Lamar
Southland
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#290
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#295
Pace70.1#157
Improvement-0.6#256

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#234
First Shot-5.8#323
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#30
Layup/Dunks-5.7#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#314
Freethrows+1.4#118
Improvement-0.4#234

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#322
First Shot-5.8#330
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#121
Layups/Dunks-3.1#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#326
Freethrows+0.2#174
Improvement-0.2#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 4.2% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 22.6% 44.5% 18.9%
.500 or above in Conference 46.7% 62.8% 43.9%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.7% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 1.9% 5.0%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round2.0% 3.8% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 811 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2024 23   @ Texas A&M L 71-97 3%     0 - 1 -9.3 +4.0 -12.6
  Nov 17, 2024 115   Sam Houston St. L 72-85 24%     0 - 2 -12.5 +1.2 -14.2
  Nov 22, 2024 139   @ Akron L 68-79 14%    
  Nov 23, 2024 282   Alabama St. L 71-72 48%    
  Nov 24, 2024 262   Nebraska Omaha L 74-76 44%    
  Dec 05, 2024 212   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 75-82 25%    
  Dec 07, 2024 191   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-84 22%    
  Dec 14, 2024 244   @ Louisiana L 71-77 31%    
  Dec 17, 2024 229   @ Southern Miss L 74-81 28%    
  Dec 21, 2024 14   @ Texas Tech L 61-86 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 357   Houston Christian W 81-71 82%    
  Jan 06, 2025 308   Incarnate Word W 79-75 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 182   Stephen F. Austin L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 13, 2025 358   New Orleans W 82-72 82%    
  Jan 18, 2025 91   @ McNeese St. L 64-79 9%    
  Jan 20, 2025 220   @ Nicholls St. L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 352   Texas A&M - Commerce W 76-67 79%    
  Jan 27, 2025 316   Northwestern St. W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 01, 2025 182   @ Stephen F. Austin L 63-72 22%    
  Feb 03, 2025 271   @ SE Louisiana L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 191   UT Rio Grande Valley L 79-81 41%    
  Feb 10, 2025 212   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 78-79 46%    
  Feb 15, 2025 352   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 17, 2025 316   @ Northwestern St. L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 357   @ Houston Christian W 78-74 65%    
  Feb 24, 2025 308   @ Incarnate Word L 76-78 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 91   McNeese St. L 67-76 21%    
  Mar 03, 2025 220   Nicholls St. L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.4 4.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 1.7 0.6 0.1 5.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.6 5.5 7.9 10.1 11.5 12.1 11.6 10.5 8.4 6.6 4.4 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 93.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 68.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 36.5% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 13.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.2% 44.3% 44.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.7% 25.8% 25.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.4% 24.1% 24.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.1
15-5 2.8% 13.2% 13.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.5
14-6 4.4% 8.7% 8.7% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 4.0
13-7 6.6% 5.2% 5.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.3
12-8 8.4% 3.1% 3.1% 15.8 0.1 0.2 8.1
11-9 10.5% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.3
10-10 11.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.5
9-11 12.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.0
8-12 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
7-13 10.1% 10.1
6-14 7.9% 7.9
5-15 5.5% 5.5
4-16 3.6% 3.6
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 97.7 0.0%