Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -9.4 315
Results Rating -11.7 337
Pace 70.4 128
Improvement +4.2 41

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 267 C- D+ C- D B
Defense D 325 D D- D C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 233 C- 56% 214 -1.6 239
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 322 D 34% 302 -3.6 342
Three Pointers 51% 24 D+ 32% 281 +3.1 80
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 67 D+ -2.9 284
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 241
Second Chance D+ 26.6% 292 C- 1.00 228 D+ 0.27 289
Turnovers C- 17.5% 221
Freethrows D 0.26 312 C- 71% 228 D 0.19 309
Total Offense D+ -3.8 267

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F+ 33% 352 C 10.9% 175
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 101 D- 8.4% 335
Three Pointers C- 83% 217 C 0.9% 173
Total C- 52% 256 C 5.5% 185

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 124 F+ 66% 347 +4.6 329
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 153 F+ 45% 350 +1.9 322
Three Pointers 38% 268 B- 32% 96 -2.6 70
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 186 D +3.4 311
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 297
Second Chance C- 31.8% 241 F 1.21 357 D- 0.38 335
Turnovers D 14.2% 327
Freethrows C 0.30 176 D 75% 322 C 0.23 189
Total Defense D -5.7 325

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 289 D+ 8.3% 283
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 306 C 5.2% 149
Three Pointers F+ 92% 355 B- 1.4% 75
Total D+ 59% 254 C- 5.0% 221

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 220 16.6 64
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 303 0.20 296
Improvement +0.7 #147 +3.5 #35

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 326 315 298
Results Rating Rank 346 332 312
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 7 6 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 4% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 12% 46% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 4% 2%
First Round1% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 26.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 410 - 1310 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 170 Towson L 56 - 67 20% -4  32% 0 - 1 D- -12 F -13 F F D+ C+ +1 C- C+ D+
 Tue, Nov 11 318 NJIT L 64 - 66 62% +1  54% 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -14 F+ B- F C -1 B+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 15 341 Stonehill W 74 - 63 61% +3  82% 1 - 2 C -1 C+ +3 B+ C B- D+ -4 F C- A
 Sun, Nov 16 264 @Fairfield L 82 - 85 26% -4  1% 1 - 3 D+ -6 C+ +2 A F D- D- -8 C F F
 Wed, Nov 19 110 @Duquesne L 78 - 92 8% -12  0% 1 - 4 D+ -8 C +1 B D+ B- D- -8 D- F A
 Fri, Nov 21 25 @Kentucky L 46 - 88 1% -26  1% 1 - 5 F -23 F -22 F C- F C -0 C+ C+ D
 Sun, Nov 30 363 Coppin St. W 95 - 84 86% +7  94% 2 - 5 D -10 A- +11 A+ A+ F F -22 F C F
 Wed, Dec 3 259 @Hampton L 71 - 93 25% -15  0% 2 - 6 F -25 D- -7 F A+ F F -17 F A D
 Tue, Dec 9 358 @VMI L 70 - 86 64% -15  0% 2 - 7 F -29 D -5 F B- D+ F -26 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 284 Mount St. Mary's L 73 - 81 53% -5  3% 2 - 8 F -18 F+ -9 B F D F+ -8 F F B+
 Sun, Dec 21 105 @George Mason L 79 - 86 7% +1  48% 2 - 9 C +0 A- +10 C+ A B- F -10 B F F
 Wed, Dec 31 253 @American L 69 - 84 24% -10  13% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F+ -17 D+ -4 C+ F+ F F -14 F D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 3 322 Lafayette L 64 - 79 65% -15  0% 2 - 11 0 - 2 F -28 F -12 F+ F C+ F -18 F+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 338 @Army W 84 - 76 OT 48% +3  74% 3 - 11 1 - 2 C -1 C +0 F+ B- C- C -1 B- D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 330 @Bucknell L 67 - 70 45% -1  41% 3 - 12 1 - 3 D -11 F+ -9 C F F C- -2 C F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 244 Colgate L 80 - 86 42% -3  11% 3 - 13 1 - 4 D- -13 D+ -2 C- F+ A+ F -11 C- D- F+
 Sat, Jan 17 257 Boston University W 74 - 57 46% +1  42% 4 - 13 2 - 4 B +9 F -10 F A+ C+ A+ +19 A+ A A-
 Mon, Jan 19 307 @Lehigh L 81 - 88 36% +2  62% 4 - 14 2 - 5 D- -13 B +6 A- D- A F -19 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 330 Bucknell W 67 - 62 68% +2  62% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D -9 D- -7 F+ C+ F C- -2 B F F
 Wed, Jan 28 253 American W 77 - 68 44% +8  85% 6 - 14 4 - 5 C +1 D -6 F B- B B+ +6 C+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 154 @Navy L 71 - 87 12% -8  9% 6 - 15 4 - 6 D- -13 B- +5 B C- C- F -19 F F D+
 Wed, Feb 4 307 Lehigh W 89 - 84 2OT 58% +4  58% 7 - 15 5 - 6 D+ -7 D+ -3 C+ F+ B D+ -5 D+ C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 257 @Boston University L 69 - 78 25% -6  11% 7 - 16 5 - 7 D- -11 F -11 C- F C+ C -0 D F+ A+
 Wed, Feb 11 322 @Lafayette W 68 - 54 42% +9  96% 8 - 16 6 - 7 B- +7 D -5 C F C- A+ +13 A A- F
 Sun, Feb 15 327 Holy Cross W 83 - 73 66% -0  51% 9 - 16 7 - 7 C- -4 B +7 C+ C+ A+ F+ -10 C- C F
 Wed, Feb 18 338 Army L 77 - 87 70% -10  2% 9 - 17 7 - 8 F -25 D -6 D C+ C F -19 D+ F F
 Sat, Feb 21 244 @Colgate L 98 - 101 OT 22% -5  0% 9 - 18 7 - 9 C- -4 C+ +2 C- F A+ D -6 C- A F
 Wed, Feb 25 154 Navy L 68 - 75 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 327 @Holy Cross L 73 - 75 44%
Totals 10 - 19 8 - 10 -9 D+ -4 C+ D+ B D -6 D+ C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- D D+ D+ 37% 24% 51% B C- D+ C- D+ C- D C- D D F+ F+ B- D 41% 21% 38% C D C- F D- D C D C
1.03 56% 34% 32% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.0 .27 17% .26 71% .19 1.17 66% 45% 32% +3 0 1.09 32% 1.2 .38 14% .30 75% .20
Nov
3		 Towson F C F F F 45% 11% 45% A- F F F F D+ A+ B- A+ C+ C B B- C 49% 30% 21% D- C- B- C C+ D+ D- F F
0.86 57% 20% 19% -12 +2 0.81 18% 0.2 .03 17% .46 72% .33 1.03 57% 36% 30% -3 0 0.96 34% 0.8 .29 15% .33 78% .25
Nov
11		 NJIT F B F+ F F 35% 15% 50% C F+ B- C+ B- F B- F D+ C B D A+ B+ 33% 29% 39% B- B+ F D F B- F F F
0.94 65% 29% 21% -9 +1 0.85 38% 1.1 .41 21% .37 60% .22 0.97 50% 43% 21% -9 -1 0.82 36% 1.0 .36 19% .47 81% .38
Nov
15		 Stonehill C+ D+ A+ B B 55% 7% 38% A+ B+ D- A+ C B- F F F D+ F+ F A F 46% 15% 38% D- F D B- C- A A+ F+ A+
1.12 53% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.13 21% 1.4 .30 11% .14 38% .05 0.96 63% 63% 25% +1 +1 1.06 31% 0.8 .25 26% .08 75% .06
Nov
16		 Fairfield C+ A+ A+ F+ A 49% 13% 38% C+ A F F F D- C- C C- D- C- D A C 44% 25% 32% C C D+ F F F D A+ C
1.15 77% 57% 30% +10 +2 1.25 19% 0.8 .15 18% .27 75% .21 1.19 56% 43% 28% -3 0 0.96 35% 1.4 .50 10% .30 58% .17
Nov
19		 Duquesne C B+ F D C+ 49% 8% 43% A+ B F A+ D+ B- C F D D- F A+ C- F+ 41% 12% 47% C+ D- F F F A F D- F
1.04 65% 25% 30% 0 +2 1.08 18% 1.3 .24 16% .34 62% .21 1.23 80% 17% 35% +7 +1 1.18 39% 1.4 .55 23% .45 77% .35
Nov
21		 Kentucky F F F F F 25% 21% 54% C F D- A C- F F F F C B C+ F+ C+ 44% 17% 39% D+ C+ F+ A C+ D A+ A+ A+
0.64 43% 25% 20% -18 -1 0.64 19% 1.0 .19 22% .14 38% .05 1.22 57% 36% 40% +3 +1 1.09 43% 0.9 .40 12% .14 44% .06
Nov
30		 Coppin St. A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 0% 57% A A+ A- B+ A+ F A- A+ A+ F F F D F 42% 29% 29% C F C C- C F F F+ F
1.35 75% 44% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.3 .56 21% .43 88% .38 1.19 65% 57% 36% +9 -1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 18% .54 74% .40
Dec
3		 Hampton D- A+ F F F 25% 20% 55% D F A- A+ A+ F A+ F A+ F F A F F 35% 33% 33% B- F B- A+ A D F B- F
0.97 91% 11% 17% -11 -1 0.77 37% 1.3 .47 23% .59 61% .35 1.27 81% 27% 67% +20 -2 1.39 31% 0.6 .19 16% .59 69% .41
Dec
9		 VMI D F A+ C F 47% 16% 38% B F C B B- D+ A+ F C+ F D- F F F 35% 13% 52% C- F F F F F C B- C+
1.12 43% 57% 35% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .45 18% .44 52% .23 1.37 61% 71% 41% +11 +1 1.25 32% 1.2 .39 8% .28 69% .19
Dec
13		 Mount St. Mary's F+ D D- A B- 32% 11% 58% B B D- F F D F+ D F+ F+ F+ F C F 46% 15% 39% C- F F F+ F B+ F D F
0.98 50% 33% 39% +2 +1 1.07 23% 0.4 .09 16% .27 71% .19 1.08 67% 57% 33% +6 +1 1.17 36% 1.2 .43 25% .43 71% .31
Dec
21		 George Mason A- F C+ A+ C 37% 15% 48% B+ C+ B A+ A B- B+ A+ A F F+ D- A+ B- 33% 31% 35% A B F+ F+ F F F F F
1.18 40% 38% 42% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .41 15% .30 82% .25 1.28 71% 44% 22% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 10% .57 79% .45
Dec
31		 American D+ F A+ A C 38% 10% 52% B+ C+ B+ F F+ F B+ A+ A+ F F F F F 51% 18% 31% D+ F A- F D+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.03 44% 75% 41% +3 +1 1.12 38% 0.5 .21 28% .44 86% .37 1.25 68% 60% 41% +12 +1 1.29 19% 1.4 .27 13% .15 67% .10
Jan
3		 Lafayette F F C- D+ F 39% 15% 46% B F+ F+ F F C+ F C F F D F A- F+ 49% 14% 37% D F+ D+ F F F B- A+ A-
0.98 48% 38% 32% -6 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .18 14% .20 73% .14 1.21 63% 57% 28% +1 +2 1.08 28% 2.0 .56 12% .26 53% .14
Jan
7		 Army C D F F+ F 47% 8% 45% A F+ A- D- B- C- C+ D- C- C F+ A A B- 28% 15% 57% B+ B- C+ F D- F B A+ A
1.15 56% 25% 29% -5 +2 0.96 40% 1.1 .42 15% .37 70% .26 1.04 65% 22% 26% -7 0 0.88 28% 1.2 .34 10% .21 50% .11
Jan
10		 Bucknell F+ C+ F B+ C 25% 12% 63% C+ C C- F F F F B F C- D+ A A C+ 44% 16% 40% D+ C F F F C+ C- C+ C-
0.98 62% 17% 39% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 22% .17 78% .13 1.02 59% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 75% .22
Jan
14		 Colgate D+ B C D+ C 29% 19% 53% D+ C- D F F+ A+ B- F C F F C D+ D 29% 36% 35% A+ C- B+ F D- F+ F F F
1.11 65% 36% 32% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.8 .20 8% .35 65% .23 1.19 69% 40% 37% +5 -3 1.07 21% 1.6 .33 12% .35 82% .28
Jan
17		 Boston University F D+ C F F 42% 13% 45% B F D A+ A+ C+ B+ F C A+ A+ A A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C A+ B+ A+ A A- D+ F F
1.05 55% 43% 25% -7 +1 0.91 26% 1.9 .49 11% .34 62% .21 0.81 44% 29% 23% -15 0 0.73 22% 0.8 .17 23% .31 88% .28
Jan
19		 Lehigh B A- F A B+ 35% 10% 56% B A- D- D D- A D- F F F F F D+ F 38% 25% 37% C- F B F F F F+ F F
1.19 67% 20% 41% +7 +1 1.19 29% 0.9 .26 12% .27 63% .17 1.29 75% 54% 37% +12 -1 1.25 17% 1.8 .30 13% .34 95% .32
Jan
24		 Bucknell D- A B F D- 18% 28% 55% F F+ D+ A- C+ F A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ A+ A- 43% 10% 47% F+ B C- F F F A- B A
1.06 71% 45% 27% -1 -2 0.95 31% 1.2 .38 22% .45 91% .41 0.98 64% 20% 17% -12 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 14% .20 73% .15
Jan
28		 American D F B+ F F 39% 22% 39% C- F D- A+ B- B A A+ A+ B+ A A- F C+ 43% 13% 45% D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C- C C+ C+
1.04 42% 45% 26% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.4 .37 16% .47 83% .39 0.92 46% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 6% 0.0 .00 16% .26 75% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Navy B- D F+ A B 22% 20% 59% C B C+ D- C- C- F+ A+ D+ F F F F F 41% 35% 24% A- F F F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.09 55% 30% 40% +3 -1 1.06 32% 0.8 .26 18% .19 90% .17 1.33 80% 65% 42% +21 -2 1.41 45% 1.4 .64 17% .18 50% .09
Feb
4		 Lehigh D+ C+ D- A B- 33% 28% 39% D- C+ C- F F+ B D- A+ C- D+ F C- B- D 30% 25% 46% C+ D+ D+ C+ C- D D A+ B-
1.11 60% 35% 42% +4 -1 1.08 33% 0.7 .23 14% .26 83% .22 1.05 72% 40% 32% +3 -1 1.07 24% 0.9 .21 16% .31 52% .16
Feb
7		 Boston University F A+ F F D+ 37% 7% 56% B+ C- F F F C+ F F F C B+ F F+ D 30% 9% 62% D+ D F C F+ A+ F+ F+ F
0.99 86% 25% 25% +2 +2 1.09 12% 0.0 .00 11% .19 58% .11 1.12 50% 75% 41% +8 +1 1.19 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 78% .27
Feb
11		 Lafayette D C C+ C C- 37% 9% 54% A- C F F F C- F C+ F A+ D- F A+ A+ 35% 11% 54% C- A C- A+ A- F B A+ A+
1.04 60% 40% 34% +1 +1 1.07 18% 0.8 .15 15% .14 75% .11 0.82 63% 50% 14% -13 +1 0.78 27% 0.5 .14 6% .24 40% .10
Feb
15		 Holy Cross B F A A C 36% 11% 53% B- C+ D A+ C+ A+ C+ B B- F+ C- F A D+ 35% 30% 35% C C- B F C F C- C- C-
1.28 50% 50% 41% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 6% .28 76% .21 1.12 58% 56% 26% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .19 8% .28 76% .22
Feb
18		 Army D B+ F F F+ 49% 6% 45% A+ D D- A+ C+ C B- B B+ F F F+ A+ D 38% 19% 43% B D+ D- F F F D- F F
1.12 68% 0% 26% -3 +3 1.02 25% 1.6 .41 14% .39 78% .31 1.26 75% 40% 22% -1 0 1.00 34% 1.5 .51 10% .31 84% .26
Feb
21		 Colgate C+ F+ F B D 46% 6% 49% A C- F+ F F A+ D+ A- C D C- F A C+ 48% 10% 42% F C- A+ C- A F F F F
1.12 48% 25% 37% -3 +2 1.01 22% 0.8 .18 9% .29 78% .23 1.16 59% 83% 28% +1 +2 1.08 14% 1.0 .14 11% .45 89% .40



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 3.5 3.5 4th
5th 9.8 7.8 17.6 5th
6th 24.0 34.1 0.8 58.9 6th
7th 16.7 2.0 18.7 7th
8th 1.3 1.3 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 42.0 45.9 12.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 12.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.5 11.6
8-10 45.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 1.3 44.5
7-11 42.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.6 41.4
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 97.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.6%
Lose Out 18.6%