Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#298
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#321
Pace69.6#157
Improvement+2.1#68

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#272
First Shot-3.8#288
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#156
Layup/Dunks+0.3#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#326
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
Freethrows-1.1#248
Improvement+2.8#31

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#297
First Shot-7.4#357
After Offensive Rebounds+3.4#7
Layups/Dunks-5.9#353
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#62
Freethrows+0.6#137
Improvement-0.7#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.5% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 1.0% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 20.9% 31.0% 11.9%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 23.2% 14.2% 31.3%
First Four1.8% 2.2% 1.4%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Home) - 47.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 32 - 103 - 15
Quad 46 - 78 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 37   @ Clemson L 64-91 3%     0 - 1 -12.0 -1.3 -10.7
  Nov 07, 2024 207   @ North Florida L 66-90 22%     0 - 2 -23.3 -15.2 -6.4
  Nov 15, 2024 228   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-86 35%     0 - 3 -13.6 -8.0 -4.5
  Nov 16, 2024 344   VMI L 69-80 66%     0 - 4 -22.6 -12.1 -10.1
  Nov 19, 2024 56   @ LSU L 68-77 4%     0 - 5 +3.4 +4.6 -1.6
  Nov 23, 2024 115   Furman L 46-67 24%     0 - 6 -21.0 -23.4 +1.0
  Nov 27, 2024 112   @ Georgia Tech L 67-91 11%     0 - 7 -17.8 -6.2 -10.2
  Nov 30, 2024 103   @ Miami (FL) W 83-79 9%     1 - 7 +11.6 +12.4 -0.7
  Dec 03, 2024 288   Tennessee Martin W 83-68 59%     2 - 7 +5.2 +11.3 -5.3
  Dec 06, 2024 122   @ Davidson L 72-73 12%     2 - 8 +4.5 +3.1 +1.4
  Dec 09, 2024 253   @ South Carolina St. L 63-82 30%     2 - 9 -21.0 -8.9 -12.1
  Dec 19, 2024 198   @ North Alabama L 69-86 20%     2 - 10 -15.8 -1.3 -15.0
  Dec 22, 2024 36   @ Georgia L 65-81 3%     2 - 11 -0.9 +3.4 -5.0
  Jan 02, 2025 230   Gardner-Webb L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 04, 2025 172   @ Longwood L 68-78 18%    
  Jan 08, 2025 123   High Point L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 15, 2025 190   @ Winthrop L 75-84 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 213   Radford L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 22, 2025 269   @ Presbyterian L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 176   UNC Asheville L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 29, 2025 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 01, 2025 172   Longwood L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 05, 2025 190   Winthrop L 78-81 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 230   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-79 27%    
  Feb 12, 2025 269   Presbyterian W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 15, 2025 176   @ UNC Asheville L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 19, 2025 123   @ High Point L 69-82 12%    
  Feb 22, 2025 342   South Carolina Upstate W 81-74 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 213   @ Radford L 66-74 24%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.4 0.7 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 5.5 6.6 1.4 0.0 14.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 7.8 7.9 2.3 0.1 20.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 5.1 9.3 7.3 2.0 0.1 25.2 8th
9th 0.3 1.9 4.1 4.7 2.5 0.6 0.0 14.2 9th
Total 0.3 2.0 5.3 10.1 14.4 16.9 16.2 13.8 9.5 6.0 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 84.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 63.6% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 28.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.0% 5.0% 5.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 11.4% 11.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.6% 13.9% 13.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-5 1.5% 9.3% 9.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4
10-6 3.1% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.2 3.0
9-7 6.0% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.3 5.7
8-8 9.5% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.3 9.1
7-9 13.8% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 13.5
6-10 16.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 16.0
5-11 16.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 16.7
4-12 14.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.3
3-13 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.1
2-14 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.3
1-15 2.0% 2.0
0-16 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%