South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#247
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#269
Pace70.4#143
Improvement+4.7#12

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#272
First Shot-5.4#327
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#69
Layup/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#330
Freethrows-1.1#251
Improvement+2.9#21

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#212
First Shot-0.4#184
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#262
Layups/Dunks-3.0#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#66
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#36
Freethrows-2.9#337
Improvement+1.8#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.2% 21.5% 16.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 53.0% 70.2% 45.2%
.500 or above in Conference 86.6% 90.4% 84.9%
Conference Champion 21.1% 25.5% 19.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.6% 1.0%
First Four10.1% 9.6% 10.4%
First Round13.3% 16.9% 11.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 31.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 414 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 64-86 8%     0 - 1 -10.7 -4.9 -5.4
  Nov 14, 2024 205   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 29%     0 - 2 -8.0 -8.7 +0.8
  Nov 16, 2024 262   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 41%     0 - 3 -15.5 -11.3 -3.7
  Nov 22, 2024 361   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 76%     1 - 3 -0.1 +4.0 -4.1
  Nov 23, 2024 354   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 78%     2 - 3 -2.8 -5.4 +3.0
  Nov 27, 2024 190   @ Marshall L 53-82 27%     2 - 4 -27.3 -17.5 -10.3
  Dec 01, 2024 47   @ Xavier L 68-71 5%     2 - 5 +10.5 -0.7 +11.3
  Dec 05, 2024 112   Samford L 81-88 31%     2 - 6 -6.6 +7.0 -13.8
  Dec 09, 2024 301   Charleston Southern W 82-63 72%     3 - 6 +8.3 +4.0 +4.4
  Dec 14, 2024 128   @ Furman L 64-68 18%     3 - 7 +1.1 +4.7 -4.2
  Dec 18, 2024 338   @ South Carolina Upstate W 85-70 63%     4 - 7 +6.8 -1.4 +6.5
  Dec 21, 2024 214   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-71 31%    
  Dec 29, 2024 32   @ Georgia L 61-81 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 348   @ Morgan St. W 79-75 66%    
  Jan 06, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 73-63 84%    
  Jan 11, 2025 326   @ Delaware St. W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 13, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-66 87%    
  Jan 25, 2025 276   @ NC Central L 71-73 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 181   @ Norfolk St. L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 03, 2025 255   @ Howard L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 348   Morgan St. W 82-72 83%    
  Feb 17, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 76-60 93%    
  Feb 22, 2025 326   @ Delaware St. W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 24, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-69 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 181   Norfolk St. L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 03, 2025 255   Howard W 76-73 61%    
  Mar 06, 2025 276   NC Central W 74-70 66%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.9 7.3 6.2 2.6 0.5 21.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 7.5 10.3 4.7 0.6 24.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 8.0 9.3 2.5 0.1 21.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 6.7 6.4 1.5 0.0 16.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.2 3.9 0.6 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.8 7.5 12.5 16.4 18.9 16.8 12.1 6.8 2.6 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
13-1 100.0% 2.6    2.5 0.1
12-2 90.6% 6.2    4.8 1.4 0.0
11-3 60.5% 7.3    3.6 3.3 0.5 0.0
10-4 23.2% 3.9    0.8 1.8 1.2 0.2
9-5 3.1% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 21.1% 21.1 12.1 6.7 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.5% 41.9% 41.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
13-1 2.6% 40.6% 40.6% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 1.5
12-2 6.8% 36.5% 36.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 4.3
11-3 12.1% 29.7% 29.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.8 8.5
10-4 16.8% 23.3% 23.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.6 12.9
9-5 18.9% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 0.1 3.0 15.8
8-6 16.4% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.0 1.9 14.6
7-7 12.5% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 1.2 11.3
6-8 7.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.6 6.9
5-9 3.8% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.2 3.6
4-10 1.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 1.5
3-11 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-12 0.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.8 14.8 81.8 0.0%