Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#205
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#169
Pace70.6#126
Improvement+2.6#66

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#195
First Shot-2.7#254
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#69
Layup/Dunks+0.5#155
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement+3.1#36

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#224
First Shot-1.6#227
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#175
Layups/Dunks+0.8#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#149
Freethrows-3.4#348
Improvement-0.4#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% 8.1% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 81.3% 87.3% 68.4%
.500 or above in Conference 93.9% 96.9% 87.4%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round7.1% 8.1% 5.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lamar (Home) - 68.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 11 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 9
Quad 412 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 53   @ New Mexico L 84-91 8%     0 - 1 +6.2 +4.9 +2.5
  Nov 08, 2024 126   South Alabama L 64-70 43%     0 - 2 -6.4 -2.3 -4.5
  Nov 14, 2024 235   @ Northern Kentucky W 61-59 47%     1 - 2 +0.6 -7.8 +8.5
  Nov 15, 2024 39   @ Cincinnati L 49-86 7%     1 - 3 -22.4 -9.1 -15.8
  Nov 20, 2024 176   Towson L 64-70 55%     1 - 4 -9.4 -2.9 -7.1
  Nov 30, 2024 307   @ Louisiana W 76-75 62%     2 - 4 -4.4 +6.9 -11.2
  Dec 05, 2024 220   SE Louisiana W 67-64 65%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -3.0 -10.7 +7.5
  Dec 07, 2024 343   New Orleans W 73-70 87%     4 - 4 2 - 0 -11.5 -6.6 -4.8
  Dec 18, 2024 14   @ Gonzaga L 72-102 3%     4 - 5 -10.6 -1.8 -5.9
  Dec 30, 2024 150   @ Seattle W 71-69 29%     5 - 5 +5.7 +2.4 +3.3
  Jan 04, 2025 289   @ Northwestern St. L 66-68 59%     5 - 6 2 - 1 -6.5 -2.5 -4.2
  Jan 06, 2025 354   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 83-61 79%     6 - 6 3 - 1 +11.3 +14.4 -1.1
  Jan 11, 2025 74   @ McNeese St. L 71-80 13%     6 - 7 3 - 2 +1.2 +1.5 +0.0
  Jan 13, 2025 303   @ Incarnate Word W 88-82 62%     7 - 7 4 - 2 +0.8 +11.2 -10.3
  Jan 18, 2025 249   Stephen F. Austin W 73-61 70%     8 - 7 5 - 2 +4.3 +4.5 +0.2
  Jan 20, 2025 231   Lamar W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 169   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 27, 2025 247   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 74   McNeese St. L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 03, 2025 316   Houston Christian W 76-67 82%    
  Feb 08, 2025 354   Texas A&M - Commerce W 78-64 91%    
  Feb 10, 2025 289   Northwestern St. W 74-66 77%    
  Feb 15, 2025 220   @ SE Louisiana L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 17, 2025 343   @ New Orleans W 81-74 73%    
  Feb 22, 2025 247   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-74 70%    
  Feb 24, 2025 169   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-75 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 249   @ Stephen F. Austin W 67-66 49%    
  Mar 03, 2025 231   @ Lamar L 70-71 46%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.2 9.0 8.8 3.9 0.8 0.1 27.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 7.4 11.0 7.0 1.4 0.1 28.0 3rd
4th 0.6 5.2 8.4 4.0 0.5 0.0 18.7 4th
5th 0.2 3.0 6.1 2.4 0.1 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.3 1.5 0.1 6.1 6th
7th 0.4 1.8 1.1 0.1 3.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.1 8.1 13.9 19.1 19.4 16.5 10.5 4.8 1.5 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 80.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
17-3 45.1% 0.7    0.3 0.4
16-4 16.2% 0.8    0.2 0.5 0.1
15-5 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.3% 36.0% 36.0% 12.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.5% 26.8% 26.8% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
16-4 4.8% 16.6% 16.6% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 4.0
15-5 10.5% 16.9% 16.9% 14.3 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.0 8.7
14-6 16.5% 11.4% 11.4% 14.6 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 14.6
13-7 19.4% 5.8% 5.8% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 18.3
12-8 19.1% 3.5% 3.5% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 18.4
11-9 13.9% 2.2% 2.2% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.5
10-10 8.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 7.9
9-11 4.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.0
8-12 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
7-13 0.4% 0.4
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 14.5 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.1 0.8 92.8 0.0%