Akron
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +8.5 71
Results Rating +7.7 79
Consistency 0.13 72
Pace 75.6 25
Improvement -2.5 272

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 48 B+ A- C+ D+ B-
Defense C+ 128 C C B- B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 162 B 64% 62 +2.6 86
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 281 B 42% 57 -1.3 250
Three Pointers 45% 91 B 37% 60 +4.2 49
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 94 B+ +4.7 46
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 44
Second Chance B- 33.3% 93 A 1.25 6 A- 0.42 25
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 140
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 168
Turnovers C+ 16.2% 144
Freethrows D 0.26 327 B 77% 37 D+ 0.20 270
Total Offense B+ +6.9 48

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 63 C+ 10.3% 142
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 277 D+ 6.3% 269
Three Pointers D 78% 307 C 0.9% 197
Total C+ 59% 114 C 5.4% 172


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 203 C+ 57% 142 -0.8 141
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 260 B 34% 51 -1.7 52
Three Pointers 44% 87 D+ 36% 271 +2.8 307
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 221 C +0.1 185
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 189
Second Chance C- 32.0% 259 B- 0.98 106 C 0.31 199
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.1% 137
Other Turnovers B 8.5% 47
Turnovers B- 18.6% 71
Freethrows B- 0.27 85 C 73% 190 B- 0.20 86
Total Defense C+ +1.6 128

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 85 D 7.1% 323
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 38 C 4.7% 190
Three Pointers D+ 86% 249 C+ 1.2% 116
Total C 55% 182 D 4.1% 305

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.7 36 17.4 205
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 58 0.16 156
Consistency 0.11 109 0.15 346
Improvement -5.2 351 +2.7 59

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 79 69 58
Results Rating Rank 90 80 62
Conference Record 17 - 1 17 - 1 17 - 1
Conference Finish 2 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49% 49% 44%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 12.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 25% 26% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round49% 49% 44%
Second Round9% 9% 7%
Sweet Sixteen2% 2% 2%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Northern Illinois (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 38 - 29 - 5
Quad 417 - 026 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 207 James Madison W 85 - 71 90% +0  49% 1 - 0 B +9 B- +4 D- A+ B- B +4 C+ B+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 239 Princeton W 104 - 69 92% +20  93% 2 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +15 A A A A +10 C+ A+ B-
 Sun, Nov 16 7 @Purdue L 79 - 97 9% -12  9% 2 - 1 B- +6 B+ +9 C- A+ A- C- -3 B- F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 241 Iona W 96 - 75 88% +18  98% 3 - 1 A- +17 A- +11 A A+ B- B +4 B F+ A-
 Sun, Nov 23 295 Evansville W 97 - 59 93% +13  87% 4 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +18 A A+ C- A+ +12 B+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 88 Yale L 94 - 97 58% -6  2% 4 - 2 C+ +3 A+ +24 A+ A+ D+ F -21 F D D-
 Sat, Nov 29 261 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 105 - 81 94% +13  91% 5 - 2 A- +15 A +14 A+ B- D- C -1 B+ F C+
 Wed, Dec 3 330 Bucknell W 97 - 77 97% +11  80% 6 - 2 B- +6 A+ +18 A B+ A+ F -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 184 @Tulane W 88 - 71 75% +8  76% 7 - 2 A +18 A +13 A A+ D B+ +5 A- B- F+
 Sat, Dec 13 125 Murray St. L 100 - 115 71% -9  5% 7 - 3 D- -12 B+ +8 A- D A+ F -18 F D- A+
 Fri, Dec 19 248 Eastern Michigan W 93 - 72 93% +15  97% 8 - 3 1 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +15 B A+ A C- -2 A+ D- F+
 Sat, Jan 3 90 @Miami (OH) L 73 - 76 47% +1  58% 8 - 4 1 - 1 B- +6 C- -1 D A+ F+ A- +7 A+ F A+
 Tue, Jan 6 258 Central Michigan W 82 - 69 93% +10  95% 9 - 4 2 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 A+ A F B +4 C- A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 9 165 @Bowling Green W 77 - 67 72% +11  97% 10 - 4 3 - 1 B+ +12 C+ +2 C- A- D+ A +10 C B+ A-
 Tue, Jan 13 292 Ball St. W 87 - 77 95% +11  95% 11 - 4 4 - 1 C -0 A- +11 B+ B+ A+ F -12 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 280 Western Michigan W 104 - 89 94% +2  56% 12 - 4 5 - 1 B- +5 A+ +25 A+ A+ B- F -19 F F C+
 Tue, Jan 20 212 @Buffalo W 82 - 63 79% +17  97% 13 - 4 6 - 1 A +19 B- +4 B- C- C- A+ +15 A+ B B
 Fri, Jan 23 221 @Ohio W 86 - 65 81% +15  99% 14 - 4 7 - 1 A +20 B- +5 B- D C- A+ +14 A+ C D-
 Tue, Jan 27 151 Toledo W 91 - 81 85% +0  53% 15 - 4 8 - 1 B- +7 A +12 B- A+ C+ D+ -5 F C A+
 Fri, Jan 30 152 Kent St. W 69 - 52 85% +11  94% 16 - 4 9 - 1 B+ +14 D- -8 C+ D- D- A+ +22 A+ B B+
 Tue, Feb 3 248 @Eastern Michigan W 66 - 64 83% -0  52% 17 - 4 10 - 1 C +0 D- -7 F B D- A- +7 D C- A
 Sat, Feb 7 150 @Troy L 69 - 79 69% -3  34% 17 - 5 D+ -7 C +1 C D A+ F+ -9 D C- F
 Fri, Feb 13 193 Massachusetts W 99 - 92 89% +5  84% 18 - 5 11 - 1 C+ +2 A- +10 C+ B+ B F+ -8 F B+ B-
 Tue, Feb 17 280 @Western Michigan W 90 - 73 87% +13  95% 19 - 5 12 - 1 B+ +13 A +14 A D+ B+ C +0 D- A+ D-
 Fri, Feb 20 292 @Ball St. W 78 - 65 88% +7  86% 20 - 5 13 - 1 B +9 B +7 C- D+ B+ B- +2 F+ D A
 Tue, Feb 24 212 Buffalo W 99 - 85 90% +8  73% 21 - 5 14 - 1 B- +8 B- +5 A C+ F+ C+ +1 A C- B-
 Fri, Feb 27 152 @Kent St. W 92 - 70 69% +13  87% 22 - 5 15 - 1 A+ +25 A+ +16 A+ A+ F+ A +9 D A+ B-
 Tue, Mar 3 258 @Central Michigan W 77 - 64 85% +3  69% 23 - 5 16 - 1 B +10 C+ +2 B B C- A +9 C- B+ A-
 Fri, Mar 6 341 Northern Illinois W 90 - 66 99%
Totals 24 - 5 17 - 1 +8 B+ +7 B B+ B- C+ +2 B B D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B B B B+ 39% 29% 45% B- B+ B- A A- C+ D B D+ C+ C+ B D+ C 38% 18% 44% C- C C- B- C B- B- C B-
1.18 64% 42% 37% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.3 .42 16% .26 77% .20 1.06 57% 34% 36% 0 0 1.03 32% 1.0 .31 19% .27 73% .19
Nov
3		 James Madison B- F A+ F F 51% 6% 43% A+ D- A- A A+ B- A+ A A+ B B+ A+ F B- 42% 10% 48% D- C+ D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ F D+
1.18 42% 67% 27% -11 +3 0.86 38% 1.3 .49 11% .45 79% .36 0.99 50% 0% 40% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.8 .24 26% .25 92% .23
Nov
8		 Princeton A+ A- F A+ A 40% 11% 49% B A C+ A+ A A C A+ B- A A C+ D B- 36% 15% 49% D+ C+ C+ A+ A+ B- C- A+ B-
1.35 68% 29% 42% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.5 .44 9% .30 81% .24 0.89 45% 38% 37% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 19% .32 65% .21
Nov
16		 Purdue B+ B F B C 15% 35% 51% F+ C- A A+ A+ A- B+ B B+ C- F+ A- C- B- 39% 24% 37% C B- F C- F A+ F D- F
1.09 63% 26% 36% -2 -3 0.91 32% 1.7 .53 14% .27 71% .19 1.34 75% 33% 37% +7 0 1.16 58% 1.3 .73 18% .39 78% .30
Nov
21		 Iona A- A+ C- A A 40% 25% 35% D+ A C+ A+ A+ B- A+ D A B D+ B A B 37% 22% 41% B- B D+ F F+ A- F+ B+ D
1.24 74% 36% 40% +9 0 1.19 35% 1.4 .48 14% .38 68% .26 0.97 60% 33% 27% -4 0 0.93 28% 1.3 .35 22% .33 65% .22
Nov
23		 Evansville A+ A+ A C A- 42% 8% 50% A A A- A+ A+ C- A+ C- A+ A+ C- D- A+ A- 30% 26% 44% C B+ F+ F F A+ F A F
1.39 76% 50% 36% +10 +2 1.26 40% 2.1 .84 17% .47 74% .35 0.84 62% 45% 21% -6 -1 0.88 27% 1.6 .42 26% .44 65% .29
Nov
24		 Yale A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% B A+ B+ A+ A+ D+ F D- F F F F F F 45% 22% 33% C F F C+ D D- D F F
1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11 1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36
Nov
29		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A A+ A+ A+ A+ 52% 7% 41% A- A+ D+ A+ B- D- D A+ C C B A+ B- A 38% 11% 51% F B+ F D+ F C+ C A+ B-
1.35 75% 75% 50% +21 +3 1.50 26% 1.5 .39 19% .29 83% .24 1.04 50% 0% 31% -9 +1 0.86 38% 1.2 .44 17% .26 59% .15
Dec
3		 Bucknell A+ A A A- A 40% 15% 45% B+ A D A+ B+ A+ B F C F C- A F F 29% 14% 58% C F F A+ C+ F A+ B A+
1.41 73% 50% 40% +12 +1 1.27 29% 1.6 .45 7% .36 65% .24 1.12 59% 25% 38% +2 0 1.07 34% 0.7 .25 13% .12 71% .08
Dec
6		 Tulane A C A+ A+ A 32% 12% 56% B- A A A A+ D C- A- C B+ C+ F A+ B+ 25% 19% 56% B+ A- C B+ B- F+ B- B B
1.24 56% 50% 43% +8 +1 1.20 42% 1.2 .52 20% .30 76% .23 1.00 57% 55% 22% -7 -1 0.86 22% 1.0 .22 11% .35 73% .25
Dec
13		 Murray St. B+ C- A+ A+ A- 51% 25% 25% B- A- B- F D A+ B B B+ F D+ F F F 37% 17% 46% C F F B+ D- A+ D- A C-
1.21 55% 56% 44% +6 0 1.15 36% 0.7 .26 10% .34 76% .26 1.40 64% 60% 56% +21 0 1.44 44% 1.0 .44 22% .39 68% .26
Dec
19		 Eastern Michigan A+ A- A+ F B- 65% 12% 23% A+ B A+ A+ A+ A F A+ D C- A+ A- B+ A+ 55% 13% 32% F A+ F C D- F+ F A F
1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19 1.01 38% 29% 29% -15 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28
Jan
3		 Miami (OH) C- B D F F+ 32% 11% 57% B D B- A+ A+ F+ F A+ D- A- B- A+ A+ A+ 25% 10% 65% C A+ F F F A+ F F F
1.02 65% 33% 27% -5 +1 0.94 32% 1.3 .43 21% .18 90% .16 1.06 58% 20% 26% -10 0 0.83 31% 1.5 .47 21% .53 83% .44
Jan
6		 Central Michigan C A A+ B A+ 44% 8% 48% B+ A+ B+ B A F F D F B D A+ B- C+ 48% 16% 36% F C- A+ B A+ A+ F F F
1.15 73% 75% 38% +12 +2 1.30 42% 1.3 .54 27% .17 67% .12 0.97 62% 29% 31% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.0 .18 24% .50 81% .41
Jan
9		 Bowling Green C+ B+ F C- C- 31% 13% 56% C C- B A A- D+ C- B+ C+ A C+ D C- C- 43% 24% 33% A- C C- A+ B+ A- A- A A
1.07 65% 14% 32% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.3 .41 19% .31 78% .24 0.93 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 28% 0.5 .15 21% .25 64% .16
Jan
13		 Ball St. A- C+ A+ C+ B 38% 7% 55% A- B+ D- A+ B+ A+ D+ A C F D F B- F 40% 14% 46% D F B F D- D+ D F F+
1.26 62% 75% 35% +5 +2 1.16 27% 1.6 .42 12% .26 88% .23 1.12 60% 71% 30% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 79% .26
Jan
17		 Western Michigan A+ B C+ A+ A+ 33% 15% 53% C- A+ A+ A+ A+ B- F A+ F F D- F F F 35% 21% 44% C- F F D+ F C+ B A+ A-
1.53 67% 38% 55% +19 0 1.42 41% 1.5 .62 12% .15 89% .13 1.31 61% 64% 48% +16 0 1.33 37% 1.1 .40 18% .25 64% .16
Jan
20		 Buffalo B- C D- A+ B 29% 12% 59% C- B- D B- C- C- B+ D+ B A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% B A+ F+ A+ B B A+ B+ A+
1.17 60% 33% 43% +8 +1 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 19% .33 74% .25 0.90 56% 40% 25% -7 0 0.87 32% 0.7 .23 19% .23 69% .16
Jan
23		 Ohio B- C+ A+ D B 41% 30% 30% D- B- C+ F D C- A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 34% 29% A- A+ B+ F C D- F F F
1.17 59% 56% 31% +5 -1 1.09 35% 0.8 .29 16% .42 77% .32 0.88 33% 32% 25% -15 -2 0.68 23% 1.2 .28 12% .42 78% .33
Jan
27		 Toledo A C+ C+ B C+ 52% 9% 39% A- B- A+ A- A+ C+ C A B- D+ C- A+ F F+ 52% 10% 38% F F B D- C A+ B- C- B-
1.30 61% 40% 38% +4 +2 1.15 49% 1.2 .57 17% .24 79% .19 1.16 59% 0% 55% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.1 .30 21% .24 77% .18
Jan
30		 Kent St. D- D A+ D+ C+ 29% 17% 54% D+ C+ D F D- D- F F+ F A+ A- A A+ A+ 42% 22% 36% C+ A+ F A+ B B+ C- A+ B
1.01 53% 67% 32% +2 0 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .22 67% .14 0.76 48% 27% 0% -25 0 0.52 45% 0.7 .30 22% .39 62% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Eastern Michigan D- F C F+ F 31% 9% 59% B- F D+ A+ B D- F B D- A- F A+ F D- 32% 32% 36% B+ D F A- C- A D A+ C
0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18 0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19
Feb
7		 Troy C A+ F F C- 35% 17% 48% C C F+ B D A+ D- C- D- F+ A+ A+ F D- 38% 16% 46% B D A F C- F C F D-
1.08 72% 33% 28% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 11% .23 69% .16 1.23 37% 25% 52% +2 +1 1.08 26% 1.3 .35 11% .30 88% .26
Feb
13		 Massachusetts A- A+ C+ C B- 26% 22% 52% D- C+ C- A+ B+ B A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ F F F 46% 20% 34% D F A+ F B+ B- B+ B- B+
1.27 75% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.09 27% 1.4 .39 14% .64 88% .57 1.18 62% 73% 42% +13 +1 1.29 17% 1.8 .30 20% .27 65% .18
Feb
17		 Western Michigan A B F A+ A 49% 9% 42% B+ A A- F D+ B+ D- B+ D+ C F A+ F F 20% 35% 45% A+ D- A+ A A+ D- A- D B+
1.33 67% 0% 48% +9 +2 1.25 38% 0.8 .29 10% .26 75% .20 1.08 82% 21% 44% +6 -3 1.07 17% 0.8 .14 13% .22 77% .17
Feb
20		 Ball St. B B C F D+ 46% 14% 40% A- C- C+ F+ D+ B+ D+ D- D B- A+ A+ F F+ 40% 13% 48% D F+ C- D- D A A+ B A+
1.16 65% 38% 26% -2 +1 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 15% .26 73% .19 0.97 37% 17% 48% -1 +1 1.02 27% 1.0 .27 21% .17 67% .11
Feb
24		 Buffalo B- B+ C A+ A- 53% 9% 38% A- A D+ A- C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ A A+ 45% 9% 45% F A F A+ C- B- F D- F
1.23 68% 40% 45% +12 +2 1.30 30% 1.1 .33 21% .46 90% .41 1.06 56% 0% 28% -9 +2 0.89 38% 0.8 .31 17% .50 79% .39
Feb
27		 Kent St. A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 31% 22% 47% D A+ B A+ A+ F+ D+ B+ C A B D+ F D 34% 9% 57% D D A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.31 75% 45% 50% +18 -1 1.37 36% 1.3 .46 20% .32 78% .25 0.99 50% 40% 40% +3 +1 1.09 24% 0.8 .19 20% .20 45% .09
Mar
3		 Central Michigan C+ B+ A+ C- B 36% 10% 54% C+ B B+ C- B C- F F F A A- A+ F C 40% 21% 38% D- C- A+ F B+ A- A+ B- A+
1.13 67% 60% 33% +5 +1 1.14 42% 1.1 .48 18% .20 55% .11 0.94 48% 27% 45% 0 0 1.02 18% 1.3 .24 22% .11 67% .08



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 25.4 25.4 1st
2nd 1.1 73.5 74.6 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 1.1 98.9 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 25.7% 25.4    25.4
16-2 0.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 25.4% 25.4 25.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 98.9% 49.3% 49.2% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 15.9 30.0 2.8 0.0 50.1 0.1%
16-2 1.1% 43.6% 43.6% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 49.2% 49.2% 0.0% 11.7 50.8 0.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 48.7% 100.0% 11.7 0.1 32.7 61.5 5.7 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 22.9% 0.2% 11.4 0.1 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.9% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0
Lose Out 0.1%