New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.7 #344
Expected Predictive Rating -13.0 #335
Pace 68.7 #197
Improvement -0.5 #206

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #352 F D- D- D C+
Defense #281 C C D D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #139 0.98 #338 -2.9 #283
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #222 0.65 #303 -1.8 #268
Three Pointers 42% #157 0.92 #294 -1.4 #234
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #338 -6.1 #338
Freethrows 15.3 #287 71% #245 10.8 #281
Second Chance 25.9% #308 0.98 #259 0.25 #306
Turnovers 19.3% #321
Total Offense -8.3 #352

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #30 1.19 #213 -4.3 #319
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #143 0.75 #168 -0.3 #211
Three Pointers 34% #346 0.96 #127 +4.6 #28
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #177 -0.1 #178
Freethrows 20.9 #327 72% #152 15.0 #45
Second Chance 32.9% #267 1.01 #144 0.33 #204
Turnovers 14.9% #285
Total Defense -3.4 #281

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #137 0.7% #233
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -12.7% #347 -0.5% #168
Possession Length 17.8 #223 16.9 #123
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #163 0.15 #108
Improvement +1.2 #101 -1.7 #285

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.9% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.4% 4.3% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 24.2% 44.6% 18.9%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.1% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 22.6% 10.5% 25.7%
First Four3.3% 4.7% 3.0%
First Round1.6% 2.3% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 20.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 48 - 128 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 39 @Clemson L 38 - 88 1%  -26  0 - 1 -34 -25 F F D -9 C B F
 Sun, Nov 9 196 @Harvard L 75 - 86 12%  +6  0 - 2 -10 +3 C+ D- F -13 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 92 @George Mason L 44 - 61 4%  -7  0 - 3 -8 -22 F B- F +13 A+ C- A-
 Tue, Nov 18 66 @Providence L 66 - 98 2%  -13  0 - 4 -20 -4 F A+ F -17 F A F
 Wed, Nov 26 247 Brown L 47 - 59 35%  -5  0 - 5 -20 -22 F F F +1 D- A C+
 Sun, Nov 30 282 @Fairfield L 68 - 72 22%  -0  0 - 6 -8 -3 F F A- -5 F C B-
 Wed, Dec 3 230 @Dartmouth L 68 - 69 16%  +2  0 - 7 -2 -4 F F C+ +2 C+ A C
 Sat, Dec 6 258 Boston University W 88 - 82 OT 38%  -6  1 - 7 -3 -1 C C- D+ -2 A F C-
 Wed, Dec 17 340 Stonehill W 59 - 58 61%  +1  2 - 7 -14 -16 F F D +3 C+ B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 29 @Saint Louis L 79 - 93 1%  -3  2 - 8 +3 +10 A+ F A+ -6 B+ B F
 Tue, Dec 30 23 @Nebraska L 55 - 86 1%  -10  2 - 9 -12 -7 D+ D+ F -6 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 3 198 Vermont L 61 - 80 27%  -9  2 - 10 0 - 1 -24 -11 D- D+ F -15 F F D-
 Thu, Jan 8 351 @NJIT L 76 - 80 43%  +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -14 -1 C F F -13 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 267 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68 - 76 21% 
 Mon, Jan 19 339 @Maine L 62 - 65 38% 
 Thu, Jan 22 359 Binghamton W 72 - 66 73% 
 Sat, Jan 24 322 Albany W 73 - 72 54% 
 Thu, Jan 29 286 Umass Lowell L 73 - 75 44% 
 Sat, Jan 31 317 @Bryant L 65 - 70 32% 
 Sat, Feb 7 198 @Vermont L 63 - 75 12% 
 Thu, Feb 12 351 NJIT W 71 - 67 65% 
 Sat, Feb 14 267 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71 - 73 41% 
 Thu, Feb 19 286 @Umass Lowell L 70 - 78 24% 
 Sat, Feb 21 339 Maine W 65 - 62 60% 
 Thu, Feb 26 359 @Binghamton W 70 - 69 51% 
 Sat, Feb 28 322 @Albany L 70 - 75 33% 
 Tue, Mar 3 317 Bryant W 68 - 67 52% 
Totals 8 - 19 6 - 10 -12 -8 F D- D- -3 C C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 3.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 4.8 2.9 0.4 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 6.8 4.4 0.5 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 7.5 6.5 1.0 0.0 16.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 7.4 7.4 1.3 0.0 18.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 7.4 6.3 1.6 0.0 18.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 3.0 4.8 3.5 0.7 0.0 13.2 9th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.4 7.8 13.0 16.1 18.1 16.1 11.4 7.2 3.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 92.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 45.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 15.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.6% 17.5% 17.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
11-5 1.4% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 0.2 1.2
10-6 3.6% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.3 3.3
9-7 7.2% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.5 6.7
8-8 11.4% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.6 10.7
7-9 16.1% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.7 15.4
6-10 18.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.6 17.5
5-11 16.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 15.9
4-12 13.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.0
3-13 7.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.8
2-14 3.4% 3.4
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 16.0 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%