Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#177
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#68
Pace70.3#145
Improvement-3.0#330

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#121
First Shot+2.3#107
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#199
Layup/Dunks+2.8#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#107
Freethrows-0.7#226
Improvement-1.9#317

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#266
First Shot-3.1#282
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#166
Layups/Dunks-0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#324
Freethrows+1.7#71
Improvement-1.1#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 8.8% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 92.6% 95.2% 82.2%
.500 or above in Conference 59.4% 61.7% 50.2%
Conference Champion 8.9% 9.7% 6.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 6.3% 10.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.2% 8.8% 5.9%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 79.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 412 - 216 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 313   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 67%     1 - 0 -2.5 -0.2 -2.5
  Nov 06, 2024 44   @ Villanova W 90-80 9%     2 - 0 +23.7 +24.1 +0.0
  Nov 09, 2024 326   Delaware St. W 83-62 86%     3 - 0 +8.6 -1.0 +8.2
  Nov 12, 2024 244   Lehigh W 76-75 74%     4 - 0 -6.7 +5.6 -12.2
  Nov 16, 2024 358   Mercyhurst W 77-63 93%     5 - 0 -3.1 +4.6 -6.2
  Nov 20, 2024 340   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 76%     6 - 0 -0.4 +4.9 -5.2
  Nov 23, 2024 307   Stony Brook W 82-63 83%     7 - 0 +7.9 +6.1 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2024 356   New Hampshire W 83-57 91%     8 - 0 +10.1 +5.1 +4.9
  Dec 04, 2024 236   @ Albany L 73-88 51%     8 - 1 -16.1 -5.0 -10.3
  Dec 28, 2024 280   Fairfield W 81-72 79%    
  Dec 30, 2024 64   @ Rutgers L 71-84 12%    
  Jan 11, 2025 120   Cornell L 82-83 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 100   Yale L 75-78 38%    
  Jan 20, 2025 117   @ Princeton L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 274   @ Penn W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 31, 2025 231   Harvard W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 312   Dartmouth W 81-71 83%    
  Feb 08, 2025 156   Brown W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 14, 2025 312   @ Dartmouth W 78-74 66%    
  Feb 15, 2025 231   @ Harvard L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 21, 2025 156   @ Brown L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 22, 2025 100   @ Yale L 72-81 21%    
  Feb 28, 2025 117   Princeton L 76-77 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 274   Penn W 78-70 77%    
  Mar 08, 2025 120   @ Cornell L 80-86 28%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 8.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.2 4.7 1.1 0.1 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 7.6 5.3 0.9 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 8.8 5.5 0.7 0.0 18.2 4th
5th 0.2 3.4 8.9 5.0 0.6 18.2 5th
6th 0.4 3.1 6.6 3.3 0.4 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.6 1.7 0.2 8.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.0 3.4 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.8 7.6 12.0 15.4 16.7 15.6 12.1 8.3 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-2 94.7% 1.6    1.3 0.3 0.0
11-3 74.2% 3.3    1.9 1.2 0.2
10-4 31.8% 2.6    0.7 1.3 0.6 0.1
9-5 6.5% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.9% 8.9 4.5 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 38.9% 36.1% 2.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3%
13-1 0.5% 34.2% 34.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-2 1.7% 32.0% 32.0% 12.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2
11-3 4.4% 23.6% 23.6% 12.5 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 3.4
10-4 8.3% 19.7% 19.7% 12.8 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.7
9-5 12.1% 16.2% 16.2% 13.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.0 10.1
8-6 15.6% 11.8% 11.8% 13.4 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.8
7-7 16.7% 5.4% 5.4% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 15.8
6-8 15.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.3
5-9 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 12.0
4-10 7.6% 7.6
3-11 3.8% 3.8
2-12 1.4% 1.4
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 2.1 3.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 91.8 0.0%