Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.0 234
Results Rating -3.8 234
Pace 66.3 244
Improvement +4.2 42

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 234 C- F+ B- C- C-
Defense C- 231 D+ C+ F+ A- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 245 C 58% 172 -1.2 230
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 184 C- 37% 217 +0.7 140
Three Pointers 41% 181 C- 33% 238 -0.8 213
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 243 C- -1.1 208
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 219
Second Chance F+ 21.7% 352 D+ 0.97 268 F+ 0.21 353
Turnovers B- 15.4% 94
Freethrows D+ 0.27 279 B- 75% 102 C- 0.20 241
Total Offense C- -2.3 234

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 323 C 11.3% 200
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 305 B- 3.7% 81
Three Pointers D+ 79% 282 C+ 0.6% 120
Total D- 47% 333 C+ 5.2% 135

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 78 C- 59% 209 +2.8 276
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 199 C- 39% 231 -0.4 159
Three Pointers 38% 277 D 37% 296 -0.2 173
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 245 D+ +2.2 260
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 264
Second Chance B- 28.4% 102 C 1.04 210 C+ 0.30 136
Turnovers F+ 13.2% 348
Freethrows A- 0.23 13 B- 70% 70 A- 0.16 11
Total Defense C- -1.8 231

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 35% 6 D- 5.8% 348
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 41 D 2.3% 318
Three Pointers D 88% 307 C- 0.6% 228
Total B 48% 37 D- 3.1% 346

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 196 17.9 279
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 200 0.13 61
Improvement +1.0 #134 +3.2 #42

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 260 234 202
Results Rating Rank 256 232 155
Conference Record 12 - 4 13 - 3 14 - 2
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34% 35% 29%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 98% 100% 82%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four14% 14% 20%
First Round28% 29% 20%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 89.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 420 - 420 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 87 @Dayton L 71 - 77 11% -4  14% 0 - 1 C+ +4 B +6 C+ B+ C- C- -3 D+ D+ D-
 Tue, Nov 11 350 @Morgan St. W 81 - 79 73% +6  77% 1 - 1 D -9 C- -2 A+ F F D- -6 D+ F+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 320 Wagner W 71 - 70 OT 81% -1  38% 2 - 1 D- -12 F -17 F B+ F B +4 B C+ C
 Wed, Nov 19 82 @George Washington L 52 - 89 10% -24  0% 2 - 2 F -27 F -22 F F D D+ -4 F A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 361 Delaware St. W 71 - 57 92% +8  97% 3 - 2 D+ -6 D -6 C F C C+ +0 C+ C- F
 Wed, Dec 3 71 @Georgetown L 81 - 90 9% -11  0% 3 - 3 C+ +2 A +14 B B A+ F -13 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 330 @Bucknell W 73 - 66 66% +1  53% 4 - 3 C -1 C +1 B F D+ C- -2 C+ D F
 Tue, Dec 9 207 Buffalo L 79 - 83 56% +1  57% 4 - 4 D -10 C+ +3 B- C C+ F -12 F C+ D+
 Fri, Dec 12 338 Army L 60 - 63 84% -5  12% 4 - 5 F -18 F -20 F F B B- +2 B B+ D
 Sun, Dec 21 58 @South Florida L 69 - 94 7% -15  1% 4 - 6 D- -13 D+ -4 D C- D+ D- -8 F D F
 Mon, Dec 29 363 @Coppin St. W 93 - 59 85% +18  98% 5 - 6 A +19 A- +10 C- A+ B+ A- +7 C A- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 343 Maine W 69 - 62 86% +6  79% 6 - 6 1 - 0 D -8 D+ -3 D+ F A+ D+ -4 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 346 New Hampshire W 75 - 74 86% -3  13% 7 - 6 2 - 0 F+ -15 C+ +3 B+ F A+ F -18 F F D-
 Thu, Jan 15 354 @Bryant L 74 - 79 OT 76% -1  24% 7 - 7 2 - 1 F+ -16 D -5 C+ F D- F -11 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 359 @Binghamton W 78 - 60 81% +9  81% 8 - 7 3 - 1 C+ +5 B- +4 C+ D- A- B- +3 C C F
 Thu, Jan 22 318 NJIT W 87 - 74 79% +14  98% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C +0 B +7 B D A+ D- -7 D- D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 311 Umass Lowell W 79 - 56 77% +12  98% 10 - 7 5 - 1 B +11 C +1 C- D- C- A +11 A A+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 229 @Vermont L 55 - 64 38% -2  22% 10 - 8 5 - 2 D -10 F -16 F D- B B+ +5 C A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 316 @Albany W 68 - 65 59% -3  21% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C- -3 D -4 B- F C C+ +1 B- F C+
 Thu, Feb 5 359 Binghamton W 79 - 62 91% +11  99% 12 - 8 7 - 2 C- -2 C- -2 D- F A+ C+ +1 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 343 @Maine W 78 - 62 70% +12  80% 13 - 8 8 - 2 B- +7 B- +5 D+ F+ A+ C+ +2 B C F
 Sat, Feb 14 346 @New Hampshire W 85 - 63 71% +18  95% 14 - 8 9 - 2 B+ +12 B+ +9 A F+ B+ B +4 F+ A+ C
 Thu, Feb 19 229 Vermont W 75 - 62 61% +10  96% 15 - 8 10 - 2 B- +6 C- -1 F+ C- C+ A- +8 A+ B F
 Sat, Feb 21 316 Albany W 66 - 62 79% +1  55% 16 - 8 11 - 2 D -8 D -5 D+ F B+ C- -3 F A- C
 Thu, Feb 26 354 Bryant W 76 - 63 90%
 Sat, Feb 28 311 @Umass Lowell W 76 - 74 57%
 Tue, Mar 3 318 @NJIT W 73 - 70 59%
Totals 18 - 9 13 - 3 -4 C- -2 B- C- C- C- -2 C- B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C- C- C- 36% 37% 41% C- C- F+ D+ F+ B- D+ B- C- C- C- C- D D+ 43% 20% 38% D+ D+ B- C C+ F+ A- B- A-
1.05 58% 37% 33% -1 0 0.99 22% 1.0 .21 15% .27 75% .20 1.11 59% 39% 37% +2 0 1.07 28% 1.0 .30 13% .23 70% .19
Nov
8		 Dayton B D C+ B+ B- 28% 26% 46% D+ C+ B B B+ C- F A F+ C- F D+ B+ D- 39% 24% 37% A D+ A- F D+ D- C D D+
1.07 50% 38% 39% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 23% .20 80% .16 1.17 78% 36% 29% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.7 .38 14% .42 79% .33
Nov
11		 Morgan St. C- A+ A A A+ 45% 5% 50% B A+ F F F F C D- C- D- A A+ F C- 45% 22% 33% F D+ D- F+ F+ F A+ D+ A+
1.13 75% 50% 41% +13 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30 1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16
Nov
16		 Wagner F D+ C F F 35% 27% 38% F F C+ A+ B+ F A+ D A+ B A- F A+ B+ 50% 24% 26% D B B+ F+ C+ C C+ A B
0.94 53% 38% 17% -11 -1 0.77 32% 1.3 .42 24% .55 69% .38 0.92 44% 54% 21% -8 0 0.87 27% 1.2 .32 20% .26 63% .16
Nov
19		 George Washington F B- F F F 39% 20% 41% C F F C- F D B F C D+ D A+ F F 47% 7% 47% C- F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A A+
0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19 1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13
Nov
29		 Delaware St. D B- F B+ C- 47% 13% 40% B- C D F F C F D F C+ C A- B C 35% 52% 13% A+ C+ C- D+ C- F A+ F A
1.07 68% 14% 38% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.7 .18 18% .17 67% .11 0.86 53% 29% 29% -8 -4 0.78 25% 0.8 .20 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Georgetown A B- A+ C B+ 34% 29% 38% C- B C+ A B A+ D+ A C+ F F A+ F F 42% 18% 40% D- F A+ F D+ F A+ B+ A+
1.21 58% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.05 30% 1.2 .36 10% .27 81% .22 1.34 71% 20% 48% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.7 .41 9% .16 70% .11
Dec
6		 Bucknell C B B+ A+ B+ 37% 28% 35% D+ B F D+ F D+ D A- C- C- C- A+ B C+ 38% 20% 42% C+ C+ F B+ D F D+ B+ C
1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23 1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22
Dec
9		 Buffalo C+ C+ A+ C+ B 30% 23% 47% D- B- D- A- C C+ F A+ F+ F F+ F F F 50% 21% 29% D+ F D- A C+ D+ C+ F D
1.19 63% 67% 36% +9 -1 1.19 27% 1.1 .31 17% .14 100% .14 1.25 67% 60% 43% +13 +1 1.29 31% 0.9 .27 15% .32 89% .28
Dec
12		 Army F B D- F F 28% 25% 47% D- F F F F B F F F B- A+ A+ D- A- 55% 4% 40% F B B A- B+ D F F F
0.91 67% 31% 28% -4 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10 0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29
Dec
21		 South Florida D+ C- B F D+ 35% 35% 30% D- D D- A- C- D+ D B+ C- D- C- A+ F F+ 54% 4% 42% D- F B+ F D F A+ C+ A
0.94 53% 42% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 21% .28 75% .21 1.29 58% 0% 42% +3 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 11% .28 72% .20
Dec
29		 Coppin St. A- F C+ A+ D+ 43% 10% 47% B C- C A+ A+ B+ C F F A- D A+ C+ C+ 38% 19% 42% D- C A+ F A- D- A- C+ B+
1.29 45% 40% 46% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.9 .68 14% .37 57% .21 0.82 60% 0% 32% -8 0 0.87 15% 1.2 .18 19% .26 67% .17
Jan
8		 Maine D+ B- F A D+ 51% 29% 20% C- D+ F+ F F A+ A B A D+ A F A+ B- 42% 25% 33% C B- F+ F F F A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 14% 40% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 12% .41 74% .30 0.96 45% 62% 18% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 14% .20 55% .11
Jan
10		 New Hampshire C+ C+ B+ A+ A- 43% 21% 36% C B+ F F F A+ D- B+ D F F+ F C+ F 62% 6% 32% F F F F+ F D- B+ A+ A+
1.19 61% 45% 42% +7 0 1.17 11% 0.7 .07 6% .27 81% .22 1.18 65% 67% 31% +4 +4 1.18 35% 1.1 .39 16% .21 45% .09
Jan
15		 Bryant D B F B+ B- 31% 14% 55% D+ C+ F F F D- B A+ A F F C+ D- F 52% 10% 38% F F F D- F C B A+ B+
1.08 63% 29% 39% +4 0 1.12 16% 0.8 .13 16% .35 85% .30 1.15 70% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.21 38% 1.1 .41 22% .22 67% .15
Jan
19		 Binghamton B- B- B+ B+ B- 47% 25% 28% D+ C+ F A+ D- A- F B F B- D+ A C C- 41% 29% 31% B- C C C- C F A A+ A+
1.23 64% 46% 40% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.8 .26 8% .21 75% .15 0.95 60% 29% 33% -2 -1 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 13% .27 47% .13
Jan
22		 NJIT B A+ A F B+ 36% 26% 38% D- B F A+ D A+ A+ A- A+ D- D- A D D- 42% 26% 32% D+ D- F B+ D+ D- F A+ C+
1.24 78% 46% 26% +5 -1 1.10 19% 1.5 .29 9% .47 77% .36 1.06 64% 29% 35% 0 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .28 14% .38 52% .20
Jan
24		 Umass Lowell C C+ D+ C- C- 50% 21% 29% C C- F C+ D- C- A A+ A+ A A F A+ A 40% 19% 42% C A A- A+ A+ F A+ D+ A+
1.19 62% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.2 .26 14% .35 95% .33 0.84 43% 70% 18% -10 0 0.83 26% 0.7 .18 14% .16 67% .10
Jan
29		 Vermont F C F F F 26% 21% 53% C- F F A+ D- B B D+ B- B+ A+ F D C- 27% 13% 60% C C A A+ A+ D+ F A+ D
0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26 1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Albany D D- A+ A+ C+ 54% 12% 34% A- B- F F F C A+ A- A+ C+ C A B- B- 39% 14% 47% D+ B- D- F F C+ A A+ A
1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41 1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08
Feb
5		 Binghamton C- F+ B B- D- 42% 16% 42% C D- F+ F F A+ D+ B- C- C+ A F A+ C- 28% 32% 40% A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ F B-
1.19 50% 44% 38% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.8 .20 5% .30 74% .22 0.94 43% 63% 25% -2 -2 0.94 6% 0.0 .00 12% .31 83% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Maine B- C- A+ F C- 42% 29% 29% D D+ D- D- F+ A+ B A+ A+ C+ A A B A- 42% 15% 44% D- B B+ F C F F D F
1.15 59% 53% 20% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.9 .29 9% .36 86% .31 0.92 45% 29% 29% -10 +1 0.83 14% 1.4 .19 15% .43 68% .29
Feb
14		 New Hampshire B+ A- A+ A- A+ 31% 25% 44% D- A F C- F+ B+ C- A C+ B F A+ B- F 33% 13% 54% C+ F+ C A+ A+ C F B- F+
1.24 69% 54% 39% +11 -1 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 12% .31 84% .26 0.92 75% 17% 31% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.1 .03 19% .36 65% .23
Feb
19		 Vermont C- C+ F B+ D- 27% 27% 47% D F+ C- C- C- C+ A A- A+ A- A+ A+ D+ A+ 34% 17% 48% C A+ A C- B F A+ F+ A
1.11 62% 8% 39% -4 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .42 80% .34 0.92 40% 10% 36% -10 0 0.83 17% 1.0 .17 10% .17 80% .13
Feb
21		 Albany D D F A- D+ 44% 17% 38% C+ D+ D F F B+ D- C+ D- C- C+ F F F 53% 13% 34% F F A+ D+ A- C A+ F A+
1.11 52% 22% 40% -2 +1 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 12% .25 77% .19 1.04 56% 67% 44% +8 +2 1.21 20% 1.0 .20 20% .08 75% .06



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.4 21.0 45.1 31.6 98.1 1st
2nd 1.2 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.7 0.7 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 2.3 21.0 45.1 31.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 31.6    31.6
13-3 100.0% 45.1    45.1
12-4 100.0% 21.0    3.8 10.7 6.4
11-5 15.4% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 98.1% 98.1 80.6 10.8 6.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 31.6% 39.2% 39.2% 15.3 0.0 0.7 6.6 5.0 19.2
13-3 45.1% 34.2% 34.2% 15.9 0.0 1.2 14.2 29.7
12-4 21.0% 29.0% 29.0% 16.0 0.2 5.9 14.9
11-5 2.3% 23.8% 23.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 1.7
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 34.5% 34.5% 0.0% 15.7 65.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 12.4% 100.0% 15.3 0.1 5.9 53.4 40.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.2%
Lose Out 0.7%