Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#238
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#258
Pace69.1#182
Improvement+0.2#147

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#200
First Shot+0.7#149
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#276
Layup/Dunks+1.6#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#253
Freethrows-0.5#209
Improvement+0.0#183

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#267
First Shot-2.1#245
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#231
Layups/Dunks+2.0#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#264
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement+0.2#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.0 13.0
.500 or above 12.1% 29.1% 9.6%
.500 or above in Conference 13.3% 21.8% 12.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.4% 9.4% 17.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 12.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 11
Quad 32 - 53 - 15
Quad 48 - 411 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 325   Western Illinois W 77-64 79%     1 - 0 +0.9 +1.3 +0.0
  Nov 09, 2024 158   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 26%     1 - 1 -14.9 +1.2 -15.5
  Nov 16, 2024 57   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 8%     1 - 2 -5.9 -2.4 -3.6
  Nov 20, 2024 97   @ UNLV L 67-79 13%    
  Nov 22, 2024 74   @ Northwestern L 62-76 9%    
  Nov 26, 2024 270   Cal St. Fullerton W 73-68 67%    
  Nov 29, 2024 153   New Mexico St. L 69-73 36%    
  Dec 07, 2024 235   Grambling St. W 70-67 60%    
  Dec 14, 2024 277   Northern Arizona W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 19, 2024 259   Long Beach St. W 75-71 65%    
  Dec 21, 2024 169   UC Davis L 74-75 49%    
  Dec 28, 2024 99   @ Santa Clara L 70-82 15%    
  Dec 30, 2024 1   Gonzaga L 68-91 2%    
  Jan 02, 2025 44   @ St. Mary's L 61-79 6%    
  Jan 04, 2025 291   @ Pacific W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 152   Loyola Marymount L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 16, 2025 59   San Francisco L 68-78 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 44   St. Mary's L 64-76 16%    
  Jan 23, 2025 98   @ Oregon St. L 63-75 15%    
  Jan 25, 2025 291   Pacific W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 30, 2025 298   @ San Diego W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 01, 2025 289   Portland W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 80   @ Washington St. L 68-82 11%    
  Feb 13, 2025 298   San Diego W 78-71 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 65-94 1%    
  Feb 20, 2025 98   Oregon St. L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 27, 2025 289   @ Portland L 72-73 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 80   Washington St. L 71-79 25%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.0 3.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.6 6.6 4.1 0.9 0.0 15.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 6.1 8.9 4.8 0.8 0.0 21.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 7.0 7.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 19.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 5.8 5.2 1.4 0.1 14.5 10th
11th 0.5 2.2 3.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.4 11th
Total 0.5 2.4 5.6 9.7 13.8 15.8 15.8 13.4 9.8 6.4 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 9.1% 0.0    0.0
14-4 8.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 2.8% 2.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 0.3
12-6 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 1.9
10-8 3.7% 0.2% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 3.7
9-9 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 6.4
8-10 9.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.8
7-11 13.4% 13.4
6-12 15.8% 15.8
5-13 15.8% 15.8
4-14 13.8% 13.8
3-15 9.7% 9.7
2-16 5.6% 5.6
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%