Le Moyne
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.8#357
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#345
Pace70.3#121
Improvement-3.5#318

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#305
First Shot-2.6#248
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#304
Layup/Dunks+2.0#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#265
Freethrows-0.3#197
Improvement+1.3#116

Defense
Total Defense-9.1#359
First Shot-5.3#331
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#361
Layups/Dunks-3.8#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#168
Freethrows-2.6#338
Improvement-4.8#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 72.9% 51.2% 90.8%
First Four1.0% 1.8% 0.3%
First Round0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 47 - 138 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 108   @ Syracuse L 82-86 4%     0 - 1 +2.0 +3.7 -1.3
  Nov 06, 2024 114   Cal St. Northridge L 75-97 10%     0 - 2 -21.7 -4.8 -14.7
  Nov 13, 2024 32   @ Connecticut L 49-90 1%     0 - 3 -24.3 -12.3 -17.0
  Nov 16, 2024 106   @ St. Bonaventure L 52-71 4%     0 - 4 -12.4 -11.4 -2.8
  Nov 22, 2024 306   Tennessee Martin W 65-53 30%     1 - 4 +3.6 -13.7 +17.0
  Nov 23, 2024 199   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-82 10%     1 - 5 -20.6 -9.6 -11.4
  Nov 25, 2024 262   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-97 15%     1 - 6 -22.9 -2.5 -19.0
  Nov 29, 2024 263   @ Manhattan W 81-77 15%     2 - 6 +1.1 -0.7 +1.5
  Dec 03, 2024 287   Army L 100-103 3OT 34%     2 - 7 -12.5 -5.7 -6.0
  Dec 07, 2024 299   Binghamton L 62-72 36%     2 - 8 -20.2 -8.9 -12.3
  Dec 18, 2024 206   @ Dartmouth W 80-76 10%     3 - 8 +4.1 +6.5 -2.6
  Dec 22, 2024 95   @ Notre Dame L 62-91 3%     3 - 9 -21.3 -8.7 -12.5
  Dec 29, 2024 319   @ Niagara L 69-88 25%     3 - 10 -25.7 -9.6 -15.7
  Jan 03, 2025 323   @ LIU Brooklyn L 62-78 25%     3 - 11 0 - 1 -22.9 -2.7 -22.0
  Jan 10, 2025 318   Fairleigh Dickinson L 86-91 2OT 42%     3 - 12 0 - 2 -16.8 -8.2 -7.6
  Jan 12, 2025 350   Mercyhurst W 79-63 56%     4 - 12 1 - 2 +0.6 +6.8 -4.6
  Jan 18, 2025 360   @ Chicago St. L 72-88 47%     4 - 13 1 - 3 -29.2 -7.1 -21.5
  Jan 20, 2025 324   Stonehill W 73-72 44%     5 - 13 2 - 3 -11.3 -3.3 -7.9
  Jan 24, 2025 197   Central Connecticut St. L 70-93 19%     5 - 14 2 - 4 -27.6 +0.7 -29.4
  Jan 30, 2025 318   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 74-78 25%     5 - 15 2 - 5 -10.7 +4.0 -14.9
  Feb 01, 2025 347   @ Wagner L 61-73 36%     5 - 16 2 - 6 -22.1 -5.1 -18.8
  Feb 06, 2025 331   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-86 29%     5 - 17 2 - 7 -16.0 -1.9 -13.8
  Feb 08, 2025 350   @ Mercyhurst L 78-82 37%     5 - 18 2 - 8 -14.3 +4.2 -18.7
  Feb 13, 2025 347   Wagner W 72-68 OT 55%     6 - 18 3 - 8 -11.2 -5.9 -5.3
  Feb 15, 2025 360   Chicago St. W 80-75 67%     7 - 18 4 - 8 -13.3 -0.6 -12.8
  Feb 20, 2025 331   St. Francis (PA) L 76-81 OT 47%     7 - 19 4 - 9 -18.1 -5.0 -13.1
  Feb 22, 2025 323   LIU Brooklyn L 68-70 45%    
  Feb 27, 2025 197   @ Central Connecticut St. L 64-78 8%    
  Mar 01, 2025 324   @ Stonehill L 71-78 25%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.4 0.6 1.0 5th
6th 4.6 0.5 5.1 6th
7th 7.4 7.3 0.0 14.7 7th
8th 11.1 32.8 2.3 46.1 8th
9th 27.2 5.9 33.1 9th
Total 38.2 46.0 14.6 1.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 1.2% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
6-10 14.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.5 14.0
5-11 46.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.4 45.6
4-12 38.2% 38.2
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 38.2%