UT Rio Grande Valley
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +0.8 145
Results Rating -0.9 174
Pace 67.5 210
Improvement +4.3 39

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 149 C+ C- C- D- C+
Defense C 156 C B C D+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 248 C 59% 148 -1.0 222
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 263 D 34% 314 -2.1 282
Three Pointers 47% 62 B- 36% 75 +4.7 38
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 150 C+ +1.3 122
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 125
Second Chance C- 28.2% 242 C 1.04 163 C- 0.29 219
Turnovers C- 17.3% 214
Freethrows F 0.23 363 B 77% 40 D- 0.18 340
Total Offense C +0.4 149

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 145 C- 11.5% 207
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 167 D 7.5% 315
Three Pointers B- 88% 92 C- 1.2% 270
Total B 62% 59 C- 6.0% 226

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 225 D+ 61% 269 +0.4 196
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 144 C+ 37% 135 +0.1 197
Three Pointers 41% 157 C+ 33% 118 -0.4 161
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 130 C +0.3 192
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 183
Second Chance C- 32.0% 254 A 0.83 8 B 0.27 65
Turnovers C 16.7% 188
Freethrows D+ 0.34 292 B- 71% 103 D+ 0.24 272
Total Defense C +0.4 156

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 60% 349 D+ 9.0% 253
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 37% 330 D+ 3.0% 293
Three Pointers D 89% 330 C 0.9% 148
Total D- 65% 345 D+ 4.4% 280

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 243 17.1 146
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 280 0.18 206
Improvement +4.6 #9 -0.3 #213

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 171 147 125
Results Rating Rank 203 172 140
Conference Record 13 - 9 14 - 8 15 - 7
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8% 10% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.5 12.9 13.7
.500 or above 99% 100% 99%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round8% 10% 7%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Away) - 19.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 34 - 26 - 8
Quad 411 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 44 @Baylor L 81 - 96 11% -6  38% 0 - 1 C -1 C+ +3 A- F+ B- C- -2 F+ A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 8 278 @Southern Utah W 95 - 72 66% +11  92% 1 - 1 A +19 A +14 A+ C- D- B +5 B B+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 64 @Boise St. L 65 - 85 16% -9  8% 1 - 2 D -8 F -11 C+ D- F B +4 C+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 22 204 @Missouri St. L 67 - 74 51% +2  68% 1 - 3 D+ -6 C- -1 F A+ F D- -7 D+ A F
 Mon, Nov 24 5 @Illinois L 73 - 87 2% -8  19% 1 - 4 B+ +12 B +6 B- B A+ B+ +5 C A+ B+
 Wed, Dec 3 102 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 73 25% -8  6% 1 - 5 0 - 1 D+ -5 F+ -9 F F A+ B +4 B+ B D
 Sun, Dec 7 157 Austin Peay W 63 - 50 65% +0  48% 2 - 5 B +10 F -12 D- A F A+ +22 A+ A+ C+
 Thu, Dec 11 180 Texas Arlington L 50 - 58 69% -0  40% 2 - 6 D- -12 F -13 D F D C -1 C C B
 Tue, Dec 16 216 @Lamar W 83 - 72 54% +12  98% 3 - 6 1 - 1 B +11 B+ +8 A+ F B- B- +3 D- A+ B
 Mon, Dec 29 206 New Orleans L 69 - 85 73% -8  7% 3 - 7 1 - 2 F -21 F -10 B F F F -11 C- F F
 Wed, Dec 31 256 Nicholls St. L 69 - 71 81% -2  18% 3 - 8 1 - 3 D -10 F -11 F+ C- F C+ +1 C+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 205 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 59 - 63 73% -1  27% 3 - 9 1 - 4 D -9 F+ -9 F F+ B+ C -1 C+ F B-
 Mon, Jan 5 269 Incarnate Word W 80 - 67 83% +8  96% 4 - 9 2 - 4 C+ +4 C+ +3 D+ A- C C+ +1 A- B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 10 308 @East Texas A&M L 69 - 77 73% -9  13% 4 - 10 2 - 5 D- -14 C- -2 B- F+ D+ F -12 F F C
 Mon, Jan 12 275 @Northwestern St. L 63 - 64 66% +4  90% 4 - 11 2 - 6 C- -4 F+ -10 D F F+ B+ +5 C+ B B+
 Sat, Jan 17 81 McNeese St. W 79 - 76 38% +10  89% 5 - 11 3 - 6 B- +7 A +12 A+ B A D -5 B- A- D
 Mon, Jan 19 287 SE Louisiana W 68 - 65 85% +4  89% 6 - 11 4 - 6 D+ -7 D -5 C- F+ A C- -2 D- A D
 Sat, Jan 24 298 @Houston Christian W 68 - 51 71% +8  86% 7 - 11 5 - 6 B+ +12 C +0 A- F C- A+ +14 D+ B+ A+
 Mon, Jan 26 205 @TX A&M Corpus Christi W 64 - 55 51% +3  66% 8 - 11 6 - 6 B +10 C- -1 D B- C A+ +12 A+ A B
 Sat, Jan 31 269 @Incarnate Word W 106 - 93 65% +7  77% 9 - 11 7 - 6 B +10 A+ +23 A+ B- A+ F -14 F A+ A-
 Mon, Feb 2 298 Houston Christian W 74 - 57 86% +15  97% 10 - 11 8 - 6 B- +6 C+ +3 D- A+ F B+ +5 B A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 206 @New Orleans W 95 - 76 51% +16  98% 11 - 11 9 - 6 A +20 A +13 B+ A+ F+ B+ +5 B- D+ C-
 Mon, Feb 9 256 @Nicholls St. W 92 - 72 62% +14  98% 12 - 11 10 - 6 A +18 A+ +16 A A+ D B- +2 C B- D-
 Sat, Feb 14 102 Stephen F. Austin L 57 - 66 46% -5  0% 12 - 12 10 - 7 D+ -7 F+ -10 D D F+ C+ +1 B+ B+ C
 Mon, Feb 16 216 Lamar W 70 - 65 75% +1  65% 13 - 12 11 - 7 C -1 B- +4 D D- A+ D+ -5 D B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 287 @SE Louisiana W 96 - 75 70% +16  99% 14 - 12 12 - 7 A- +17 A+ +31 A+ C+ A- F -12 F+ C- F
 Mon, Feb 23 81 @McNeese St. L 68 - 77 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 308 East Texas A&M W 79 - 66 88%
 Mon, Mar 2 275 Northwestern St. W 76 - 66 83%
Totals 16 - 13 14 - 8 +1 C +0 A- C+ C+ C +0 B- B D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C D B- C+ 36% 30% 47% C+ C+ C- C C- C- F B D- C D+ C+ C+ C 37% 21% 41% C+ C C- A B C D+ B- D+
1.09 59% 34% 36% +1 0 1.05 28% 1.0 .29 17% .23 77% .18 1.08 61% 37% 33% 0 0 1.02 32% 0.8 .27 17% .34 71% .16
Nov
3		 Baylor C+ A+ C+ A- A 19% 37% 44% C- A- F A+ F+ B- F A+ D C- F B- F F 20% 33% 47% B+ F+ B+ A+ A+ C- F A F
1.04 82% 41% 38% +8 -4 1.12 6% 2.5 .16 15% .17 91% .15 1.24 100% 39% 42% +15 -3 1.25 33% 0.8 .25 14% .48 66% .31
Nov
8		 Southern Utah A C F A+ A+ 47% 12% 42% A- A+ A+ F C- D- F F F B D- A- B B- 31% 27% 42% A- B C+ A B+ F D- A C-
1.30 57% 14% 64% +16 +2 1.37 44% 0.6 .28 16% .08 60% .05 0.98 65% 27% 30% -3 -1 0.93 28% 0.8 .21 15% .31 63% .19
Nov
11		 Boise St. F A D+ B- B 33% 39% 29% F+ C+ F B+ D- F A+ F C- B A- A+ F C+ 42% 19% 40% B- C+ F F F A+ F A+ F+
0.86 69% 37% 36% +4 -3 1.04 12% 1.3 .15 21% .37 45% .17 1.12 50% 25% 47% +2 +1 1.07 48% 1.5 .74 26% .52 66% .34
Nov
22		 Missouri St. C- A+ F F F 37% 30% 33% B- F A A+ A+ F B- A+ A- D- F C+ A- D+ 21% 19% 60% C- D+ B A+ A F F F F
1.06 81% 23% 14% -6 -1 0.88 41% 1.5 .63 22% .39 84% .33 1.17 100% 33% 28% +2 -1 1.04 29% 0.8 .23 9% .45 73% .33
Nov
24		 Illinois B D+ F A+ B 28% 34% 38% C- B- C A B A+ A F C+ B+ F A- A C 34% 11% 55% C C A+ A+ A+ B+ D- F F
1.04 50% 20% 45% -2 -3 0.93 24% 1.1 .27 6% .24 50% .12 1.24 94% 33% 28% +7 +1 1.17 32% 1.0 .32 16% .37 86% .32
Dec
3		 Stephen F. Austin F+ F+ F F F 51% 20% 29% B- F D F F A+ C- C+ C- B B B+ C B 26% 36% 38% A B+ A- C B D F D- F
0.88 46% 27% 25% -12 +1 0.80 23% 0.6 .14 12% .26 75% .20 1.07 50% 32% 35% -4 -3 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 10% .39 71% .28
Dec
7		 Austin Peay F D A+ F D 28% 26% 47% F+ D- B- A+ A F F A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 58% 14% 28% F A+ A A+ A+ C+ D+ A+ C+
0.91 54% 50% 27% -3 -1 0.94 34% 1.1 .38 29% .22 82% .18 0.72 41% 14% 14% -21 +2 0.64 21% 0.9 .19 17% .33 63% .21
Dec
11		 Texas Arlington F C- F C D- 36% 20% 43% B- D F D F D F C+ F C D- D A C 30% 16% 53% B- C D- B C B A+ C- A
0.87 56% 11% 32% -8 0 0.86 16% 1.0 .16 19% .24 73% .17 1.00 62% 43% 26% -5 0 0.93 39% 0.8 .33 23% .25 73% .18
Dec
16		 Lamar B+ F+ C+ A+ A+ 35% 21% 44% C- A+ F C- F B- F C F B- F C- D F 18% 34% 48% B D- A- A+ A+ B F C- F
1.18 50% 36% 61% +15 0 1.31 19% 1.0 .19 16% .22 69% .15 1.03 67% 41% 38% +5 -3 1.06 28% 0.4 .10 19% .37 71% .26
Dec
29		 New Orleans F A- F A+ B+ 31% 20% 49% D B C- F F F D F F F B F C- C 44% 19% 37% F+ C- C F F F B- F D
0.99 67% 20% 42% +5 -1 1.10 33% 0.5 .15 23% .32 59% .19 1.22 50% 50% 35% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.6 .56 14% .33 90% .30
Dec
31		 Nicholls St. F F C- B F 41% 16% 43% C F+ C+ D C- F F+ C+ F+ C+ C+ D+ B- C 35% 17% 48% C+ C+ D- D+ D- A+ F D- F
0.99 45% 38% 38% -3 +1 0.98 38% 1.0 .38 27% .28 79% .22 1.02 56% 38% 32% -2 0 0.98 29% 1.1 .32 23% .45 71% .32
Jan
3		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F+ F+ A+ F F 40% 22% 38% D+ F D+ F F+ B+ C+ B+ B C A A F B- 58% 24% 18% D+ C+ F D- F B- F B F
0.94 50% 60% 12% -11 0 0.80 26% 0.7 .17 17% .42 77% .33 1.00 42% 27% 50% -7 +1 0.89 36% 1.1 .39 19% .47 63% .29
Jan
5		 Incarnate Word C+ B+ A D- D 35% 8% 58% C+ D+ A C A- C F A+ D C+ A+ A- C- A 40% 26% 34% C A- F+ A+ B+ D- F C+ F+
1.23 67% 50% 30% 0 +1 1.06 42% 1.1 .48 15% .27 87% .24 1.03 40% 31% 35% -8 -1 0.84 38% 0.6 .23 12% .35 70% .25
Jan
10		 East Texas A&M C- C F A C+ 47% 4% 49% A- B- D+ F F+ D+ F+ C- F+ F F B- F+ F 33% 13% 54% D+ F F F F C C B+ C+
1.05 57% 0% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 0.9 .25 18% .24 69% .17 1.17 69% 33% 38% +7 +1 1.17 36% 1.4 .50 18% .24 62% .15
Jan
12		 Northwestern St. F+ C F D- F+ 45% 8% 47% A- D F A+ F F+ F A+ F B+ D A A- B- 35% 23% 42% D+ C+ B- B+ B B+ F D F
0.95 59% 25% 30% -3 +2 1.00 14% 1.8 .24 21% .13 100% .13 0.97 60% 30% 28% -5 -1 0.91 22% 1.0 .22 20% .43 78% .34
Jan
17		 McNeese St. A B B+ A+ A+ 25% 16% 59% C- A+ F A+ B A D+ B C- D D F A+ B- 35% 25% 40% B+ B- F+ A+ A- D F F F
1.23 64% 43% 46% +13 0 1.27 24% 1.8 .44 20% .35 78% .27 1.18 65% 50% 21% -2 -1 0.96 41% 0.6 .26 11% .42 88% .37
Jan
19		 SE Louisiana D F+ A+ D C- 32% 18% 50% C C- D F F+ A A- F B- C- F+ A+ D D- 37% 22% 41% D+ D- B A+ A D C C+ C
1.03 50% 63% 32% 0 0 1.02 26% 0.9 .23 15% .45 68% .31 0.99 67% 18% 35% -1 0 1.00 24% 0.6 .14 15% .32 67% .22
Jan
24		 Houston Christian C B F A+ B+ 58% 4% 38% A+ A- F F F C- F A+ F A+ B- D D- D 37% 24% 39% B- D+ D A+ B+ A+ A A- A
1.12 68% 0% 44% +10 +4 1.29 20% 0.4 .08 18% .08 100% .08 0.84 53% 40% 38% +1 -1 1.02 32% 0.6 .18 31% .19 63% .12
Jan
26		 TX A&M Corpus Christi C- A+ C F D 29% 20% 51% D D B C B- C A C A- A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 38% 21% A+ A+ F A+ A B F B- F
1.01 83% 38% 19% -4 -1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .49 72% .36 0.86 38% 27% 25% -16 -2 0.67 36% 0.4 .14 20% .81 63% .51
Jan
31		 Incarnate Word A+ A A+ A+ A+ 42% 14% 44% C A+ F A+ B- A+ D A C F F F F F 33% 27% 40% B- F F A+ A+ A- F F+ F
1.47 71% 63% 48% +18 +1 1.40 23% 1.8 .42 8% .33 82% .27 1.29 82% 50% 48% +19 -1 1.38 39% 0.5 .18 19% .38 77% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 Houston Christian C+ F F B- F 41% 9% 50% B- D- A+ A- A+ F A A+ A+ B+ A+ D B- B+ 42% 20% 38% D+ B C- A+ A+ F B F C+
1.20 50% 25% 36% -3 +2 1.00 47% 1.3 .59 23% .38 94% .36 0.92 43% 40% 32% -7 0 0.88 29% 0.3 .10 11% .24 77% .18
Feb
7		 New Orleans A C+ F+ A B+ 35% 13% 52% C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F B A+ C+ 40% 31% 29% B B- A+ F D+ C- F C- F
1.27 59% 33% 40% +4 +1 1.13 47% 1.3 .61 19% .46 86% .40 1.02 68% 33% 21% -3 -1 0.94 24% 1.6 .39 19% .48 76% .36
Feb
9		 Nicholls St. A+ A+ D B- A- 50% 7% 43% A A A+ A+ A+ D B- A B+ B- F D- A+ C- 31% 23% 46% B+ C B- C+ B- D- F A+ C-
1.33 77% 33% 37% +11 +3 1.30 48% 2.0 .95 23% .38 85% .32 1.04 75% 42% 25% 0 -1 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 13% .37 55% .20
Feb
14		 Stephen F. Austin F+ C- A+ F D 33% 20% 48% C- D C F D F+ F+ C- D- C+ C D- A+ A- 38% 23% 38% D B+ F A+ B+ C F C+ F
0.91 53% 56% 23% -6 0 0.89 29% 0.8 .23 21% .22 73% .16 1.05 56% 45% 22% -6 0 0.89 43% 0.6 .25 13% .42 65% .27
Feb
16		 Lamar B- D- F C F+ 46% 8% 46% A D C+ F D- A+ C+ B+ B- D+ A F+ F D- 38% 42% 20% B- D D+ A+ B+ F F+ A+ B
1.17 52% 0% 35% -5 +2 0.96 33% 0.7 .23 3% .40 74% .29 1.09 42% 48% 50% +3 -3 1.02 36% 0.7 .25 12% .30 44% .13
Feb
21		 SE Louisiana A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 17% 57% C A+ F A+ C+ A- D+ A+ B+ F D- F A F+ 46% 21% 33% F+ F+ F A+ C- F F C+ F
1.50 83% 38% 56% +25 0 1.51 21% 1.8 .37 16% .35 95% .33 1.18 64% 50% 25% +1 +1 1.04 39% 0.7 .27 9% .61 66% .40



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.8 19.5 63.5 14.5 98.2 3rd
4th 0.8 0.8 1.6 4th
5th 0.2 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 1.8 20.3 63.5 14.5 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 0.0%
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 14.5% 10.2% 10.2% 12.7 0.5 0.9 0.1 13.0
14-8 63.5% 7.9% 7.9% 13.5 0.2 2.4 2.3 0.2 0.0 58.5
13-9 20.3% 5.9% 5.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 19.1
12-10 1.8% 5.5% 5.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 13.5 92.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 12.7 31.5 62.5 6.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.9%
Lose Out 0.6%