IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.6	#228
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.6	#230

Pace	68.2	#203
Improvement	+0.3	#161

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#305

First Shot	-3.7	#288
After Offensive Rebound	-1.1	#256

Layup/Dunks	+0.5	#160
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.4	#57
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.1	#279
Freethrows	-3.4	#345

Improvement	-0.2	#190

Defense
Total Defense	+1.2	#133

First Shot	-1.3	#219
After Offensive Rebounds	+2.5	#25

Layups/Dunks	-0.7	#195
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.1	#90
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.1	#237
Freethrows	-0.7	#234

Improvement	+0.4	#147

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.6%	8.9%	4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.5	14.9

.500 or above	59.3%	80.3%	56.5%
.500 or above in Conference	70.2%	88.0%	67.8%
Conference Champion	3.2%	12.9%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	1.3%	0.3%	1.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	4.4%	8.8%	3.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Away) - 11.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 7	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2024	129	@ UAB	L	72-82	21%	0 - 1			-5.1	-2.4	-2.6
Nov 12, 2024	28	@ Mississippi St.	L	59-80	4%	0 - 2			-4.7	-9.0	+4.9
Nov 18, 2024	329	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	70-67	63%	1 - 2			-3.9	-4.3	+0.4
Nov 22, 2024	161	@ Wyoming	L	61-64	27%	1 - 3			-0.2	-8.8	+8.5
Nov 26, 2024	238	Gardner-Webb	L	69-73	53%	1 - 4			-8.3	-8.8	+0.7
Nov 27, 2024	278	North Dakota	W	76-60	61%	2 - 4			+9.6	+2.0	+8.5
Dec 02, 2024	203	@ Tulane	W	71-67	33%	3 - 4			+5.0	+2.5	+2.8
Dec 05, 2024	241	@ Nicholls St.	L	64-67	42%	3 - 5	0 - 1		-4.5	-12.2	+7.8
Dec 11, 2024	291	@ Louisiana	L	61-68	51%	3 - 6			-10.9	-13.0	+2.0
Dec 16, 2024	308	@ Grambling St.	W	75-65	56%	4 - 6			+4.9	+7.2	-1.4
Dec 30, 2024	92	@ McNeese St.	L	60-73	12%
Jan 04, 2025	186	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	70-69	53%
Jan 06, 2025	227	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	75-72	61%
Jan 11, 2025	345	@ New Orleans	W	74-69	69%
Jan 13, 2025	217	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	60-64	35%
Jan 18, 2025	292	@ Northwestern St.	W	66-65	51%
Jan 20, 2025	353	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	70-64	71%
Jan 25, 2025	304	Incarnate Word	W	73-66	74%
Jan 27, 2025	349	Houston Christian	W	74-62	85%
Feb 01, 2025	345	New Orleans	W	77-66	85%
Feb 03, 2025	175	Lamar	W	67-66	51%
Feb 08, 2025	304	@ Incarnate Word	W	70-69	54%
Feb 10, 2025	349	@ Houston Christian	W	71-65	69%
Feb 15, 2025	241	Nicholls St.	W	71-67	64%
Feb 17, 2025	92	McNeese St.	L	63-70	28%
Feb 22, 2025	353	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	73-61	86%
Feb 24, 2025	292	Northwestern St.	W	69-63	71%
Mar 01, 2025	186	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	67-72	32%
Mar 03, 2025	227	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	72-75	39%
Projected Record						15 - 14	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.3	0.9	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0			3.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.9	3.8	3.1	1.3	0.3	0.0				10.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	3.1	5.6	3.5	0.9	0.1						13.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	3.4	6.2	3.5	0.7	0.0							14.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	3.1	6.3	3.5	0.5	0.0								13.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.6	5.9	3.7	0.6	0.0									13.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.7	4.9	3.5	0.6	0.0										10.8	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	1.4	3.6	3.0	0.6	0.0											8.8	8th
9th						0.1	1.1	2.5	2.1	0.4	0.0												6.3	9th
10th					0.1	0.6	1.4	1.0	0.2	0.0													3.4	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0														1.5	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.5	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.5	3.0	5.2	7.9	11.3	13.6	14.5	13.8	11.5	8.3	5.0	2.4	0.9	0.2	0.0				Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	97.2%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	70.8%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
16-4	43.8%	1.0		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
15-5	18.2%	0.9		0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0
14-6	3.7%	0.3		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.2%	3.2		1.3	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																		0.0		0.0			0.0
18-2	0.2%		26.9%	26.9%		12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
17-3	0.9%		27.0%	27.0%		13.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.7
16-4	2.4%		22.4%	22.4%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.9
15-5	5.0%		16.2%	16.2%		14.5														0.1	0.3	0.4	0.0	4.2
14-6	8.3%		11.8%	11.8%		14.8														0.0	0.3	0.5	0.2	7.3
13-7	11.5%		7.3%	7.3%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.3	10.7
12-8	13.8%		3.7%	3.7%		15.4															0.0	0.2	0.2	13.3
11-9	14.5%		2.7%	2.7%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	14.1
10-10	13.6%		1.1%	1.1%		15.7																0.0	0.1	13.5
9-11	11.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	11.2
8-12	7.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
7-13	5.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
6-14	3.0%																							3.0
5-15	1.5%																							1.5
4-16	0.6%																							0.6
3-17	0.2%																							0.2
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		4.6%	4.6%	0.0%	14.8													0.0	0.3	1.2	2.0	1.1	95.4		0.0%