Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#258
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#254
Pace63.1#323
Improvement+3.4#24

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#225
First Shot-2.7#255
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#130
Layup/Dunks-5.6#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#200
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement+2.4#37

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#283
First Shot-2.1#247
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#283
Layups/Dunks-1.7#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#238
Freethrows+0.5#155
Improvement+0.9#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 3.7% 6.3% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 30.7% 44.0% 19.9%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 4.5% 13.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Home) - 44.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 34 - 84 - 15
Quad 47 - 611 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 120   @ South Dakota St. L 79-80 15%     0 - 1 +4.7 +9.3 -4.5
  Nov 13, 2024 61   @ San Francisco L 54-84 7%     0 - 2 -18.5 -7.5 -12.9
  Nov 16, 2024 314   Portland L 61-63 73%     0 - 3 -13.6 -7.9 -6.0
  Nov 20, 2024 4   @ Gonzaga L 41-84 1%     0 - 4 -20.1 -18.7 -6.0
  Nov 23, 2024 273   Fresno St. L 69-72 65%     0 - 5 -12.2 -7.6 -4.4
  Nov 25, 2024 161   UNC Greensboro L 48-71 31%     0 - 6 -23.1 -19.2 -6.3
  Nov 26, 2024 139   UTEP L 44-70 26%     0 - 7 -24.7 -24.6 -1.2
  Nov 27, 2024 162   San Jose St. L 66-82 31%     0 - 8 -16.1 +0.9 -19.3
  Dec 05, 2024 278   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 73-56 43%     1 - 8 1 - 0 +13.6 +3.6 +11.0
  Dec 07, 2024 166   Hawaii W 76-68 43%     2 - 8 2 - 0 +4.6 +7.9 -2.8
  Dec 10, 2024 316   @ San Diego W 76-70 52%     3 - 8 +0.1 +13.2 -12.3
  Dec 19, 2024 204   @ Pepperdine W 79-76 27%     4 - 8 +4.1 +7.6 -3.5
  Jan 02, 2025 177   UC Riverside L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 260   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-68 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 223   @ UC Davis L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 16, 2025 90   UC San Diego L 64-73 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 278   Cal St. Fullerton W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 23, 2025 153   @ Cal St. Northridge L 69-77 22%    
  Jan 25, 2025 271   @ Cal Poly L 77-79 41%    
  Jan 30, 2025 77   UC Irvine L 63-73 18%    
  Feb 01, 2025 146   @ UC Santa Barbara L 64-73 21%    
  Feb 06, 2025 223   UC Davis W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 153   Cal St. Northridge L 72-74 41%    
  Feb 14, 2025 166   @ Hawaii L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 20, 2025 177   @ UC Riverside L 65-72 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 146   UC Santa Barbara L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 27, 2025 260   Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-65 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 77   @ UC Irvine L 60-76 8%    
  Mar 06, 2025 90   @ UC San Diego L 61-76 9%    
  Mar 08, 2025 271   Cal Poly W 80-76 62%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.5 2.4 0.5 0.1 8.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 4.9 3.2 0.7 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 6.2 4.1 0.8 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 7.0 5.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 15.5 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 6.8 5.4 1.0 0.0 15.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.8 4.7 1.0 0.1 13.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.8 3.1 0.7 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.8 11th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.7 7.3 11.6 14.6 15.7 14.9 11.9 8.4 5.4 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 77.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 53.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 25.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 6.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 22.7% 22.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 16.8% 16.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.5% 13.8% 13.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-6 1.3% 6.7% 6.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
13-7 3.0% 3.9% 3.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.8
12-8 5.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.2
11-9 8.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 8.3
10-10 11.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.8
9-11 14.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 14.8
8-12 15.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.7
7-13 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
6-14 11.6% 11.6
5-15 7.3% 7.3
4-16 3.7% 3.7
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%