Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -13.5 350
Results Rating -11.6 335
Pace 74.7 37
Improvement +1.7 121

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 325 F+ D D B D-
Defense D- 350 D F D+ F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 282 D 51% 323 -4.3 328
2 Pt. Jumpers 60% 13 D+ 35% 282 +2.6 53
Three Pointers 35% 304 D- 30% 328 -5.3 332
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.4 334 D- -5.6 345
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 351
Second Chance C- 29.5% 209 F 0.83 358 D 0.25 319
Turnovers D 18.8% 297
Freethrows B 0.34 66 C+ 74% 134 B 0.25 67
Total Offense D -6.3 325

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 114 D+ 13.1% 300
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 71 C 5.3% 207
Three Pointers D- 76% 324 C- 1.1% 236
Total C- 54% 221 D+ 6.6% 282

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 7 D- 64% 330 +7.8 362
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 357 C- 40% 250 -2.6 14
Three Pointers 40% 222 C 34% 174 -0.8 148
Shot Selection/Accuracy F +1.5 363 D+ +2.8 288
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 323
Second Chance D- 35.3% 337 F 1.23 363 F 0.43 361
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 278
Freethrows F 0.44 364 C+ 71% 114 F 0.31 364
Total Defense D- -7.2 350

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 59% 347 D+ 8.7% 264
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 39% 344 D+ 3.6% 257
Three Pointers D+ 87% 278 D+ 0.5% 272
Total D- 64% 342 C- 4.7% 245

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 135 16.1 24
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 143 0.25 360
Improvement -0.4 #211 +2.1 #72

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 356 349 335
Results Rating Rank 349 337 315
Conference Record 7 - 7 9 - 5 10 - 4
Conference Finish 4 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 7% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1% 1% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 20% 32% 10%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four6% 7% 4%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Away) - 46.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 410 - 1211 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 71 @Georgetown L 70 - 87 2% -10  21% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D -5 D+ C- F C+ +0 A- D- F
 Tue, Nov 11 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79 - 81 27% -6  16% 0 - 2 D -9 C- -2 D- B- C+ D- -7 F D+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 290 @Mercyhurst L 72 - 86 20% -13  6% 0 - 3 F -19 C- -2 F A+ F F -17 F F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 273 N.C. A&T L 73 - 79 34% -4  9% 0 - 4 F+ -15 D- -7 D F A+ F+ -8 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 21 242 @Old Dominion L 56 - 88 13% -18  0% 0 - 5 F -33 F -17 F F+ D+ F -18 F+ D- F
 Tue, Nov 25 221 Drexel L 66 - 71 25% -7  2% 0 - 6 D- -11 D -5 C- F A D- -7 D+ B+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 262 Longwood L 80 - 84 32% -1  46% 0 - 7 D- -13 D+ -4 D- D- C F+ -9 D+ F C
 Tue, Dec 9 93 @DePaul L 49 - 92 3% -28  0% 0 - 8 F -34 F -18 F F F F -18 F F+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 336 Niagara W 81 - 73 55% +4  89% 1 - 8 D+ -7 C+ +3 A+ A F F+ -9 D+ F F
 Fri, Dec 19 70 @California L 50 - 97 2% -22  0% 1 - 9 F -36 F -20 F D- F+ F -16 F F D+
 Sun, Dec 21 127 @San Francisco L 64 - 94 5% -13  21% 1 - 10 F -25 D- -8 D+ C- F F -18 C F C-
 Tue, Dec 23 148 @Loyola Marymount L 56 - 83 7% -16  0% 1 - 11 F -23 F -16 F B+ F D- -8 F F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 349 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 49 - 66 38% -6  17% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -27 F -27 F F F C- -2 B- F+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 357 South Carolina St. W 72 - 67 68% -2  16% 2 - 12 1 - 1 D- -13 D- -7 F F A D -6 D- F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 352 NC Central L 78 - 89 63% -4  14% 2 - 13 1 - 2 F -28 D -5 D F B- F -23 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 361 @Delaware St. W 80 - 79 52% +5  76% 3 - 13 2 - 2 D- -13 C- -1 D F B+ F -12 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 202 @Howard W 78 - 77 10% -3  15% 4 - 13 3 - 2 C +2 D -4 F A+ D+ B+ +6 A+ F C+
 Mon, Jan 26 302 @Norfolk St. W 79 - 78 22% -3  36% 5 - 13 4 - 2 C- -4 D -4 C- F C- C -0 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 363 @Coppin St. W 89 - 80 57% +12  100% 6 - 13 5 - 2 D+ -6 C+ +2 F+ A D F+ -9 F C F
 Sat, Feb 7 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 79 - 71 61% +2  79% 7 - 13 6 - 2 D -8 C+ +2 C- D A+ F -10 B- C F
 Mon, Feb 16 352 @NC Central L 76 - 80 40% -11  7% 7 - 14 6 - 3 F+ -15 F+ -8 F F D+ D -6 D- F A-
 Sat, Feb 21 361 Delaware St. W 82 - 68 74% +3  66% 8 - 14 7 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -2 D+ D C- D+ -4 D+ D+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 357 @South Carolina St. L 77 - 78 46%
 Sat, Feb 28 202 Howard L 72 - 80 22%
 Mon, Mar 2 302 Norfolk St. L 76 - 78 42%
 Thu, Mar 5 363 Coppin St. W 80 - 72 77%
Totals 10 - 16 9 - 5 -14 D -6 D D- D- D- -7 D- C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D D+ D- D- 35% 60% 35% D- F+ C- F D D B C+ B D- D- C- C D+ 47% 13% 40% F D D- F F D+ F C+ F
1.00 51% 35% 30% -6 -1 0.88 29% 0.8 .25 19% .34 74% .25 1.19 64% 40% 34% +3 +2 1.11 35% 1.2 .43 15% .44 71% .24
Nov
3		 Georgetown D F F+ A+ D+ 38% 27% 35% C D+ C D+ C- F A+ C- A C+ C+ F A+ A+ 46% 9% 44% F A- C- F D- F F B+ F
0.93 39% 31% 41% -5 -1 0.90 30% 0.9 .27 21% .40 71% .29 1.15 56% 80% 17% -9 +2 0.89 35% 1.3 .45 9% .57 69% .39
Nov
11		 Maryland Baltimore Co. C- F F A+ F+ 45% 22% 33% C- D- B+ C- B- C+ D+ A- C D- F F F F 45% 5% 50% F F D+ C- D+ A+ F A F
1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16 1.13 75% 50% 41% +13 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30
Nov
15		 Mercyhurst C- C+ F F F 38% 43% 20% F F A+ C- A+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ F F 32% 28% 40% D F F F F C+ F A+ F
1.06 60% 18% 25% -11 -3 0.75 51% 1.0 .51 24% .74 84% .62 1.27 69% 29% 40% +4 -1 1.08 41% 1.7 .69 16% .49 61% .30
Nov
18		 N.C. A&T D- C+ A+ F D+ 41% 25% 34% C- D F F F A+ D- C+ D F+ F F C+ F 29% 29% 42% B- F C+ F F B- F D+ F
1.05 60% 53% 24% -1 0 1.00 14% 0.4 .05 7% .26 71% .19 1.14 69% 54% 32% +6 -2 1.11 30% 1.8 .52 20% .49 78% .38
Nov
21		 Old Dominion F D- D- F F 52% 20% 28% B- F C F F+ D+ C+ F F+ F D C F F 28% 22% 50% C- F+ F B D- F F C- F
0.84 54% 30% 14% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.6 .20 17% .36 55% .20 1.32 64% 36% 40% +6 -1 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 11% .45 74% .34
Nov
25		 Drexel D B B F C+ 40% 38% 23% F+ C- F F F A B+ C B+ D- F A+ B- C- 45% 12% 43% F D+ F A+ B+ B+ F F F
1.01 63% 44% 18% -1 -2 0.96 21% 0.6 .12 11% .36 76% .28 1.09 68% 20% 33% +2 +2 1.10 41% 0.4 .18 23% .52 81% .42
Dec
6		 Longwood D+ D- A+ F D- 44% 19% 37% C D- F+ D+ D- C C+ A+ A+ F+ C+ A+ F D+ 46% 18% 36% F+ D+ C- F F C F A F
1.07 54% 70% 25% -1 +1 1.02 21% 0.9 .18 19% .36 91% .33 1.12 56% 14% 43% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.6 .53 20% .74 66% .49
Dec
9		 DePaul F F F F F 26% 38% 36% F F A+ F F F A+ A A+ F F A+ F F 38% 17% 45% D+ F B F F+ D- F F F
0.72 27% 25% 20% -21 -3 0.55 45% 0.3 .13 30% .65 77% .50 1.36 88% 14% 42% +13 0 1.29 28% 1.6 .44 13% .63 78% .49
Dec
13		 Niagara C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 29% 47% F A+ A+ F+ A F A+ A A+ F+ D+ F B+ C- 50% 8% 42% F D+ A F F F F C- F
1.21 78% 73% 44% +22 -2 1.42 56% 0.9 .50 34% .48 86% .41 1.09 58% 50% 30% -1 +2 1.04 14% 2.8 .38 13% .33 74% .24
Dec
19		 California F B- B F F 35% 29% 35% D- F F A D- F+ B F+ C+ F D- A F F 50% 14% 36% F F A- F F D+ D F F
0.72 59% 43% 6% -13 -1 0.73 16% 1.2 .19 20% .34 58% .20 1.40 68% 29% 50% +12 +2 1.30 22% 2.6 .57 13% .38 96% .36
Dec
21		 San Francisco D- A+ D C C+ 15% 39% 46% F D+ F A+ C- F A- D- B F F B+ A+ C 42% 23% 35% B- C F F F C- F B- F
0.95 71% 33% 33% 0 -4 0.93 18% 1.5 .26 18% .34 68% .23 1.39 83% 30% 20% +1 0 1.05 47% 1.5 .70 15% .78 69% .54
Dec
23		 Loyola Marymount F F F F F 32% 49% 19% F F A+ D+ B+ F A- F C+ D- D F D- F 44% 9% 47% F F F C- F C+ F A F
0.80 33% 22% 22% -19 -4 0.55 43% 1.0 .41 24% .36 63% .23 1.19 65% 75% 38% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.1 .41 19% .49 61% .30
Jan
3		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F B- F F 26% 32% 43% F F F F F F D+ D- D C- D A+ A+ A- 55% 13% 32% F B- D F F+ F F B+ F
0.73 42% 40% 20% -12 -2 0.72 19% 0.6 .11 22% .31 69% .21 0.99 62% 0% 20% -10 +2 0.87 32% 1.1 .35 18% .49 67% .33
Jan
10		 South Carolina St. D- B F+ F F 48% 20% 33% D+ F D- F F A A F C+ D F D A+ D 40% 28% 33% F+ D- F F F A+ F A+ B-
1.08 68% 33% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 12% .48 61% .29 1.01 71% 42% 21% 0 -1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 27% .39 47% .18
Jan
12		 NC Central D A F B D+ 33% 27% 40% F+ D D+ F F B- A+ D A+ F F F F F 64% 20% 16% F F A+ A A+ F F D+ F
1.14 73% 25% 39% +5 -1 1.09 33% 0.5 .17 16% .57 70% .40 1.30 68% 67% 57% +18 +2 1.41 17% 0.8 .13 13% .55 76% .42
Jan
17		 Delaware St. C- F B A+ D+ 30% 26% 44% F D F+ D- F B+ A+ B A+ F B+ F A+ F 43% 26% 30% F F F F+ F F F C- F
1.09 44% 43% 42% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 15% .43 74% .32 1.08 45% 75% 21% -2 0 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 15% .63 69% .43
Jan
24		 Howard D F D C F 48% 22% 30% C- F B+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 51% 24% 25% C+ A+ F F+ F C+ F D- F
0.96 28% 31% 33% -17 +1 0.70 40% 1.4 .58 21% .45 79% .36 0.95 32% 31% 14% -22 +1 0.58 53% 1.2 .66 21% .63 80% .50
Jan
26		 Norfolk St. D C+ C+ C+ C 34% 20% 46% D- C- F A+ F C- B B+ A- C B+ F A+ A+ 62% 9% 29% F A D F F F F+ A C-
1.04 65% 40% 35% +3 0 1.08 12% 1.5 .18 18% .42 77% .32 1.03 47% 60% 12% -15 +3 0.79 34% 1.3 .45 12% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Coppin St. C+ A- F D- D- 34% 28% 38% F F+ C- A+ A D A+ D- A+ F+ D A F F 48% 23% 29% F+ F F A+ C F F A+ F
1.17 71% 29% 32% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.6 .54 18% .61 71% .44 1.05 60% 25% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.7 .27 18% .57 57% .32
Feb
7		 Maryland Eastern Shore C+ B F+ C C- 41% 29% 31% D- C- D+ D- D A+ A- A- A F C A A+ B 51% 22% 27% F+ B- F A+ C F F F F
1.18 65% 29% 33% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 9% .41 80% .33 1.06 56% 27% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 13% .36 86% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
16		 NC Central F+ F F A+ F 41% 21% 38% C- F A F F D+ A C+ A D A+ D+ F D- 48% 22% 30% D D- D- F F A- F F+ F
1.04 48% 17% 43% -4 0 0.95 47% 0.5 .23 19% .39 74% .29 1.10 41% 40% 50% 0 +1 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 22% .44 80% .35
Feb
21		 Delaware St. D+ C+ C+ C D+ 39% 20% 41% D+ D+ B- F D C- A+ B A+ D+ D+ A+ A+ C+ 55% 20% 25% F D+ D C D+ F F B- D-
1.12 65% 40% 33% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.8 .31 19% .45 74% .34 0.93 57% 18% 21% -10 +1 0.85 28% 0.8 .21 15% .37 65% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1.4 14.3 4.1 19.8 1st
2nd 5.6 32.4 7.3 45.2 2nd
3rd 1.7 19.7 4.4 25.8 3rd
4th 4.1 4.2 8.4 4th
5th 0.8 0.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 6.6 29.6 38.2 21.6 4.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 4.1    4.1
10-4 66.3% 14.3    2.8 11.5
9-5 3.8% 1.4    0.0 0.2 1.1 0.2
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 19.8% 19.8 6.9 11.7 1.1 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 4.1% 12.7% 12.7% 16.0 0.5 3.6
10-4 21.6% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 2.2 19.3
9-5 38.2% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 1.8 36.4
8-6 29.6% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.8 28.7
7-7 6.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 6.5
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 16.0 94.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.9%
Lose Out 3.5%