Bucknell
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#266
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#285
Pace69.5#164
Improvement-2.3#300

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#335
First Shot-4.8#313
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#266
Layup/Dunks-0.3#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#338
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#213
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement-2.2#323

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#152
First Shot+1.3#126
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#253
Layups/Dunks+1.6#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#256
Freethrows+3.2#17
Improvement-0.1#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 14.3% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 31.0% 52.4% 28.5%
.500 or above in Conference 64.8% 74.7% 63.6%
Conference Champion 13.8% 20.7% 13.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 4.2% 7.5%
First Four6.7% 5.6% 6.8%
First Round7.8% 11.4% 7.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 10.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 32 - 8
Quad 413 - 1015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 215   @ Delaware W 85-73 28%     1 - 0 +12.3 +1.6 +9.5
  Nov 07, 2024 325   @ Southern Indiana W 75-69 OT 53%     2 - 0 -0.3 -3.1 +2.6
  Nov 09, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 72-100 2%     2 - 1 -9.5 -2.4 -4.0
  Nov 13, 2024 234   Mount St. Mary's L 89-93 2OT 55%     2 - 2 -11.0 -1.9 -8.4
  Nov 16, 2024 216   Richmond W 80-76 2OT 51%     3 - 2 -1.9 -10.0 +7.4
  Nov 21, 2024 352   NJIT W 81-64 83%     4 - 2 +1.4 +3.4 -2.0
  Nov 23, 2024 303   Rider L 53-57 69%     4 - 3 -14.8 -17.8 +2.4
  Nov 27, 2024 13   @ Maryland L 67-91 2%     4 - 4 -5.0 +0.4 -3.9
  Nov 30, 2024 304   Siena L 58-71 59%     4 - 5 -20.9 -9.9 -12.7
  Dec 04, 2024 87   St. Bonaventure L 47-64 20%     4 - 6 -13.6 -18.2 +3.2
  Dec 08, 2024 214   @ Radford L 70-74 OT 28%     4 - 7 -3.7 -6.7 +3.3
  Dec 21, 2024 4   @ Gonzaga L 65-86 1%     4 - 8 +1.9 -4.9 +8.7
  Dec 28, 2024 100   @ Syracuse L 67-80 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 246   @ Lehigh L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 05, 2025 241   Colgate W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 08, 2025 267   Lafayette W 67-64 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 232   @ American L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 15, 2025 313   Holy Cross W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 18, 2025 318   Navy W 73-67 72%    
  Jan 20, 2025 241   @ Colgate L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 257   @ Boston University L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 29, 2025 322   Loyola Maryland W 71-65 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 318   @ Navy W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 05, 2025 232   American W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 312   @ Army L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 12, 2025 257   Boston University W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 267   @ Lafayette L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 17, 2025 246   Lehigh W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 23, 2025 312   Army W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 26, 2025 322   @ Loyola Maryland W 68-67 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 313   @ Holy Cross L 69-70 50%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.0 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 13.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.2 2.7 0.7 0.1 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.5 4.2 5.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.2 3.3 6.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 6.4 2.6 0.2 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 5.3 3.1 0.2 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.1 3.7 0.4 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.3 0.6 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.3 0.7 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.9 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.4 9.4 12.2 13.7 13.9 12.7 10.1 7.0 4.2 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 100.0% 0.9    0.8 0.0
15-3 96.7% 2.1    1.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 83.0% 3.5    2.6 0.8 0.1
13-5 57.5% 4.0    2.0 1.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 25.2% 2.5    0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.4% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 8.2 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 31.6% 31.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.9% 36.9% 36.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.1% 31.0% 31.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.5
14-4 4.2% 24.3% 24.3% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.6 3.2
13-5 7.0% 21.4% 21.4% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.2 5.5
12-6 10.1% 18.6% 18.6% 15.9 0.2 1.7 8.2
11-7 12.7% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 0.1 1.7 10.9
10-8 13.9% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5 12.4
9-9 13.7% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 1.2 12.5
8-10 12.2% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.5 11.6
7-11 9.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 9.2
6-12 6.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 6.2
5-13 4.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 3.9
4-14 2.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-15 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 9.2 89.0 0.0%