Wyoming
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#185
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#97
Pace67.8#231
Improvement-0.2#193

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#183
First Shot-0.3#197
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#175
Layup/Dunks+0.9#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#284
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#218
Freethrows+1.8#92
Improvement+0.2#136

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#201
First Shot-0.4#191
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#220
Layups/Dunks+3.1#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#30
Freethrows-4.2#345
Improvement-0.4#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 13.2
.500 or above 23.4% 27.7% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.0% 18.2% 9.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.0% 10.2% 17.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 75.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 21 - 52 - 12
Quad 33 - 44 - 16
Quad 48 - 212 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 297   Tennessee St. W 81-66 80%     1 - 0 +4.9 +2.6 +2.0
  Nov 13, 2024 14   @ Texas Tech L 49-96 5%     1 - 1 -28.9 -15.5 -13.8
  Nov 16, 2024 304   Utah Tech W 86-69 82%     2 - 1 +6.2 +5.0 +0.6
  Nov 22, 2024 271   SE Louisiana W 74-67 76%    
  Nov 26, 2024 146   Tulane L 72-74 42%    
  Dec 04, 2024 45   @ Utah St. L 70-84 10%    
  Dec 10, 2024 249   @ South Dakota W 76-75 50%    
  Dec 14, 2024 34   BYU L 68-81 12%    
  Dec 19, 2024 335   Bellarmine W 76-64 87%    
  Dec 22, 2024 270   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 69-68 55%    
  Dec 28, 2024 39   Nevada L 64-74 19%    
  Dec 31, 2024 43   Boise St. L 66-75 21%    
  Jan 04, 2025 292   @ Air Force W 68-65 59%    
  Jan 07, 2025 63   New Mexico L 74-81 27%    
  Jan 14, 2025 43   @ Boise St. L 63-78 9%    
  Jan 18, 2025 102   Colorado St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 21, 2025 97   @ UNLV L 67-77 20%    
  Jan 25, 2025 251   @ San Jose St. W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 28, 2025 253   Fresno St. W 77-71 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 62   @ San Diego St. L 60-73 13%    
  Feb 04, 2025 45   Utah St. L 73-81 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 97   UNLV L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 12, 2025 63   @ New Mexico L 71-84 13%    
  Feb 15, 2025 102   @ Colorado St. L 65-74 22%    
  Feb 18, 2025 292   Air Force W 71-62 77%    
  Feb 22, 2025 251   San Jose St. W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 25, 2025 39   @ Nevada L 61-77 9%    
  Mar 01, 2025 62   San Diego St. L 63-70 28%    
  Mar 04, 2025 253   @ Fresno St. W 74-73 52%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 3.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.1 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 15.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.3 7.5 8.4 5.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 27.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.3 7.1 5.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 19.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 4.1 4.6 2.3 0.6 0.1 12.9 10th
11th 0.3 1.3 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.6 11th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.7 6.9 10.1 12.8 14.2 13.7 11.8 9.3 6.5 4.4 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 46.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 21.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 13.3% 8.9% 4.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.9%
15-5 0.3% 13.6% 8.2% 5.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.9%
14-6 0.7% 9.4% 7.2% 2.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.4%
13-7 1.5% 4.0% 3.5% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5%
12-8 2.5% 3.0% 2.9% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.1%
11-9 4.4% 1.4% 1.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
10-10 6.5% 1.0% 1.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
9-11 9.3% 0.5% 0.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3
8-12 11.8% 0.3% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
7-13 13.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7
6-14 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-15 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-16 10.1% 10.1
3-17 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.9
2-18 3.7% 3.7
1-19 1.4% 1.4
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.1%