 321 @Cleveland St. L 86 - 99 27%  -10  2 - 11 0 - 4 -20 +0 F C B- -19 F F D
 Thu, Jan 1 174 @Northern Kentucky L 72 - 81 8%  +3  2 - 12 0 - 5 -7 -0 D+ B+ D+ -7 F C D
 Sun, Jan 4 148 Wright St. L 77 - 81 15%  -5  2 - 13 0 - 6 -6 +6 B C B -13 D F A+
 Fri, Jan 9 249 @Green Bay L 59 - 75 14%  -9  2 - 14 0 - 7 -18 -18 F F C+ +1 C D A+
 Sun, Jan 11 226 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80 - 93 11% 
 Thu, Jan 15 206 Robert Morris L 78 - 86 23% 
 Sat, Jan 17 281 Detroit Mercy L 84 - 88 37% 
 Wed, Jan 21 124 @Oakland L 84 - 103 4% 
 Sun, Jan 25 243 Purdue Fort Wayne L 82 - 88 30% 
 Wed, Jan 28 206 @Robert Morris L 75 - 89 10% 
 Fri, Jan 30 210 @Youngstown St. L 75 - 89 10% 
 Sat, Feb 7 321 Cleveland St. L 88 - 89 48% 
 Thu, Feb 12 174 Northern Kentucky L 81 - 90 19% 
 Sun, Feb 15 243 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 79 - 91 14% 
 Thu, Feb 19 148 @Wright St. L 74 - 91 6% 
 Wed, Feb 25 124 Oakland L 87 - 100 12% 
 Sat, Feb 28 226 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83 - 90 27% 
Totals 5 - 24 3 - 17 -13 -5 C- C C+ -8 F F B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.3 2.5 5.8 7.0 4.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 22.0 10th
11th 7.7 19.8 23.4 15.6 6.8 1.5 0.2 75.0 11th
Total 7.7 20.1 25.9 21.5 14.0 6.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.1% 0.1
8-12 0.3% 0.3
7-13 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0
6-14 2.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-15 6.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.8
4-16 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
3-17 21.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.4
2-18 25.9% 25.9
1-19 20.1% 20.1
0-20 7.7% 7.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.8%