SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#272
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#171
Pace66.8#259
Improvement-1.3#307

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#300
First Shot-8.5#359
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#22
Layup/Dunks-3.9#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#140
Freethrows-5.4#352
Improvement-1.2#335

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#212
First Shot-2.9#274
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#78
Layups/Dunks+1.0#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
Freethrows-2.9#319
Improvement+0.0#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.1% 16.0% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 70.9% 81.9% 62.5%
.500 or above in Conference 75.4% 81.0% 71.2%
Conference Champion 15.8% 19.8% 12.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.8% 3.2%
First Four4.7% 4.4% 4.9%
First Round10.6% 13.8% 8.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 415 - 917 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 22   @ Indiana L 61-80 3%     0 - 1 -2.2 -6.0 +4.4
  Nov 08, 2024 31   @ Illinois L 58-90 3%     0 - 2 -16.3 -6.9 -10.3
  Nov 12, 2024 191   @ Indiana St. W 77-72 24%     1 - 2 +6.6 +3.6 +3.0
  Nov 15, 2024 323   @ Western Michigan W 79-60 51%     2 - 2 +13.0 +6.3 +7.4
  Nov 16, 2024 351   Canisius W 76-58 76%     3 - 2 +5.0 -1.0 +6.8
  Nov 19, 2024 251   @ Green Bay L 57-82 35%     3 - 3 -26.7 -19.3 -6.9
  Nov 29, 2024 177   North Florida L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 08, 2024 280   Ball St. W 70-67 62%    
  Dec 19, 2024 205   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-73 27%    
  Dec 21, 2024 320   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 02, 2025 326   Western Illinois W 68-62 72%    
  Jan 04, 2025 355   Lindenwood W 74-63 84%    
  Jan 07, 2025 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 67-68 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 334   Tennessee Tech W 71-63 76%    
  Jan 16, 2025 296   @ Tennessee St. L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 18, 2025 301   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 23, 2025 322   Southern Indiana W 71-65 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 268   Morehead St. W 66-63 60%    
  Jan 30, 2025 355   @ Lindenwood W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 326   @ Western Illinois W 65-64 52%    
  Feb 04, 2025 315   Eastern Illinois W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 06, 2025 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 13, 2025 301   Tennessee Martin W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 15, 2025 296   Tennessee St. W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 20, 2025 268   @ Morehead St. L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 322   @ Southern Indiana W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 320   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-69 70%    
  Mar 01, 2025 205   Arkansas Little Rock L 69-70 48%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.7 4.1 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 15.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.5 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 16.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.7 5.2 2.4 0.6 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.9 4.4 1.3 0.1 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.9 1.3 0.1 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.3 1.2 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.9 0.1 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.7 4.4 6.4 8.3 10.3 11.9 12.2 11.8 10.2 8.0 5.5 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 98.4% 1.5    1.5 0.1
17-3 90.0% 3.0    2.5 0.4 0.0
16-4 74.1% 4.1    2.8 1.1 0.1
15-5 46.7% 3.7    1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0
14-6 20.7% 2.1    0.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.0% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.8% 15.8 10.1 4.3 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.6% 52.3% 52.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.6% 46.6% 46.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.8
17-3 3.3% 43.0% 43.0% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 1.9
16-4 5.5% 36.5% 36.5% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 3.5
15-5 8.0% 29.6% 29.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 5.6
14-6 10.2% 22.0% 22.0% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.9 8.0
13-7 11.8% 15.1% 15.1% 15.9 0.2 1.6 10.0
12-8 12.2% 8.6% 8.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 11.2
11-9 11.9% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.3
10-10 10.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.0
9-11 8.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 8.1
8-12 6.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.3
7-13 4.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.4
6-14 2.7% 2.7
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.5 8.0 86.9 0.0%