Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#225
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#147
Pace76.6#38
Improvement+2.0#25

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#270
First Shot-3.1#264
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#194
Layup/Dunks-0.4#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#310
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement+0.6#100

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#161
First Shot-0.2#181
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#169
Layups/Dunks+1.1#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#309
Freethrows+2.1#77
Improvement+1.4#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% 17.4% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 69.5% 84.1% 63.9%
.500 or above in Conference 77.4% 84.8% 74.6%
Conference Champion 15.4% 21.0% 13.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.7% 1.8%
First Four1.9% 1.4% 2.1%
First Round12.0% 16.6% 10.2%
Second Round0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 27.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 415 - 618 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 98   @ Yale L 62-88 15%     0 - 1 -17.8 -9.8 -7.3
  Nov 09, 2024 16   @ St. John's L 73-96 4%     0 - 2 -5.5 -0.7 -2.2
  Nov 15, 2024 236   Maine W 58-55 64%     1 - 2 -3.8 -12.7 +9.0
  Nov 19, 2024 309   @ Navy W 74-63 59%     2 - 2 +5.6 +1.1 +5.0
  Nov 23, 2024 155   @ Umass Lowell L 74-80 28%    
  Nov 25, 2024 100   @ Saint Louis L 73-84 16%    
  Dec 01, 2024 343   @ Stonehill W 74-68 72%    
  Dec 06, 2024 242   @ Rider L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 08, 2024 333   Sacred Heart W 83-73 83%    
  Dec 17, 2024 316   Holy Cross W 79-70 78%    
  Dec 21, 2024 254   @ Central Connecticut St. L 70-71 46%    
  Dec 29, 2024 134   Hofstra L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 03, 2025 180   @ St. Peter's L 65-70 32%    
  Jan 05, 2025 233   @ Marist L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 10, 2025 306   Siena W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 12, 2025 247   @ Iona L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 16, 2025 223   Merrimack W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 278   @ Mount St. Mary's W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 25, 2025 242   Rider W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 31, 2025 271   Fairfield W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 02, 2025 306   @ Siena W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 06, 2025 351   Canisius W 80-67 87%    
  Feb 08, 2025 324   Niagara W 79-70 78%    
  Feb 14, 2025 333   @ Sacred Heart W 80-76 65%    
  Feb 16, 2025 247   Iona W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 23, 2025 329   @ Manhattan W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 28, 2025 180   St. Peter's W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 02, 2025 223   @ Merrimack L 67-70 39%    
  Mar 06, 2025 278   Mount St. Mary's W 76-70 70%    
  Mar 08, 2025 271   @ Fairfield L 72-73 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.3 4.0 3.5 2.0 0.6 0.2 15.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.6 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.1 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.8 3.6 0.9 0.1 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.5 3.5 0.9 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.7 0.9 0.1 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.1 1.3 0.1 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.3 0.2 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.2 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.6 3.9 5.9 7.8 10.0 11.3 12.2 12.2 10.6 8.5 5.9 3.9 2.0 0.6 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 99.6% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 98.4% 2.0    1.9 0.1
17-3 88.7% 3.5    2.8 0.6 0.0
16-4 68.5% 4.0    2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 39.0% 3.3    1.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 14.6% 1.6    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.4% 15.4 9.8 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 48.5% 48.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.6% 49.0% 49.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 2.0% 37.1% 37.1% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2
17-3 3.9% 34.2% 34.2% 13.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.6
16-4 5.9% 28.7% 28.7% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 4.2
15-5 8.5% 24.7% 24.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 6.4
14-6 10.6% 20.3% 20.3% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.7 8.5
13-7 12.2% 14.1% 14.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 10.5
12-8 12.2% 10.5% 10.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 10.9
11-9 11.3% 6.2% 6.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 10.6
10-10 10.0% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.5
9-11 7.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.6
8-12 5.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 5.8
7-13 3.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.9
6-14 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.7 4.5 4.2 87.1 0.0%