Mississippi St.
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#81
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#134
Pace70.9#147
Improvement-0.2#204

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#78
First Shot+3.2#97
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#123
Layup/Dunks-1.7#242
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#41
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#156
Freethrows+0.8#134
Improvement+0.1#170

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#89
First Shot+2.1#109
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#129
Layups/Dunks+6.7#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#360
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#182
Freethrows+1.7#88
Improvement-0.2#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 1.1% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% 9.7% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.0% 9.4% 3.7%
Average Seed 9.0 8.9 9.2
.500 or above 19.0% 25.2% 10.5%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 11.8% 7.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 30.7% 27.2% 35.6%
First Four1.9% 2.4% 1.2%
First Round6.1% 8.2% 3.2%
Second Round2.7% 3.7% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Neutral) - 58.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 12
Quad 23 - 56 - 17
Quad 33 - 29 - 19
Quad 44 - 013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 200 North Alabama W 86-62 88%     1 - 0 +18.6 +8.7 +9.4
  Mon, Nov 10 6 Iowa St. L 80-96 11%     1 - 1 +4.4 +11.1 -5.5
  Sat, Nov 15 248 SE Louisiana W 75-68 91%     2 - 1 -0.8 -2.5 +1.3
  Thu, Nov 20 71 Kansas St. L 77-98 48%     2 - 2 -13.2 +1.0 -12.8
  Fri, Nov 21 103 New Mexico L 78-80 60%     2 - 3 +2.6 +5.9 -3.2
  Mon, Nov 24 216 New Orleans W 81-78 OT 89%     3 - 3 -3.3 -2.7 -0.9
  Fri, Nov 28 40 SMU L 81-87 OT 43%     3 - 4 +2.9 +1.6 +2.1
  Wed, Dec 3 134 @Georgia Tech W 85-73 59%     4 - 4 +16.8 +12.3 +3.7
  Sun, Dec 7 99 San Francisco W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Dec 13 117 Utah W 79-75 65%    
  Tue, Dec 16 230 LIU Brooklyn W 83-69 91%    
  Sat, Dec 20 75 Memphis W 78-75 61%    
  Mon, Dec 29 268 Alabama St. W 84-68 93%    
  Sat, Jan 3 50 @Texas L 74-81 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 41 Oklahoma L 77-79 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 23 @Kentucky L 72-83 16%    
  Tue, Jan 13 11 Alabama L 82-91 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 58 Mississippi W 75-74 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 38 @Texas A&M L 75-83 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 12 Vanderbilt L 76-84 22%    
  Wed, Jan 28 29 @LSU L 72-82 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 37 @Missouri L 73-82 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 22 Arkansas L 76-81 33%    
  Wed, Feb 11 16 Tennessee L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Feb 14 58 @Mississippi L 72-77 32%    
  Wed, Feb 18 20 Auburn L 75-80 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 89 @South Carolina L 72-74 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 11 @Alabama L 79-94 10%    
  Sat, Feb 28 37 Missouri L 76-79 41%    
  Tue, Mar 3 15 @Florida L 70-84 11%    
  Sat, Mar 7 19 Georgia L 82-87 32%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 1.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.3 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.0 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.2 2.0 2.6 0.2 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 3.8 1.3 0.0 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 4.3 3.0 0.2 0.0 8.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 4.1 5.3 1.1 0.0 11.6 13th
14th 0.1 1.3 5.1 6.7 2.2 0.1 15.5 14th
15th 0.3 2.1 6.0 7.3 3.1 0.3 19.1 15th
16th 1.1 4.2 6.5 5.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 20.0 16th
Total 1.1 4.5 8.7 12.8 15.8 15.4 13.8 10.4 7.5 4.6 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.3% 97.8% 2.2% 95.5% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.7%
12-6 0.7% 94.0% 6.0% 88.1% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 93.7%
11-7 1.4% 91.6% 2.3% 89.3% 7.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 91.4%
10-8 2.8% 70.9% 0.4% 70.5% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 70.8%
9-9 4.6% 39.4% 0.1% 39.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.0 2.8 39.3%
8-10 7.5% 11.9% 0.7% 11.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.1 6.6 11.2%
7-11 10.4% 1.3% 0.1% 1.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.3 1.2%
6-12 13.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 13.7 0.0%
5-13 15.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 15.4
4-14 15.8% 15.8
3-15 12.8% 12.8
2-16 8.7% 8.7
1-17 4.5% 4.5
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 7.2% 0.2% 7.0% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 92.8 7.0%