Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#329
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#338
Pace73.1#77
Improvement-3.0#332

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#256
First Shot-0.3#182
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#326
Layup/Dunks-0.7#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#96
Freethrows+1.3#101
Improvement-2.2#321

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#350
First Shot-4.8#333
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#317
Layups/Dunks-4.8#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#306
Freethrows+2.1#50
Improvement-0.8#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.5% 5.8% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.0% 27.0% 47.4%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 26.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 91 - 14
Quad 46 - 107 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 96   @ Oklahoma St. L 76-89 6%     0 - 1 -4.7 +3.0 -6.9
  Nov 08, 2024 125   St. Thomas L 76-90 20%     0 - 2 -14.8 -0.8 -13.6
  Nov 13, 2024 331   @ Western Illinois W 87-73 40%     1 - 2 +6.9 +13.6 -6.3
  Nov 16, 2024 75   @ Providence L 65-79 4%     1 - 3 -3.5 +1.6 -5.6
  Nov 19, 2024 281   SIU Edwardsville W 82-57 49%     2 - 3 +15.6 +5.2 +10.0
  Nov 22, 2024 315   @ Evansville L 81-98 36%     2 - 4 -22.8 -4.3 -16.2
  Nov 25, 2024 29   @ Ohio St. L 69-102 2%     2 - 5 -16.7 +0.7 -16.1
  Nov 30, 2024 296   Campbell L 66-72 53%     2 - 6 -16.3 -11.8 -4.4
  Dec 04, 2024 351   @ IU Indianapolis L 75-84 49%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -18.3 -0.3 -18.4
  Dec 07, 2024 218   Cleveland St. L 61-83 36%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -28.0 -12.4 -15.9
  Dec 11, 2024 132   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-88 22%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -22.4 -8.0 -14.5
  Dec 14, 2024 146   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-83 12%     2 - 10 -13.5 -9.0 -3.7
  Dec 21, 2024 80   @ Drake L 62-72 4%     2 - 11 +0.3 +8.0 -9.9
  Dec 29, 2024 160   Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-86 27%    
  Jan 02, 2025 168   @ Wright St. L 74-86 13%    
  Jan 04, 2025 205   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-77 16%    
  Jan 11, 2025 132   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-88 9%    
  Jan 17, 2025 256   Robert Morris L 75-76 45%    
  Jan 19, 2025 187   Youngstown St. L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 22, 2025 351   IU Indianapolis W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 218   @ Cleveland St. L 70-80 19%    
  Jan 30, 2025 183   @ Oakland L 66-77 15%    
  Feb 01, 2025 321   @ Detroit Mercy L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 160   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-89 12%    
  Feb 14, 2025 205   Northern Kentucky L 70-74 34%    
  Feb 16, 2025 168   Wright St. L 77-83 29%    
  Feb 21, 2025 256   @ Robert Morris L 72-79 25%    
  Feb 23, 2025 187   @ Youngstown St. L 68-79 15%    
  Feb 27, 2025 321   Detroit Mercy W 76-74 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 183   Oakland L 69-74 31%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.5 0.3 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.9 3.1 0.8 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.8 5.6 7.5 4.6 1.1 0.1 20.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 5.5 10.6 9.7 4.4 0.8 0.1 32.5 10th
11th 0.8 3.6 7.5 8.9 5.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 28.5 11th
Total 0.8 3.7 8.8 14.5 18.0 17.5 14.5 10.0 6.4 3.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 44.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 6.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.1% 15.2% 15.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.2% 5.6% 5.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.7% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
10-10 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5
9-11 3.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3
8-12 6.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.3
7-13 10.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.9
6-14 14.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.4
5-15 17.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.5
4-16 18.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.0
3-17 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
2-18 8.8% 8.8
1-19 3.7% 3.7
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%