Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#204
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#118
Pace67.6#237
Improvement+1.6#44

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#271
First Shot-3.5#277
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#167
Layup/Dunks-1.2#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#266
Freethrows+0.8#148
Improvement+0.1#154

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#134
First Shot+2.3#106
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#262
Layups/Dunks+3.3#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#250
Freethrows-0.9#239
Improvement+1.5#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 11.7% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 53.3% 75.0% 49.5%
.500 or above in Conference 75.3% 84.9% 73.6%
Conference Champion 10.2% 15.9% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.9% 2.3%
First Four0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round7.9% 11.7% 7.2%
Second Round0.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 14.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 34 - 8
Quad 410 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 198   @ South Alabama W 74-70 37%     1 - 0 +5.2 +5.0 +0.3
  Nov 07, 2024 302   Stony Brook L 72-73 79%     1 - 1 -11.5 -4.8 -6.7
  Nov 11, 2024 15   @ Marquette L 62-70 4%     1 - 2 +9.7 -4.9 +15.1
  Nov 13, 2024 92   @ George Mason W 70-69 16%     2 - 2 +9.6 +3.0 +6.6
  Nov 25, 2024 90   @ Minnesota L 57-68 15%    
  Dec 14, 2024 276   @ Valparaiso W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 17, 2024 28   Mississippi St. L 63-78 9%    
  Dec 21, 2024 13   @ Arizona L 64-85 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 158   Ohio W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 07, 2025 140   @ Akron L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 11, 2025 137   @ Toledo L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 14, 2025 300   Eastern Michigan W 70-62 77%    
  Jan 18, 2025 325   @ Northern Illinois W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 21, 2025 280   Ball St. W 72-65 74%    
  Jan 25, 2025 323   Western Michigan W 75-65 81%    
  Jan 28, 2025 331   @ Buffalo W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 01, 2025 262   Bowling Green W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 04, 2025 228   Miami (OH) W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 11, 2025 123   @ Kent St. L 63-71 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 140   Akron L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 18, 2025 158   @ Ohio L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 323   @ Western Michigan W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 25, 2025 331   Buffalo W 77-66 82%    
  Mar 01, 2025 300   @ Eastern Michigan W 67-65 58%    
  Mar 04, 2025 280   @ Ball St. W 69-68 53%    
  Mar 07, 2025 325   Northern Illinois W 73-63 81%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.9 3.0 2.0 0.7 0.1 10.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.8 3.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.6 3.7 0.8 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 5.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.5 4.2 6.6 9.2 11.6 13.2 13.1 12.2 10.2 7.6 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.3% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 90.8% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
15-3 68.4% 3.0    1.8 1.0 0.2
14-4 37.6% 2.9    1.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.1% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 5.6 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 48.9% 48.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 37.9% 37.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.2% 30.7% 30.7% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5
15-3 4.3% 23.7% 23.7% 13.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.3
14-4 7.6% 18.0% 18.0% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.2
13-5 10.2% 13.9% 13.9% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 8.8
12-6 12.2% 9.8% 9.8% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 11.0
11-7 13.1% 6.3% 6.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 12.3
10-8 13.2% 4.6% 4.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 12.6
9-9 11.6% 3.1% 3.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.2
8-10 9.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.0
7-11 6.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.6
6-12 4.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.2
5-13 2.5% 2.5
4-14 1.3% 1.3
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.1 2.2 1.9 0.8 92.0 0.0%