Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.1 #336
Expected Predictive Rating -15.3 #348
Pace 68.1 #219
Improvement -0.9 #231

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #269 C- C- F D B+
Defense #356 F F D C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #150 1.09 #262 -0.9 #212
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #326 0.81 #112 -3.0 #319
Three Pointers 48% #48 0.93 #273 +1.8 #123
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #223 -2.1 #233
Freethrows 15.7 #269 66% #329 10.4 #304
Second Chance 28.8% #240 1.00 #235 0.29 #250
Turnovers 19.4% #327
Total Offense -3.4 #269

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #80 1.33 #341 -6.0 #347
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #120 0.93 #352 -2.6 #340
Three Pointers 35% #320 1.07 #268 +1.8 #114
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #345 -6.8 #346
Freethrows 17.0 #169 77% #333 13.0 #187
Second Chance 34.9% #318 1.24 #349 0.43 #353
Turnovers 14.4% #308
Total Defense -7.7 #356

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #52 0.2% #181
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.7% #264 13.1% #350
Possession Length 17.9 #245 16.8 #107
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #279 0.22 #312
Improvement +0.7 #138 -1.6 #275

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.2% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.7% 1.7% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 18.9% 32.6% 12.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 27.5% 13.6% 34.2%
First Four1.5% 2.1% 1.2%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Away) - 32.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 49 - 149 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 175 Towson L 56 - 67 18%  -4  0 - 1 -12 -12 F F D+ -1 D+ C D+
 Tue, Nov 11 351 NJIT L 64 - 66 68%  +1  0 - 2 -18 -12 F B- F -6 B- F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 340 Stonehill W 74 - 63 52%  +3  1 - 2 -1 +3 B C C+ -3 F C- A+
 Sun, Nov 16 282 @Fairfield L 82 - 85 24%  -4  1 - 3 -7 +4 A+ F F -11 D+ F F
 Wed, Nov 19 129 @Duquesne L 78 - 92 8%  -12  1 - 4 -9 +1 B- D C -9 D F A
 Fri, Nov 21 27 @Kentucky L 46 - 88 1%  -26  1 - 5 -24 -19 F D+ F -4 C+ C D+
 Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. W 95 - 84 86%  +7  2 - 5 -12 +12 A+ A F -24 F C D-
 Wed, Dec 3 252 @Hampton L 71 - 93 20%  -15  2 - 6 -24 -4 F A+ F -19 F A D-
 Tue, Dec 9 332 @VMI L 70 - 86 37%  -15  2 - 7 -24 +0 F B- D+ -26 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 292 Mount St. Mary's L 73 - 81 47%  -5  2 - 8 -18 -7 C+ F D- -10 F F A
 Sun, Dec 21 92 @George Mason L 79 - 86 4%  +1  2 - 9 +2 +14 C+ A+ B- -12 B F F
 Wed, Dec 31 241 @American L 69 - 84 18%  -10  2 - 10 0 - 1 -16 -1 C+ F F -16 F D F
 Sat, Jan 3 318 Lafayette L 64 - 79 55%  -15  2 - 11 0 - 2 -27 -10 F F C- -18 F F F
 Wed, Jan 7 330 @Army W 84 - 76 OT 37%  +3  3 - 11 1 - 2 +0 +4 D+ C F -4 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 314 @Bucknell L 70 - 75 33% 
 Wed, Jan 14 205 Colgate L 72 - 78 30% 
 Sat, Jan 17 258 Boston University L 72 - 75 40% 
 Mon, Jan 19 320 @Lehigh L 71 - 75 35% 
 Sat, Jan 24 314 Bucknell W 73 - 72 54% 
 Wed, Jan 28 241 American L 73 - 77 37% 
 Sat, Jan 31 193 @Navy L 67 - 79 13% 
 Wed, Feb 4 320 Lehigh W 74 - 72 56% 
 Sat, Feb 7 258 @Boston University L 69 - 78 22% 
 Wed, Feb 11 318 @Lafayette L 72 - 77 34% 
 Sun, Feb 15 326 Holy Cross W 73 - 71 58% 
 Wed, Feb 18 330 Army W 76 - 74 59% 
 Sat, Feb 21 205 @Colgate L 69 - 81 14% 
 Wed, Feb 25 193 Navy L 70 - 76 29% 
 Sat, Feb 28 326 @Holy Cross L 70 - 74 36% 
Totals 8 - 21 6 - 12 -11 -3 C- C- F -8 F F D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.7 0.8 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.7 1.0 0.1 10.9 5th
6th 0.7 4.8 6.0 1.6 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.4 7.0 2.0 0.1 14.1 7th
8th 0.5 4.3 8.1 3.1 0.2 16.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.3 7.8 3.9 0.3 0.0 17.0 9th
10th 0.5 2.0 5.0 5.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 16.6 10th
Total 0.5 2.0 5.7 10.6 15.5 17.6 16.0 13.2 9.6 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 81.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 35.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 11.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.9% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.1 0.8
11-7 2.6% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.2 2.5
10-8 5.3% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.3 5.1
9-9 9.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 9.2
8-10 13.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.9
7-11 16.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.9
6-12 17.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 17.5
5-13 15.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.5
4-14 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.6
3-15 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%