Dartmouth
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#280
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#281
Pace73.1#78
Improvement+5.3#5

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#304
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#346
Layup/Dunks-6.3#346
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#27
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement+3.4#13

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#221
First Shot-4.6#324
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#15
Layups/Dunks-5.9#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#211
Freethrows+1.4#79
Improvement+1.8#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 3.7% 5.3% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.8% 22.7% 6.8%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 37.0% 24.7% 58.0%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Home) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 83 - 11
Quad 46 - 69 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 295   Sacred Heart W 81-76 65%     1 - 0 -5.2 -4.2 -1.5
  Nov 13, 2024 233   Albany L 73-87 52%     1 - 1 -20.8 -6.3 -14.2
  Nov 16, 2024 257   @ Boston University L 50-78 34%     1 - 2 -30.2 -22.1 -9.1
  Nov 19, 2024 231   @ Marist L 62-75 29%     1 - 3 -13.7 -11.0 -2.4
  Nov 29, 2024 167   @ Boston College W 88-83 20%     2 - 3 +7.6 +11.1 -3.9
  Dec 03, 2024 355   @ New Hampshire W 69-65 63%     3 - 3 -5.9 -5.8 +0.0
  Dec 08, 2024 192   @ Illinois-Chicago L 68-69 OT 23%     3 - 4 +0.4 -13.9 +14.5
  Dec 11, 2024 83   @ Notre Dame L 65-77 7%     3 - 5 -1.9 -1.5 -0.7
  Dec 14, 2024 144   @ Umass Lowell L 83-92 17%     3 - 6 -5.4 +8.4 -13.6
  Dec 18, 2024 332   Le Moyne L 76-80 74%     3 - 7 -17.2 -5.7 -11.3
  Dec 21, 2024 220   Vermont W 84-54 49%     4 - 7 +23.7 +14.5 +10.4
  Jan 11, 2025 292   Penn W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 18, 2025 110   Princeton L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 20, 2025 98   @ Yale L 67-81 9%    
  Jan 25, 2025 174   @ Brown L 66-75 21%    
  Jan 31, 2025 131   @ Cornell L 75-86 15%    
  Feb 01, 2025 179   @ Columbia L 72-80 22%    
  Feb 08, 2025 243   Harvard W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 14, 2025 179   Columbia L 75-77 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 131   Cornell L 78-83 32%    
  Feb 21, 2025 292   @ Penn L 71-73 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 110   Princeton L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 28, 2025 98   Yale L 70-78 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 174   Brown L 69-72 40%    
  Mar 08, 2025 243   @ Harvard L 69-74 33%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 2.5 0.8 0.1 4.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 4.4 1.5 0.1 8.6 4th
5th 0.3 4.0 7.1 2.4 0.1 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 6.2 9.3 3.4 0.2 20.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 8.8 10.1 3.3 0.2 0.0 25.1 7th
8th 1.3 5.1 8.8 6.9 2.0 0.1 24.2 8th
Total 1.3 5.2 11.3 16.7 18.6 16.9 13.2 8.5 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 96.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 73.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
10-4 41.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 9.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.1% 7.1% 7.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.3% 10.4% 10.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-4 0.8% 11.9% 11.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
9-5 2.3% 10.1% 10.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.0
8-6 4.9% 6.6% 6.6% 15.7 0.1 0.2 4.6
7-7 8.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.3
6-8 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-9 16.9% 16.9
4-10 18.6% 18.6
3-11 16.7% 16.7
2-12 11.3% 11.3
1-13 5.2% 5.2
0-14 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%