South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#314
Expected Predictive Rating-12.7#320
Pace71.1#122
Improvement-0.2#203

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#325
First Shot-6.2#334
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#138
Layup/Dunks+0.5#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#348
Freethrows-1.8#270
Improvement-0.3#224

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#272
First Shot-2.1#254
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#252
Layups/Dunks-0.7#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows-2.0#287
Improvement+0.1#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 10.0% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 19.7% 27.8% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 60.1% 66.4% 53.0%
Conference Champion 8.0% 9.9% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.8% 7.3%
First Four6.6% 7.8% 5.3%
First Round4.8% 6.1% 3.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Away) - 53.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 410 - 911 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 72   @ South Carolina L 64-86 5%     0 - 1 -11.2 -4.5 -6.1
  Nov 14, 2024 187   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 17%     0 - 2 -7.3 -9.0 +1.9
  Nov 16, 2024 287   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 31%     0 - 3 -16.4 -12.1 -3.8
  Nov 22, 2024 345   @ Alabama A&M W 72-71 54%    
  Nov 23, 2024 361   IU Indianapolis W 74-68 72%    
  Nov 27, 2024 196   @ Marshall L 69-79 18%    
  Dec 01, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 63-86 2%    
  Dec 05, 2024 127   Samford L 76-84 23%    
  Dec 09, 2024 310   Charleston Southern W 73-70 60%    
  Dec 14, 2024 133   @ Furman L 67-80 11%    
  Dec 18, 2024 313   @ South Carolina Upstate L 74-77 39%    
  Dec 21, 2024 203   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-74 20%    
  Dec 29, 2024 54   @ Georgia L 63-84 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 332   @ Morgan St. L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 06, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 71-63 76%    
  Jan 11, 2025 346   @ Delaware St. W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 13, 2025 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 25, 2025 264   @ NC Central L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 197   @ Norfolk St. L 65-75 19%    
  Feb 03, 2025 231   @ Howard L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 332   Morgan St. W 78-74 65%    
  Feb 17, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 74-60 88%    
  Feb 22, 2025 346   @ Delaware St. W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 24, 2025 354   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-69 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 197   Norfolk St. L 68-72 36%    
  Mar 03, 2025 231   Howard L 72-74 43%    
  Mar 06, 2025 264   NC Central L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.9 2.0 0.8 0.1 8.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.3 5.3 2.1 0.3 12.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 6.4 6.6 1.7 0.1 16.9 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 8.5 6.8 1.3 0.0 19.9 4th
5th 0.4 4.0 7.9 5.0 0.7 0.0 18.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.7 6.0 2.9 0.3 13.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.1 1.2 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.7 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.3 7.5 11.5 14.2 15.7 14.8 12.5 8.9 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.1
12-2 88.5% 2.0    1.5 0.5 0.0
11-3 56.6% 2.9    1.3 1.3 0.3
10-4 20.8% 1.8    0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
9-5 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.0% 8.0 4.0 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 41.2% 41.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.8% 43.8% 43.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4
12-2 2.3% 33.2% 33.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5
11-3 5.1% 25.3% 25.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.8
10-4 8.9% 17.5% 17.5% 16.0 0.0 1.5 7.3
9-5 12.5% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5 11.0
8-6 14.8% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 1.1 13.7
7-7 15.7% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.8 14.9
6-8 14.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 13.8
5-9 11.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 11.3
4-10 7.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.4
3-11 4.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.3
2-12 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-13 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.6 91.9 0.0%