Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#135
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#137
Pace79.6#9
Improvement+1.8#84

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#187
First Shot-0.5#191
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#173
Layup/Dunks+0.0#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#284
Freethrows+1.7#79
Improvement+0.7#141

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#110
First Shot+1.7#127
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#144
Layups/Dunks+8.3#8
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#330
Freethrows-4.6#363
Improvement+1.1#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 10.3% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.0
.500 or above 95.1% 98.5% 93.0%
.500 or above in Conference 87.7% 95.2% 83.1%
Conference Champion 4.1% 8.7% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.3% 10.3% 5.5%
Second Round0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Irvine (Home) - 37.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 46 - 10
Quad 413 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 74   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-70 20%     0 - 1 -3.5 -15.7 +13.3
  Nov 06, 2024 344   @ Le Moyne W 97-75 84%     1 - 1 +13.3 +10.1 +0.9
  Nov 16, 2024 330   @ Sacramento St. W 79-69 80%     2 - 1 +2.9 +6.4 -3.4
  Nov 24, 2024 295   Utah Tech W 89-79 80%     3 - 1 +2.6 +10.2 -7.8
  Nov 25, 2024 323   Denver W 89-60 85%     4 - 1 +19.8 +7.6 +11.5
  Nov 27, 2024 185   @ Montana L 75-83 48%     4 - 2 -5.9 -4.9 -0.3
  Nov 30, 2024 181   @ Montana St. W 72-69 OT 48%     5 - 2 +5.3 -3.2 +8.3
  Dec 05, 2024 178   UC Riverside L 64-68 70%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -7.8 -11.0 +3.2
  Dec 07, 2024 269   @ Cal Poly W 102-91 67%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +8.1 +10.5 -4.2
  Dec 18, 2024 70   @ USC L 69-90 19%     6 - 4 -10.0 +0.3 -9.8
  Dec 21, 2024 357   Chicago St. W 81-57 95%     7 - 4 +7.0 -4.9 +9.4
  Jan 02, 2025 322   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 95-65 77%     8 - 4 2 - 1 +23.9 +15.5 +7.0
  Jan 04, 2025 230   UC Davis W 73-61 80%     9 - 4 3 - 1 +4.9 -3.3 +7.5
  Jan 09, 2025 68   UC Irvine L 73-76 38%    
  Jan 11, 2025 234   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 17, 2025 176   @ Hawaii L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 23, 2025 285   Long Beach St. W 79-68 86%    
  Jan 25, 2025 69   @ UC San Diego L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 30, 2025 145   @ UC Santa Barbara L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 01, 2025 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 06, 2025 322   Cal St. Fullerton W 80-66 90%    
  Feb 08, 2025 285   @ Long Beach St. W 76-71 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 269   Cal Poly W 91-80 84%    
  Feb 20, 2025 68   @ UC Irvine L 70-79 20%    
  Feb 22, 2025 230   @ UC Davis W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 69   UC San Diego L 73-76 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 145   UC Santa Barbara W 76-72 63%    
  Mar 06, 2025 178   @ UC Riverside L 74-75 48%    
  Mar 08, 2025 176   Hawaii W 73-68 69%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.5 4.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 6.4 10.3 8.2 3.0 0.4 30.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 6.6 8.6 4.6 0.9 0.1 22.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 5.2 5.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.4 1.1 0.1 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.5 6.8 11.1 15.2 17.3 16.4 12.9 8.3 4.3 1.7 0.4 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 97.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1
17-3 72.2% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.0
16-4 33.7% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 9.5% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 38.5% 38.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.4% 39.9% 39.9% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.7% 29.3% 29.3% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.2
16-4 4.3% 24.6% 24.6% 12.3 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.3
15-5 8.3% 16.7% 16.7% 12.7 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.9
14-6 12.9% 11.3% 11.3% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 11.4
13-7 16.4% 7.2% 7.2% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 15.3
12-8 17.3% 4.6% 4.6% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 16.5
11-9 15.2% 3.0% 3.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 14.7
10-10 11.1% 1.8% 1.8% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.9
9-11 6.8% 0.9% 0.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
8-12 3.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5
7-13 1.5% 1.5
6-14 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.2 2.4 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 92.7 0.0%