Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.7 263
Results Rating -8.3 299
Pace 69.3 159
Improvement +1.1 143

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 265 C- C- C- D+ D-
Defense C- 236 D+ D+ C+ D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 298 B- 62% 94 -1.1 226
2 Pt. Jumpers 53% 38 C- 36% 248 +3.2 42
Three Pointers 35% 306 D+ 32% 259 -4.0 315
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.6 340 C -0.4 184
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 232
Second Chance D+ 26.5% 297 C+ 1.06 125 C- 0.28 249
Turnovers C- 17.7% 248
Freethrows D+ 0.27 282 C+ 74% 141 D+ 0.20 255
Total Offense D+ -3.7 265

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 47% 219 C+ 10.5% 144
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 86 C 5.4% 211
Three Pointers C- 82% 224 C+ 0.7% 123
Total D+ 52% 260 C 5.5% 184

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 85 D+ 62% 279 +3.7 307
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 163 D 42% 301 +0.9 259
Three Pointers 37% 296 C 34% 166 -2.3 84
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 215 D+ +2.0 252
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 251
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 126 F 1.22 360 D+ 0.35 289
Turnovers C+ 17.5% 131
Freethrows D 0.35 314 D 75% 313 D- 0.26 327
Total Defense C- -2.0 236

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 229 D+ 9.0% 247
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 184 C- 4.5% 194
Three Pointers D- 90% 347 D+ 0.5% 244
Total C 56% 200 C- 5.0% 224

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 205 16.8 89
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 292 0.19 233
Improvement -2.5 #304 +3.6 #30

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 284 261 237
Results Rating Rank 326 291 261
Conference Record 4 - 16 5 - 15 7 - 13
Conference Finish 10 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 6% 1% 9%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Away) - 32.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 121 - 18
Quad 46 - 57 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 45 @San Diego St. L 45 - 77 4% -13  7% 0 - 1 F+ -18 F -21 F D F B +4 B+ F A-
 Sat, Nov 8 132 @Fresno St. L 62 - 82 16% -10  13% 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -11 F+ F+ D- D+ -4 F A- A
 Wed, Nov 12 117 @Pacific L 66 - 69 14% +3  64% 0 - 3 C+ +3 D -4 D- B+ F A- +7 A+ F B+
 Sun, Nov 16 103 Illinois St. L 80 - 82 24% -4  8% 0 - 4 C -0 B+ +9 A- C+ A+ F+ -10 C+ B+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 164 Montana St. L 72 - 78 41% -3  5% 0 - 5 D -9 D+ -4 C- D C D -6 C+ F+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 220 @Portland L 73 - 93 30% -11  0% 0 - 6 F -20 D+ -4 D D+ C- F -16 F C- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 226 San Diego W 76 - 72 54% -1  26% 1 - 6 C- -3 B- +4 C A+ A+ D- -7 D F A+
 Thu, Dec 4 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 77 - 84 OT 18% -1  25% 1 - 7 0 - 1 C- -3 D+ -3 F A+ C- C+ +1 C A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 134 UC San Diego L 74 - 80 33% -4  13% 1 - 8 0 - 2 D+ -7 C+ +2 B D- B+ F -10 F A C
 Tue, Dec 9 218 @San Jose St. L 83 - 89 OT 30% -1  28% 1 - 9 D+ -6 B- +4 D+ A D- F -10 F F B-
 Thu, Dec 18 281 Pepperdine W 81 - 78 65% -2  28% 2 - 9 D+ -7 C +1 B D B+ D- -8 F F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 8 @Iowa St. L 60 - 91 1% -29  0% 2 - 10 D+ -7 D -6 D+ F A- C+ +0 C- C- B-
 Sat, Jan 3 231 Cal Poly W 74 - 66 54% +10  95% 3 - 10 1 - 2 C +1 D- -7 C- D C- A- +8 A+ D- F
 Thu, Jan 8 120 @UC Irvine L 64 - 74 14% -7  17% 3 - 11 1 - 3 C- -4 D -5 B- F C- C+ +1 B- A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 81 - 75 79% +5  71% 4 - 11 2 - 3 D -8 D- -7 C- C- F+ C- -2 F+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 15 283 UC Riverside W 88 - 73 66% +10  92% 5 - 11 3 - 3 B- +5 A +12 A+ C A- D -6 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 159 @Cal St. Northridge W 87 - 80 21% +0  54% 6 - 11 4 - 3 B +10 C+ +3 B D- C- B+ +6 A+ F B-
 Thu, Jan 22 208 @Cal St. Fullerton L 61 - 71 28% -11  0% 6 - 12 4 - 4 D -10 F -13 F+ F F B- +3 F+ A- B+
 Sat, Jan 24 141 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 36% -8  0% 6 - 13 4 - 5 D+ -5 C -0 B- F A- D -5 C D+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 283 @UC Riverside L 61 - 71 43% -0  47% 6 - 14 4 - 6 D- -14 F -14 F C+ F C +0 C+ F C
 Sat, Jan 31 119 Hawaii L 82 - 89 29% -4  28% 6 - 15 4 - 7 D+ -7 B+ +8 D+ A+ C+ F -15 F C C-
 Thu, Feb 5 134 @UC San Diego L 74 - 77 16% +1  52% 6 - 16 4 - 8 C+ +2 C- -2 B F C B +3 C+ F+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 208 Cal St. Fullerton L 82 - 86 50% +4  71% 6 - 17 4 - 9 D -10 C- -1 A- F D F+ -8 C F D
 Sat, Feb 14 177 @UC Davis L 54 - 71 23% -11  0% 6 - 18 4 - 10 F+ -15 F -20 F C- F+ B+ +5 D+ C- B+
 Thu, Feb 19 120 UC Irvine L 58 - 69 30% -7  0% 6 - 19 4 - 11 D -11 F -16 F A- F+ B +5 F A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 159 Cal St. Northridge L 76 - 78 40% -8  7% 6 - 20 4 - 12 D+ -5 D+ -3 B- C+ D C- -3 A F F
 Thu, Feb 26 231 @Cal Poly L 79 - 84 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 77 - 74 59%
 Thu, Mar 5 177 UC Davis L 73 - 75 44%
 Sun, Mar 8 119 @Hawaii L 66 - 78 14%
Totals 7 - 23 5 - 15 -6 D+ -4 B+ C D- C- -2 D+ C+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ B- C- D+ C 34% 53% 35% D- C- D+ C+ C- C- D+ C+ D+ C- D+ D C D+ 42% 21% 37% C- D+ C+ F D+ C+ D D D-
1.03 62% 36% 32% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.1 .28 18% .27 74% .20 1.11 62% 42% 34% +2 0 1.07 29% 1.2 .35 17% .35 75% .20
Nov
4		 San Diego St. F D D- F F 37% 22% 41% C F B- F D F F F F B A A+ F A 43% 20% 37% F B+ D+ F F A- D+ B C-
0.63 50% 27% 20% -14 0 0.73 32% 0.6 .18 29% .10 40% .04 1.08 50% 0% 47% -3 0 0.96 34% 1.5 .51 21% .34 74% .25
Nov
8		 Fresno St. F D+ B- F F+ 30% 26% 43% D- F+ D- F F+ D- A+ B+ A+ D+ F F F F 40% 9% 51% D- F F+ A+ A- A F C F
0.87 57% 42% 20% -8 -1 0.83 22% 0.9 .19 22% .41 78% .32 1.15 71% 50% 41% +11 +2 1.28 36% 0.6 .21 22% .50 75% .38
Nov
12		 Pacific D D+ D F+ D 27% 31% 43% D+ D- B- A+ B+ F B+ F C- A- D+ A- A+ A+ 47% 14% 40% F+ A+ C- F F B+ F B- F
0.96 54% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.86 28% 1.3 .35 19% .38 57% .22 1.01 60% 33% 12% -13 +1 0.79 35% 1.3 .46 23% .57 73% .42
Nov
16		 Illinois St. B+ A D A+ A 29% 35% 36% D- A- C+ C C+ A+ C F D- F+ D+ F+ A B- 43% 24% 33% C- C+ A+ F B+ F F F F
1.18 69% 32% 45% +7 -2 1.11 28% 1.0 .28 9% .29 56% .16 1.21 65% 45% 27% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.4 .23 9% .63 79% .50
Nov
21		 Montana St. D+ A- D+ B B 28% 46% 26% F C- C- F+ D C B- C B- D F B+ B C 32% 32% 36% B C+ A- F F+ D D- C D
1.04 67% 36% 36% +2 -4 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 16% .29 76% .22 1.13 71% 35% 32% +2 -2 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 13% .32 74% .23
Nov
26		 Portland D+ B- C- F D 34% 17% 49% C D D C+ D+ C- B D C+ F F F F F 70% 11% 19% F F A+ F C- C+ D+ F F
1.02 61% 33% 27% -5 0 0.92 27% 1.1 .30 18% .34 70% .24 1.30 76% 80% 44% +20 +4 1.49 18% 2.0 .35 21% .33 89% .30
Nov
30		 San Diego B- B- B C C+ 34% 30% 36% F C B A+ A+ A+ F F F D- F F+ B D- 35% 24% 41% C+ D F F F A+ A F A-
1.21 65% 47% 33% +4 -2 1.08 39% 1.5 .58 11% .18 50% .09 1.14 75% 45% 32% +6 -1 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 24% .15 86% .12
Dec
4		 UC Santa Barbara D+ D+ F C- F 16% 40% 44% F F A A A+ C- B A- A- C+ C+ F D- D- 15% 43% 43% A+ C B A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.04 56% 23% 33% -7 -4 0.80 39% 1.3 .50 18% .40 79% .31 1.14 57% 50% 40% +9 -5 1.11 28% 0.4 .13 19% .64 84% .54
Dec
6		 UC San Diego C+ B+ A- C B+ 29% 23% 48% D B D+ D- D- B+ F C F+ F D- B- F F 45% 13% 43% C- F A+ A A C F F F
1.09 63% 46% 33% +3 -1 1.05 25% 0.9 .22 13% .17 70% .12 1.18 67% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.26 18% 0.8 .14 16% .44 76% .33
Dec
9		 San Jose St. B- B C F+ D+ 40% 25% 35% D D+ A+ D A D- D A+ C F C+ F F F 36% 28% 36% D+ F A F F B- F C F
1.17 67% 38% 28% 0 0 1.02 50% 1.1 .53 21% .25 86% .21 1.25 56% 64% 44% +12 -1 1.24 26% 1.9 .48 17% .46 74% .34
Dec
18		 Pepperdine C B- F A+ A- 50% 33% 17% F+ B F A+ D B+ B+ A A- D- F F C F 29% 29% 43% A- F B+ F F A+ A+ D A
1.16 62% 29% 67% +7 -1 1.15 17% 1.6 .28 13% .31 79% .25 1.12 86% 57% 33% +13 -2 1.24 24% 2.0 .48 26% .19 80% .15
Dec
21		 Iowa St. D A+ B F C- 28% 35% 37% D- D+ F+ F F A- F+ C D- C+ F+ A- F D 35% 31% 35% A+ C- C C- C- B- B A+ A+
0.81 75% 40% 14% -5 -3 0.86 18% 0.6 .10 19% .17 70% .12 1.24 74% 29% 53% +12 -2 1.24 38% 1.2 .44 16% .29 44% .13
Jan
3		 Cal Poly D- A+ F F C 47% 26% 26% D+ C- F A D C- C D+ C- A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 8% 56% C+ A+ A F D- F F A- F+
1.04 76% 29% 21% +1 0 1.04 21% 1.3 .27 17% .29 71% .20 0.93 35% 0% 30% -15 +1 0.75 22% 1.6 .36 15% .42 72% .30
Jan
8		 UC Irvine D C- A- C B+ 37% 41% 22% F B- F F F C- D+ B+ C- C+ C D A+ B- 46% 32% 22% C+ B- A C+ A- F F F F
0.90 50% 45% 33% 0 -3 0.96 19% 0.3 .05 18% .22 77% .17 1.04 57% 44% 18% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 13% .45 79% .35
Jan
10		 Cal St. Bakersfield D- C F+ A+ C+ 35% 31% 33% F+ C- F A+ C- F+ A+ B A+ C- F A+ C- D- 45% 26% 28% F F+ A+ A+ A+ C- B- F C-
1.07 59% 33% 44% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.6 .37 21% .49 76% .37 0.99 71% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 19% .32 85% .28
Jan
15		 UC Riverside A B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 33% 25% F+ A+ C- C+ C A- C C C D C A+ A+ A+ 48% 22% 30% C- A+ F+ F F F F F+ F
1.30 67% 53% 54% +16 -1 1.31 29% 1.0 .29 12% .33 70% .23 1.07 58% 17% 19% -12 0 0.80 33% 1.2 .38 10% .39 79% .31
Jan
17		 Cal St. Northridge C+ A+ C- C+ B+ 26% 20% 54% D+ B F A- D- C- A+ A A+ B+ A- B- A+ A+ 56% 11% 33% F+ A+ D- F F B- F F F
1.10 79% 36% 34% +5 -1 1.11 18% 1.3 .24 16% .42 82% .35 1.01 47% 33% 22% -13 +2 0.81 37% 1.3 .46 19% .45 72% .33
Jan
22		 Cal St. Fullerton F B D- F+ F+ 27% 20% 53% D F+ D+ F F F B- B+ B B- F F A+ F 34% 27% 39% B+ F+ A- A A- B+ D+ F D-
0.90 67% 33% 29% -3 -1 0.96 26% 0.6 .14 25% .33 76% .25 1.04 73% 75% 24% +9 -1 1.18 19% 0.8 .15 19% .35 79% .27
Jan
24		 UC Santa Barbara C B B+ B- B 38% 23% 40% C- B- F D F A- D- A+ C D B+ B F C+ 52% 19% 29% D- C C+ F D+ F C+ A B
1.13 67% 45% 37% +7 0 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 13% .29 88% .26 1.18 52% 33% 50% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.2 .37 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
29		 UC Riverside F F+ A F F 48% 26% 26% C- F B- C- C+ F B F C- C F D+ A+ C+ 37% 20% 43% C C+ F D+ F C F A- F
0.88 50% 50% 17% -8 0 0.87 34% 0.9 .32 23% .38 60% .23 1.03 68% 40% 23% -3 0 0.96 36% 0.9 .33 19% .48 67% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Hawaii B+ B- F+ D- C- 31% 36% 33% F D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ B+ F C+ F F F 40% 30% 30% A+ F A+ F C C- F F F
1.14 59% 30% 28% -6 -3 0.85 40% 1.6 .63 15% .33 80% .26 1.23 58% 57% 57% +16 -1 1.32 20% 1.6 .32 18% .49 79% .39
Feb
5		 UC San Diego C- A+ D- B A- 28% 36% 36% F B F A+ F C B+ A+ A+ B A+ D+ F B- 47% 11% 43% D C+ F+ D F+ A+ F D F
0.99 73% 32% 37% +4 -3 1.04 3% 2.0 .06 16% .32 85% .27 1.03 45% 40% 40% -2 +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 24% .51 72% .37
Feb
12		 Cal St. Fullerton C- A+ A+ C- A 33% 24% 43% D- A- F A+ F D A C+ A F+ C- A+ D- C+ 45% 18% 38% D C F+ F F D D+ F F+
1.11 81% 58% 33% +12 -1 1.24 12% 1.3 .15 20% .39 74% .29 1.16 60% 20% 38% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.5 .46 13% .34 82% .28
Feb
14		 UC Davis F D- F F F 40% 36% 24% F F D- B C- F+ F D F B+ F A C D+ 38% 22% 40% C D+ D+ C C- B+ A+ F A+
0.77 50% 28% 25% -10 -2 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .24 69% .17 1.01 74% 27% 35% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.0 .29 21% .18 90% .16
Feb
19		 UC Irvine F F F F F 36% 36% 28% D- F C A+ A- F+ B A+ A- B D- F F F 55% 23% 23% F F B A+ A+ A+ F B- F
0.79 37% 26% 7% -23 -2 0.51 33% 1.3 .42 22% .29 82% .24 0.94 64% 67% 44% +13 +1 1.30 27% 0.3 .08 30% .50 65% .33
Feb
21		 Cal St. Northridge D+ D+ D A+ B 25% 29% 45% F+ B- C B- C+ D C+ C- C+ C- B+ A+ A+ A+ 68% 16% 16% F A D- F F F C+ A+ A-
1.06 54% 33% 43% +4 -2 1.06 27% 1.2 .33 18% .32 74% .24 1.09 50% 22% 22% -11 +3 0.86 37% 1.5 .55 13% .29 50% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 8th
9th 6.7 33.6 33.3 12.8 1.3 87.7 9th
10th 7.5 3.8 0.3 11.6 10th
11th 0.5 0.0 0.5 11th
Total 14.6 37.4 33.6 12.8 1.5 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
7-13 12.8% 12.8
6-14 33.6% 33.6
5-15 37.4% 37.4
4-16 14.6% 14.6
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.3
Lose Out 14.6%