Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.7 #299
Expected Predictive Rating -7.6 #277
Pace 66.7 #249
Improvement +5.3 #6

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #285 D C- F D F
Defense #280 F C- B C+ F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #232 1.23 #100 +0.2 #166
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% #30 0.56 #354 +0.6 #149
Three Pointers 33% #326 0.99 #213 -4.4 #313
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #272 -3.5 #273
Freethrows 16.3 #239 65% #342 10.7 #298
Second Chance 31.3% #166 0.94 #298 0.29 #242
Turnovers 21.0% #359
Total Offense -4.2 #285

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #124 1.35 #350 -5.1 #330
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #361 0.76 #184 +2.9 #11
Three Pointers 47% #42 1.23 #361 -8.0 #360
1st FG Attempt 1.22 #365 -10.2 #365
Freethrows 16.3 #132 71% #128 11.6 #243
Second Chance 35.6% #331 0.96 #74 0.34 #230
Turnovers 18.6% #73
Total Defense -3.4 #280

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.7% #330 2.3% #350
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.1% #238 17.2% #362
Possession Length 18.3 #276 17.0 #132
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #136 0.26 #356
Improvement +3.2 #22 +2.1 #63

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 7.4% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 11.0% 21.7% 6.9%
.500 or above in Conference 64.7% 81.9% 58.1%
Conference Champion 4.7% 10.2% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four3.2% 4.6% 2.7%
First Round3.1% 5.1% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lindenwood (Away) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 411 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 10 226 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 92 25%  -7  0 - 1 -21 -2 D+ B F -18 F F B-
 Wed, Nov 12 110 @Marquette L 49 - 89 9%  -18  0 - 2 -33 -16 F F F -18 F B+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 312 @Ball St. W 68 - 62 44%  +2  1 - 2 -0 -4 C- A+ F +4 F C+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 91 @Murray St. L 68 - 89 7%  -16  1 - 3 -12 +1 F A+ F -14 F F D+
 Fri, Nov 21 268 @Texas St. L 56 - 65 33%  -5  1 - 4 -12 -13 F F F -0 F A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 130 @Southern Illinois L 65 - 74 12%  -1  1 - 5 -4 +3 A D F -8 F A A+
 Wed, Dec 3 261 @Central Arkansas L 47 - 85 32%  -29  1 - 6 -41 -28 F F F -12 F B+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 126 Arkansas St. L 78 - 90 26%  -8  1 - 7 -13 +2 A F B -15 F C D
 Tue, Dec 9 67 @West Virginia L 58 - 90 5%  -22  1 - 8 -20 -1 F B B- -23 F C C+
 Tue, Dec 16 308 @Morehead St. L 64 - 78 42%  -10  1 - 9 0 - 1 -20 -15 F D+ F -4 F D A+
 Thu, Dec 18 333 @Southern Indiana W 77 - 62 50%  +4  2 - 9 1 - 1 +7 +5 A+ F F +2 D F C
 Thu, Jan 1 313 Tennessee Tech W 77 - 58 67%  +5  3 - 9 2 - 1 +7 +1 B F C- +7 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 219 Tennessee St. L 79 - 84 44%  -3  3 - 10 2 - 2 -11 -0 F A+ C- -11 C- F D
 Thu, Jan 8 275 @SIU Edwardsville W 73 - 70 35%  -6  4 - 10 3 - 2 -1 +10 C- C- A+ -10 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 240 @Lindenwood L 71 - 77 28% 
 Thu, Jan 15 309 Eastern Illinois W 69 - 65 65% 
 Sat, Jan 17 358 Western Illinois W 73 - 63 84% 
 Thu, Jan 22 218 @Southeast Missouri St. L 70 - 78 24% 
 Sat, Jan 24 235 @Tennessee Martin L 66 - 73 27% 
 Thu, Jan 29 219 @Tennessee St. L 70 - 78 24% 
 Sat, Jan 31 313 @Tennessee Tech L 72 - 73 44% 
 Thu, Feb 5 240 Lindenwood L 74 - 75 49% 
 Sat, Feb 7 275 SIU Edwardsville W 68 - 66 57% 
 Thu, Feb 12 358 @Western Illinois W 70 - 66 65% 
 Sat, Feb 14 309 @Eastern Illinois L 66 - 68 43% 
 Thu, Feb 19 235 Tennessee Martin L 69 - 70 48% 
 Sat, Feb 21 218 Southeast Missouri St. L 73 - 75 45% 
 Thu, Feb 26 308 Morehead St. W 72 - 68 64% 
 Sat, Feb 28 333 Southern Indiana W 74 - 68 71% 
Totals 11 - 18 10 - 10 -8 -4 D C- F -3 F C- B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.7 0.6 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 4.5 3.9 0.9 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 5.8 6.0 1.2 0.1 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.6 7.5 1.9 0.1 16.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.2 7.5 2.4 0.1 16.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.3 2.5 0.2 13.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.5 2.1 0.2 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 6.2 10.4 14.8 16.8 17.1 13.5 8.8 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 94.2% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 71.0% 1.6    0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-6 31.0% 1.6    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1
13-7 6.3% 0.6    0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.0 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.8% 22.7% 22.7% 15.5 0.1 0.1 0.6
15-5 2.3% 22.7% 22.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8
14-6 5.3% 19.5% 19.5% 15.9 0.1 0.9 4.3
13-7 8.8% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9 7.8
12-8 13.5% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.9 12.7
11-9 17.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.6 16.5
10-10 16.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 16.5
9-11 14.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 14.7
8-12 10.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.4
7-13 6.2% 6.2
6-14 2.7% 2.7
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.9 95.3 0.0%