Brown
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#221
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#321
Pace67.6#234
Improvement+0.0#179

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#211
First Shot-2.2#244
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#137
Layup/Dunks-2.8#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#218
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#109
Freethrows-0.7#219
Improvement-0.2#200

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#225
First Shot-0.2#185
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#265
Layups/Dunks-1.9#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#95
Freethrows-0.7#223
Improvement+0.1#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 6.8% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 25.7% 30.6% 11.5%
.500 or above in Conference 51.4% 54.5% 42.4%
Conference Champion 5.8% 6.6% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 7.6% 11.9%
First Four1.3% 1.2% 1.5%
First Round5.5% 6.3% 3.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Away) - 74.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 48 - 611 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 306   @ Siena L 71-72 OT 58%     0 - 1 -6.0 -4.5 -1.4
  Nov 10, 2024 241   Maine L 67-69 65%     0 - 2 -9.0 -4.3 -4.7
  Nov 15, 2024 341   New Hampshire W 76-58 86%     1 - 2 +3.1 -0.1 +4.0
  Nov 16, 2024 318   Holy Cross L 65-73 79%     1 - 3 -19.7 -12.6 -7.6
  Nov 17, 2024 331   Sacred Heart W 89-70 83%     2 - 3 +5.7 +12.1 -5.4
  Nov 23, 2024 351   @ Canisius W 75-68 75%    
  Nov 27, 2024 285   Stony Brook W 74-68 72%    
  Dec 03, 2024 149   @ Vermont L 61-68 27%    
  Dec 06, 2024 159   @ Bryant L 74-80 29%    
  Dec 10, 2024 117   Rhode Island L 74-77 38%    
  Dec 22, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 61-86 1%    
  Dec 31, 2024 10   @ Kentucky L 67-90 2%    
  Jan 11, 2025 108   @ Yale L 66-76 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 243   Harvard W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 20, 2025 167   @ Cornell L 75-80 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 339   Dartmouth W 76-64 85%    
  Jan 31, 2025 268   @ Penn L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 110   @ Princeton L 67-77 18%    
  Feb 08, 2025 192   @ Columbia L 73-78 35%    
  Feb 14, 2025 110   Princeton L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 268   Penn W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 21, 2025 192   Columbia W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 167   Cornell W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 28, 2025 243   @ Harvard L 69-71 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 339   @ Dartmouth W 73-67 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 108   Yale L 69-73 36%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 4.3 3.9 1.1 0.1 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 6.8 4.9 0.9 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.2 3.4 8.5 5.2 0.7 0.0 17.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.8 8.5 5.0 0.4 0.0 18.0 5th
6th 0.6 4.1 7.3 3.9 0.3 0.0 16.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.7 2.2 0.2 11.7 7th
8th 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.6 8th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.6 5.6 9.7 13.5 16.2 16.0 13.8 10.3 6.4 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 91.1% 1.1    0.9 0.2
11-3 64.0% 2.0    1.1 0.8 0.1
10-4 26.1% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
9-5 4.7% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 37.3% 37.3% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 1.3% 30.0% 30.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
11-3 3.2% 23.1% 23.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.4
10-4 6.4% 19.3% 19.3% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 5.2
9-5 10.3% 14.9% 14.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 8.8
8-6 13.8% 9.5% 9.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 12.5
7-7 16.0% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 15.4
6-8 16.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.1
5-9 13.5% 13.5
4-10 9.7% 9.7
3-11 5.6% 5.6
2-12 2.6% 2.6
1-13 0.9% 0.9
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 15.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 2.3 93.9 0.0%