Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#322
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#283
Pace67.0#230
Improvement-0.5#215

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#326
First Shot-4.0#295
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#273
Layup/Dunks+0.4#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#295
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#203
Freethrows-1.8#281
Improvement+0.5#135

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#289
First Shot-4.0#308
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#147
Layups/Dunks-4.9#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#130
Freethrows-2.5#333
Improvement-1.0#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 6.3% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 17.8% 40.4% 16.4%
.500 or above in Conference 31.6% 46.7% 30.7%
Conference Champion 3.6% 6.8% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 25.9% 16.6% 26.4%
First Four2.9% 3.8% 2.8%
First Round2.2% 4.4% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 411 - 1212 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 179   Columbia L 78-81 31%     0 - 1 -6.9 -5.7 -1.0
  Nov 12, 2024 352   @ NJIT W 68-50 52%     1 - 1 +8.4 -0.1 +10.2
  Nov 16, 2024 57   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 3%     1 - 2 -13.6 -8.7 -4.3
  Nov 19, 2024 167   @ Boston College L 61-82 14%     1 - 3 -18.4 -6.4 -13.5
  Nov 26, 2024 344   VMI W 70-67 71%     2 - 3 -11.6 -5.3 -6.1
  Dec 02, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. W 68-57 69%     3 - 3 -3.1 +3.5 -4.8
  Dec 07, 2024 327   @ Delaware St. L 77-80 40%     3 - 4 -9.4 -1.9 -7.4
  Dec 14, 2024 234   @ Mount St. Mary's W 77-69 22%     4 - 4 +7.0 +3.1 +3.7
  Dec 21, 2024 248   Hampton L 68-76 45%     4 - 5 -15.8 -5.7 -10.4
  Dec 28, 2024 102   @ DePaul L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 313   @ Holy Cross L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 05, 2025 246   Lehigh L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 08, 2025 312   @ Army L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 318   Navy W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 13, 2025 232   American L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 246   @ Lehigh L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 22, 2025 267   Lafayette L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 313   Holy Cross W 71-69 59%    
  Jan 29, 2025 266   @ Bucknell L 65-71 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 257   Boston University L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 05, 2025 267   @ Lafayette L 64-70 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 241   @ Colgate L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 12, 2025 312   Army W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 232   @ American L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 19, 2025 257   @ Boston University L 63-70 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 241   Colgate L 68-70 45%    
  Feb 26, 2025 266   Bucknell L 67-68 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 318   @ Navy L 70-73 39%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.7 2.6 0.7 0.1 6.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 3.7 0.9 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 4.9 1.4 0.1 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.8 2.5 0.1 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 6.0 4.1 0.3 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.6 4.9 0.7 0.0 13.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.8 5.6 4.7 1.2 0.0 15.1 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.3 5.1 3.4 0.9 0.0 17.3 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.5 5.1 8.3 11.0 13.1 14.1 13.3 10.7 8.4 5.7 3.5 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 98.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 97.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-4 83.7% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 60.0% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 27.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 5.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 27.5% 27.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 26.1% 26.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.9% 17.8% 17.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
13-5 1.8% 16.2% 16.2% 15.7 0.1 0.2 1.5
12-6 3.5% 11.7% 11.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.0
11-7 5.7% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 5.1
10-8 8.4% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 7.8
9-9 10.7% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.6 10.1
8-10 13.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 12.8
7-11 14.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 13.8
6-12 13.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 13.0
5-13 11.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.0
4-14 8.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.2
3-15 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-16 2.5% 2.5
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.5 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%