Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.5 #225
Expected Predictive Rating -3.0 #223
Pace 76.1 #37
Improvement +2.5 #59

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #237 C+ D- C- D- B+
Defense #212 B+ C F D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #223 1.15 #181 -1.0 #216
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% #345 0.68 #267 -4.2 #347
Three Pointers 53% #13 1.04 #147 +6.7 #17
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #136 +1.5 #139
Freethrows 15.6 #278 66% #326 10.3 #311
Second Chance 28.6% #247 0.85 #349 0.24 #320
Turnovers 17.5% #238
Total Offense -2.4 #237

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #101 1.03 #46 +0.8 #150
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #48 0.70 #115 -1.3 #275
Three Pointers 33% #353 0.94 #105 +5.3 #23
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #50 +4.8 #50
Freethrows 20.4 #321 72% #142 14.6 #53
Second Chance 29.7% #136 1.05 #206 0.31 #164
Turnovers 11.3% #364
Total Defense -1.2 #212

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.4% #42 -0.8% #100
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.6% #168 -8.6% #46
Possession Length 15.1 #29 16.6 #83
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #251 0.17 #177
Improvement +0.9 #121 +1.6 #77

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 7.2% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 64.0% 82.7% 58.2%
.500 or above in Conference 60.7% 80.9% 54.4%
Conference Champion 1.2% 4.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four0.8% 0.4% 0.9%
First Round5.1% 7.0% 4.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 24.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 52 - 8
Quad 413 - 615 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 68 @Virginia Tech L 67 - 98 8%  -13  0 - 1 -19 -7 C- F D+ -9 B F F
 Mon, Nov 10 360 @The Citadel W 96 - 86 80%  +0  1 - 1 -2 +12 B C B- -14 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 303 @Alabama A&M L 64 - 68 55%  -5  1 - 2 -9 -10 D- C- F +1 A- F A-
 Fri, Nov 14 240 Lindenwood L 77 - 83 53%  +6  1 - 3 -10 -4 B- F F -5 D A+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 355 IU Indianapolis W 103 - 91 88%  +13  2 - 3 -4 +5 A C D+ -11 B C F
 Fri, Nov 21 266 @East Carolina W 77 - 65 48%  +7  3 - 3 +9 +5 A- F A+ +4 B D+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 72 @South Carolina L 62 - 74 9%  -4  3 - 4 -1 -6 D+ F C +5 A+ C+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 235 @Tennessee Martin L 56 - 73 40%  +7  3 - 5 -18 -13 F F F -6 C A+ D+
 Mon, Dec 8 357 South Carolina St. W 84 - 44 90%  +15  4 - 5 +22 +6 B- F C- +17 A+ A+ C+
 Thu, Dec 18 350 North Florida W 113 - 90 87%  +12  5 - 5 +7 +14 A+ F D -10 C+ B- F
 Sun, Dec 21 150 @Furman L 76 - 84 25%  -6  5 - 6 -5 +0 C+ F B -4 A D- F
 Sun, Dec 28 115 @Richmond W 77 - 72 17%  +4  6 - 6 +12 +3 C D+ C +8 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 79 82%  -1  7 - 6 1 - 0 -3 +5 C C D -9 A F F
 Sat, Jan 3 239 UNC Asheville W 86 - 83 64%  +6  8 - 6 2 - 0 -4 +7 A+ A- F -11 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 152 @Winthrop L 77 - 81 26%  +2  8 - 7 2 - 1 -1 -5 F B+ A+ +4 A B- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 86 High Point L 79 - 86 24% 
 Wed, Jan 14 287 South Carolina Upstate W 80 - 74 74% 
 Wed, Jan 21 289 @Presbyterian W 71 - 70 52% 
 Sat, Jan 24 279 @Longwood W 79 - 78 50% 
 Thu, Jan 29 234 Radford W 84 - 81 63% 
 Wed, Feb 4 86 @High Point L 76 - 89 11% 
 Sat, Feb 7 287 @South Carolina Upstate W 78 - 77 52% 
 Thu, Feb 12 289 Presbyterian W 74 - 67 73% 
 Sat, Feb 14 234 @Radford L 81 - 84 41% 
 Sat, Feb 21 279 Longwood W 81 - 75 71% 
 Thu, Feb 26 152 Winthrop L 81 - 82 48% 
 Sat, Feb 28 239 @UNC Asheville L 74 - 76 42% 
Totals 14 - 13 8 - 7 -4 -2 C+ D- C- -1 B+ C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.6 1.8 0.2 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.1 8.3 6.8 1.7 0.1 19.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 9.8 7.6 1.2 0.1 20.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 7.7 7.4 1.0 0.0 17.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 5.3 7.0 1.0 0.0 14.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.6 1.2 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.4 0.8 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.5 6.6 11.7 17.7 20.4 18.2 12.5 6.6 2.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-3 60.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
12-4 20.2% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1
11-5 4.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.5% 21.0% 21.0% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
12-4 2.4% 14.0% 14.0% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.1
11-5 6.6% 10.6% 10.6% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 5.9
10-6 12.5% 9.0% 9.0% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 11.4
9-7 18.2% 6.0% 6.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 17.1
8-8 20.4% 4.5% 4.5% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 19.5
7-9 17.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.7 0.2 0.5 17.1
6-10 11.7% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.4
5-11 6.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.5
4-12 2.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-13 0.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.1 94.6 0.0%