Akron
Mid-American
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#135
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#257
Pace71.1#124
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#185
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#108
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.4% 19.6% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.4 14.3
.500 or above 77.4% 81.2% 57.5%
.500 or above in Conference 84.2% 85.9% 74.9%
Conference Champion 22.8% 24.6% 12.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.9% 2.7%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 1.1%
First Round18.1% 19.4% 11.4%
Second Round2.6% 2.9% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lamar (Home) - 83.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 412 - 317 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 115   @ Arkansas St. L 75-80 OT 31%     0 - 1 +1.5 -7.2 +9.5
  Nov 12, 2024 40   @ St. Mary's L 68-87 13%     0 - 2 -5.2 +0.4 -5.4
  Nov 22, 2024 280   Lamar W 78-67 84%    
  Nov 23, 2024 266   Nebraska Omaha W 77-67 82%    
  Nov 24, 2024 281   Alabama St. W 75-64 84%    
  Dec 03, 2024 180   Northern Kentucky W 72-67 69%    
  Dec 15, 2024 240   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-74 67%    
  Dec 20, 2024 110   Yale L 72-74 41%    
  Dec 30, 2024 107   @ Princeton L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 03, 2025 270   @ Bowling Green W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 07, 2025 201   Central Michigan W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 298   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-65 68%    
  Jan 14, 2025 149   Toledo W 78-75 62%    
  Jan 18, 2025 158   Ohio W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 21, 2025 315   @ Buffalo W 79-72 73%    
  Jan 25, 2025 213   Miami (OH) W 74-67 74%    
  Jan 28, 2025 294   @ Northern Illinois W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 122   @ Kent St. L 67-72 35%    
  Feb 04, 2025 224   Ball St. W 74-66 74%    
  Feb 11, 2025 311   Western Michigan W 78-65 86%    
  Feb 15, 2025 201   @ Central Michigan W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 18, 2025 294   Northern Illinois W 77-66 83%    
  Feb 22, 2025 158   @ Ohio L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 25, 2025 224   @ Ball St. W 71-69 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 122   Kent St. W 70-69 55%    
  Mar 04, 2025 149   @ Toledo L 75-78 42%    
  Mar 07, 2025 315   Buffalo W 82-69 86%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 5.3 6.5 4.9 2.7 0.7 22.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.8 6.7 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 18.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.0 0.3 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.7 4.1 6.2 8.1 10.6 12.1 13.2 12.5 10.7 8.4 5.2 2.7 0.7 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 99.9% 2.7    2.6 0.1
16-2 94.9% 4.9    4.3 0.6 0.0
15-3 77.8% 6.5    4.7 1.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 49.1% 5.3    2.4 2.2 0.6 0.0
13-5 17.5% 2.2    0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.8% 22.8 15.4 5.6 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 67.9% 63.7% 4.2% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11.5%
17-1 2.7% 51.4% 50.6% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.5%
16-2 5.2% 44.7% 44.6% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.9 0.1%
15-3 8.4% 35.7% 35.7% 13.0 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 5.4
14-4 10.7% 28.4% 28.4% 13.5 0.3 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 7.7
13-5 12.5% 21.2% 21.2% 13.9 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.1 9.8
12-6 13.2% 16.4% 16.4% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 11.0
11-7 12.1% 13.3% 13.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 10.5
10-8 10.6% 9.0% 9.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 9.6
9-9 8.1% 6.9% 6.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.6
8-10 6.2% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.0
7-11 4.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 4.1
6-12 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.6% 1.6
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.4% 18.3% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 3.0 5.1 5.0 3.3 1.2 81.6 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 6.1 4.7 2.3 7.0 18.6 9.3 23.3 14.0 2.3 2.3 4.7 7.0 4.7