SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#225
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#226
Pace68.5#195
Improvement+0.4#162

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#313
First Shot-3.6#283
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#265
Layup/Dunks+0.7#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#277
Freethrows-3.6#353
Improvement+0.0#178

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#128
First Shot-1.1#210
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#28
Layups/Dunks-0.7#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#231
Freethrows-0.6#228
Improvement+0.4#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 10.0% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 60.9% 82.0% 58.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.4% 89.1% 69.0%
Conference Champion 3.4% 13.4% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.3% 1.4%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round5.0% 9.9% 4.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Away) - 11.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 413 - 716 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 127   @ UAB L 72-82 21%     0 - 1 -4.9 -2.6 -2.2
  Nov 12, 2024 24   @ Mississippi St. L 59-80 4%     0 - 2 -3.6 -8.0 +5.0
  Nov 18, 2024 334   @ Louisiana Monroe W 70-67 65%     1 - 2 -4.5 -4.9 +0.4
  Nov 22, 2024 159   @ Wyoming L 61-64 27%     1 - 3 +0.0 -9.5 +9.4
  Nov 26, 2024 229   Gardner-Webb L 69-73 51%     1 - 4 -7.6 -8.8 +1.3
  Nov 27, 2024 275   North Dakota W 76-60 61%     2 - 4 +9.7 +2.1 +8.6
  Dec 02, 2024 202   @ Tulane W 71-67 33%     3 - 4 +5.1 +2.7 +2.6
  Dec 05, 2024 238   @ Nicholls St. L 64-67 41%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -4.3 -12.2 +8.0
  Dec 11, 2024 286   @ Louisiana L 61-68 51%     3 - 6 -10.7 -12.4 +1.5
  Dec 16, 2024 310   @ Grambling St. W 75-65 57%     4 - 6 +4.7 +7.1 -1.4
  Dec 30, 2024 91   @ McNeese St. L 60-73 12%    
  Jan 04, 2025 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 06, 2025 227   UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 343   @ New Orleans W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 13, 2025 213   @ Stephen F. Austin L 60-64 36%    
  Jan 18, 2025 290   @ Northwestern St. W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 20, 2025 356   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 70-64 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 300   Incarnate Word W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 27, 2025 346   Houston Christian W 73-62 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 343   New Orleans W 77-66 84%    
  Feb 03, 2025 196   Lamar W 67-66 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 300   @ Incarnate Word W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 10, 2025 346   @ Houston Christian W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 238   Nicholls St. W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 17, 2025 91   McNeese St. L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 356   Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-61 87%    
  Feb 24, 2025 290   Northwestern St. W 69-63 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 189   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-73 33%    
  Mar 03, 2025 227   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-75 39%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.2 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.6 3.5 0.9 0.1 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.4 3.3 0.6 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.8 3.5 0.5 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.8 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.6 3.0 0.6 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.9 7.9 10.8 13.5 14.6 14.1 11.6 8.5 5.3 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 94.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
17-3 72.7% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 45.2% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 18.6% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.2% 36.1% 36.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.0% 27.7% 27.7% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-4 2.5% 24.7% 24.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.9
15-5 5.3% 18.6% 18.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 4.3
14-6 8.5% 12.0% 12.0% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 7.5
13-7 11.6% 7.4% 7.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 10.8
12-8 14.1% 4.2% 4.2% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 13.5
11-9 14.6% 2.6% 2.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 14.2
10-10 13.5% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 13.3
9-11 10.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.7
8-12 7.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.8
7-13 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.9
6-14 2.7% 2.7
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.2 1.2 94.8 0.0%