IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.7#361
Expected Predictive Rating-17.4#354
Pace68.4#207
Improvement-0.5#240

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#352
First Shot-7.9#353
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#176
Layup/Dunks-10.3#361
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#62
Freethrows+0.4#162
Improvement-0.8#302

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#352
First Shot-7.7#356
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#130
Layups/Dunks-4.1#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#329
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement+0.3#134
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 1.5% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 1.5% 2.9% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 65.8% 56.6% 68.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Neutral) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 45 - 145 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 80-94 1%     0 - 1 +0.6 +16.4 -16.3
  Nov 14, 2024 301   Eastern Michigan L 71-74 34%     0 - 2 -13.5 -6.8 -6.7
  Nov 18, 2024 12   @ Iowa St. L 52-87 0.5%    0 - 3 -15.6 -9.3 -6.1
  Nov 22, 2024 296   Coastal Carolina L 63-71 24%    
  Nov 23, 2024 321   South Carolina St. L 68-74 29%    
  Nov 25, 2024 346   @ Alabama A&M L 69-74 31%    
  Dec 04, 2024 252   Green Bay L 71-78 26%    
  Dec 07, 2024 201   Northern Kentucky L 63-73 18%    
  Dec 11, 2024 140   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-84 4%    
  Dec 14, 2024 355   @ Lindenwood L 69-73 37%    
  Dec 21, 2024 273   @ Florida International L 68-80 14%    
  Dec 29, 2024 210   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-83 9%    
  Jan 01, 2025 190   Youngstown St. L 67-77 18%    
  Jan 04, 2025 219   @ Cleveland St. L 62-77 9%    
  Jan 09, 2025 338   Detroit Mercy L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 15, 2025 176   @ Oakland L 60-77 7%    
  Jan 19, 2025 219   Cleveland St. L 65-74 22%    
  Jan 22, 2025 252   @ Green Bay L 68-81 12%    
  Jan 25, 2025 140   Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-81 12%    
  Jan 30, 2025 288   @ Robert Morris L 63-74 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 190   @ Youngstown St. L 64-80 8%    
  Feb 05, 2025 210   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 08, 2025 186   @ Wright St. L 70-86 8%    
  Feb 12, 2025 176   Oakland L 63-74 18%    
  Feb 19, 2025 338   @ Detroit Mercy L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 23, 2025 201   @ Northern Kentucky L 60-76 9%    
  Feb 27, 2025 288   Robert Morris L 66-71 32%    
  Mar 01, 2025 186   Wright St. L 73-83 18%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.1 2.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.9 3.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.3 2.7 6.4 7.9 6.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 26.5 10th
11th 6.5 13.8 15.5 10.9 5.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 54.3 11th
Total 6.5 14.1 18.3 17.5 14.5 11.1 7.6 4.7 2.8 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 50.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 16.7% 0.0    0.0
13-7 6.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.1% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.2% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-10 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
9-11 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
8-12 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
7-13 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
6-14 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
5-15 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
4-16 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.5
3-17 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.5
2-18 18.3% 18.3
1-19 14.1% 14.1
0-20 6.5% 6.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.8%