IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#326
Expected Predictive Rating-14.2#346
Pace64.1#297
Improvement+3.6#39

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#235
First Shot-2.0#228
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#228
Layup/Dunks-7.7#359
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#27
Freethrows+0.3#159
Improvement+1.5#87

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#353
First Shot-8.4#359
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#115
Layups/Dunks-2.5#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#349
Freethrows-1.9#308
Improvement+2.1#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 23.2% 5.1% 36.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Away) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 91 - 12
Quad 45 - 116 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 80-94 2%     0 - 1 +0.4 +18.2 -18.3
  Nov 14, 2024 313   Eastern Michigan L 71-74 55%     0 - 2 -14.4 -9.1 -5.2
  Nov 18, 2024 4   @ Iowa St. L 52-87 1%     0 - 3 -11.8 -8.9 -2.7
  Nov 22, 2024 292   Coastal Carolina L 57-71 40%     0 - 4 -21.5 -11.9 -11.8
  Nov 23, 2024 243   South Carolina St. L 62-72 29%     0 - 5 -14.4 -9.4 -5.4
  Nov 25, 2024 358   @ Alabama A&M W 88-83 56%     1 - 5 -6.8 +13.1 -19.9
  Dec 04, 2024 333   Green Bay W 84-75 64%     2 - 5 1 - 0 -5.0 +6.9 -11.5
  Dec 07, 2024 235   Northern Kentucky L 64-66 37%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -8.9 -1.7 -7.5
  Dec 11, 2024 145   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-78 10%     2 - 7 1 - 2 +2.1 +4.9 -2.9
  Dec 14, 2024 341   @ Lindenwood L 63-81 44%     2 - 8 -26.8 -10.0 -17.5
  Dec 21, 2024 241   @ Florida International L 69-75 21%     2 - 9 -7.6 +0.1 -8.0
  Dec 29, 2024 161   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 81-88 11%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -4.0 +11.8 -15.9
  Jan 01, 2025 208   Youngstown St. L 61-77 31%     2 - 11 1 - 4 -21.1 -7.1 -15.1
  Jan 04, 2025 173   @ Cleveland St. L 61-67 12%     2 - 12 1 - 5 -3.7 +0.7 -5.4
  Jan 09, 2025 331   Detroit Mercy W 95-61 62%     3 - 12 2 - 5 +20.6 +23.1 -0.2
  Jan 15, 2025 178   @ Oakland L 59-72 13%     3 - 13 2 - 6 -11.1 -6.9 -5.5
  Jan 19, 2025 173   Cleveland St. L 62-73 25%     3 - 14 2 - 7 -14.2 -6.2 -9.0
  Jan 22, 2025 333   @ Green Bay L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 145   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 30, 2025 216   @ Robert Morris L 68-78 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 208   @ Youngstown St. L 65-76 16%    
  Feb 05, 2025 161   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-78 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 177   @ Wright St. L 69-81 12%    
  Feb 12, 2025 178   Oakland L 63-70 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 331   @ Detroit Mercy L 70-72 41%    
  Feb 23, 2025 235   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 27, 2025 216   Robert Morris L 71-75 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 177   Wright St. L 72-79 27%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.0 6.3 8th
9th 0.5 5.7 13.1 13.6 6.3 1.4 0.1 40.7 9th
10th 1.5 9.8 16.3 9.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 40.0 10th
11th 4.1 4.9 2.0 0.2 11.2 11th
Total 5.6 15.2 23.9 23.0 17.3 9.2 3.9 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
9-11 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5
8-12 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.9
7-13 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
6-14 17.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 17.2
5-15 23.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 22.9
4-16 23.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 23.9
3-17 15.2% 15.2
2-18 5.6% 5.6
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.9%