Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#261
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#296
Pace76.2#27
Improvement-0.6#215

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#166
First Shot+3.9#75
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#338
Layup/Dunks+3.3#71
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#99
Freethrows-2.1#305
Improvement+0.4#160

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#342
First Shot-6.5#348
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#149
Layups/Dunks-7.5#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#122
Freethrows-0.8#245
Improvement-1.0#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.0% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 11.9% 16.0% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 39.6% 50.1% 17.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 0.4% 8.4%
First Four4.1% 4.2% 4.0%
First Round3.8% 4.0% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 68.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 410 - 913 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 50   @ Penn St. L 54-103 5%     0 - 1 -36.3 -20.6 -9.3
  Nov 14, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 92-67 91%     1 - 1 +4.8 +11.1 -7.0
  Nov 16, 2024 272   St. Peter's L 61-69 62%     1 - 2 -16.7 -1.6 -16.5
  Nov 19, 2024 287   Hampton L 68-78 64%     1 - 3 -19.4 -2.8 -17.5
  Nov 23, 2024 294   Boston University L 71-75 65%     1 - 4 -13.8 -6.5 -7.2
  Nov 25, 2024 310   Howard W 95-77 70%     2 - 4 +6.9 +13.3 -6.2
  Nov 27, 2024 329   Morgan St. W 92-69 76%     3 - 4 +10.0 +0.3 +7.1
  Dec 02, 2024 85   @ Georgetown L 62-86 9%     3 - 5 -14.5 -11.0 -0.5
  Dec 07, 2024 160   @ Towson W 84-71 21%     4 - 5 +15.9 +10.2 +5.1
  Dec 18, 2024 99   @ Georgia Tech L 82-91 12%     4 - 6 -1.7 +8.8 -9.9
  Dec 21, 2024 211   @ Marist L 73-76 OT 30%     4 - 7 -3.2 +0.7 -3.8
  Dec 29, 2024 233   @ American W 96-93 2OT 35%     5 - 7 +1.3 +6.1 -5.3
  Jan 04, 2025 313   @ Binghamton L 82-87 52%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -11.3 +7.1 -18.4
  Jan 09, 2025 344   @ NJIT W 87-64 64%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +13.7 +9.2 +3.4
  Jan 16, 2025 357   New Hampshire L 76-79 84%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -19.3 -1.5 -17.8
  Jan 18, 2025 199   Maine L 62-87 44%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -29.2 -11.8 -16.6
  Jan 23, 2025 280   @ Albany W 92-87 OT 44%     7 - 10 2 - 3 +0.9 +4.8 -4.5
  Jan 25, 2025 240   @ Vermont W 80-63 36%     8 - 10 3 - 3 +14.9 +16.6 -0.3
  Jan 30, 2025 144   Bryant L 86-92 34%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -7.3 +5.7 -12.5
  Feb 01, 2025 203   Umass Lowell L 67-83 46%     8 - 12 3 - 5 -20.6 -10.3 -10.4
  Feb 06, 2025 357   @ New Hampshire W 81-75 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 199   @ Maine L 72-78 26%    
  Feb 13, 2025 313   Binghamton W 81-75 72%    
  Feb 15, 2025 144   @ Bryant L 84-93 17%    
  Feb 20, 2025 203   @ Umass Lowell L 82-88 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 344   NJIT W 78-69 80%    
  Feb 27, 2025 280   Albany W 83-80 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 240   Vermont W 71-70 57%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.9 4.7 2.1 0.1 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.7 11.8 5.7 0.2 20.5 4th
5th 0.0 4.0 17.3 10.3 0.9 0.0 32.6 5th
6th 1.3 10.3 7.5 0.4 19.5 6th
7th 0.5 5.7 5.8 0.7 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 1.9 0.2 3.7 8th
9th 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 9th
Total 0.3 2.6 9.0 20.3 28.2 24.4 11.5 3.2 0.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 4.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.5% 26.7% 26.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
10-6 3.2% 11.4% 11.4% 15.7 0.1 0.3 2.8
9-7 11.5% 8.9% 8.9% 15.9 0.1 0.9 10.5
8-8 24.4% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 1.6 22.8
7-9 28.2% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4 26.8
6-10 20.3% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.7 19.6
5-11 9.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 8.8
4-12 2.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-13 0.3% 0.3
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.2 94.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%