Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.3 272
Results Rating -5.5 249
Pace 78.9 8
Improvement -3.0 295

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 315 D- C+ D C- C+
Defense C 193 C- D+ C+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 34 C- 57% 203 +2.9 84
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 63 F+ 30% 361 -1.3 247
Three Pointers 33% 326 F 28% 358 -6.9 350
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 165 D- -5.4 342
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 334
Second Chance C 30.2% 190 B- 1.09 96 C+ 0.33 136
Turnovers D 19.4% 326
Freethrows C 0.31 182 D- 67% 335 C- 0.21 235
Total Offense D -5.6 315

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 50% 148 C- 11.6% 215
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 110 D+ 6.4% 269
Three Pointers C+ 87% 129 C+ 0.7% 142
Total C 55% 186 D 6.8% 307

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 14 C- 60% 223 +5.3 340
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 256 B+ 33% 34 -1.8 48
Three Pointers 35% 330 C 34% 203 -2.6 67
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 328 C +0.0 176
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 210
Second Chance C- 32.0% 248 C- 1.07 241 D+ 0.34 260
Turnovers C+ 17.3% 144
Freethrows D+ 0.33 264 C+ 71% 104 C- 0.23 241
Total Defense C -0.7 193

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 113 C- 9.3% 240
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 40 A+ 11.4% 8
Three Pointers D 89% 314 D+ 0.5% 249
Total C+ 53% 123 C+ 6.6% 95

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 32 16.8 97
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 40 0.21 299
Improvement -2.8 #313 -0.2 #205

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 292 271 246
Results Rating Rank 278 257 228
Conference Record 10 - 10 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 6 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 5% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 80% 91% 46%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 1% 2%
First Round4% 4% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Home) - 74.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 414 - 816 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 14 @Texas Tech L 60 - 98 1% -19  9% 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -11 F+ D- C- C- -2 B- B+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 23 @Saint Louis L 66 - 109 2% -22  0% 0 - 2 F -24 F+ -9 B- B+ F F+ -9 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 14 268 Charleston Southern W 83 - 77 49% -6  18% 1 - 2 C -0 D+ -4 C+ D- D B- +3 D+ A- B-
 Sun, Nov 16 310 @Alabama A&M L 65 - 74 48% -2  27% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -11 F C F D+ -4 F F+ B
 Thu, Nov 20 38 @Indiana L 53 - 73 3% -14  0% 1 - 4 C- -3 F -16 F B F+ A+ +13 A+ D+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 360 UMKC W 80 - 67 89% +6  69% 2 - 4 D+ -7 D- -7 C F D+ C -0 D+ B A+
 Tue, Dec 2 323 @Northern Illinois W 99 - 64 54% +22  94% 3 - 4 A+ +28 A+ +17 F A+ A- A +9 C- A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 324 @Eastern Illinois W 82 - 74 54% -1  43% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C +1 B- +5 D A B D+ -4 B F F
 Thu, Dec 18 362 Western Illinois W 92 - 76 91% +13  97% 5 - 4 2 - 0 D+ -5 C +1 C- B+ D+ D- -7 F+ F+ D
 Tue, Dec 23 204 @Missouri St. L 65 - 70 26% -5  15% 5 - 5 C- -4 F+ -9 F D- A B +4 B D- F
 Thu, Jan 1 280 Morehead St. W 77 - 64 63% +6  96% 6 - 5 3 - 0 C+ +3 D -5 A F C A- +8 B+ C C+
 Sat, Jan 3 339 Southern Indiana W 83 - 80 79% +5  88% 7 - 5 4 - 0 D- -12 C +1 F+ A+ C- F -13 F D+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 260 @SIU Edwardsville L 62 - 66 36% -2  23% 7 - 6 4 - 1 D+ -7 F -10 F A D- B +4 C+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 10 299 Arkansas Little Rock L 74 - 82 68% -5  10% 7 - 7 4 - 2 F -19 D -5 D+ B- F F -14 F F C+
 Thu, Jan 15 222 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88 - 76 29% +17  98% 8 - 7 5 - 2 B+ +12 C+ +3 C- A+ D A- +7 B+ F C
 Sat, Jan 17 217 @Tennessee Martin L 55 - 69 28% -10  2% 8 - 8 5 - 3 D- -14 F -18 F C- F B +4 D+ C B
 Thu, Jan 22 309 Tennessee Tech W 89 - 68 70% +19  97% 9 - 8 6 - 3 B +9 C +0 B- A+ F A- +7 A B+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 224 Tennessee St. L 86 - 96 52% -5  9% 9 - 9 6 - 4 F+ -17 D+ -3 D+ C- D+ F -12 F C- B
 Thu, Jan 29 339 @Southern Indiana W 73 - 60 60% +8  90% 10 - 9 7 - 4 C+ +4 F -11 F D+ F+ A+ +14 A D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 280 @Morehead St. W 79 - 78 40% -2  30% 11 - 9 8 - 4 C- -3 D+ -3 B- C- F C+ +0 C+ A- F
 Tue, Feb 3 260 SIU Edwardsville L 72 - 78 59% +4  79% 11 - 10 8 - 5 F+ -15 D- -6 D C- F+ D- -8 F C+ B
 Thu, Feb 5 299 @Arkansas Little Rock W 79 - 74 46% +0  49% 12 - 10 9 - 5 C -0 B- +4 F+ B B D+ -4 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 12 217 Tennessee Martin W 75 - 74 50% -0  47% 13 - 10 10 - 5 D+ -5 C +1 A+ D- F D -6 F C- B+
 Sat, Feb 14 222 Southeast Missouri St. L 61 - 73 51% -2  33% 13 - 11 10 - 6 F -18 F -17 F F A- C -1 C A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 224 @Tennessee St. L 80 - 89 29% +2  48% 13 - 12 10 - 7 D -10 D- -7 D C- F C- -2 B+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 309 @Tennessee Tech L 57 - 72 48% -3  13% 13 - 13 10 - 8 F -21 F -18 F F F+ D+ -4 C- D- D
 Thu, Feb 26 324 Eastern Illinois W 75 - 68 75%
 Sat, Feb 28 362 @Western Illinois W 78 - 69 80%
Totals 15 - 13 12 - 8 -6 D -6 B D- C+ C -1 F D- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- F+ F D- 44% 49% 33% C+ D- C B- C+ D C D- C- C C- B+ C C 46% 18% 35% D C- C- C- D+ C+ D+ C+ C-
1.01 57% 30% 28% -5 0 0.91 30% 1.1 .33 19% .31 67% .21 1.10 60% 33% 34% 0 +1 1.04 32% 1.1 .34 17% .33 71% .22
Nov
4		 Texas Tech F F+ F F F 32% 30% 38% C+ F+ C- F D- C- A+ C- A+ C- B C+ D- B 28% 15% 57% D+ B- F+ A+ B+ F D- A C-
0.78 47% 25% 25% -13 -2 0.74 23% 0.5 .13 18% .42 65% .27 1.28 56% 40% 41% +5 0 1.12 42% 0.7 .29 9% .33 65% .22
Nov
10		 Saint Louis F+ B+ D- F+ B- 42% 27% 31% C B- C+ A+ B+ F A+ F C+ F+ F A+ F F 58% 2% 40% F+ F F F F A+ F C+ F
0.81 60% 31% 27% -5 -1 0.92 28% 1.1 .31 30% .46 54% .25 1.35 76% 0% 50% +19 +4 1.48 48% 1.7 .83 25% .51 71% .36
Nov
14		 Charleston Southern D+ D+ C+ B C+ 40% 32% 28% D+ C+ C- F D- D A+ D A- B- F F A- C- 41% 4% 55% F+ D+ B A A- B- C D+ C-
1.06 52% 39% 38% -1 -1 0.98 27% 0.8 .23 14% .46 68% .31 0.99 70% 50% 29% +1 +2 1.09 25% 0.7 .18 20% .26 69% .18
Nov
16		 Alabama A&M F A- C+ F F 43% 17% 40% C F D+ B+ C F B+ F C+ D+ D- A+ F F 36% 20% 44% D F D+ F F+ B F D+ F
0.96 70% 38% 16% -6 +1 0.91 29% 1.1 .32 21% .39 62% .24 1.09 63% 22% 40% +2 0 1.07 28% 1.3 .34 19% .46 76% .35
Nov
20		 Indiana F F F F F 40% 30% 30% C F A D- B F+ B+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 18% 46% A- A+ B- F D+ D F+ A- D+
0.75 19% 25% 13% -29 -1 0.42 37% 0.9 .35 20% .35 80% .28 1.03 39% 33% 30% -10 0 0.82 28% 1.3 .35 11% .40 72% .29
Nov
24		 UMKC D- B- F C+ C- 60% 13% 27% A- C D F F D+ A+ B A+ C D A+ C- C- 54% 26% 20% F+ D+ A- C+ B A+ F F F
1.06 65% 14% 36% +1 +2 1.10 31% 0.5 .14 19% .44 74% .32 0.89 60% 17% 33% -5 0 0.93 21% 0.9 .18 25% .46 77% .35
Dec
2		 Northern Illinois A+ F F C F 59% 13% 28% B+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C A A A+ F F C+ 57% 9% 35% F C- D A+ A+ B F A+ D-
1.33 47% 29% 33% -8 +2 0.91 50% 1.7 .83 13% .44 71% .31 0.86 38% 50% 44% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.3 .09 24% .53 50% .27
Dec
6		 Eastern Illinois B- B F F D- 53% 14% 33% B D B- A+ A B B+ C+ B+ D+ B- A+ A+ A 61% 27% 12% F B F F F F C- B- C
1.14 67% 29% 18% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 17% .39 78% .30 1.03 50% 19% 14% -14 +1 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 13% .29 72% .21
Dec
18		 Western Illinois C C F+ A- C- 52% 19% 29% C C- B B B+ D+ A+ F A D- F+ A+ A+ D+ 62% 15% 24% F F+ B F F+ D F A+ D
1.21 63% 30% 40% +4 +1 1.12 39% 1.3 .49 16% .53 56% .30 1.00 62% 13% 23% -5 +2 0.96 21% 1.5 .32 15% .43 54% .23
Dec
23		 Missouri St. F+ B+ C F F 29% 27% 44% B- F C F D- A A+ F B B F A+ A+ A- 36% 20% 44% D- B C- F D- F D A+ B
0.94 71% 38% 14% -9 -1 0.81 31% 0.8 .24 13% .52 58% .30 1.02 78% 10% 23% -6 0 0.90 33% 1.3 .43 13% .38 52% .20
Jan
1		 Morehead St. D C+ A+ A A- 55% 8% 37% A A F F F C B F D- A- D+ B+ A+ A- 40% 24% 36% D+ B+ B D C C+ B A- B+
1.11 61% 75% 42% +9 +3 1.25 15% 0.4 .06 14% .37 50% .19 0.92 60% 33% 22% -7 0 0.88 31% 1.0 .31 19% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Southern Indiana C D+ F C- F 70% 19% 11% A- F+ A+ A+ A+ C- F C+ F F F D- B+ F 46% 21% 32% D- F D- C D+ B A- F C
1.16 54% 10% 33% -8 +2 0.91 46% 1.5 .69 17% .20 75% .15 1.12 69% 42% 28% +3 0 1.09 33% 0.8 .27 20% .24 86% .21
Jan
6		 SIU Edwardsville F D- F F F 43% 23% 34% B- F B- A+ A D- D- F F+ B C+ A+ F C 32% 36% 32% B C+ B- D C B+ F D- F
0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18 0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29
Jan
10		 Arkansas Little Rock D B- A+ D- D+ 43% 12% 45% B- D+ C- A B- F D+ A C F F D B F 42% 34% 25% D+ F F B- F C+ D+ F F
1.08 67% 50% 32% +4 +1 1.12 34% 1.1 .38 23% .27 79% .21 1.19 77% 39% 31% +7 -1 1.13 47% 0.9 .43 19% .25 86% .22
Jan
15		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ C F D- D- 61% 4% 35% A+ C- A- A+ A+ D A+ F A- A- A+ A- C+ A 50% 12% 38% F B+ D+ F F C F+ B- D
1.08 57% 0% 29% -5 +4 1.00 35% 1.5 .51 20% .53 66% .35 0.93 41% 29% 32% -11 +2 0.84 31% 1.4 .44 17% .39 65% .25
Jan
17		 Tennessee Martin F F D+ F F 18% 47% 36% F F D+ C+ C- F A+ F+ A+ B D B- C D 35% 26% 39% B D+ C+ C- C B A+ F+ A-
0.77 50% 33% 13% -15 -5 0.62 29% 1.0 .29 24% .50 63% .31 0.97 63% 36% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 24% .20 73% .15
Jan
22		 Tennessee Tech C A D F C 61% 6% 33% A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F B+ B A- A- A+ C- A- A+ 51% 27% 22% D+ A D- A+ B+ B- F B- F
1.17 71% 33% 24% +2 +4 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 24% .34 80% .27 0.89 36% 38% 27% -13 0 0.76 35% 0.7 .23 21% .50 73% .36
Jan
24		 Tennessee St. D+ D+ B B+ C 38% 28% 34% F D+ F+ A C- D+ C- A+ B+ F D+ F F F 56% 23% 21% F F C D+ C- B A+ B+ A+
1.10 55% 47% 39% +4 -1 1.08 24% 1.3 .31 20% .35 91% .32 1.23 63% 64% 46% +12 +1 1.29 31% 1.1 .34 19% .16 70% .11
Jan
29		 Southern Indiana F A F F F 44% 35% 21% F F C D D+ F+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ D B A+ 49% 19% 32% F A F B- D- A+ F A- D+
0.94 70% 17% 18% -7 -1 0.85 33% 0.9 .29 19% .43 78% .34 0.77 23% 40% 29% -19 +1 0.66 41% 0.8 .31 27% .39 59% .23
Jan
31		 Morehead St. D+ A+ F A+ B 30% 20% 50% D- B- F+ A- C- F A+ D+ A+ C+ D- C+ A+ C 41% 33% 27% B- C+ A+ C+ A- F F D F
1.09 77% 0% 45% +6 -1 1.14 29% 1.1 .32 22% .51 69% .35 1.08 65% 38% 23% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 12% .47 77% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 SIU Edwardsville D- D D+ D+ D+ 40% 31% 29% D+ D A F C- F+ C F F+ D- F A+ F F 47% 27% 27% F+ F C C+ C+ B F C F
0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19 1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24
Feb
5		 Arkansas Little Rock B- F F A+ F+ 45% 25% 29% D F+ B C+ B B A D- B+ D+ B- F A+ A 34% 26% 40% D B+ F+ F F F F D- F
1.17 48% 23% 53% 0 0 1.02 41% 0.9 .38 16% .37 67% .25 1.09 56% 43% 19% -8 -1 0.83 36% 1.4 .51 13% .31 72% .22
Feb
12		 Tennessee Martin C A+ D+ D+ A+ 59% 13% 28% A+ A+ D+ F D- F D- A D+ D F A+ F F 42% 11% 47% F F B- D C- B+ F A+ C
1.08 78% 33% 31% +10 +2 1.26 31% 0.8 .23 25% .27 79% .21 1.07 68% 0% 43% +6 +2 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 25% .40 52% .21
Feb
14		 Southeast Missouri St. F F A F F 46% 23% 31% C- F F C F A- C+ F F C F A+ A+ C+ 55% 15% 30% F C C+ A+ A+ C- F D+ F
0.84 42% 50% 19% -12 0 0.79 17% 1.1 .20 14% .40 56% .22 1.01 69% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.6 .15 17% .66 70% .46
Feb
19		 Tennessee St. D- D+ D- A- D+ 49% 22% 29% D+ D D+ C+ C- F B C- B- C- C+ B- A+ B+ 38% 38% 25% B+ B+ F F F D+ F B F
1.01 56% 36% 40% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 24% .41 72% .30 1.12 57% 33% 21% -7 -2 0.84 41% 1.4 .57 15% .46 71% .33
Feb
21		 Tennessee Tech F F+ F C F 31% 25% 44% D F F C- F F+ F C- F D+ A F D+ D+ 33% 25% 42% B- C- A- F D- D C- F D-
0.86 50% 15% 35% -8 -1 0.85 16% 1.2 .19 18% .15 75% .11 1.09 44% 50% 35% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .38 17% .29 88% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 5.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.1 10.2 55.1 65.4 5th
6th 5.4 24.1 29.6 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 5.5 34.3 60.2 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 60.2% 5.0% 5.0% 15.6 0.0 1.0 1.9 57.2
11-9 34.3% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 32.9
10-10 5.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 5.4
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.7 95.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.0% 100.0% 15.6 1.2 34.4 64.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.1%
Lose Out 2.6%