South Dakota St.
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#117
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#97
Pace72.4#94
Improvement+2.5#36

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#110
First Shot+0.1#177
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#70
Layup/Dunks+2.0#113
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#216
Freethrows+0.7#145
Improvement+1.5#68

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#154
First Shot-3.3#279
After Offensive Rebounds+3.7#15
Layups/Dunks+5.3#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#290
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.2#359
Freethrows+1.1#115
Improvement+0.9#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.8% 41.2% 35.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.1 13.6
.500 or above 96.4% 98.5% 93.6%
.500 or above in Conference 96.9% 97.9% 95.6%
Conference Champion 54.5% 58.3% 49.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round38.7% 41.2% 35.5%
Second Round4.5% 5.3% 3.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana (Away) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 35 - 7
Quad 415 - 321 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 79   McNeese St. W 80-73 36%     1 - 0 +13.5 +5.6 +7.5
  Nov 08, 2024 324   Long Beach St. W 80-79 91%     2 - 0 -11.3 +1.8 -13.1
  Nov 14, 2024 153   Northern Colorado L 69-78 60%     2 - 1 -8.7 -5.5 -3.1
  Nov 20, 2024 267   Southern Miss W 101-76 86%     3 - 1 +16.2 +6.9 +4.9
  Nov 24, 2024 220   Duquesne W 71-60 71%     4 - 1 +8.2 +4.2 +4.6
  Nov 25, 2024 59   Boise St. L 82-83 26%     4 - 2 +8.5 +13.7 -5.2
  Nov 26, 2024 169   Missouri St. W 75-55 62%     5 - 2 +19.6 +9.1 +11.9
  Dec 04, 2024 206   @ Montana W 77-75 57%    
  Dec 07, 2024 239   Eastern Washington W 85-75 83%    
  Dec 11, 2024 49   @ Nevada L 67-77 17%    
  Dec 13, 2024 82   @ Colorado L 71-78 27%    
  Dec 29, 2024 9   @ Alabama L 75-93 5%    
  Jan 02, 2025 335   Denver W 85-69 93%    
  Jan 08, 2025 156   @ St. Thomas L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 298   @ Nebraska Omaha W 79-72 74%    
  Jan 16, 2025 285   North Dakota W 81-69 87%    
  Jan 18, 2025 266   Oral Roberts W 83-71 85%    
  Jan 23, 2025 277   @ UMKC W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 243   South Dakota W 87-77 83%    
  Jan 30, 2025 204   @ North Dakota St. W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 01, 2025 285   @ North Dakota W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 06, 2025 156   St. Thomas W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 13, 2025 298   Nebraska Omaha W 82-69 87%    
  Feb 15, 2025 243   @ South Dakota W 84-80 65%    
  Feb 19, 2025 204   North Dakota St. W 79-71 75%    
  Feb 23, 2025 277   UMKC W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 27, 2025 266   @ Oral Roberts W 80-74 68%    
  Mar 01, 2025 335   @ Denver W 82-72 81%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.4 9.2 14.8 14.5 9.3 2.8 54.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.8 7.8 7.2 3.2 0.5 23.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.6 4.7 2.7 0.7 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.6 2.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.8 6.7 10.3 14.0 17.2 18.0 14.9 9.3 2.8 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 2.8    2.8
15-1 100.0% 9.3    9.1 0.1
14-2 96.9% 14.5    13.2 1.3 0.0
13-3 82.4% 14.8    10.9 3.7 0.2
12-4 53.7% 9.2    4.6 3.9 0.7 0.0
11-5 24.1% 3.4    0.8 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
10-6 5.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 54.5% 54.5 41.5 10.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 2.8% 64.1% 64.0% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.0 0.2%
15-1 9.3% 59.4% 59.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 3.8
14-2 14.9% 51.3% 51.3% 12.8 0.1 2.5 3.8 1.2 0.1 7.3
13-3 18.0% 46.4% 46.4% 13.2 0.0 1.6 4.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.6
12-4 17.2% 37.6% 37.6% 13.5 0.7 2.5 2.5 0.8 0.0 10.7
11-5 14.0% 30.7% 30.7% 13.9 0.1 1.1 2.0 1.1 0.0 9.7
10-6 10.3% 24.2% 24.2% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.1 7.8
9-7 6.7% 20.1% 20.1% 14.6 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 5.3
8-8 3.8% 15.3% 15.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 3.2
7-9 1.8% 13.3% 13.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5
6-10 0.8% 9.2% 9.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8
5-11 0.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3
4-12 0.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-13 0.0% 0.0 0.0
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 38.8% 38.8% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 8.8 14.4 10.0 4.2 0.7 61.2 0.0%