SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#271
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#185
Pace67.9#229
Improvement-0.3#215

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#272
First Shot-0.1#181
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#335
Layup/Dunks+0.2#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
Freethrows-1.8#271
Improvement-0.2#201

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#243
First Shot-2.4#257
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#173
Layups/Dunks-1.4#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement-0.1#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 5.5% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 39.8% 59.8% 33.3%
.500 or above in Conference 61.6% 72.4% 58.2%
Conference Champion 3.2% 5.3% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.1% 2.7%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round3.3% 5.4% 2.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wyoming (Away) - 24.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 412 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 103   @ UAB L 72-82 11%     0 - 1 -2.4 +0.4 -2.6
  Nov 12, 2024 29   @ Mississippi St. L 59-80 3%     0 - 2 -5.0 -7.7 +3.3
  Nov 18, 2024 324   @ Louisiana Monroe W 70-67 51%     1 - 2 -3.0 -3.8 +0.8
  Nov 22, 2024 185   @ Wyoming L 67-74 24%    
  Nov 26, 2024 222   Gardner-Webb L 71-74 40%    
  Dec 02, 2024 146   @ Tulane L 68-78 19%    
  Dec 05, 2024 220   @ Nicholls St. L 66-72 30%    
  Dec 11, 2024 244   @ Louisiana L 69-73 34%    
  Dec 16, 2024 235   @ Grambling St. L 64-69 33%    
  Dec 30, 2024 91   @ McNeese St. L 62-76 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 212   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 06, 2025 191   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 358   @ New Orleans W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 13, 2025 182   @ Stephen F. Austin L 61-69 25%    
  Jan 18, 2025 316   @ Northwestern St. L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 20, 2025 352   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 25, 2025 308   Incarnate Word W 76-71 68%    
  Jan 27, 2025 357   Houston Christian W 79-67 84%    
  Feb 01, 2025 358   New Orleans W 80-68 84%    
  Feb 03, 2025 290   Lamar W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 308   @ Incarnate Word L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 10, 2025 357   @ Houston Christian W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 220   Nicholls St. W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 17, 2025 91   McNeese St. L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 352   Texas A&M - Commerce W 74-64 81%    
  Feb 24, 2025 316   Northwestern St. W 73-67 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 212   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-79 30%    
  Mar 03, 2025 191   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-80 27%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.7 3.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.0 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.5 3.9 0.9 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.6 3.6 0.8 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.4 3.3 0.7 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.9 7.1 9.5 11.5 12.1 12.2 11.4 9.3 7.0 4.7 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 98.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 92.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
17-3 66.3% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.0
16-4 36.6% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 12.1% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 48.2% 48.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 31.7% 31.7% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.3% 26.0% 26.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-4 2.9% 19.1% 19.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.4
15-5 4.7% 13.8% 13.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.1
14-6 7.0% 8.0% 8.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 6.4
13-7 9.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.8
12-8 11.4% 3.0% 3.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.1
11-9 12.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.1
10-10 12.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.0
9-11 11.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.4
8-12 9.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.5
7-13 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.1
6-14 4.9% 4.9
5-15 2.8% 2.8
4-16 1.6% 1.6
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.2 96.5 0.0%