St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.5 #220
Expected Predictive Rating -1.1 #184
Pace 64.3 #303
Improvement +6.2 #6

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #285 F C+ C- B+ C-
Defense #148 C+ D- B+ F D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #267 0.98 #346 -5.0 #335
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #167 0.76 #163 +0.2 #168
Three Pointers 44% #130 0.88 #332 -1.5 #233
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #339 -6.2 #339
Freethrows 19.1 #103 77% #50 14.7 #63
Second Chance 33.8% #94 1.01 #226 0.34 #124
Turnovers 17.2% #228
Total Offense -4.1 #285

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #49 1.13 #146 -2.5 #261
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #255 0.71 #111 +1.3 #95
Three Pointers 38% #265 0.95 #95 +2.7 #81
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #129 +1.5 #131
Freethrows 23.0 #357 73% #213 16.9 #358
Second Chance 36.0% #337 1.05 #186 0.38 #311
Turnovers 19.2% #50
Total Defense +0.6 #148

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #227 1.4% #302
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.7% #343 -4.3% #96
Possession Length 18.9 #329 16.7 #75
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #95 0.21 #289
Improvement +1.4 #105 +4.8 #12

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 13.9% 9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.1
.500 or above 92.5% 97.9% 89.4%
.500 or above in Conference 99.4% 100.0% 99.2%
Conference Champion 33.7% 53.9% 22.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round11.1% 13.8% 9.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Away) - 36.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 414 - 517 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 56 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 7% -16  0 - 1 -14 -4 F C D -14 C F D
 Sat, Nov 8 348 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 86% +7  1 - 1 -5 +8 B- B- C -14 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 55 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 7% -10  1 - 2 -4 -5 F B+ D +1 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 295 @Delaware L 70 - 81 54% -14  1 - 3 -16 -1 C D B -15 F B A-
 Sat, Nov 22 309 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 78% +2  2 - 3 -9 -12 F B+ F +2 F C A+
 Sat, Nov 29 221 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 62% -7  2 - 4 -33 -11 F A- F -23 F F F
 Fri, Dec 5 344 Canisius W 69 - 57 85% +6  3 - 4 1 - 0 -3 -3 F A+ D- +1 A+ F B-
 Sun, Dec 7 352 Niagara W 71 - 43 87% +13  4 - 4 2 - 0 +12 +2 F A C+ +14 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 93 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 13% -7  4 - 5 +1 -2 F F C +2 C- D A+
 Mon, Dec 29 274 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 49% -1  5 - 5 3 - 0 +1 -3 F D- C +4 A F B+
 Fri, Jan 2 160 Marist W 69 - 59 48% +3  6 - 5 4 - 0 +7 +1 F A+ B +6 A+ A+ B-
 Fri, Jan 9 288 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 53% +7  6 - 6 4 - 1 -9 -6 F D F -4 A+ F C
 Sun, Jan 11 208 Merrimack W 76 - 63 60% +9  7 - 6 5 - 1 +7 +12 A+ A+ F -3 A+ F A
 Wed, Jan 14 175 @Quinnipiac W 74 - 70 30% +4  8 - 6 6 - 1 +6 +4 B F D +2 C+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 17 354 Rider W 69 - 58 88% +4  9 - 6 7 - 1 -5 -1 D A D -2 C+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 227 Iona W 77 - 63 63% +3  10 - 6 8 - 1 +7 +4 A- F F +3 A+ D F
 Sat, Jan 24 208 @Merrimack L 63 - 67 36%
 Fri, Jan 30 288 Mount St. Mary's W 71 - 64 73%
 Sun, Feb 1 354 @Rider W 69 - 62 73%
 Thu, Feb 5 327 @Manhattan W 75 - 71 63%
 Sat, Feb 7 169 Siena W 67 - 66 52%
 Fri, Feb 13 270 @Sacred Heart L 72 - 73 49%
 Sun, Feb 15 274 Fairfield W 74 - 68 70%
 Fri, Feb 20 227 @Iona L 69 - 72 40%
 Sun, Feb 22 169 @Siena L 63 - 69 30%
 Fri, Feb 27 327 Manhattan W 78 - 68 82%
 Sun, Mar 1 160 @Marist L 60 - 66 27%
Totals 16 - 11 14 - 6 -4 -4 F C+ C- +1 C+ D- B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 3.4 11.3 11.3 5.7 1.6 0.3 33.7 1st
2nd 0.1 2.3 10.2 6.9 1.0 0.0 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 7.4 7.1 0.7 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 4.2 6.9 1.2 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 5.0 1.9 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.5 0.1 5.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.1 6.1 12.0 18.7 21.9 18.9 12.3 5.7 1.6 0.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 100.0% 1.6    1.6 0.0
17-3 99.4% 5.7    5.3 0.3
16-4 92.0% 11.3    7.7 3.4 0.3
15-5 60.0% 11.3    3.6 5.2 2.2 0.3 0.0
14-6 15.4% 3.4    0.2 1.0 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 33.7% 33.7 18.7 10.0 3.8 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.3% 33.3% 33.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.6% 25.2% 25.2% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.2
17-3 5.7% 22.9% 22.9% 14.4 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 4.4
16-4 12.3% 17.2% 17.2% 14.7 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.2 10.2
15-5 18.9% 13.4% 13.4% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.4 16.4
14-6 21.9% 10.9% 10.9% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.8 19.5
13-7 18.7% 9.2% 9.2% 15.5 0.0 0.8 0.8 17.0
12-8 12.0% 4.8% 4.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 11.4
11-9 6.1% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 5.9
10-10 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
9-11 0.5% 0.5
8-12 0.1% 0.1
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 15.0 88.7 0.0%