Youngstown St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.1 198
Results Rating -5.6 251
Pace 68.2 191
Improvement +0.9 160

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 194 C+ C D D+ B-
Defense C- 206 D+ C B- D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 289 C+ 60% 108 -1.2 228
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 320 C- 37% 215 -3.2 330
Three Pointers 52% 15 C 34% 158 +6.1 24
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 81 C+ +0.9 135
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 120
Second Chance C 29.9% 197 C 1.04 170 C 0.31 180
Turnovers D 19.3% 324
Freethrows D 0.27 297 C 72% 204 D+ 0.19 291
Total Offense C- -1.0 194

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 40% 303 B 8.8% 63
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 274 F+ 8.9% 344
Three Pointers C+ 87% 132 F 2.5% 364
Total C+ 57% 144 C 5.5% 181

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 93 D 63% 313 +4.3 320
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 95 B 34% 50 +0.0 188
Three Pointers 35% 335 D+ 36% 260 -2.1 98
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 158 D+ +2.2 264
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 249
Second Chance C- 31.2% 217 C+ 0.99 113 C 0.31 175
Turnovers B- 18.3% 87
Freethrows D 0.34 297 D 75% 307 D 0.26 314
Total Defense C- -1.1 206

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 119 C- 10.1% 205
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 115 B 7.3% 56
Three Pointers C+ 83% 144 C- 0.6% 226
Total B- 51% 91 C+ 6.1% 134

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 282 16.6 58
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 179 0.23 339
Improvement +2.6 #72 -1.8 #281

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 230 199 169
Results Rating Rank 279 246 205
Conference Record 7 - 13 9 - 11 10 - 10
Conference Finish 9 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8% 8% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.8
.500 or above 20% 28% 7%
.500 or above in Conference 16% 26% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 1% 4%
First Round7% 8% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Home) - 61.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 33 - 74 - 9
Quad 410 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 98 @Pittsburgh L 59 - 74 17% -3  35% 0 - 1 D+ -7 F+ -9 C F D+ C+ +1 B F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 62 @Grand Canyon W 90 - 81 10% +3  65% 1 - 1 A +21 A+ +21 A+ A A+ C -1 B- F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 142 @St. Bonaventure L 80 - 84 28% -1  26% 1 - 2 C -0 B- +4 C- A+ D+ D+ -4 F C A-
 Wed, Nov 19 161 @Toledo L 75 - 92 32% -8  6% 1 - 3 D- -14 D- -6 B- B- F D- -7 F+ C B-
 Sun, Nov 23 301 UNC Greensboro L 62 - 68 72% +9  93% 1 - 4 D- -14 F -23 F F F A +9 C A- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 266 Georgia Southern W 67 - 61 65% +4  83% 2 - 4 C +0 F -11 C- B- F A +11 B A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 347 Chicago St. W 87 - 64 90% +21  97% 3 - 4 B- +7 C+ +3 A F+ C+ B +4 B C+ C+
 Wed, Dec 3 153 Wright St. W 69 - 68 52% +0  46% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C- -2 F+ -8 D A+ F B+ +6 C- B+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 325 @IU Indianapolis W 78 - 55 70% +13  96% 5 - 4 2 - 0 A- +16 C +1 B C- F A+ +16 A+ A+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 179 @Robert Morris L 77 - 80 OT 35% +3  76% 5 - 5 2 - 1 C -1 B- +5 A+ A F D -6 C- C+ D-
 Sat, Dec 20 297 South Carolina Upstate W 74 - 65 80% +8  97% 6 - 5 C- -2 D -6 B- F D- B +4 A- C- B-
 Mon, Dec 29 255 Detroit Mercy L 68 - 73 72% -7  20% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D- -13 F -12 F F+ B C -1 F+ A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 1 172 Oakland L 83 - 85 56% +4  70% 6 - 7 2 - 3 D+ -6 B+ +8 D A A F -13 F C- C-
 Sun, Jan 4 195 @Northern Kentucky L 79 - 94 38% -15  1% 6 - 8 2 - 4 D- -14 D -5 F D- A+ D- -8 F F+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 261 Purdue Fort Wayne L 69 - 71 73% -0  36% 6 - 9 2 - 5 D -11 D- -7 F A+ F D+ -3 C- C B-
 Thu, Jan 15 153 @Wright St. L 83 - 93 30% -5  6% 6 - 10 2 - 6 D+ -7 A +14 C A+ B- F -21 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 17 314 @Cleveland St. L 78 - 80 66% -1  33% 6 - 11 2 - 7 D -8 D -5 D- F B- D+ -4 F C- B+
 Thu, Jan 22 225 Green Bay W 88 - 81 67% +8  93% 7 - 11 3 - 7 C +0 A- +11 A B+ D+ F -10 F B B
 Sat, Jan 24 271 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 64 - 65 75% +1  47% 7 - 12 3 - 8 D -10 F -15 F+ F F B +5 C C+ C+
 Fri, Jan 30 325 IU Indianapolis W 85 - 76 85% -1  28% 8 - 12 4 - 8 C- -4 D+ -2 A- F F+ C- -2 C F B+
 Wed, Feb 4 261 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 90 - 61 52% +15  95% 9 - 12 5 - 8 A+ +26 A+ +22 A+ C C+ A- +7 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 179 Robert Morris L 66 - 72 58% -2  30% 9 - 13 5 - 9 D -10 D- -7 B- D- D- D+ -4 B- F B
 Thu, Feb 12 172 @Oakland W 86 - 82 33% +3  76% 10 - 13 6 - 9 B- +6 B+ +8 B- C+ D- C- -2 F B- A-
 Sun, Feb 15 255 @Detroit Mercy L 70 - 76 50% -8  0% 10 - 14 6 - 10 D -8 F+ -9 D F D- C+ +1 C+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 314 Cleveland St. W 106 - 82 83% +14  98% 11 - 14 7 - 10 B+ +12 A+ +19 A+ A C- D- -7 D- A- F
 Sun, Feb 22 195 Northern Kentucky W 78 - 75 61%
 Wed, Feb 25 271 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76 - 75 54%
 Sat, Feb 28 225 @Green Bay L 72 - 73 45%
Totals 13 - 15 9 - 11 -2 C- -1 D+ C+ B- C- -1 C C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ C- C C+ 35% 24% 52% B- C+ C C C D D C D+ C- D B D+ D+ 42% 23% 35% C D+ C- C+ C B- D D D
1.07 60% 37% 34% +1 +1 1.06 30% 1.0 .31 19% .27 72% .19 1.10 63% 34% 36% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 18% .34 75% .20
Nov
3		 Pittsburgh F+ A+ F D+ C 29% 8% 63% B- C D F F D+ F F F C+ C+ A+ D+ B 45% 21% 33% C+ B F D+ F A+ F F F
0.90 71% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.5 .11 18% .17 56% .09 1.13 58% 22% 36% -3 0 0.98 52% 1.1 .55 27% .57 81% .46
Nov
7		 Grand Canyon A+ C+ C+ A A 42% 10% 48% A+ A+ C A+ A A+ A+ A A+ C F A+ A+ B- 53% 28% 19% C+ B- F C- F C+ D A C
1.24 55% 40% 39% +3 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 12% .47 80% .38 1.12 79% 20% 0% -4 0 0.94 44% 1.1 .50 18% .37 68% .25
Nov
15		 St. Bonaventure B- B F D- D+ 40% 8% 52% A- C- C+ A+ A+ D+ B- F C- D+ F F+ F F 49% 26% 26% D F D B- C A- F A- D-
1.14 65% 25% 31% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.8 .56 19% .32 67% .21 1.20 70% 50% 50% +15 0 1.32 38% 0.9 .35 21% .36 70% .25
Nov
19		 Toledo D- D+ D A C+ 38% 6% 56% B B- C- A B- F C- D- D+ D- F A+ F D- 56% 19% 26% F F+ F A C B- F F F
1.01 56% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.2 .39 30% .23 67% .15 1.23 77% 10% 43% +9 +2 1.22 36% 0.8 .29 17% .42 85% .36
Nov
23		 UNC Greensboro F D- D+ F F 23% 30% 47% F F D- F F F F C+ F+ A F D+ A+ D 22% 45% 33% A+ C B- A+ A- A+ D+ C+ D+
0.86 54% 35% 30% -5 -2 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 18% .19 73% .13 0.94 82% 41% 25% +2 -4 0.98 24% 0.8 .19 24% .40 68% .27
Nov
24		 Georgia Southern F C- A C- C- 39% 10% 51% C+ C- C B+ B- F C D C- A B F A+ B+ 41% 12% 47% C B B- A+ A+ A- B+ F C
0.99 56% 50% 33% 0 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .42 28% .37 72% .27 0.90 50% 67% 22% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 19% .27 87% .24
Nov
28		 Chicago St. C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 7% 69% C- A F A- F+ C+ F D F B D+ B+ A- C+ 27% 51% 22% A+ B D A C+ C+ D+ F D-
1.24 77% 75% 42% +16 +1 1.35 23% 1.3 .29 18% .24 71% .17 0.91 57% 31% 27% -6 -5 0.80 32% 0.8 .24 17% .29 82% .24
Dec
3		 Wright St. F+ C- F+ F F+ 52% 14% 34% A- D A+ A- A+ F A F B- B+ D+ F A+ C 56% 19% 26% F+ C- A+ F B+ B F A+ D
1.00 57% 33% 27% -5 +2 0.95 44% 1.2 .53 25% .39 60% .23 0.99 63% 63% 18% +1 +2 1.07 17% 1.6 .27 19% .50 54% .27
Dec
6		 IU Indianapolis C B+ D+ A B 50% 13% 37% C+ B A- F C- F D F F A+ C A- A+ A+ 33% 28% 39% B A+ D+ A+ A+ B- F B F
1.17 70% 33% 41% +9 +2 1.24 45% 0.9 .41 24% .35 61% .22 0.82 60% 31% 17% -12 -1 0.76 30% 0.5 .16 18% .35 68% .24
Dec
17		 Robert Morris B- A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 5% 59% B A+ B+ A- A F A+ C+ A+ D A+ F+ F C 46% 21% 33% D C- F A+ C+ D- F F F
1.15 77% 100% 45% +20 +2 1.46 37% 1.1 .42 33% .49 77% .38 1.19 42% 45% 47% 0 0 1.04 50% 0.8 .38 15% .37 76% .28
Dec
20		 South Carolina Upstate D B- F+ B+ B- 39% 15% 46% C B- D+ F F D- A+ D+ A+ B C+ A+ A- A- 36% 34% 30% A A- A- F C- B- F F+ F
1.04 61% 29% 38% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.6 .17 18% .50 69% .35 0.92 53% 25% 29% -9 -2 0.81 23% 1.3 .29 20% .44 76% .33
Dec
29		 Detroit Mercy F C F F+ F 22% 13% 65% D F C F F+ B D+ D+ D+ C C+ D+ F F 24% 42% 33% A- F+ C- A+ A+ A- F B F
0.98 58% 14% 29% -8 0 0.85 33% 0.7 .24 11% .32 70% .23 1.05 55% 42% 47% +7 -4 1.09 33% 0.5 .17 20% .45 72% .32
Jan
1		 Oakland B+ A+ F D D- 31% 12% 58% B D B+ A A A A+ B- A+ F F A+ F F 41% 24% 34% B F B- F C- C- F C+ F
1.26 75% 0% 30% -3 +1 0.98 42% 1.2 .49 11% .34 75% .25 1.29 76% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .36 14% .60 74% .44
Jan
4		 Northern Kentucky D F+ D- F+ F 35% 15% 50% C F F+ C+ D- A+ C F D- D- B D+ F F 54% 10% 37% F F C F F+ C+ F F F
1.01 48% 33% 30% -7 0 0.88 25% 1.2 .29 13% .34 57% .19 1.20 54% 40% 47% +5 +3 1.17 30% 1.3 .40 18% .50 78% .39
Jan
7		 Purdue Fort Wayne D- F F F F 44% 6% 50% B+ F B+ A+ A+ F C B- C+ D+ B- A F D 28% 23% 49% A C- D- A C B- F F+ F
1.04 48% 0% 25% -14 +2 0.79 41% 1.5 .62 24% .28 79% .22 1.07 54% 27% 43% +3 -1 1.06 26% 0.8 .20 17% .40 77% .31
Jan
15		 Wright St. A F A+ B C- 39% 10% 51% B+ C B+ A+ A+ B- D A C- F F A+ F D 46% 42% 12% A+ C- F F F F F F F
1.27 47% 60% 36% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.6 .58 15% .25 79% .20 1.42 74% 24% 50% +4 -2 1.06 52% 1.3 .69 11% .48 86% .41
Jan
17		 Cleveland St. D A+ A+ F F+ 29% 7% 64% B- D- A- F F B- D A+ C D+ D+ B- F F 44% 9% 47% F F A F C- B+ F C- F
1.13 81% 100% 22% 0 +1 1.04 44% 0.5 .20 13% .27 88% .23 1.16 60% 33% 50% +12 +2 1.29 18% 1.5 .27 22% .72 77% .55
Jan
22		 Green Bay A- C+ A+ A A+ 18% 11% 71% C A B- B+ B+ D+ B+ A A F F+ D F F 53% 18% 29% D F D A+ B B C F D+
1.33 63% 80% 41% +13 0 1.27 34% 1.3 .45 15% .39 82% .32 1.22 65% 44% 43% +9 +1 1.22 28% 0.7 .20 18% .35 84% .29
Jan
24		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee F D- A F F 47% 4% 49% A- F+ C+ F F F B+ C+ B+ B B F A- B 56% 8% 36% F C A- D- C+ C+ C- C- C-
0.95 52% 50% 27% -7 +3 0.93 32% 0.6 .21 24% .39 75% .29 0.96 50% 50% 28% -7 +3 0.94 26% 1.2 .31 16% .28 69% .19
Jan
30		 IU Indianapolis D+ A A+ A- A 35% 7% 58% C A- D- F F F+ A+ A+ A+ C- C+ A+ F C 39% 24% 37% C- C C+ F F B+ C+ F D+
1.16 73% 67% 40% +13 +2 1.30 29% 0.9 .25 23% .52 86% .44 1.04 57% 23% 40% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.7 .43 19% .17 90% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Purdue Fort Wayne A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% B+ A+ F A+ C C+ F F F A- F D+ B+ D+ 45% 20% 35% C D+ A+ A+ A+ C- B D+ B-
1.42 76% 50% 58% +27 +2 1.61 21% 1.8 .37 19% .12 67% .08 0.96 68% 40% 29% +3 0 1.08 10% 0.0 .00 14% .20 73% .15
Feb
7		 Robert Morris D- A+ F F C 50% 6% 44% A B- D- D D- D- F C- F D+ D A B B- 38% 23% 40% C B- F+ F F B A+ F B+
1.02 72% 0% 27% 0 +3 1.08 23% 0.9 .20 19% .15 75% .11 1.12 61% 27% 32% -3 0 0.96 42% 1.5 .65 20% .14 86% .12
Feb
12		 Oakland B+ A+ A+ C B 25% 13% 62% C+ B- A- D C+ D- A A+ A+ C- C- F F F 33% 19% 48% B F A F B- A- A- A A
1.23 77% 57% 33% +7 0 1.15 42% 0.9 .36 19% .32 100% .32 1.17 59% 70% 40% +11 0 1.23 24% 1.3 .31 19% .26 67% .18
Feb
15		 Detroit Mercy F+ B- C+ F D- 54% 9% 37% A- D F B- F D- F D F C+ C+ A F B- 44% 33% 22% F+ C+ A C+ B+ F F+ C- F+
0.98 62% 40% 20% -5 +3 0.96 17% 1.2 .20 17% .27 69% .18 1.06 54% 28% 42% -3 -1 0.94 25% 0.9 .22 10% .34 77% .26
Feb
18		 Cleveland St. A+ B F A+ A+ 48% 9% 43% A- A+ D+ A+ A C- A+ C A+ D- F F C F+ 16% 9% 75% C+ D- B- A+ A- F A+ B A+
1.51 68% 25% 65% +24 +2 1.54 33% 1.6 .54 16% .57 76% .44 1.17 89% 60% 35% +8 0 1.18 23% 0.8 .18 11% .18 73% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 1.6 1.6 5th
6th 0.7 6.0 6.7 6th
7th 9.2 6.1 15.3 7th
8th 28.1 29.4 2.1 59.5 8th
9th 8.5 5.7 14.2 9th
10th 2.6 0.2 2.7 10th
11th 11th
Total 11.1 33.9 39.3 15.8 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 15.8% 10.7% 10.7% 14.5 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.0 14.1
9-11 39.3% 8.4% 8.4% 15.3 0.0 2.1 1.2 36.0
8-12 33.9% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 2.1 31.7
7-13 11.1% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.6 10.5
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 15.4 92.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.7% 100.0% 14.5 5.1 42.1 52.4 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.3%
Lose Out 4.8%