Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#180
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#197
Pace69.4#180
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#116
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 17.2% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.7
.500 or above 69.2% 77.0% 53.0%
.500 or above in Conference 81.5% 84.9% 74.4%
Conference Champion 19.6% 22.3% 13.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.4%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.4%
First Round14.7% 16.8% 10.1%
Second Round1.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 67.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 80   @ Florida St. L 62-74 15%     0 - 1 -1.7 -9.3 +8.7
  Nov 08, 2024 15   @ Purdue L 50-72 5%     0 - 2 -4.5 -10.1 +2.8
  Nov 14, 2024 212   Nicholls St. W 71-66 68%    
  Nov 19, 2024 22   Cincinnati L 64-75 16%    
  Nov 27, 2024 100   @ College of Charleston L 74-83 21%    
  Nov 30, 2024 328   Bellarmine W 74-62 86%    
  Dec 03, 2024 135   @ Akron L 67-72 31%    
  Dec 07, 2024 362   @ IU Indianapolis W 75-64 84%    
  Dec 15, 2024 230   Norfolk St. W 71-66 69%    
  Dec 18, 2024 341   Detroit Mercy W 76-63 88%    
  Dec 21, 2024 310   South Carolina St. W 76-66 80%    
  Dec 29, 2024 295   @ Robert Morris W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 01, 2025 150   Purdue Fort Wayne W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 04, 2025 290   Green Bay W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 08, 2025 185   @ Youngstown St. L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 186   Oakland W 69-66 62%    
  Jan 15, 2025 220   @ Cleveland St. L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 189   Wright St. W 79-75 62%    
  Jan 24, 2025 240   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 30, 2025 341   @ Detroit Mercy W 73-66 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 186   @ Oakland L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 05, 2025 220   Cleveland St. W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 295   Robert Morris W 75-66 78%    
  Feb 14, 2025 290   @ Green Bay W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 16, 2025 240   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 21, 2025 189   @ Wright St. L 76-78 42%    
  Feb 23, 2025 362   IU Indianapolis W 78-61 92%    
  Feb 27, 2025 150   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-75 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 185   Youngstown St. W 71-68 61%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.6 5.1 4.8 2.8 1.3 0.3 19.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 5.1 2.6 0.7 0.1 16.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.4 4.1 1.2 0.2 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.3 3.2 0.7 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.1 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.2 4.9 6.5 8.5 10.4 11.7 11.7 11.4 10.0 7.8 5.5 2.9 1.3 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.0
18-2 98.1% 2.8    2.6 0.2 0.0
17-3 88.0% 4.8    3.9 0.9 0.0
16-4 65.2% 5.1    3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 36.3% 3.6    1.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
14-6 11.8% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.6% 19.6 12.9 5.1 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 62.5% 61.5% 1.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.7%
19-1 1.3% 50.8% 50.5% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.5%
18-2 2.9% 43.6% 43.6% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.6
17-3 5.5% 35.3% 35.3% 13.4 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.5
16-4 7.8% 30.3% 30.3% 13.9 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 5.5
15-5 10.0% 24.2% 24.2% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.1 7.6
14-6 11.4% 18.6% 18.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 9.2
13-7 11.7% 14.8% 14.8% 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.5 10.0
12-8 11.7% 9.1% 9.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 10.6
11-9 10.4% 6.9% 6.9% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 9.7
10-10 8.5% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.2
9-11 6.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.4
8-12 4.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.8
7-13 3.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.2
6-14 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.0
5-15 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-16 0.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.1% 15.1% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 4.3 4.2 2.5 84.9 0.0%