Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#230
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#260
Pace66.3#266
Improvement-2.1#344

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#228
First Shot-5.9#332
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#25
Layup/Dunks-4.3#308
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#114
Freethrows-1.9#273
Improvement-0.6#282

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#216
First Shot-0.5#193
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#250
Layups/Dunks+5.1#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#267
Freethrows-2.5#306
Improvement-1.4#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 7.9% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 42.7% 58.1% 31.6%
.500 or above in Conference 75.3% 81.6% 70.8%
Conference Champion 5.5% 7.3% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.1%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.1%
First Round5.8% 7.6% 4.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Away) - 41.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 64   @ New Mexico L 84-91 9%     0 - 1 +4.6 +2.8 +2.9
  Nov 08, 2024 198   South Alabama L 64-70 55%     0 - 2 -10.8 -5.1 -6.2
  Nov 14, 2024 203   @ Northern Kentucky W 61-59 34%     1 - 2 +3.0 -6.2 +9.3
  Nov 15, 2024 20   @ Cincinnati L 49-86 4%     1 - 3 -20.0 -12.4 -10.1
  Nov 20, 2024 129   Towson L 64-70 40%     1 - 4 -6.8 -1.9 -5.5
  Nov 30, 2024 245   @ Louisiana L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 05, 2024 270   SE Louisiana W 72-67 69%    
  Dec 07, 2024 357   New Orleans W 80-66 90%    
  Dec 18, 2024 1   @ Gonzaga L 61-89 0.3%   
  Dec 30, 2024 135   @ Seattle L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 04, 2025 312   @ Northwestern St. W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 06, 2025 352   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-65 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 91   @ McNeese St. L 62-74 14%    
  Jan 13, 2025 308   @ Incarnate Word W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 181   Stephen F. Austin W 65-64 53%    
  Jan 20, 2025 290   Lamar W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 215   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 27, 2025 193   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 91   McNeese St. L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 03, 2025 358   Houston Christian W 80-66 89%    
  Feb 08, 2025 352   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-62 86%    
  Feb 10, 2025 312   Northwestern St. W 74-66 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 270   @ SE Louisiana L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 17, 2025 357   @ New Orleans W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 22, 2025 193   UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 24, 2025 215   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-74 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 181   @ Stephen F. Austin L 62-67 32%    
  Mar 03, 2025 290   @ Lamar W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 5.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.2 3.4 4.4 2.7 0.9 0.1 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 5.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 6.1 4.8 1.4 0.1 15.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.7 4.2 1.0 0.1 13.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.3 5.1 3.6 0.7 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.3 6.7 9.0 11.4 12.7 13.2 12.1 10.0 7.4 4.6 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 88.3% 0.9    0.7 0.2
17-3 63.4% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.0
16-4 35.9% 1.7    0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
15-5 11.5% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 2.9 2.0 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 45.0% 45.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 36.7% 36.7% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.0% 32.7% 32.7% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-3 2.5% 27.1% 27.1% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.8
16-4 4.6% 23.1% 23.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 3.6
15-5 7.4% 15.1% 15.1% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 6.3
14-6 10.0% 10.7% 10.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 8.9
13-7 12.1% 7.0% 7.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 11.3
12-8 13.2% 3.6% 3.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 12.8
11-9 12.7% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.4
10-10 11.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.2
9-11 9.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.9
8-12 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.7
7-13 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
6-14 2.6% 2.6
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.2 2.1 93.7 0.0%