Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#192
Expected Predictive Rating+15.4#20
Pace70.3#149
Improvement-0.8#280

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#98
First Shot+1.2#133
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#86
Layup/Dunks+1.1#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#174
Freethrows+0.8#150
Improvement+0.0#176

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#317
First Shot-3.1#277
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#269
Layups/Dunks-1.4#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#229
Freethrows+1.8#88
Improvement-0.8#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 9.8% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.2 13.6
.500 or above 88.3% 92.5% 77.3%
.500 or above in Conference 64.0% 67.6% 54.8%
Conference Champion 10.2% 11.4% 7.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 4.6% 7.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.9% 9.8% 6.6%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Away) - 72.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 34 - 6
Quad 413 - 316 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 334   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 72%     1 - 0 -4.6 -0.3 -4.5
  Nov 06, 2024 69   @ Villanova W 90-80 12%     2 - 0 +21.0 +25.5 -4.0
  Nov 09, 2024 345   Delaware St. W 83-62 90%     3 - 0 +5.7 -0.5 +4.7
  Nov 12, 2024 283   Lehigh W 76-75 77%     4 - 0 -8.3 +6.9 -15.1
  Nov 16, 2024 359   Mercyhurst W 77-63 92%     5 - 0 -3.4 +5.7 -7.6
  Nov 20, 2024 337   @ LIU Brooklyn W 82-76 72%    
  Nov 23, 2024 285   Stony Brook W 80-72 77%    
  Nov 25, 2024 341   New Hampshire W 83-70 89%    
  Dec 04, 2024 248   @ Albany L 81-82 49%    
  Dec 28, 2024 274   Fairfield W 78-71 74%    
  Dec 30, 2024 42   @ Rutgers L 67-83 8%    
  Jan 11, 2025 167   Cornell W 85-83 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 108   Yale L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 20, 2025 110   @ Princeton L 72-81 22%    
  Jan 25, 2025 268   @ Penn W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 31, 2025 243   Harvard W 78-72 69%    
  Feb 01, 2025 339   Dartmouth W 81-68 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 221   Brown W 78-73 65%    
  Feb 14, 2025 339   @ Dartmouth W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 243   @ Harvard L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 21, 2025 221   @ Brown L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 108   @ Yale L 71-80 23%    
  Feb 28, 2025 110   Princeton L 75-78 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 268   Penn W 80-73 73%    
  Mar 08, 2025 167   @ Cornell L 82-86 37%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.6 2.5 0.8 0.1 10.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.5 5.6 2.1 0.3 15.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 7.9 6.3 1.4 0.1 18.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 8.6 5.8 0.8 0.0 18.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 7.2 4.5 0.5 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.8 3.2 0.3 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.3 1.6 0.2 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.7 8th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.4 6.7 10.4 13.6 15.9 15.8 13.2 9.5 5.8 2.8 0.8 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.1
12-2 90.7% 2.5    2.0 0.5 0.0
11-3 62.2% 3.6    1.9 1.5 0.2
10-4 26.1% 2.5    0.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
9-5 4.6% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 5.5 3.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 42.4% 37.3% 5.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.1%
13-1 0.8% 44.0% 43.7% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.5%
12-2 2.8% 32.6% 32.6% 12.4 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.9
11-3 5.8% 25.5% 25.4% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.3 0.1%
10-4 9.5% 20.1% 20.1% 13.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 7.6
9-5 13.2% 15.4% 15.4% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.3 11.2
8-6 15.8% 9.8% 9.8% 13.9 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 14.3
7-7 15.9% 3.6% 3.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 15.3
6-8 13.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-9 10.4% 10.4
4-10 6.7% 6.7
3-11 3.4% 3.4
2-12 1.4% 1.4
1-13 0.4% 0.4
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0 3.4 2.4 0.9 0.1 91.1 0.0%