IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.2	#357
Expected Predictive Rating	-14.8	#342

Pace	76.1	#42
Improvement	-0.6	#251

Offense
Total Offense	-7.5	#349

First Shot	-7.0	#343
After Offensive Rebound	-0.5	#206

Layup/Dunks	-0.6	#197
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.1	#45
3 Pt Jumpshots	-8.6	#356
Freethrows	-0.9	#233

Improvement	-0.9	#304

Defense
Total Defense	-6.8	#351

First Shot	-5.9	#333
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.9	#249

Layups/Dunks	-2.1	#248
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.5	#164
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.9	#307
Freethrows	-0.4	#207

Improvement	+0.3	#147

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	15.9

.500 or above	0.1%	1.0%	0.1%
.500 or above in Conference	5.2%	12.8%	4.9%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	37.0%	23.1%	37.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 4.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 12	6 - 25

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	67	@ Kansas St.	L	65-89	2%	0 - 1			-12.6	+1.5	-15.2
Nov 09, 2024	124	Troy	L	61-78	10%	0 - 2			-17.4	-15.2	-0.8
Nov 14, 2024	355	Lindenwood	W	82-74	49%	1 - 2			-5.9	-0.5	-5.7
Nov 15, 2024	343	Stonehill	L	54-80	42%	1 - 3			-38.3	-23.0	-14.9
Nov 17, 2024	288	@ Robert Morris	L	62-73	16%	1 - 4			-14.4	-13.3	-0.7
Nov 22, 2024	146	@ Tulane	L	68-86	4%
Nov 27, 2024	11	@ Baylor	L	58-92	0.1%
Dec 07, 2024	230	@ Nicholls St.	L	66-80	10%
Dec 15, 2024	41	@ Iowa	L	68-97	0.5%
Dec 19, 2024	29	@ Texas	L	60-90	0.3%
Dec 22, 2024	48	@ LSU	L	64-91	1%
Dec 28, 2024	91	@ McNeese St.	L	61-84	2%
Dec 30, 2024	82	@ Vanderbilt	L	67-91	1%
Jan 04, 2025	193	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	76-86	19%
Jan 06, 2025	215	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	76-85	22%
Jan 11, 2025	270	SE Louisiana	L	71-77	31%
Jan 13, 2025	290	@ Lamar	L	72-82	18%
Jan 18, 2025	352	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	L	71-75	35%
Jan 20, 2025	312	@ Northwestern St.	L	70-79	22%
Jan 25, 2025	358	Houston Christian	W	79-76	60%
Jan 27, 2025	308	Incarnate Word	L	76-79	40%
Feb 01, 2025	270	@ SE Louisiana	L	68-80	16%
Feb 03, 2025	181	Stephen F. Austin	L	64-74	19%
Feb 08, 2025	358	@ Houston Christian	L	76-79	40%
Feb 10, 2025	308	@ Incarnate Word	L	73-82	22%
Feb 15, 2025	91	McNeese St.	L	64-81	7%
Feb 17, 2025	230	Nicholls St.	L	69-77	25%
Feb 22, 2025	312	Northwestern St.	L	73-76	41%
Feb 24, 2025	352	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	74-72	56%
Mar 01, 2025	193	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	73-89	8%
Mar 03, 2025	215	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	73-88	11%
Projected Record						6 - 25	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0								0.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.1									1.7	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	1.1	1.2	0.3	0.0										2.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.5	1.7	2.0	0.7	0.0											4.9	7th
8th						0.0	0.7	2.8	3.1	1.1	0.1	0.0											7.8	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.4	4.6	4.5	1.7	0.2	0.0												12.5	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	3.0	6.8	5.9	2.1	0.2	0.0													18.5	10th
11th		0.1	1.9	5.9	8.5	6.0	1.8	0.2	0.0														24.4	11th
12th	1.4	4.9	7.9	7.1	3.7	0.9	0.1	0.0															25.9	12th

Total	1.4	5.1	9.8	13.5	15.3	15.2	13.0	10.1	7.0	4.5	2.7	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	0.0%
16-4	33.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-5	7.1%	0.0		0.0
14-6	1.9%	0.0					0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	0.0%																							0.0
16-4	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
15-5	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
14-6	0.1%		7.7%	7.7%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.1
13-7	0.3%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
12-8	0.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
11-9	1.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
10-10	2.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
9-11	4.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
8-12	7.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.0
7-13	10.1%																							10.1
6-14	13.0%																							13.0
5-15	15.2%																							15.2
4-16	15.3%																							15.3
3-17	13.5%																							13.5
2-18	9.8%																							9.8
1-19	5.1%																							5.1
0-20	1.4%																							1.4

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.4%