St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#210
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#204
Pace59.5#357
Improvement-0.6#230

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#247
First Shot-4.6#310
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#83
Layup/Dunks-7.5#357
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#80
Freethrows+1.0#117
Improvement-0.3#205

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#151
First Shot+0.4#158
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#178
Layups/Dunks-1.4#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#46
Freethrows-4.8#361
Improvement-0.3#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.6% 19.6% 12.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 81.3% 87.1% 67.8%
.500 or above in Conference 79.2% 85.6% 64.5%
Conference Champion 13.8% 17.6% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.8% 3.3%
First Four2.1% 1.9% 2.5%
First Round16.7% 18.8% 11.9%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 69.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 32 - 5
Quad 415 - 717 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 116   @ Seton Hall L 53-57 22%     0 - 1 +1.8 -6.7 +8.1
  Nov 08, 2024 147   @ Umass Lowell L 74-81 29%     0 - 2 -3.6 +1.2 -4.8
  Nov 11, 2024 64   @ Rutgers L 65-75 10%     0 - 3 +1.8 +3.1 -2.1
  Nov 16, 2024 249   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-61 48%     1 - 3 +6.1 +4.5 +3.0
  Nov 26, 2024 334   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-76 68%     2 - 3 -5.2 +3.2 -8.4
  Dec 03, 2024 200   @ Duquesne W 62-59 36%     3 - 3 +4.3 +3.5 +1.4
  Dec 06, 2024 293   Manhattan L 67-70 77%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -13.1 -11.5 -1.6
  Dec 08, 2024 258   @ Iona L 63-72 50%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -11.3 -5.0 -6.8
  Dec 20, 2024 219   Delaware W 72-64 63%     4 - 5 +2.4 +5.4 -1.8
  Jan 03, 2025 245   Quinnipiac W 70-65 70%    
  Jan 10, 2025 320   @ Niagara W 65-61 63%    
  Jan 12, 2025 350   @ Canisius W 69-62 74%    
  Jan 16, 2025 233   Marist W 64-60 66%    
  Jan 18, 2025 284   @ Sacred Heart W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 23, 2025 198   Merrimack W 62-60 59%    
  Jan 31, 2025 300   @ Rider W 64-62 58%    
  Feb 02, 2025 253   Mount St. Mary's W 69-63 70%    
  Feb 06, 2025 305   @ Siena W 63-60 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 293   @ Manhattan W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 14, 2025 280   Fairfield W 70-63 75%    
  Feb 16, 2025 300   Rider W 67-59 77%    
  Feb 21, 2025 253   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 23, 2025 284   Sacred Heart W 71-64 75%    
  Feb 28, 2025 245   @ Quinnipiac L 67-68 48%    
  Mar 02, 2025 233   @ Marist L 61-63 45%    
  Mar 06, 2025 320   Niagara W 68-58 80%    
  Mar 08, 2025 350   Canisius W 72-59 88%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.8 4.3 3.7 1.8 0.4 13.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 4.3 5.8 3.2 0.8 0.1 15.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.4 5.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 13.7 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 5.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.1 3.5 0.4 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 3.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.1 1.3 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.5 5.7 8.2 11.4 13.6 14.3 13.4 11.6 8.0 4.5 1.9 0.4 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 93.2% 1.8    1.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 81.6% 3.7    2.7 0.9 0.1
15-5 54.1% 4.3    2.3 1.6 0.4 0.0
14-6 24.5% 2.8    0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.1% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 7.8 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.4% 47.9% 47.9% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.9% 43.9% 43.9% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1
16-4 4.5% 36.1% 36.1% 13.8 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.9
15-5 8.0% 33.7% 33.7% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 5.3
14-6 11.6% 28.1% 28.1% 14.9 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.5 8.4
13-7 13.4% 23.3% 23.3% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.2 10.3
12-8 14.3% 17.0% 17.0% 15.5 0.1 1.0 1.3 11.9
11-9 13.6% 12.2% 12.2% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.2 11.9
10-10 11.4% 7.8% 7.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 10.5
9-11 8.2% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 7.8
8-12 5.7% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.2 5.4
7-13 3.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 3.4
6-14 1.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-15 0.9% 0.9
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 17.6% 17.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.5 6.7 5.8 82.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 12.0 16.2 68.6 15.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%