SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.6 #275
Expected Predictive Rating -7.3 #272
Pace 65.0 #292
Improvement -2.6 #307

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #327 D- C- D+ D+ F
Defense #182 B- D+ C D- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #332 0.97 #340 -6.9 #352
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% #15 0.70 #251 +3.2 #49
Three Pointers 36% #280 1.02 #175 -2.2 #266
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #328 -5.8 #328
Freethrows 16.6 #228 69% #291 11.4 #255
Second Chance 29.6% #224 1.01 #232 0.30 #229
Turnovers 18.2% #276
Total Offense -6.2 #327

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #274 1.03 #44 +4.1 #60
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #161 0.86 #317 -1.3 #274
Three Pointers 44% #110 0.97 #133 -0.4 #195
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #103 +2.4 #103
Freethrows 19.4 #288 76% #312 14.7 #50
Second Chance 35.2% #324 1.03 #171 0.36 #278
Turnovers 16.2% #205
Total Defense -0.4 #182

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.9% #352 -0.6% #115
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.5% #294 -4.2% #103
Possession Length 18.4 #289 17.6 #233
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 #346 0.21 #285
Improvement -0.8 #242 -1.7 #288

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 8.5% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 48.4% 67.8% 40.1%
.500 or above in Conference 55.3% 74.6% 47.1%
Conference Champion 2.9% 7.1% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.2% 1.3%
First Four2.5% 3.2% 2.1%
First Round4.3% 7.0% 3.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Martin (Away) - 30.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 32 - 4
Quad 413 - 1115 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 315 @Texas San Antonio W 77 - 60 49%  +3  1 - 0 +11 +1 C- A F +9 A A F
 Mon, Nov 10 191 Indiana St. L 55 - 64 44%  -6  1 - 1 -14 -20 F F F +6 A+ D- A+
 Fri, Nov 14 169 @Drake W 61 - 59 20%  +5  2 - 1 +4 -3 D+ F C +7 A+ F D+
 Mon, Nov 17 43 @Wisconsin L 69 - 94 3%  -12  2 - 2 -10 +8 C- A+ C+ -19 D C- F
 Fri, Nov 21 334 @Air Force L 63 - 77 55%  -8  2 - 3 -22 -9 F D- D- -13 A- F F
 Sun, Nov 23 301 Alabama St. W 83 - 68 55%  +2  3 - 3 +7 +9 D C A+ -1 A+ C- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 350 @North Florida W 72 - 63 63%  +1  4 - 3 -1 -4 D- D C- +4 A C- C
 Sat, Dec 6 265 Western Michigan L 73 - 83 59%  -8  4 - 4 -19 -3 D- F A+ -16 F F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 309 @Eastern Illinois L 72 - 76 OT 47%  -0  4 - 5 0 - 1 -10 -2 B F D -8 F F B+
 Mon, Dec 22 358 @Western Illinois W 66 - 61 70%  -3  5 - 5 1 - 1 -7 -12 F A+ F +5 C- B- B+
 Thu, Jan 1 333 Southern Indiana W 59 - 55 75%  +6  6 - 5 2 - 1 -10 -15 F B+ F +6 A- F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 308 Morehead St. L 72 - 73 69%  +2  6 - 6 2 - 2 -13 +1 C C B- -14 F B- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 240 Lindenwood W 66 - 62 53%  +2  7 - 6 3 - 2 -3 -9 F D+ F +5 A+ F C+
 Thu, Jan 8 299 Arkansas Little Rock L 70 - 73 65%  +6  7 - 7 3 - 3 -14 +0 F A F -14 C D F
 Thu, Jan 15 235 @Tennessee Martin L 63 - 69 30% 
 Sat, Jan 17 218 @Southeast Missouri St. L 67 - 73 27% 
 Thu, Jan 22 219 Tennessee St. L 70 - 71 48% 
 Sat, Jan 24 313 Tennessee Tech W 73 - 67 70% 
 Thu, Jan 29 308 @Morehead St. L 67 - 68 47% 
 Sat, Jan 31 333 @Southern Indiana W 68 - 67 54% 
 Tue, Feb 3 240 @Lindenwood L 68 - 73 32% 
 Sat, Feb 7 299 @Arkansas Little Rock L 66 - 68 43% 
 Thu, Feb 12 218 Southeast Missouri St. L 70 - 71 49% 
 Sat, Feb 14 235 Tennessee Martin W 66 - 65 52% 
 Thu, Feb 19 313 @Tennessee Tech L 69 - 70 49% 
 Sat, Feb 21 219 @Tennessee St. L 68 - 74 28% 
 Thu, Feb 26 358 Western Illinois W 70 - 59 85% 
 Sat, Feb 28 309 Eastern Illinois W 67 - 62 68% 
Totals 14 - 14 10 - 10 -7 -6 D- C- D+ +0 B- D+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.5 0.4 7.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 5.0 4.6 0.8 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 5.8 6.8 1.6 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.6 8.1 2.5 0.1 17.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 4.8 7.3 2.9 0.2 15.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.7 2.7 0.2 12.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.5 1.7 0.2 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.1 8.4 13.1 17.1 17.7 15.5 11.1 6.3 3.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 90.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-5 76.5% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 36.0% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
13-7 8.1% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 31.0% 31.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 1.2% 30.3% 30.3% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8
14-6 3.3% 25.5% 25.5% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 2.5
13-7 6.3% 17.2% 17.2% 15.9 0.2 0.9 5.2
12-8 11.1% 10.5% 10.5% 15.9 0.1 1.1 9.9
11-9 15.5% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.0 0.8 14.6
10-10 17.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.6 17.1
9-11 17.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 16.7
8-12 13.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.0
7-13 8.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.4
6-14 4.1% 4.1
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.8 94.5 0.0%