SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.5 287
Results Rating -8.8 309
Pace 64.6 284
Improvement +0.3 180

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 336 D- D C- C D+
Defense C 189 C- D+ B F+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 290 C- 56% 235 -2.9 283
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 87 D+ 34% 290 +0.7 137
Three Pointers 40% 200 F+ 28% 355 -3.9 309
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 290 D- -5.2 339
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 341
Second Chance D+ 27.7% 260 D 0.93 315 D 0.26 301
Turnovers C- 17.8% 255
Freethrows C+ 0.32 128 D- 68% 325 C 0.22 188
Total Offense D- -6.9 336

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 191 C- 11.9% 237
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 175 C+ 4.8% 171
Three Pointers D- 75% 337 C 1.0% 201
Total D+ 51% 286 C 5.7% 203

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 248 D+ 61% 272 +0.0 181
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 123 C+ 37% 116 +0.2 208
Three Pointers 41% 159 D+ 36% 259 +1.4 254
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 112 D+ +2.0 253
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 234
Second Chance C- 31.0% 208 D 1.11 299 D+ 0.34 265
Turnovers B 19.4% 45
Freethrows F+ 0.38 348 D 75% 319 F+ 0.28 356
Total Defense C -0.6 189

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 212 C 10.9% 178
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 30% 279 B- 6.6% 79
Three Pointers C- 86% 226 D- -0.1% 361
Total C- 58% 240 C 5.4% 191

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 248 17.7 255
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 274 0.21 316
Improvement +1.2 #124 -0.9 #240

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 306 289 270
Results Rating Rank 324 302 281
Conference Record 5 - 17 6 - 16 7 - 15
Conference Finish 12 11 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 82% 64% 95%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Home) - 42.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 31 - 61 - 14
Quad 47 - 88 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 72 @Mississippi L 58 - 88 5% -12  32% 0 - 1 F -19 F+ -9 D F D+ F -12 F+ D+ B-
 Fri, Nov 7 291 @Louisiana L 52 - 58 39% -9  0% 0 - 2 D -11 F -13 F D- C- C+ +2 F A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 140 @Georgia Tech L 60 - 70 14% -0  53% 0 - 3 D+ -6 F -17 D- F F A+ +12 B+ F+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 74 @Mississippi St. L 68 - 75 6% -5  21% 0 - 4 C+ +4 D -6 D- D- C A +10 B C+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 108 @UNC Wilmington L 57 - 70 10% +1  59% 0 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -8 D- D- B+ C+ +0 C+ B- B-
 Fri, Nov 28 364 Gardner-Webb W 76 - 68 85% -2  36% 1 - 5 D -11 F+ -10 F F C- C -1 D+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 29 154 Navy W 69 - 65 23% +7  72% 2 - 5 C+ +4 C+ +2 A+ C F B- +3 B+ C+ C
 Sun, Dec 7 275 Northwestern St. L 68 - 76 57% +3  70% 2 - 6 0 - 1 F+ -17 D- -7 F D C+ F -10 D F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 298 @Houston Christian W 74 - 71 OT 41% +3  77% 3 - 6 1 - 1 C- -2 D+ -4 F+ D C- B- +2 D+ D+ A
 Mon, Dec 15 308 East Texas A&M L 69 - 70 66% +1  44% 3 - 7 1 - 2 D- -13 D+ -4 D+ F A+ F+ -9 F+ B C+
 Fri, Dec 19 53 @LSU L 65 - 78 4% -12  1% 3 - 8 C +0 C+ +3 D A+ B- D+ -5 F A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 269 @Incarnate Word L 70 - 79 34% -4  7% 3 - 9 1 - 3 D- -12 F -12 F F C- C+ +1 C- F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 102 Stephen F. Austin L 63 - 73 19% -8  5% 3 - 10 1 - 4 D -8 D- -7 D- B- C- C -1 B- D+ A
 Mon, Jan 5 216 Lamar W 60 - 52 45% +9  90% 4 - 10 2 - 4 C+ +2 D- -7 C+ F A- A +10 A+ D- A-
 Sat, Jan 10 81 @McNeese St. L 61 - 73 6% -7  13% 4 - 11 2 - 5 C- -2 D+ -2 D- A- D C -1 D- A- B
 Mon, Jan 12 206 New Orleans L 76 - 79 42% -1  29% 4 - 12 2 - 6 D -8 D+ -3 F C+ B D -6 B- F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 205 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 56 - 68 22% -14  0% 4 - 13 2 - 7 D- -11 F -16 D- D- F B +4 D F+ A+
 Mon, Jan 19 145 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 65 - 68 15% -4  6% 4 - 14 2 - 8 C +1 D -4 C- F B- B +5 C+ B+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 256 Nicholls St. W 67 - 61 53% +2  46% 5 - 14 3 - 8 C- -2 F -14 F F F A+ +12 A+ B A-
 Tue, Jan 27 81 McNeese St. L 66 - 76 14% -8  8% 5 - 15 3 - 9 D+ -6 D+ -4 C- C- D C- -3 D- C+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 102 @Stephen F. Austin L 58 - 85 9% -21  0% 5 - 16 3 - 10 F -19 D+ -4 D B F F -20 F F B-
 Mon, Feb 2 216 @Lamar L 54 - 73 24% -8  1% 5 - 17 3 - 11 F -19 F -12 F C B F -10 D+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 298 Houston Christian W 55 - 47 64% +6  97% 6 - 17 4 - 11 C- -3 F -13 D D F A+ +12 A+ B+ A-
 Mon, Feb 9 269 Incarnate Word W 74 - 62 57% +12  90% 7 - 17 5 - 11 C+ +3 C+ +2 D+ B+ A- B- +3 A- C+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 275 @Northwestern St. L 66 - 69 34% +2  70% 7 - 18 5 - 12 D+ -6 D+ -3 D A+ F D+ -4 D C D
 Mon, Feb 16 308 @East Texas A&M L 53 - 70 43% -12  7% 7 - 19 5 - 13 F -23 F -21 F F B C- -2 D- D- C
 Sat, Feb 21 145 UT Rio Grande Valley L 75 - 96 30% -16  0% 7 - 20 5 - 14 F -23 B +6 C+ C A+ F -31 F D- D+
 Mon, Feb 23 205 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64 - 66 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 256 @Nicholls St. L 68 - 73 31%
 Mon, Mar 2 206 @New Orleans L 68 - 76 23%
Totals 8 - 22 6 - 16 -7 D- -7 F+ D- D+ C -1 F+ D- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C- D+ F+ D- 35% 46% 40% D+ D- D+ D D C- C+ D- C C D+ C+ D+ D+ 36% 22% 41% C+ C- C- D D+ B F+ D F+
0.99 56% 34% 28% -5 -1 0.90 28% 0.9 .26 18% .32 68% .22 1.09 61% 37% 36% +2 0 1.05 31% 1.1 .34 19% .38 75% .24
Nov
3		 Mississippi F+ B+ F F+ D- 30% 12% 58% B+ D D+ F F D+ A+ F A- F D- F C- F+ 29% 29% 42% D F+ F A+ D+ B- F F F
0.87 62% 0% 28% -9 +1 0.86 26% 0.6 .16 20% .47 60% .28 1.32 71% 57% 35% +10 -2 1.19 44% 0.8 .37 15% .53 83% .44
Nov
7		 Louisiana F D F F F 41% 8% 51% B F C- F D- C- A+ F A+ C+ C- F D- F 22% 46% 32% A+ F A+ A+ A+ A- D+ A+ C+
0.89 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.76 31% 0.8 .26 19% .66 58% .38 1.00 56% 63% 38% +13 -4 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 21% .26 58% .15
Nov
10		 Georgia Tech F F C- D D 26% 31% 43% F+ D- D- F F F C- A C+ A+ B B+ C- B+ 36% 31% 33% B+ B+ B- F F+ A+ F D+ F
0.79 43% 35% 30% -7 -2 0.83 23% 0.4 .10 26% .27 80% .21 0.92 53% 31% 36% -3 -2 0.93 30% 1.6 .47 26% .46 73% .34
Nov
15		 Mississippi St. D B- C F D- 29% 33% 38% D+ D- D+ F D- C C+ A+ A- A F+ A C B- 27% 31% 41% A B B D+ C+ A+ F C- F
0.92 59% 37% 18% -9 -2 0.79 23% 0.7 .16 14% .28 89% .25 1.02 71% 31% 33% +1 -2 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 22% .40 70% .28
Nov
26		 UNC Wilmington F+ A+ B F D- 21% 27% 52% D+ D- D- F+ D- B+ D F F C+ F D- A+ C 26% 28% 47% B+ C+ B- B- B- B- F F F
0.91 91% 43% 15% -7 -2 0.85 21% 0.9 .18 11% .22 50% .11 1.12 82% 42% 20% -3 -2 0.93 31% 1.0 .31 16% .57 77% .44
Nov
28		 Gardner-Webb F+ A+ C F F 29% 22% 49% D- F D F F C- A+ B+ A+ C D+ A D+ D- 38% 20% 43% B D+ B- F F A+ F D F
1.06 79% 36% 21% -4 -1 0.92 31% 0.7 .22 15% .53 78% .41 0.95 60% 25% 35% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 29% .49 72% .36
Nov
29		 Navy C+ A C A+ A+ 26% 42% 33% F A+ D A C F B+ B+ A- B- D+ A+ A+ B+ 43% 29% 29% C+ B+ A F C+ C F A- F
1.07 73% 39% 57% +15 -4 1.26 25% 1.2 .29 26% .31 80% .25 1.00 61% 25% 25% -6 -1 0.88 24% 1.3 .29 19% .53 68% .36
Dec
7		 Northwestern St. D- A+ F+ F F 35% 28% 37% F+ F D- B- D C+ A+ D+ A+ F F+ B+ F F+ 36% 38% 26% A- D F F F A+ F D F
1.03 80% 33% 13% -6 -1 0.88 26% 1.2 .32 17% .55 70% .38 1.15 64% 33% 40% +3 -2 1.03 41% 1.6 .67 23% .53 78% .41
Dec
13		 Houston Christian D+ D+ D C- F+ 39% 24% 37% D- F+ D+ D D C- A+ C- A+ B- C- A+ D+ C- 48% 12% 40% F D+ F+ C+ D+ A D- B- D
1.05 58% 33% 33% -2 0 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 19% .44 72% .31 1.01 58% 17% 35% -2 +2 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 23% .33 67% .22
Dec
15		 East Texas A&M D+ D- C- A C- 39% 27% 33% F+ D+ D- F F A+ D+ A- C F+ A+ F F F 30% 26% 43% A F+ B B- B C+ F F F
1.07 50% 36% 41% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 11% .30 76% .23 1.08 43% 50% 45% +6 -1 1.11 20% 0.8 .17 19% .32 82% .27
Dec
19		 LSU C+ C A F D 33% 22% 45% C- D C+ A+ A+ B- C- A- C D+ F A F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F A+ A A+ D+ F A- F
1.06 56% 45% 23% -7 -1 0.88 30% 1.4 .42 15% .29 73% .21 1.27 79% 29% 45% +13 0 1.29 24% 1.0 .24 13% .50 70% .36
Dec
30		 Incarnate Word F D F F F 50% 16% 34% C+ F C+ F F C- D A C- C+ B+ A+ F D+ 31% 22% 47% C C- A- F F+ C+ C D C-
0.96 54% 22% 21% -11 +1 0.82 34% 0.7 .24 17% .33 80% .26 1.09 47% 17% 46% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.5 .39 17% .26 75% .20
Jan
3		 Stephen F. Austin D- B- F F+ D 30% 34% 36% F D- D- A+ B- C- F A+ D+ C A D C B- 28% 32% 40% B+ B- F B+ D+ A F F F
0.95 60% 29% 28% -6 -2 0.86 23% 1.5 .34 18% .20 91% .18 1.10 43% 44% 35% -2 -2 0.94 42% 0.9 .37 18% .35 79% .27
Jan
5		 Lamar D- D+ F A- C 49% 11% 41% A C+ D- F F A- A+ F B+ A A A+ A+ A+ 27% 34% 39% C+ A+ F C+ D- A- F F F
1.01 56% 25% 40% +1 +2 1.08 25% 0.5 .13 13% .60 52% .31 0.88 42% 20% 24% -17 -3 0.64 42% 0.9 .39 20% .44 86% .38
Jan
10		 McNeese St. D+ F F D- F 49% 3% 49% A+ D- C+ A+ A- D A+ F A+ C D+ A D- D 54% 14% 32% F D- F+ A+ A- B C+ C+ C+
0.97 47% 0% 29% -10 +3 0.89 37% 1.4 .50 27% .61 64% .39 1.16 63% 29% 38% +3 +2 1.12 41% 0.6 .25 16% .28 73% .21
Jan
12		 New Orleans D+ D F F F 27% 36% 38% F F B- C C+ B A+ F+ A+ D D- A+ B B- 38% 27% 35% C+ B- D- F F A- F D F
1.09 50% 31% 24% -10 -3 0.76 38% 1.0 .38 13% .64 67% .43 1.14 64% 20% 31% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.5 .60 23% .73 79% .58
Jan
17		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F D- F B F+ 57% 19% 23% B D- F+ C D- F F F F B A+ F F C- 60% 12% 28% F D C- F F+ A+ F C F
0.80 52% 11% 36% -8 +2 0.89 21% 1.0 .21 27% .25 62% .16 0.97 38% 80% 42% -4 +3 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 26% .46 67% .31
Jan
19		 UT Rio Grande Valley D B+ F C+ C- 37% 22% 41% C C- F+ F F B- C- D D+ B A- F B C+ 32% 18% 50% B- C+ B- A- B+ D F A F
0.99 67% 18% 35% -1 0 1.00 24% 0.6 .14 15% .32 67% .22 1.03 50% 63% 32% 0 0 1.02 26% 0.9 .23 15% .45 68% .31
Jan
24		 Nicholls St. F C- B- F F+ 33% 27% 40% F+ F B F F F A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C A+ C A+ B A- F F F
0.95 60% 42% 28% -2 -1 0.96 41% 0.5 .19 26% .55 76% .42 0.86 38% 43% 23% -15 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .20 20% .42 75% .32
Jan
27		 McNeese St. D+ B F B+ C 22% 22% 57% D- C- F A+ C- D A+ B A+ C- F+ F A+ F+ 48% 23% 30% C D- A- D- C+ A F B- F
0.99 63% 13% 38% -1 -1 0.97 25% 1.4 .36 27% .74 78% .58 1.14 68% 56% 25% +5 0 1.13 29% 1.1 .32 18% .53 72% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Stephen F. Austin D+ F+ F B D+ 33% 33% 35% F D C+ A B F A- B- A F F A+ F F 24% 22% 53% C F D- F F B- C+ B- C+
0.96 46% 31% 36% -5 -2 0.88 30% 1.3 .37 21% .36 76% .27 1.40 73% 20% 58% +19 -1 1.38 38% 1.8 .67 15% .21 64% .14
Feb
2		 Lamar F F B F+ F 41% 22% 37% C F F A+ C B F F F F D C+ C- D+ 29% 31% 39% C- D+ F+ F F F B+ A+ A
0.89 42% 40% 29% -9 0 0.85 21% 1.6 .32 15% .31 25% .08 1.20 60% 38% 35% +1 -2 1.00 39% 1.1 .45 10% .18 50% .09
Feb
7		 Houston Christian F C+ A- D D+ 34% 27% 39% F D B F D F F F F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 23% 31% C- A+ F A+ B+ A- F F+ F
0.97 64% 45% 31% +3 -1 1.05 37% 0.8 .30 28% .17 57% .10 0.83 50% 11% 25% -14 0 0.74 37% 0.5 .17 21% .36 75% .27
Feb
9		 Incarnate Word C+ D- A C C- 32% 26% 43% F D+ C A B+ A- F F F B- C- A+ C+ A- 29% 33% 38% A A- D B+ C+ B D- F F
1.21 53% 50% 35% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.4 .45 11% .30 63% .18 1.01 57% 19% 33% -7 -2 0.83 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 94% .30
Feb
14		 Northwestern St. D+ B A+ F C- 35% 38% 28% F D A+ B- A+ F B+ D- C+ D+ D- B- D- D- 33% 35% 33% B+ D C+ D+ C D D- F F
1.06 64% 53% 18% +1 -2 1.00 46% 1.2 .57 26% .39 67% .26 1.10 63% 35% 38% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.2 .27 14% .37 85% .32
Feb
16		 East Texas A&M F F F F+ F 42% 13% 44% C+ F F D- F B C F D C- D+ F A- F+ 39% 22% 39% C+ D- B+ F D- C F A+ F+
0.78 27% 14% 30% -19 +1 0.67 20% 1.0 .20 15% .31 61% .19 1.03 61% 60% 28% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.5 .29 18% .41 52% .22
Feb
21		 UT Rio Grande Valley B B- A+ F C 46% 21% 33% B- C+ A- D- C A+ A+ D- A+ F F C- F F 26% 17% 57% B F A F D- D+ F F F
1.18 64% 50% 25% +1 +1 1.04 39% 0.7 .27 9% .61 66% .40 1.50 83% 38% 56% +25 0 1.51 21% 1.8 .37 16% .35 95% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.9 0.9 7th
8th 1.6 2.0 3.6 8th
9th 10.1 0.6 10.7 9th
10th 6.1 8.0 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 23.6 1.5 25.1 11th
12th 31.8 13.7 0.1 45.6 12th
Total 31.8 43.5 21.2 3.5 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14 3.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.5
7-15 21.2% 21.2
6-16 43.5% 43.5
5-17 31.8% 31.8
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 0.9% 16.0 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 31.8%