Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#301
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#209
Pace79.8#11
Improvement-0.7#265

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#321
First Shot-13.7#364
After Offensive Rebound+8.5#1
Layup/Dunks-1.1#220
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#356
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.6#357
Freethrows+0.4#161
Improvement+1.2#41

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#248
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#323
Layups/Dunks+1.0#149
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#208
Freethrows-2.0#289
Improvement-1.9#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 12.1% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 41.6% 62.6% 35.4%
.500 or above in Conference 60.0% 72.1% 56.3%
Conference Champion 9.6% 14.4% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 3.6% 7.5%
First Four4.2% 4.5% 4.1%
First Round6.3% 9.7% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Away) - 23.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 5
Quad 412 - 1014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 173   @ Illinois St. W 67-65 18%     1 - 0 +4.3 -10.7 +14.8
  Nov 11, 2024 186   @ North Alabama L 69-87 19%     1 - 1 -16.3 -5.3 -10.8
  Nov 16, 2024 179   @ Longwood L 62-64 18%     1 - 2 +0.1 -5.6 +5.6
  Nov 21, 2024 215   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-85 23%    
  Nov 22, 2024 337   Le Moyne W 76-73 62%    
  Nov 27, 2024 9   @ Tennessee L 62-90 1%    
  Dec 03, 2024 310   @ Charleston Southern L 75-77 42%    
  Dec 11, 2024 282   @ Alabama St. L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 19, 2024 268   @ Morehead St. L 67-72 33%    
  Dec 21, 2024 322   @ Southern Indiana L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 02, 2025 205   Arkansas Little Rock L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 04, 2025 320   Southeast Missouri St. W 81-77 65%    
  Jan 09, 2025 326   @ Western Illinois L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 355   @ Lindenwood W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 16, 2025 315   Eastern Illinois W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 272   SIU Edwardsville W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 21, 2025 296   @ Tennessee St. L 75-78 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 334   Tennessee Tech W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 30, 2025 320   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 78-80 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 205   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 06, 2025 355   Lindenwood W 80-71 79%    
  Feb 08, 2025 326   Western Illinois W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 13, 2025 272   @ SIU Edwardsville L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 15, 2025 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 18, 2025 296   Tennessee St. W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 20, 2025 334   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 27, 2025 322   Southern Indiana W 77-72 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 268   Morehead St. W 70-69 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.4 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 9.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.1 3.7 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 11.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.9 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.3 4.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.0 1.4 0.1 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.6 1.2 0.1 8.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.3 3.0 1.3 0.1 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.1 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 3.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.7 5.4 7.4 9.0 10.4 11.2 11.4 10.3 8.9 6.9 5.1 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 99.4% 0.8    0.8 0.0
17-3 93.0% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
16-4 74.0% 2.4    1.7 0.7 0.1
15-5 47.4% 2.4    1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 20.3% 1.4    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
13-7 4.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 5.9 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 55.0% 55.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.8% 46.5% 46.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.8% 39.6% 39.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 1.1
16-4 3.3% 32.6% 32.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 2.2
15-5 5.1% 28.2% 28.2% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 3.6
14-6 6.9% 21.4% 21.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.4
13-7 8.9% 15.0% 15.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 7.6
12-8 10.3% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9 9.4
11-9 11.4% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.9
10-10 11.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 10.9
9-11 10.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.2
8-12 9.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.0
7-13 7.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
6-14 5.4% 5.4
5-15 3.7% 3.7
4-16 2.3% 2.3
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 6.2 91.4 0.0%