Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#235
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#171
Pace65.5#289
Improvement-0.4#234

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#304
First Shot-2.0#237
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#308
Layup/Dunks-0.2#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#323
Freethrows+3.1#51
Improvement-0.3#218

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#138
First Shot-1.6#234
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#45
Layups/Dunks-4.7#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#57
Freethrows-2.3#301
Improvement-0.1#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.3% 35.7% 24.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.6 15.4
.500 or above 70.8% 89.4% 69.2%
.500 or above in Conference 91.7% 96.5% 91.3%
Conference Champion 33.3% 47.1% 32.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four9.0% 6.2% 9.2%
First Round20.9% 32.7% 19.9%
Second Round0.7% 1.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 7.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 21 - 7
Quad 416 - 617 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 47   @ Mississippi L 64-66 7%     0 - 1 +10.8 -4.0 +14.8
  Nov 11, 2024 21   @ Florida L 62-86 4%     0 - 2 -7.0 -7.8 +1.8
  Nov 21, 2024 63   @ New Mexico L 66-81 8%    
  Nov 24, 2024 78   @ USC L 62-76 10%    
  Nov 26, 2024 294   @ Cal Poly W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 07, 2024 238   @ Pepperdine L 67-70 40%    
  Dec 16, 2024 271   SE Louisiana W 69-64 67%    
  Dec 19, 2024 345   Delaware St. W 71-62 78%    
  Dec 20, 2024 206   Norfolk St. L 66-67 45%    
  Dec 22, 2024 18   @ Cincinnati L 57-78 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 348   @ Prairie View W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 06, 2025 266   @ Texas Southern L 66-67 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 286   Bethune-Cookman W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 13, 2025 356   Florida A&M W 73-60 88%    
  Jan 18, 2025 275   @ Southern L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-56 89%    
  Jan 27, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-68 80%    
  Feb 01, 2025 320   Jackson St. W 72-64 76%    
  Feb 03, 2025 350   Alcorn St. W 71-59 86%    
  Feb 08, 2025 282   @ Alabama St. L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 10, 2025 346   @ Alabama A&M W 70-64 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 266   Texas Southern W 69-64 65%    
  Feb 17, 2025 348   Prairie View W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 22, 2025 275   Southern W 69-64 68%    
  Mar 01, 2025 356   @ Florida A&M W 70-63 74%    
  Mar 03, 2025 286   @ Bethune-Cookman L 66-67 49%    
  Mar 06, 2025 346   Alabama A&M W 73-61 84%    
  Mar 08, 2025 282   Alabama St. W 68-62 68%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 2.2 6.3 9.5 8.5 4.9 1.6 33.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.7 6.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 19.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.6 4.3 1.1 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.3 3.7 5.7 8.0 10.5 12.4 13.8 13.8 12.1 8.8 4.9 1.6 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
17-1 99.9% 4.9    4.9 0.1
16-2 95.8% 8.5    7.3 1.1 0.0
15-3 78.6% 9.5    6.3 2.9 0.3 0.0
14-4 45.8% 6.3    2.6 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.6% 2.2    0.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 33.3% 33.3 23.1 7.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.6% 62.1% 62.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6
17-1 4.9% 55.0% 55.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.2 2.2
16-2 8.8% 47.0% 47.0% 14.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 0.9 4.7
15-3 12.1% 39.1% 39.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.2 7.4
14-4 13.8% 31.0% 31.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 9.5
13-5 13.8% 23.6% 23.6% 15.8 0.1 0.4 2.8 10.6
12-6 12.4% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.2 10.2
11-7 10.5% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 1.4 9.0
10-8 8.0% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8 7.2
9-9 5.7% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.4 5.2
8-10 3.7% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 3.6
7-11 2.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.3
6-12 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 25.3% 25.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.3 6.3 14.0 74.7 0.0%