Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#119
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#124
Pace62.8#318
Improvement-0.5#217

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#127
First Shot+3.5#87
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#288
Layup/Dunks+4.4#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#97
Freethrows-1.3#268
Improvement-1.2#245

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#141
First Shot+2.3#98
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#294
Layups/Dunks-1.7#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#141
Freethrows+2.1#54
Improvement+0.7#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 19.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.8 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round9.7% 19.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 39 - 711 - 11
Quad 47 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 226   @ Texas Arlington W 92-77 63%     1 - 0 +14.3 +21.6 -6.6
  Nov 13, 2024 196   Massachusetts W 76-66 68%     2 - 0 +8.0 +3.4 +4.6
  Nov 25, 2024 193   Southern Illinois W 85-79 OT 67%     3 - 0 +4.1 -3.6 +6.7
  Nov 26, 2024 223   Richmond W 65-62 72%     4 - 0 -0.4 -2.5 +2.4
  Nov 27, 2024 195   Eastern Kentucky W 78-69 67%     5 - 0 +7.1 +9.6 -1.6
  Nov 30, 2024 240   Southern L 70-73 82%     5 - 1 -10.1 -3.1 -6.9
  Dec 04, 2024 50   @ Memphis L 71-81 15%     5 - 2 +3.8 +7.6 -4.0
  Dec 08, 2024 305   @ Louisiana W 69-58 79%     6 - 2 +5.3 +0.6 +5.5
  Dec 13, 2024 251   Georgia Southern W 77-63 83%     7 - 2 +6.4 +6.5 +1.0
  Dec 16, 2024 90   Grand Canyon W 74-66 49%     8 - 2 +11.0 +7.9 +3.5
  Jan 02, 2025 159   @ UTEP L 60-70 49%     8 - 3 0 - 1 -7.1 -7.3 -0.3
  Jan 04, 2025 126   @ New Mexico St. L 48-78 42%     8 - 4 0 - 2 -25.2 -11.7 -18.1
  Jan 09, 2025 252   Florida International W 81-64 84%     9 - 4 1 - 2 +9.3 +16.0 -5.1
  Jan 11, 2025 66   Liberty W 79-74 39%     10 - 4 2 - 2 +10.5 +10.0 +0.5
  Jan 16, 2025 122   @ Jacksonville St. L 61-63 41%     10 - 5 2 - 3 +3.1 +5.9 -3.2
  Jan 18, 2025 137   @ Kennesaw St. L 76-78 45%     10 - 6 2 - 4 +2.1 +11.3 -9.3
  Jan 23, 2025 160   Western Kentucky W 77-67 70%     11 - 6 3 - 4 +7.2 +5.0 +2.3
  Jan 25, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee W 75-69 60%     12 - 6 4 - 4 +6.2 +3.3 +3.0
  Feb 01, 2025 175   Sam Houston St. W 66-61 OT 73%     13 - 6 5 - 4 +1.2 -13.6 +14.6
  Feb 06, 2025 66   @ Liberty L 53-77 22%     13 - 7 5 - 5 -13.0 -8.3 -6.8
  Feb 08, 2025 252   @ Florida International W 82-71 68%     14 - 7 6 - 5 +8.8 +17.6 -8.0
  Feb 13, 2025 137   Kennesaw St. L 47-69 65%     14 - 8 6 - 6 -23.4 -17.8 -8.9
  Feb 15, 2025 122   Jacksonville St. L 68-70 62%     14 - 9 6 - 7 -2.4 +1.9 -4.4
  Feb 20, 2025 118   @ Middle Tennessee W 85-74 39%     15 - 9 7 - 7 +16.7 +15.8 +1.0
  Feb 22, 2025 160   @ Western Kentucky L 63-64 50%     15 - 10 7 - 8 +1.7 -1.1 +2.7
  Mar 01, 2025 175   @ Sam Houston St. W 90-66 54%     16 - 10 8 - 8 +25.7 +21.5 +5.8
  Mar 06, 2025 126   New Mexico St. L 55-67 63%     16 - 11 8 - 9 -12.7 -3.2 -12.0
  Mar 08, 2025 159   UTEP W 76-58 69%     17 - 11 9 - 9 +15.5 +2.7 +12.7
  Mar 13, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee L 70-71 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 9.7% 9.7% 12.8 2.8 5.7 1.2 0.0 90.3
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 12.8 2.8 5.7 1.2 0.0 90.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.7% 100.0% 12.8 29.1 58.8 12.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 16.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 24.1%
Lose Out 49.9%