Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#325
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#293
Pace70.0#158
Improvement-0.3#212

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#340
First Shot-2.7#253
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#344
Layup/Dunks-2.0#251
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#26
Freethrows-2.5#304
Improvement-1.0#312

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#264
First Shot-2.6#269
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#199
Layups/Dunks-1.9#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#82
Freethrows-4.0#341
Improvement+0.7#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.5% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 5.4% 17.5% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 19.2% 33.6% 18.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 23.0% 13.4% 23.6%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round0.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 6.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 47 - 88 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 220   @ Georgia Southern L 65-80 19%     0 - 1 -14.8 -12.3 -1.5
  Nov 12, 2024 265   Monmouth W 79-66 47%     1 - 1 +4.6 -0.3 +4.6
  Nov 16, 2024 95   @ Bradley L 60-76 6%     1 - 2 -7.6 -6.0 -2.3
  Nov 20, 2024 207   Elon L 48-75 35%     1 - 3 -32.2 -26.5 -6.8
  Nov 23, 2024 110   @ DePaul L 64-80 6%    
  Nov 27, 2024 276   @ Valparaiso L 68-74 28%    
  Nov 29, 2024 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 67-71 37%    
  Dec 07, 2024 119   @ Northern Iowa L 63-78 8%    
  Dec 18, 2024 173   @ Illinois St. L 62-73 15%    
  Jan 04, 2025 300   @ Eastern Michigan L 65-70 34%    
  Jan 07, 2025 123   Kent St. L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 11, 2025 158   @ Ohio L 68-80 14%    
  Jan 14, 2025 228   Miami (OH) L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 204   Central Michigan L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 21, 2025 323   @ Western Michigan L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 280   Ball St. W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 28, 2025 140   Akron L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 137   @ Toledo L 68-82 11%    
  Feb 04, 2025 262   @ Bowling Green L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 11, 2025 331   Buffalo W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 15, 2025 280   @ Ball St. L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 18, 2025 140   @ Akron L 64-78 12%    
  Feb 22, 2025 300   Eastern Michigan W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 25, 2025 228   @ Miami (OH) L 66-75 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 323   Western Michigan W 73-70 60%    
  Mar 04, 2025 262   Bowling Green L 72-73 47%    
  Mar 07, 2025 204   @ Central Michigan L 63-73 19%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.2 1.3 0.1 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.6 1.9 0.2 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.5 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.2 3.6 0.4 0.0 13.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.6 4.1 0.6 0.0 15.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.1 6.1 3.6 0.8 0.0 15.9 11th
12th 0.6 2.4 4.5 4.4 2.3 0.5 0.0 14.7 12th
Total 0.6 2.5 5.6 9.1 12.2 14.0 14.0 12.5 10.3 7.6 5.3 3.2 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 82.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 78.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 13.6% 13.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 11.9% 11.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.8% 7.0% 7.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 1.8% 3.9% 3.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
11-7 3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 3.1
10-8 5.3% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.2
9-9 7.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.5
8-10 10.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.2
7-11 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
6-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
5-13 14.0% 14.0
4-14 12.2% 12.2
3-15 9.1% 9.1
2-16 5.6% 5.6
1-17 2.5% 2.5
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%