Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.7 225
Results Rating -1.4 183
Pace 60.6 354
Improvement +2.6 86

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 124 C+ D+ C+ B+ B-
Defense D 319 D+ D D- D C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 94 D+ 55% 256 +0.6 155
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 220 B- 42% 67 -0.3 197
Three Pointers 40% 201 B- 36% 102 +0.8 154
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 106 C +0.5 156
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 141
Second Chance D- 24.0% 337 B- 1.09 94 D+ 0.26 295
Turnovers C+ 16.0% 130
Freethrows B+ 0.35 39 B- 75% 92 B+ 0.27 31
Total Offense C+ +1.6 124

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 50% 156 C 11.0% 180
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 301 D+ 6.8% 288
Three Pointers C+ 86% 144 D- 1.6% 330
Total C 56% 178 D+ 6.5% 276

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 287 D+ 62% 291 -0.8 146
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 182 C+ 37% 124 -0.3 165
Three Pointers 45% 74 D+ 36% 269 +3.3 319
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 125 D+ +2.4 274
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 248
Second Chance C 30.7% 201 D- 1.17 346 D 0.36 300
Turnovers D- 13.9% 337
Freethrows D+ 0.34 291 D+ 74% 290 D 0.25 300
Total Defense D -5.3 319

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 217 D+ 8.7% 263
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 139 B 7.4% 54
Three Pointers D 89% 326 D+ 0.5% 245
Total D+ 59% 272 C- 4.8% 239

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.7 358 17.1 150
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 305 0.16 147
Improvement +2.8 #67 -0.1 #197

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 249 225 197
Results Rating Rank 232 190 158
Conference Record 11 - 9 12 - 8 13 - 7
Conference Finish 5 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 11% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 80% 100% 64%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 2% 4% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round9% 11% 8%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Away) - 44.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 35 - 65 - 11
Quad 411 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 21 @Kansas L 51 - 94 2% -23  1% 0 - 1 F -22 F+ -9 D+ F B+ F -17 F A F
 Fri, Nov 7 207 @Buffalo L 76 - 83 35% -3  11% 0 - 2 D+ -7 B- +5 A F C F -12 D- F+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 128 @St. Thomas L 61 - 80 19% -19  0% 0 - 3 D- -14 F -14 D- D- F+ C+ +0 C- A+ D
 Sat, Nov 15 59 @Minnesota L 65 - 72 OT 8% -1  30% 0 - 4 B- +5 D -5 D+ D D+ A +10 B+ A F
 Fri, Nov 21 85 Yale L 67 - 73 16% -6  4% 0 - 5 C +1 C- -1 F A+ B- C+ +1 B- C+ C
 Sat, Nov 22 185 Massachusetts W 79 - 75 42% +4  76% 1 - 5 C+ +2 B- +5 C+ D- A C- -2 A F F+
 Mon, Nov 24 249 Iona W 80 - 75 55% -0  49% 2 - 5 C +0 B +6 F A A+ D -6 C F+ F
 Thu, Dec 4 179 Robert Morris L 78 - 80 52% +1  47% 2 - 6 0 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +2 A F C F+ -9 D- C D+
 Sun, Dec 7 153 @Wright St. L 58 - 86 25% -12  0% 2 - 7 0 - 2 F -25 F -15 F C- F F -11 C F F
 Thu, Dec 11 325 @IU Indianapolis W 85 - 75 64% +1  45% 3 - 7 1 - 2 C+ +3 C +1 C- F+ C C+ +1 A F F+
 Wed, Dec 17 141 UC Santa Barbara W 67 - 64 43% +8  99% 4 - 7 C +1 C+ +3 A F A C- -2 F+ D+ B-
 Tue, Dec 23 197 @Campbell L 79 - 102 33% -9  16% 4 - 8 F -22 B +7 A D+ D F -30 F F F
 Thu, Jan 1 261 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 72 - 54 46% +10  99% 5 - 8 2 - 2 A- +15 B- +5 C+ D B- A+ +13 B C B
 Mon, Jan 5 271 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79 - 76 70% +8  82% 6 - 8 3 - 2 D+ -6 B +6 A+ F A- F -12 F A C+
 Fri, Jan 9 325 IU Indianapolis W 75 - 59 82% +9  76% 7 - 8 4 - 2 C+ +3 F -11 D- F D- A+ +13 A+ B F+
 Sun, Jan 11 195 Northern Kentucky W 80 - 78 55% +13  99% 8 - 8 5 - 2 C- -3 A+ +15 A+ D+ A F -18 D B+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 314 @Cleveland St. W 88 - 73 60% +2  42% 9 - 8 6 - 2 B +9 A+ +17 A A- B- D -6 D- B- D-
 Sun, Jan 18 172 Oakland L 63 - 88 50% -11  13% 9 - 9 6 - 3 F -29 F -12 D F D+ F -19 F F C
 Thu, Jan 22 198 @Youngstown St. L 81 - 88 33% -8  1% 9 - 10 6 - 4 D+ -6 A- +11 A- F+ C F -17 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 179 @Robert Morris W 71 - 67 30% +5  89% 10 - 10 7 - 4 B- +6 B- +5 C A+ C C+ +2 C- B+ D+
 Fri, Jan 30 314 Cleveland St. L 82 - 89 79% -5  14% 10 - 11 7 - 5 F -19 C +1 C- D+ B+ F -21 F F D+
 Sun, Feb 1 153 Wright St. L 75 - 83 46% -9  0% 10 - 12 7 - 6 D -11 B- +5 C B B- F -16 D+ D+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 195 @Northern Kentucky W 87 - 84 OT 33% +3  70% 11 - 12 8 - 6 C+ +4 B +6 C- A+ D- C- -2 F+ A F
 Sat, Feb 7 255 Detroit Mercy W 76 - 63 67% +9  94% 12 - 12 9 - 6 B- +5 C- -1 F B B B+ +6 B- B A-
 Thu, Feb 12 261 Purdue Fort Wayne W 76 - 59 68% +16  99% 13 - 12 10 - 6 B +8 A- +10 C+ A- A C+ +1 C+ F A+
 Sun, Feb 15 271 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 75 48% +3  88% 13 - 13 10 - 7 D+ -6 B- +4 A F D+ F -10 D A F
 Fri, Feb 20 172 @Oakland W 73 - 68 28% +3  79% 14 - 13 11 - 7 B- +7 C+ +3 C- D+ B+ B +5 A+ F B+
 Sun, Feb 22 255 @Detroit Mercy L 74 - 76 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 198 Youngstown St. W 73 - 72 55%
Totals 15 - 14 12 - 8 -4 C+ +2 A+ C B- D -5 B- B- B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ B- B- C 42% 34% 40% B- C+ D- B- D+ C+ B+ B- B+ D D+ C+ D+ D+ 35% 21% 45% C+ D+ C D- D D- D+ D+ D
1.11 55% 42% 36% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.1 .26 16% .35 75% .27 1.16 62% 37% 36% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.2 .36 14% .34 74% .26
Nov
3		 Kansas F+ C+ F D D+ 22% 22% 56% C- D+ F F F B+ A+ D- A- F F F F F 37% 16% 47% D F C A+ A F F+ B- D-
0.79 55% 9% 29% -12 -1 0.76 17% 0.3 .05 12% .32 61% .19 1.46 84% 50% 42% +17 +1 1.37 32% 0.9 .29 5% .39 75% .29
Nov
7		 Buffalo B- A- A A A 38% 4% 58% B+ A F F F C A+ A- A+ F D C- F+ D 49% 13% 38% F+ D- C- F F+ F F A F
1.18 71% 50% 42% +12 +2 1.31 15% 0.5 .08 17% .39 81% .32 1.29 63% 40% 40% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.3 .38 11% .72 66% .47
Nov
13		 St. Thomas F C- F F+ F+ 49% 14% 37% B- D- F+ C- D- F+ C- F F+ C+ C- C+ D C 45% 5% 50% D C- A+ A+ A+ D A+ F A-
0.87 58% 14% 28% -7 +2 0.92 22% 1.1 .25 21% .25 57% .14 1.14 65% 33% 38% +6 +2 1.19 10% 0.7 .06 13% .16 90% .15
Nov
15		 Minnesota D C F F+ D- 41% 16% 43% A- D+ F+ C D D+ A+ F A+ A D- A- A- B+ 35% 21% 44% B+ B+ B A+ A F F A+ F
0.91 57% 25% 27% -7 +1 0.90 19% 0.9 .16 20% .42 63% .26 1.01 71% 30% 29% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.7 .20 11% .61 51% .32
Nov
21		 Yale C- F A+ F F 29% 16% 56% C F B A+ A+ B- A+ F A+ C+ B F+ D- C+ 41% 26% 33% B B- B+ F+ C+ C D+ B C-
1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28 1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27
Nov
22		 Massachusetts B- B C- F C+ 56% 19% 26% B C+ D+ F D- A A+ A A+ C- D A A+ A+ 38% 16% 47% D A D F F F+ F F F
1.17 67% 38% 27% +2 +2 1.09 25% 0.9 .21 12% .59 80% .47 1.11 65% 29% 19% -9 +1 0.84 35% 2.1 .73 15% .45 85% .38
Nov
24		 Iona B F B C- F 42% 13% 45% B F D+ A+ A A+ A+ A- A+ D A A F C+ 38% 13% 48% D C F D+ F+ F F+ D F+
1.18 39% 43% 32% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.5 .47 7% .41 77% .32 1.11 45% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 32% 1.1 .34 12% .32 74% .23
Dec
4		 Robert Morris C+ C+ A+ C- A 50% 16% 34% B- A F F F C A+ B+ A+ F+ F F+ C F 25% 38% 38% A+ D- F+ A- C D+ F C F+
1.15 59% 86% 33% +8 +1 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 16% .55 81% .44 1.18 77% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 41% 0.9 .38 16% .32 67% .21
Dec
7		 Wright St. F D F F F 58% 16% 27% A F D- A+ C- F A- C+ B+ F F A+ A+ B- 39% 8% 53% F C C F F F F F+ F
0.86 54% 14% 25% -10 +2 0.87 23% 1.3 .30 27% .36 72% .26 1.27 80% 25% 22% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.9 .59 12% .42 80% .33
Dec
11		 IU Indianapolis C D B+ A C+ 36% 20% 43% F+ C- F B- F+ C A+ A+ A+ C+ B B- A+ A 28% 26% 46% B A B+ F F F+ F D- F
1.16 56% 44% 42% +6 0 1.14 26% 1.3 .32 19% .53 84% .44 1.03 53% 36% 24% -9 -1 0.81 23% 1.8 .40 12% .41 77% .31
Dec
17		 UC Santa Barbara C+ D- F A+ A- 49% 2% 49% A+ A F F F A A+ F C- C- F C- C D- 48% 12% 40% F F+ A+ F D+ B- A+ B+ A+
1.18 52% 0% 52% +10 +3 1.28 11% 0.3 .04 12% .46 52% .24 1.13 75% 40% 35% +9 +2 1.24 23% 1.6 .36 19% .15 71% .11
Dec
23		 Campbell B B+ A+ B- A+ 36% 39% 25% F A C+ F+ D+ D A+ F A- F D+ F+ F F 43% 15% 43% C+ F F F F F F B+ D
1.19 69% 65% 36% +15 -2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 65% .28 1.54 60% 43% 55% +15 +1 1.34 47% 1.6 .73 12% .46 67% .31
Jan
1		 Purdue Fort Wayne B- B- B- B- C+ 41% 12% 46% C+ C+ D C- D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ C B+ 28% 11% 62% C B A- F C B A A+ A+
1.16 65% 40% 37% +5 +1 1.15 30% 1.0 .30 18% .49 92% .45 0.87 46% 20% 34% -5 +1 0.94 15% 1.4 .21 18% .16 38% .06
Jan
5		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B A+ C- C- A+ 60% 19% 21% B- A+ F A- F A- A+ D- A+ F F C- F F 20% 33% 47% A+ F C+ A+ A C+ D D+ D-
1.25 80% 38% 33% +13 +2 1.31 14% 1.3 .19 13% .52 69% .36 1.20 89% 40% 48% +16 -3 1.29 30% 0.8 .23 16% .32 71% .22
Jan
9		 IU Indianapolis F C- B D- D- 49% 16% 36% C D- D- F+ F D- A- A- A A+ A A A+ A+ 25% 23% 52% B- A+ A D+ B F+ C+ C+ B-
1.04 59% 43% 31% 0 +1 1.04 29% 1.0 .29 22% .46 81% .37 0.82 47% 29% 23% -14 -1 0.72 21% 1.1 .23 12% .16 70% .11
Jan
11		 Northern Kentucky A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 46% 13% 41% B A+ B- F D+ A D D D- F C+ B- D- D 41% 12% 47% D+ D B B+ B+ F D- F F
1.33 71% 33% 53% +17 +2 1.39 36% 0.9 .32 15% .29 67% .19 1.29 57% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 26% 0.9 .24 5% .35 80% .28
Jan
15		 Cleveland St. A+ A A A+ A+ 26% 13% 61% C- A F A+ A- B- C+ A+ B+ D F D+ D D- 24% 12% 63% C D- A+ F B- D- F D+ F
1.44 75% 50% 46% +17 0 1.37 25% 2.0 .50 13% .32 88% .28 1.19 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.5 .23 15% .46 79% .36
Jan
18		 Oakland F A+ A- F D+ 28% 26% 47% D D F F F D+ B- A+ A- F F+ B F F 52% 26% 22% C+ F F B- F C F A+ D-
0.98 77% 50% 23% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.6 .16 17% .26 86% .23 1.38 67% 33% 50% +8 0 1.20 53% 1.1 .56 14% .47 62% .29
Jan
22		 Youngstown St. A- B- A- A+ A- 53% 18% 29% B+ A- D+ F F+ C C A+ B F D+ F F F 18% 11% 71% B+ F D- F F F+ F F F
1.22 65% 44% 43% +9 +1 1.22 28% 0.7 .20 18% .35 84% .29 1.33 63% 80% 41% +13 0 1.27 34% 1.3 .45 15% .39 82% .32
Jan
24		 Robert Morris B- B B F C 47% 15% 38% B- C D A+ A+ C F C+ F C+ C A+ F+ C- 30% 15% 54% C- C- A- C B+ D+ C+ A B-
1.15 64% 43% 28% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.9 .45 16% .25 77% .19 1.08 57% 14% 40% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .32 16% .23 58% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Cleveland St. C F C A+ D+ 40% 10% 50% B C- D C+ D+ B+ B A A- F B+ D+ F F 23% 23% 53% A F F F F D+ F D- F
1.25 40% 40% 48% +3 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 12% .35 85% .30 1.36 50% 40% 57% +17 -1 1.33 38% 1.4 .54 17% .48 81% .39
Feb
1		 Wright St. B- F C A+ C 48% 23% 30% C+ C C A B B- A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C D 33% 20% 47% B- D+ D+ C- D+ F F F F
1.18 48% 40% 46% +1 0 1.05 30% 1.3 .37 16% .49 85% .41 1.31 80% 22% 33% +4 0 1.09 33% 1.1 .37 8% .48 89% .43
Feb
4		 Northern Kentucky B C- F B D+ 47% 13% 40% B C- B+ A+ A+ D- B B- B C- C+ F D+ F+ 40% 9% 51% D F+ A- A+ A F D A C
1.15 56% 29% 38% 0 +2 1.06 39% 1.5 .58 23% .38 73% .27 1.11 57% 80% 34% +3 +2 1.12 24% 0.8 .19 11% .33 64% .21
Feb
7		 Detroit Mercy C- F F C+ F 50% 15% 35% B- F B C+ B B B A+ A+ B+ A+ B F C+ 20% 39% 41% A- B- B- B B A- D F+ F+
1.14 42% 29% 35% -9 +2 0.88 37% 1.2 .43 12% .39 87% .34 0.95 33% 33% 42% -2 -4 0.91 30% 0.8 .24 20% .32 82% .26
Feb
12		 Purdue Fort Wayne A- C- A+ B- C+ 62% 18% 21% B C+ F A+ A- A A+ A- A+ C+ C+ D- B C+ 47% 18% 34% C- C+ F C F A+ F F F
1.29 58% 57% 38% +5 +2 1.15 24% 2.0 .48 15% .56 82% .46 1.00 56% 43% 31% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.0 .36 22% .39 83% .33
Feb
15		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B- F+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 14% 38% B- A D- F F D+ B- B B F D A+ F D 38% 26% 36% C D A B A F F F F
1.17 50% 83% 50% +12 +1 1.29 23% 0.7 .15 18% .36 78% .28 1.22 63% 9% 47% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 10% .67 81% .54
Feb
20		 Oakland C+ F B- A+ C 35% 23% 42% C- C- F A- D+ B+ B A+ A B A+ D+ A+ A+ 19% 36% 45% A+ A+ F F F B+ C F F
1.16 41% 45% 45% +3 -1 1.06 26% 1.1 .29 13% .27 87% .24 1.08 33% 41% 19% -14 -3 0.68 45% 1.4 .63 17% .33 100% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1.9 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 18.9 23.0 42.0 2nd
3rd 2.3 25.5 27.8 3rd
4th 14.8 5.0 19.8 4th
5th 7.1 7.1 5th
6th 1.3 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 25.7 49.4 24.9 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 7.6% 1.9    0.3 1.0 0.6
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.3 1.0 0.6



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 24.9% 12.0% 12.0% 14.6 0.1 1.2 1.7 0.1 21.9
12-8 49.4% 9.8% 9.8% 15.2 0.0 0.2 3.3 1.3 44.5
11-9 25.7% 5.6% 5.6% 15.6 0.0 0.6 0.8 24.3
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 15.1 90.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.0% 100.0% 14.6 2.6 38.7 56.5 2.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.9%
Lose Out 11.0%