Xavier
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#41
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#154
Pace76.3#35
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#27
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#74
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 1.8% 2.3% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 6.8% 8.5% 3.0%
Top 6 Seed 14.6% 17.8% 7.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.2% 52.5% 32.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.7% 49.0% 29.6%
Average Seed 7.6 7.5 8.2
.500 or above 84.5% 89.6% 73.6%
.500 or above in Conference 66.7% 70.8% 57.7%
Conference Champion 5.1% 6.0% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 2.5% 4.9%
First Four5.1% 5.3% 4.7%
First Round43.7% 50.0% 30.3%
Second Round25.7% 30.2% 16.1%
Sweet Sixteen10.0% 12.3% 5.2%
Elite Eight4.1% 5.1% 2.0%
Final Four1.7% 2.1% 0.8%
Championship Game0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Home) - 68.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 25 - 39 - 11
Quad 35 - 113 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 257   Texas Southern W 78-69 95%     1 - 0 +1.0 +0.1 +0.5
  Nov 08, 2024 362   IU Indianapolis W 94-80 99%     2 - 0 -3.9 +16.0 -19.5
  Nov 12, 2024 324   Jackson St. W 94-57 97%     3 - 0 +24.8 +12.4 +11.0
  Nov 16, 2024 62   Wake Forest W 82-77 68%    
  Nov 20, 2024 308   Siena W 85-64 98%    
  Nov 25, 2024 64   South Carolina W 76-74 58%    
  Dec 01, 2024 310   South Carolina St. W 89-68 97%    
  Dec 05, 2024 53   @ TCU L 79-81 44%    
  Dec 10, 2024 338   Morgan St. W 94-69 99%    
  Dec 14, 2024 22   @ Cincinnati L 74-79 32%    
  Dec 18, 2024 1   @ Connecticut L 67-80 13%    
  Dec 21, 2024 29   Marquette W 79-78 54%    
  Dec 31, 2024 97   Seton Hall W 73-65 77%    
  Jan 03, 2025 105   @ Georgetown W 79-76 61%    
  Jan 07, 2025 18   St. John's L 79-80 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 114   @ DePaul W 81-77 64%    
  Jan 14, 2025 77   Villanova W 78-72 71%    
  Jan 18, 2025 29   @ Marquette L 76-81 34%    
  Jan 22, 2025 18   @ St. John's L 77-83 29%    
  Jan 25, 2025 1   Connecticut L 70-77 28%    
  Jan 29, 2025 16   @ Creighton L 75-81 30%    
  Feb 04, 2025 105   Georgetown W 82-73 78%    
  Feb 09, 2025 77   @ Villanova W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 12, 2025 84   @ Providence W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 114   DePaul W 84-74 81%    
  Feb 18, 2025 93   Butler W 82-74 75%    
  Feb 23, 2025 97   @ Seton Hall W 70-68 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 16   Creighton L 78-79 49%    
  Mar 05, 2025 93   @ Butler W 79-77 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 84   Providence W 76-69 72%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.3 3.7 2.1 0.6 0.1 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.8 3.8 1.3 0.2 14.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.6 5.7 3.1 0.8 0.1 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.1 5.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.4 4.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 3.7 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.8 2.2 0.6 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.6 4.2 6.0 8.1 10.1 11.8 12.0 11.8 10.0 8.2 6.1 4.0 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
18-2 90.2% 0.7    0.6 0.1
17-3 67.2% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
16-4 41.2% 1.6    0.7 0.8 0.1 0.0
15-5 16.0% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 56.0% 44.0% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.8% 100.0% 35.9% 64.1% 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.8% 99.8% 26.6% 73.2% 3.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
16-4 4.0% 99.8% 19.2% 80.7% 4.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 6.1% 98.4% 15.6% 82.8% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.1%
14-6 8.2% 93.7% 12.2% 81.6% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.5 92.9%
13-7 10.0% 82.6% 8.9% 73.7% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.9 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.0 1.7 80.9%
12-8 11.8% 66.7% 5.6% 61.1% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.5 0.1 3.9 64.7%
11-9 12.0% 46.0% 4.2% 41.9% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.7 1.6 0.2 6.5 43.7%
10-10 11.8% 26.3% 2.1% 24.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.2 8.7 24.8%
9-11 10.1% 7.6% 1.2% 6.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 9.3 6.5%
8-12 8.1% 1.9% 0.6% 1.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.9 1.3%
7-13 6.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.2%
6-14 4.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 4.2
5-15 2.6% 2.6
4-16 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 46.2% 6.1% 40.1% 7.6 0.6 1.1 2.1 3.0 3.6 4.2 5.4 6.1 6.6 6.8 6.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.8 42.7%