Army
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#303
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#243
Pace60.2#357
Improvement-1.8#337

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#303
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#249
Layup/Dunks-3.8#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#110
Freethrows-2.0#281
Improvement+0.9#62

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#270
First Shot-0.3#187
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#318
Layups/Dunks-1.1#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#263
Freethrows+0.1#178
Improvement-2.6#360
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 6.5% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 36.6% 41.9% 19.5%
.500 or above in Conference 44.9% 48.3% 33.7%
Conference Champion 6.2% 7.1% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 15.4% 13.4% 21.7%
First Four3.1% 3.3% 2.4%
First Round4.2% 4.7% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 76.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 412 - 1113 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 248   Albany W 67-59 49%     1 - 0 +0.7 -7.3 +8.4
  Nov 08, 2024 5   @ Duke L 58-100 1%     1 - 1 -19.7 -4.1 -15.0
  Nov 15, 2024 234   @ Marist L 88-91 OT 25%     1 - 2 -3.6 +14.2 -17.8
  Nov 20, 2024 342   Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-68 76%    
  Nov 22, 2024 328   @ Manhattan L 66-67 46%    
  Dec 03, 2024 336   @ Le Moyne W 66-65 51%    
  Dec 08, 2024 167   Cornell L 70-74 36%    
  Dec 13, 2024 143   @ George Washington L 64-76 15%    
  Dec 22, 2024 329   Binghamton W 68-63 68%    
  Dec 29, 2024 278   Texas San Antonio W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 02, 2025 189   @ Colgate L 58-67 21%    
  Jan 05, 2025 284   @ Boston University L 62-66 35%    
  Jan 08, 2025 334   Loyola Maryland W 67-61 70%    
  Jan 11, 2025 283   @ Lehigh L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 15, 2025 237   Lafayette L 62-63 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 284   Boston University W 65-63 56%    
  Jan 22, 2025 318   @ Holy Cross L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 26, 2025 313   Navy W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 29, 2025 189   Colgate L 61-64 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 265   @ American L 61-66 32%    
  Feb 05, 2025 318   Holy Cross W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 233   Bucknell L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 12, 2025 334   @ Loyola Maryland W 64-63 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 313   @ Navy L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 19, 2025 265   American W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 23, 2025 233   @ Bucknell L 61-68 27%    
  Feb 25, 2025 237   @ Lafayette L 59-66 28%    
  Mar 01, 2025 283   Lehigh W 69-67 56%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.5 3.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.6 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.8 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 2.8 4.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.8 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 9.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.8 5.9 8.6 10.4 11.5 12.1 11.7 10.4 8.3 6.0 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 95.8% 0.5    0.5 0.0
15-3 91.0% 1.0    0.8 0.2
14-4 72.1% 1.8    1.2 0.6 0.1
13-5 39.7% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 14.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 3.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 36.5% 36.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 37.9% 37.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 28.9% 28.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8
14-4 2.5% 24.3% 24.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.9
13-5 4.1% 18.5% 18.5% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 3.3
12-6 6.0% 13.6% 13.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 5.2
11-7 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 7.4
10-8 10.4% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 9.6
9-9 11.7% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.1
8-10 12.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 11.8
7-11 11.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.4
6-12 10.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.3
5-13 8.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.5
4-14 5.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.9
3-15 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-16 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 4.4 94.2 0.0%