Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +14.5 34
Results Rating +16.4 25
Consistency 0.11 13
Pace 69.9 135
Improvement -0.5 205

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 43 B+ A C+ C+ B
Defense B+ 32 B- B+ B+ B+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 50% 2 B 65% 51 +10.2 2
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 170 B- 41% 84 -0.3 195
Three Pointers 31% 349 B- 36% 111 -4.2 321
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 45 B +4.4 52
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 42
Second Chance A- 38.9% 11 B 1.12 63 A 0.43 13
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 194
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 109
Turnovers C+ 16.3% 145
Freethrows B- 0.34 75 D 69% 292 C+ 0.23 133
Total Offense B+ +7.6 43

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 58% 50 C+ 10.4% 144
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 251 C+ 4.3% 131
Three Pointers B 90% 52 C+ 0.7% 139
Total B- 59% 100 C- 6.2% 256


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 295 B- 54% 78 -3.8 60
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 66 B 34% 43 +0.4 222
Three Pointers 41% 160 C- 35% 222 +0.6 217
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 61 B- -2.0 102
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 87
Second Chance A 23.5% 12 C 1.04 188 B+ 0.24 33
Turnovers from Steals B+ 11.8% 38
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 108
Turnovers B+ 19.6% 34
Freethrows B+ 0.25 27 B+ 69% 32 B+ 0.17 25
Total Defense B+ +6.8 32

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 193 B 15.0% 49
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 30% 273 D+ 3.1% 283
Three Pointers C 83% 158 C 1.0% 136
Total C- 57% 221 C+ 6.3% 124

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 55 18.4 321
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 49 0.12 33
Consistency 0.11 59 0.11 73
Improvement +0.6 150 -1.1 247

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 38 32 24
Results Rating Rank 33 26 20
Conference Record 13 - 5 13 - 5 14 - 4
Conference Finish 3 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 10 7 5
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 2% 3% 0%
Top 6 Seed 32% 50% 16%
NCAA Tourney Bid 97% 99% 96%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97% 99% 96%
Average Seed 7.2 6.5 7.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 0% 1%
First Round97% 99% 95%
Second Round56% 62% 51%
Sweet Sixteen14% 19% 10%
Elite Eight5% 6% 3%
Final Four1% 2% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Louisville (Home) - 46.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 16 - 5
Quad 26 - 212 - 7
Quad 34 - 015 - 8
Quad 410 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 293 Jacksonville W 86 - 69 98% +9  93% 1 - 0 B- +6 C +1 C A+ F B +4 D- A B-
 Thu, Nov 6 237 Bethune-Cookman W 101 - 61 97% +20  98% 2 - 0 A+ +33 A+ +21 A+ D A+ A +11 A+ D+ D+
 Mon, Nov 10 309 Stetson W 102 - 61 98% +18  72% 3 - 0 A+ +29 B +7 A- D+ C- A+ +17 A+ B- B+
 Sun, Nov 16 3 Florida L 68 - 82 15% -7  5% 3 - 1 B+ +12 C -0 C C- A A+ +13 B A+ B+
 Thu, Nov 20 241 Elon W 99 - 72 97% +10  99% 4 - 1 A +19 A +13 B A+ B B+ +5 F A A+
 Sun, Nov 23 361 Delaware St. W 97 - 41 100% +31  95% 5 - 1 A+ +35 A+ +15 A+ B- B A+ +19 B+ A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 27 23 BYU L 62 - 72 45% -3  37% 5 - 2 B- +6 D- -8 F B+ B A+ +13 B A+ A
 Fri, Nov 28 80 Georgetown W 78 - 65 75% +14  99% 6 - 2 A +20 A +12 A+ B F A +10 A+ F B+
 Tue, Dec 2 74 @Mississippi W 75 - 66 63% +8  86% 7 - 2 A +20 B+ +8 A+ A+ F A+ +12 A+ C- B+
 Sat, Dec 6 225 Southern Miss W 88 - 64 96% +5  47% 8 - 2 A- +17 B +7 B B+ D+ A +9 B F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 354 Louisiana Monroe W 104 - 79 99% +12  99% 9 - 2 B- +8 A+ +17 A B- A F+ -10 F D+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 200 Florida International W 98 - 81 96% +6  77% 10 - 2 B+ +12 A +13 A+ B A C- -2 D+ C+ C+
 Sun, Dec 21 340 North Florida W 105 - 67 99% +18  92% 11 - 2 A +23 A- +11 A B C- A +9 A D A+
 Tue, Dec 30 95 Pittsburgh W 76 - 69 86% -1  42% 12 - 2 1 - 0 B +10 B +6 F A+ B B +4 A- C F
 Wed, Jan 7 69 @Wake Forest W 81 - 77 61% -1  32% 13 - 2 2 - 0 A- +16 A +12 C A+ C+ B +4 F+ A B+
 Sat, Jan 10 148 Georgia Tech W 91 - 81 93% +10  99% 14 - 2 3 - 0 B- +8 A- +11 A C+ A+ D+ -3 C B C+
 Tue, Jan 13 89 @Notre Dame W 81 - 69 69% +5  80% 15 - 2 4 - 0 A +21 A- +11 A D+ A- A +11 B- C- A+
 Sat, Jan 17 40 @Clemson L 59 - 69 42% -9  0% 15 - 3 4 - 1 B- +7 C- -1 C B+ F B+ +7 D- A+ A-
 Tue, Jan 20 75 Florida St. L 63 - 65 82% -0  40% 15 - 4 4 - 2 C+ +3 F -10 F B- C- A+ +13 C A+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 77 @Syracuse W 85 - 76 64% +6  96% 16 - 4 5 - 2 A +20 A+ +15 A+ A+ F B +5 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 60 Stanford W 79 - 70 78% +1  59% 17 - 4 6 - 2 A- +15 A- +10 A- B A+ B+ +6 B D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 73 California L 85 - 86 81% +2  54% 17 - 5 6 - 3 C+ +4 A+ +16 A A+ A+ F -12 C B F+
 Sat, Feb 7 137 @Boston College W 74 - 68 83% +4  95% 18 - 5 7 - 3 B +10 B- +5 A+ C- D- B+ +6 A- C+ F
 Tue, Feb 10 27 North Carolina W 75 - 66 58% +4  93% 19 - 5 8 - 3 A +21 B- +5 B+ C+ B+ A+ +16 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 14 36 @North Carolina St. W 77 - 76 40% -1  26% 20 - 5 9 - 3 A +18 A +14 C- A+ A+ B +4 C+ C+ B+
 Tue, Feb 17 56 Virginia Tech W 67 - 66 76% -1  30% 21 - 5 10 - 3 B- +8 C+ +2 D A+ B B+ +6 D+ A B
 Sat, Feb 21 21 @Virginia L 83 - 86 28% +0  35% 21 - 6 10 - 4 A- +17 A+ +25 A A+ B+ D- -8 F A+ C-
 Tue, Feb 24 75 @Florida St. W 83 - 73 64% +4  92% 22 - 6 11 - 4 A +21 A- +11 C A+ F A +10 B- A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 28 137 Boston College W 76 - 54 93% +11  80% 23 - 6 12 - 4 A +20 A- +10 A+ A D+ A+ +12 A- C- A+
 Wed, Mar 4 41 @SMU W 77 - 69 44% +7  94% 24 - 6 13 - 4 A+ +24 B +7 A- A F A+ +18 A+ A- A+
 Sat, Mar 7 13 Louisville L 79 - 80 46%
Totals 24 - 7 13 - 5 +14 B+ +8 A+ B B B+ +7 B- D C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B B- B- B 50% 38% 31% B B+ A- B A C+ B- D C+ B+ B- B C- B- 34% 24% 41% B B- A C B+ B+ B+ B+ B+
1.20 65% 41% 36% +4 +1 1.14 39% 1.1 .43 16% .34 69% .23 0.99 54% 34% 35% -2 -1 0.97 24% 1.0 .24 20% .25 69% .23
Nov
3		 Jacksonville C A C+ F C- 61% 11% 27% A C B A+ A+ F A+ A A+ B F B B D- 33% 17% 50% C- D- A+ F+ A B- B+ A+ A+
1.17 74% 40% 17% +3 +3 1.14 35% 2.0 .70 20% .63 78% .49 0.94 72% 33% 30% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 19% .23 50% .12
Nov
6		 Bethune-Cookman A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 61% 14% 25% B+ A+ C+ F D A+ C+ D+ C A A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 25% 42% B A+ D+ C- D+ D+ C C C
1.40 72% 38% 47% +13 +3 1.34 33% 0.9 .30 8% .33 68% .23 0.84 44% 23% 18% -18 -1 0.64 31% 1.1 .33 17% .32 68% .22
Nov
10		 Stetson B A- A+ B- B+ 52% 12% 37% A- A- C F+ D+ C- A+ D A A+ F A+ A A+ 20% 29% 51% A+ A+ A F B- B+ F A+ D-
1.29 71% 57% 36% +10 +2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 15% .39 69% .27 0.77 70% 7% 27% -12 -2 0.73 19% 1.3 .24 22% .42 58% .24
Nov
16		 Florida C F F A+ D+ 55% 26% 19% A- C A F C- A A+ F B+ A+ B- F B- B+ 43% 6% 51% D+ B A+ A- A+ B+ F A D-
0.89 41% 27% 45% -9 +1 0.84 31% 0.4 .12 13% .40 56% .22 1.07 59% 67% 31% 0 +2 1.06 31% 0.9 .28 18% .46 66% .30
Nov
20		 Elon A A- D+ A B+ 44% 20% 35% C+ B A+ B+ A+ B A D+ B+ B+ D+ C+ F F 46% 13% 41% C+ F A+ F A A+ C- A+ B+
1.35 67% 36% 42% +8 0 1.19 47% 1.3 .59 14% .36 70% .25 0.98 62% 33% 47% +9 +1 1.24 18% 1.2 .21 25% .33 56% .18
Nov
23		 Delaware St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 45% 15% 40% C+ A+ B+ D+ B- B C- F F+ A+ A A B B+ 33% 36% 31% C+ B+ C- A+ A+ A+ D A+ B-
1.37 84% 25% 45% +17 +1 1.38 38% 1.1 .41 16% .32 58% .18 0.58 40% 25% 29% -13 -2 0.71 25% 0.1 .02 27% .33 53% .17
Nov
27		 BYU D- F C+ F F 51% 15% 34% A+ F B+ B- B+ B B+ F D- A+ A+ B F B+ 43% 23% 34% D+ B A+ A A+ A D+ A+ C+
0.90 41% 38% 17% -18 +2 0.70 31% 1.2 .38 15% .29 41% .12 1.05 45% 36% 50% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.0 .27 19% .36 65% .23
Nov
28		 Georgetown A D- A+ A+ A+ 56% 22% 22% A A+ B+ C B F B B- B A B A+ A+ A+ 33% 22% 46% C+ A+ F F F B+ F A D-
1.20 48% 90% 60% +15 +1 1.33 36% 1.0 .36 23% .32 75% .24 1.00 53% 10% 24% -15 -1 0.72 40% 1.4 .55 17% .44 67% .30
Dec
2		 Mississippi B+ C- C+ A+ A+ 44% 12% 44% A+ A+ A+ C A+ F C D C- A+ A+ A+ D A+ 16% 40% 44% A A+ C- C- C- B+ A+ F+ A
1.12 53% 40% 47% +7 +2 1.19 50% 1.1 .53 28% .31 67% .21 0.98 33% 23% 38% -8 -4 0.78 32% 1.1 .36 16% .20 82% .16
Dec
6		 Southern Miss B A D B- B 45% 24% 31% C- B A+ F B+ D+ B C+ B A C A- A+ B+ 41% 30% 28% C- B F+ F F A+ C B+ B-
1.19 70% 33% 38% +6 0 1.14 47% 0.8 .37 19% .40 71% .28 0.87 58% 29% 23% -8 -1 0.85 36% 1.3 .45 27% .35 68% .24
Dec
13		 Louisiana Monroe A+ A- A- A+ A 59% 3% 38% A+ A A F+ B- A C+ F D F+ B- A+ F F 29% 18% 54% C F C+ F D+ D A A+ A+
1.47 71% 50% 45% +14 +4 1.38 47% 1.0 .47 11% .27 53% .14 1.11 50% 20% 47% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.2 .28 14% .23 57% .13
Dec
16		 Florida International A A+ A+ D- A 55% 9% 36% A A+ A D+ B A A+ C- A+ C- D- F A+ D 43% 26% 30% B- D+ D+ B+ C+ C+ D+ B- C-
1.29 74% 80% 30% +11 +3 1.29 44% 0.9 .41 16% .49 71% .34 1.07 65% 50% 25% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.9 .32 18% .34 67% .23
Dec
21		 North Florida A- A A+ D- A 47% 16% 36% C+ A A+ F B C- A+ D+ A+ A A A+ C- A 27% 14% 59% B- A B- F D A+ D- F F
1.40 73% 78% 30% +11 +1 1.27 50% 1.0 .50 13% .44 69% .31 0.89 46% 0% 34% -8 0 0.86 22% 1.5 .33 27% .29 88% .25
Dec
30		 Pittsburgh B B+ A- F F 38% 24% 38% D+ F A+ A- A+ B A+ C+ A+ B D D A+ A- 32% 26% 42% A A- A+ F C F C A+ B+
1.15 65% 45% 12% -8 -1 0.84 43% 1.1 .46 15% .46 77% .36 1.04 65% 43% 23% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.6 .36 11% .29 53% .15
Jan
7		 Wake Forest A A+ B F C- 49% 16% 36% B C A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B A+ B A+ F F F 27% 31% 41% A+ F+ A+ F A B+ A- A- A
1.18 73% 43% 13% -4 +1 0.98 45% 1.3 .59 19% .54 77% .41 1.12 36% 63% 52% +13 -2 1.24 14% 1.8 .25 18% .25 71% .18
Jan
10		 Georgia Tech A- A+ F B+ A 35% 19% 46% C+ A D A+ C+ A+ A+ F+ A+ D+ D- C F D 31% 45% 24% A+ C A- C B C+ F F F
1.22 78% 20% 38% +6 0 1.13 25% 1.4 .34 11% .48 66% .32 1.09 67% 36% 42% +5 -4 1.04 26% 1.1 .29 19% .45 85% .38
Jan
13		 Notre Dame A- A+ A+ D A 37% 24% 39% C+ A C+ F D+ A- A- A- A A B- F B C+ 28% 28% 44% B+ B- D C+ C- A+ D B C-
1.20 74% 50% 30% +6 0 1.14 26% 0.8 .19 12% .35 81% .28 1.02 58% 58% 32% +4 -2 1.07 38% 0.9 .34 27% .36 67% .24
Jan
17		 Clemson C- B- F D- C- 36% 19% 45% B C A C- B+ F C+ B B- B+ B F F D- 51% 15% 34% D+ D- A+ C A+ A- A+ B- A+
0.91 59% 22% 29% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.9 .29 25% .29 79% .23 1.07 54% 57% 50% +9 +2 1.23 15% 1.0 .15 19% .19 70% .13
Jan
20		 Florida St. F C+ F F F 49% 24% 27% B F D A+ B- C- C C+ C A+ B F+ D- D+ 41% 27% 33% A C A+ A+ A+ A B C B-
0.91 58% 17% 23% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.2 .31 20% .27 73% .20 0.94 55% 46% 38% +3 -1 1.06 13% 0.5 .07 19% .27 73% .20
Jan
24		 Syracuse A+ B+ A A+ A+ 57% 19% 23% B+ A+ B- A+ A+ F C- A B- B C+ F B- C 43% 25% 32% B C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C A
1.23 63% 44% 55% +11 +2 1.28 33% 1.6 .54 23% .28 80% .23 1.10 58% 57% 33% +5 0 1.11 15% 0.8 .12 9% .24 67% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Stanford A- B C+ A A 51% 28% 21% B- A- A+ F B A+ A+ F A B+ A+ A+ F B 41% 16% 43% B+ B C D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.18 63% 38% 40% +4 0 1.11 47% 0.7 .34 13% .54 61% .33 1.05 43% 25% 45% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.1 .38 21% .19 50% .09
Jan
31		 California A+ A+ C- F+ A+ 44% 31% 24% D A D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F F A+ F D+ 26% 30% 44% A C A- D+ B F+ F B- F
1.26 75% 36% 27% +4 -1 1.09 25% 2.1 .54 10% .55 70% .38 1.28 77% 27% 41% +6 -2 1.10 22% 1.1 .25 10% .53 75% .40
Feb
7		 Boston College B- B+ D+ B A 58% 13% 29% A+ A+ C D C- D- A+ F B B+ B- A B B+ 25% 29% 46% A- A- A+ F C+ F A+ D- A
1.06 64% 33% 36% +4 +2 1.15 27% 0.8 .21 19% .44 52% .23 0.97 53% 29% 30% -7 -2 0.85 18% 1.7 .30 10% .16 70% .11
Feb
10		 North Carolina B- A+ D D A- 44% 37% 19% C B+ B+ D C+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ B+ A+ B A+ 32% 25% 44% A A+ A+ B A+ B+ A+ F A+
1.08 70% 32% 30% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.8 .24 12% .37 61% .23 0.95 56% 29% 32% -4 -1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 16% .17 80% .14
Feb
14		 North Carolina St. A C+ D+ F D 61% 18% 22% B+ C- A+ B A+ A+ B+ F D B C+ D- D- C 35% 18% 47% B+ C+ B- C- C+ B+ B+ F C+
1.19 58% 33% 18% -6 +2 0.94 49% 1.1 .54 14% .36 50% .18 1.17 59% 44% 39% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .36 15% .27 87% .24
Feb
17		 Virginia Tech C+ B+ F F D 40% 30% 30% D+ D B A+ A+ B C+ D+ C B+ D+ C F D+ 40% 22% 38% C D+ A B+ A B A+ A A+
1.07 65% 27% 20% -7 -1 0.86 35% 1.5 .51 16% .25 69% .17 1.05 65% 36% 42% +7 0 1.16 26% 1.0 .26 18% .06 67% .04
Feb
21		 Virginia A+ C+ C A+ A+ 38% 31% 31% C A A+ A+ A+ B+ B A+ A+ D- F F F F 43% 11% 47% D+ F A+ A+ A+ C- C- F F
1.28 55% 38% 44% +3 -1 1.06 39% 1.5 .58 14% .30 94% .29 1.33 70% 60% 55% +22 +2 1.49 18% 0.5 .09 14% .32 89% .29
Feb
24		 Florida St. A- D+ D B C- 40% 19% 40% B C A+ A+ A+ F A F B A C F B+ C+ 33% 18% 49% A- B- A+ A- A+ B+ B- B B
1.17 53% 33% 37% -1 0 1.00 50% 1.6 .78 25% .36 63% .23 1.03 61% 50% 30% 0 0 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 17% .27 69% .19
Feb
28		 Boston College A- C A+ B+ A 49% 17% 34% A- A+ A+ C+ A D+ B D- C+ A+ C A A+ A 29% 24% 48% C+ A- C+ D C- A+ B- F C-
1.18 57% 63% 38% +5 +1 1.15 41% 0.9 .38 17% .34 61% .21 0.84 58% 30% 25% -8 -1 0.83 29% 1.1 .32 28% .26 75% .19
Mar
4		 SMU B F D+ A+ B+ 54% 18% 28% A A- B+ A A F A- D- B A+ A B- B A+ 39% 20% 41% D A+ B- A A- A+ A F A-
1.11 41% 33% 64% +2 +1 1.10 36% 1.2 .42 23% .34 67% .22 0.99 50% 40% 33% -3 0 0.96 34% 0.8 .29 20% .20 82% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 7.7 7.7 2nd
3rd 53.6 38.7 92.3 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 53.6 46.4 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 46.4% 99.0% 4.6% 94.5% 6.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.4 15.2 15.0 6.1 1.6 0.2 0.5 99.0%
13-5 53.6% 95.8% 2.6% 93.2% 7.8 0.0 0.1 1.7 6.6 12.0 14.5 10.9 5.0 0.5 2.3 95.7%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.3% 3.5% 93.8% 7.2 2.7 97.2%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 100.0% 4.9 10.9 17.1 44.5 24.6 2.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.8% 99.7% 5.8 0.1 0.8 4.8 29.1 46.0 16.7 1.9 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 15.8% 99.0% 6.5 0.3 1.0 10.9 37.9 36.2 10.2 2.3 0.1
Lose Out 30.7% 93.7% 8.5 0.2 3.2 13.7 30.5 29.8 14.7 1.6