Montana St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#188
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#225
Pace65.4#257
Improvement-1.0#235

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#208
First Shot+2.7#99
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#348
Layup/Dunks-2.2#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#25
Freethrows-2.8#329
Improvement-1.7#268

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#185
First Shot+0.2#175
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#234
Layups/Dunks-2.4#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#35
Freethrows-2.3#322
Improvement+0.8#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 412 - 414 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 15   @ Wisconsin L 67-79 3%     0 - 1 +8.1 +6.9 +0.3
  Nov 09, 2024 127   @ Wichita St. L 69-89 27%     0 - 2 -15.3 +0.3 -15.7
  Nov 17, 2024 301   @ Denver L 78-79 64%     0 - 3 -6.3 -3.0 -3.2
  Nov 19, 2024 49   @ Northwestern L 69-72 8%     0 - 4 +10.8 +9.7 +0.9
  Nov 24, 2024 295   Southern Miss W 79-59 80%     1 - 4 +9.6 +0.5 +8.3
  Nov 26, 2024 211   Abilene Christian W 85-59 65%     2 - 4 +20.4 +21.1 +1.6
  Nov 30, 2024 115   Cal St. Northridge L 69-72 OT 42%     2 - 5 -2.3 -7.8 +5.6
  Dec 04, 2024 148   @ Nebraska Omaha W 76-65 31%     3 - 5 +14.5 +8.4 +7.0
  Dec 07, 2024 233   UMKC W 74-62 69%     4 - 5 +5.3 +9.3 -2.5
  Dec 15, 2024 61   @ USC L 63-89 10%     4 - 6 -13.8 -10.8 -1.1
  Dec 18, 2024 143   @ UC Riverside L 80-83 30%     4 - 7 +0.8 +11.8 -11.2
  Dec 22, 2024 76   @ TCU L 48-82 14%     4 - 8 -23.8 -15.8 -8.5
  Jan 02, 2025 269   @ Idaho L 64-69 57%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -8.3 -13.5 +5.1
  Jan 04, 2025 294   @ Eastern Washington L 63-68 63%     4 - 10 0 - 2 -9.9 -10.7 +0.7
  Jan 09, 2025 125   Northern Colorado L 82-83 46%     4 - 11 0 - 3 -1.5 +10.2 -11.7
  Jan 11, 2025 244   Northern Arizona W 58-53 71%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -2.3 -20.1 +17.8
  Jan 16, 2025 215   @ Idaho St. L 67-70 45%     5 - 12 1 - 4 -3.2 +4.7 -8.5
  Jan 18, 2025 284   @ Weber St. W 80-71 61%     6 - 12 2 - 4 +4.6 +7.9 -2.9
  Jan 20, 2025 294   Eastern Washington W 74-64 80%     7 - 12 3 - 4 -0.4 +5.2 -4.3
  Jan 25, 2025 155   @ Montana L 70-77 33%     7 - 13 3 - 5 -4.0 +3.6 -8.3
  Jan 30, 2025 336   Sacramento St. W 70-58 88%     8 - 13 4 - 5 -2.3 -4.6 +2.9
  Feb 01, 2025 201   Portland St. W 74-73 64%     9 - 13 5 - 5 -4.1 +6.1 -10.2
  Feb 06, 2025 244   @ Northern Arizona L 64-69 51%     9 - 14 5 - 6 -6.8 -2.4 -5.0
  Feb 08, 2025 125   @ Northern Colorado L 66-73 26%     9 - 15 5 - 7 -2.0 -2.4 +0.0
  Feb 13, 2025 284   Weber St. W 74-66 79%     10 - 15 6 - 7 -1.9 -2.8 +1.0
  Feb 15, 2025 215   Idaho St. W 74-69 66%     11 - 15 7 - 7 -0.7 -1.2 +0.6
  Feb 22, 2025 155   Montana L 85-89 54%     11 - 16 7 - 8 -6.4 +10.3 -16.9
  Feb 27, 2025 201   @ Portland St. L 52-69 43%     11 - 17 7 - 9 -16.6 -6.7 -13.4
  Mar 01, 2025 336   @ Sacramento St. W 87-60 76%     12 - 17 8 - 9 +18.2 +20.0 +0.9
  Mar 03, 2025 269   Idaho W 75-60 76%     13 - 17 9 - 9 +6.2 +1.0 +6.5
  Mar 10, 2025 215   Idaho St. W 80-60 56%     14 - 17 +17.0 +8.7 +9.3
  Mar 11, 2025 125   Northern Colorado L 45-72 36%     14 - 18 -24.7 -24.3 -3.2
Projected Record 14 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%