Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#317
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#321
Pace67.7#200
Improvement-1.2#244

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#324
First Shot-5.1#317
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#240
Layup/Dunks+0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#354
Freethrows+2.0#74
Improvement-1.1#255

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#272
First Shot-3.9#294
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#123
Layups/Dunks+1.7#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#347
Freethrows-0.8#247
Improvement-0.2#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 86.8% 72.1% 88.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 5
Quad 20 - 50 - 10
Quad 31 - 72 - 17
Quad 44 - 76 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 74   @ Grand Canyon L 79-89 5%     0 - 1 +0.0 +8.3 -7.7
  Nov 08, 2024 78   @ Stanford L 53-80 5%     0 - 2 -17.1 -10.6 -9.3
  Nov 13, 2024 98   @ Colorado L 53-83 7%     0 - 3 -22.6 -12.7 -11.4
  Nov 15, 2024 76   @ Oregon St. L 51-70 5%     0 - 4 -9.0 -12.1 +0.6
  Nov 18, 2024 234   Idaho St. W 62-61 40%     1 - 4 -5.7 -7.1 +1.5
  Nov 22, 2024 29   @ UCLA L 47-80 2%     1 - 5 -16.2 -13.7 -4.5
  Nov 26, 2024 217   @ Pepperdine W 72-63 21%     2 - 5 +8.3 +6.1 +3.0
  Nov 30, 2024 302   @ Pacific L 55-64 36%     2 - 6 -14.5 -15.8 +0.5
  Dec 05, 2024 305   Long Beach St. L 56-73 56%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -27.7 -20.5 -8.2
  Dec 07, 2024 163   @ UC Riverside L 68-75 14%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -4.3 -3.0 -1.4
  Dec 15, 2024 331   Denver W 74-59 65%     3 - 8 +1.9 +7.9 -3.3
  Dec 22, 2024 167   Wyoming L 69-73 26%     3 - 9 -6.5 +8.1 -15.3
  Jan 02, 2025 127   Cal St. Northridge L 65-95 20%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -30.4 -10.1 -18.9
  Jan 04, 2025 65   UC San Diego L 51-90 9%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -33.3 -16.7 -17.9
  Jan 09, 2025 216   @ UC Davis L 53-63 21%     3 - 12 0 - 5 -10.7 -16.4 +5.8
  Jan 11, 2025 180   Hawaii L 86-95 29%     3 - 13 0 - 6 -12.4 +7.4 -19.3
  Jan 16, 2025 67   @ UC Irvine L 62-82 4%     3 - 14 0 - 7 -9.5 -5.7 -2.5
  Jan 18, 2025 305   @ Long Beach St. W 83-67 37%     4 - 14 1 - 7 +10.3 +3.7 +6.1
  Jan 23, 2025 258   Cal St. Bakersfield L 68-71 46%     4 - 15 1 - 8 -11.0 -12.2 +1.2
  Jan 25, 2025 158   UC Santa Barbara L 75-83 25%     4 - 16 1 - 9 -10.1 +2.2 -12.5
  Feb 01, 2025 180   @ Hawaii L 57-82 16%     4 - 17 1 - 10 -23.4 -15.3 -7.7
  Feb 06, 2025 127   @ Cal St. Northridge L 68-82 9%    
  Feb 08, 2025 216   UC Davis L 65-69 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 276   Cal Poly L 78-79 51%    
  Feb 15, 2025 258   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 67-73 26%    
  Feb 20, 2025 158   @ UC Santa Barbara L 63-75 12%    
  Feb 27, 2025 67   UC Irvine L 61-76 9%    
  Mar 01, 2025 65   @ UC San Diego L 59-79 3%    
  Mar 06, 2025 276   @ Cal Poly L 76-81 29%    
  Mar 08, 2025 163   UC Riverside L 67-74 28%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 3.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 4.3 10.6 4.1 0.4 0.0 19.4 10th
11th 10.3 25.2 26.6 9.0 0.9 0.0 72.0 11th
Total 10.3 25.2 30.9 21.1 8.8 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.0% 0.0
8-12 0.1% 0.1
7-13 0.6% 0.6
6-14 3.0% 3.0
5-15 8.8% 8.8
4-16 21.1% 21.1
3-17 30.9% 30.9
2-18 25.2% 25.2
1-19 10.3% 10.3
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.3%