New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.3 321
Results Rating -9.2 312
Pace 60.9 350
Improvement +2.7 79

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 350 D+ F+ D D- C-
Defense C- 242 D+ C C- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 241 C+ 60% 131 -0.6 207
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 159 D+ 34% 293 -0.2 189
Three Pointers 41% 176 D- 30% 325 -2.4 261
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 236 D+ -2.7 279
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 279
Second Chance F+ 21.7% 353 D+ 0.97 269 F+ 0.21 354
Turnovers D 19.0% 310
Freethrows D- 0.26 330 C- 71% 239 D- 0.18 343
Total Offense D- -8.0 350

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 39% 308 C 10.9% 171
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 197 B+ 2.3% 22
Three Pointers B+ 92% 25 B+ 0.2% 31
Total D+ 52% 265 B 4.6% 65

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 130 C- 60% 235 +2.1 247
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 290 C+ 37% 151 -1.5 74
Three Pointers 42% 130 D+ 36% 261 +1.9 277
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 277 D+ +1.8 250
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 258
Second Chance B- 28.1% 92 D 1.12 306 C 0.32 198
Turnovers C- 16.0% 226
Freethrows B- 0.27 74 D- 75% 327 C+ 0.20 111
Total Defense C- -2.2 242

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 43% 76 D 7.3% 321
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 49 D- 1.5% 343
Three Pointers B 79% 52 D+ 0.6% 241
Total B- 52% 102 D- 3.5% 332

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 20.2 363 16.6 52
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 335 0.17 187
Improvement +2.6 #79 +0.2 #174

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 334 322 309
Results Rating Rank 335 309 275
Conference Record 8 - 8 10 - 6 11 - 5
Conference Finish 5 4 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 76.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 412 - 912 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 9 @Connecticut L 55 - 79 1% -12  0% 0 - 1 C -1 D- -6 B+ F B+ B +4 B C B-
 Fri, Nov 7 203 Columbia L 53 - 71 32% -16  0% 0 - 2 F -23 F -22 F D- F C- -3 F A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 8 115 Penn St. L 43 - 87 17% -18  14% 0 - 3 F -44 F -30 F F F F -20 D+ F F
 Mon, Nov 10 311 @Umass Lowell W 73 - 67 33% -1  42% 1 - 3 C +0 D -4 C+ C- F B +5 A+ F D
 Sat, Nov 15 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 52 82% +7  92% 2 - 3 D+ -7 F -12 D+ F+ F B+ +5 B+ C D-
 Tue, Nov 18 54 @Seton Hall L 45 - 68 3% -14  0% 2 - 4 D -10 F -12 D- D- C+ C -1 F+ A- C
 Sat, Dec 6 139 @Boston College L 63 - 67 9% +3  73% 2 - 5 C +0 C +1 C D C- C -1 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 318 @NJIT L 64 - 70 36% -4  4% 2 - 6 D- -13 F+ -9 F D A- D+ -4 F A C-
 Mon, Dec 22 155 @Fordham L 47 - 65 11% -5  37% 2 - 7 F+ -15 F -18 D F F C+ +2 D D- A+
 Mon, Dec 29 16 @Vanderbilt L 53 - 96 1% -24  0% 2 - 8 F -21 F -12 D+ F C+ F -11 F D+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 341 @Stonehill W 70 - 55 46% +5  53% 3 - 8 1 - 0 B- +6 C +0 B D C B+ +6 B+ D D
 Sun, Jan 4 303 @Central Connecticut St. L 61 - 72 32% -10  0% 3 - 9 1 - 1 F+ -16 D -6 D- A F F -12 F D D+
 Thu, Jan 8 300 @Le Moyne L 47 - 73 31% -16  4% 3 - 10 1 - 2 F -31 F -23 F F F F -12 F+ D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 333 Fairleigh Dickinson W 65 - 55 66% +10  96% 4 - 10 2 - 2 C- -4 F -10 B- F+ D A- +7 A A F+
 Sat, Jan 17 320 Wagner W 80 - 74 61% +8  97% 5 - 10 3 - 2 D+ -7 A- +11 A+ F C- F -17 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 347 @Chicago St. W 62 - 56 49% -3  18% 6 - 10 4 - 2 C- -4 D- -6 D C F B +4 D- A+ C+
 Fri, Jan 23 290 Mercyhurst L 57 - 61 51% +0  43% 6 - 11 4 - 3 F+ -15 F -11 C D- F D+ -4 F+ A- C
 Thu, Jan 29 290 @Mercyhurst L 51 - 70 29% -13  1% 6 - 12 4 - 4 F -24 F -18 F F B+ F+ -8 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 81 - 69 56% +5  77% 7 - 12 5 - 4 C +0 B- +4 B F B+ C- -3 C D+ F+
 Thu, Feb 5 219 @LIU Brooklyn L 55 - 60 18% -7  3% 7 - 13 5 - 5 D+ -5 F -13 D+ F B A- +7 A+ C- C
 Sat, Feb 7 347 Chicago St. L 57 - 63 71% -6  7% 7 - 14 5 - 6 F -22 F -16 D F C D- -7 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 303 Central Connecticut St. L 76 - 81 54% -6  10% 7 - 15 5 - 7 F+ -16 D -5 D- B+ F+ F -11 F A+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 219 LIU Brooklyn W 55 - 52 35% +10  99% 8 - 15 6 - 7 C- -3 F -15 F B- A- A+ +12 A+ D- A-
 Thu, Feb 19 341 Stonehill W 64 - 51 68% +6  96% 9 - 15 7 - 7 C- -2 F+ -8 D+ F+ D- A- +7 B+ B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 333 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 84 - 77 43% +13  98% 10 - 15 8 - 7 C -1 A +14 A+ B- B F -14 F D D
 Tue, Feb 24 355 St. Francis (PA) W 74 - 66 77%
 Thu, Feb 26 320 @Wagner L 64 - 67 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 300 Le Moyne W 69 - 68 54%
Totals 12 - 16 10 - 8 -10 D- -8 D D+ C- C- -2 D- C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C+ D+ D- D+ 36% 39% 41% C- D+ F+ D+ F+ D D- C- D- C- C- C+ D+ D+ 41% 17% 42% D+ D+ B- D C C- B- D- C+
0.97 60% 34% 30% -3 0 0.96 22% 1.0 .21 19% .26 71% .18 1.12 60% 37% 36% +2 +1 1.07 28% 1.1 .32 16% .27 75% .19
Nov
3		 Connecticut D- B A+ F A 39% 33% 29% D B+ F F F B+ F F F B A- F D+ A- 47% 6% 47% F+ B B+ F+ C B- D- F F
0.83 58% 50% 21% -2 -2 0.96 12% 0.5 .06 17% .25 43% .11 1.19 55% 67% 36% +2 +2 1.11 32% 1.3 .42 18% .37 85% .31
Nov
7		 Columbia F F F F F 41% 22% 37% C- F F+ D D- F C A B- C- F B- F F 52% 14% 34% D F B+ A+ A+ B+ C A- C+
0.81 45% 18% 22% -16 0 0.69 21% 0.9 .19 18% .30 81% .24 1.08 70% 33% 47% +12 +2 1.30 31% 0.6 .19 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
8		 Penn St. F F+ B F F 36% 18% 46% C F F F F F D F F+ F A F F C- 49% 10% 41% F D+ F F F F B C B
0.69 50% 43% 22% -10 0 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 31% .19 63% .12 1.40 48% 80% 43% +5 +2 1.16 40% 1.6 .63 10% .28 75% .21
Nov
10		 Umass Lowell D C B- A- C+ 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ C- C- C- F C+ F+ C- B A+ D+ A+ A+ 35% 15% 50% C- A+ D+ F F D F F F
1.07 59% 42% 40% +4 0 1.10 30% 1.1 .33 20% .28 67% .18 0.98 29% 43% 25% -16 +1 0.71 33% 1.5 .51 18% .48 78% .37
Nov
15		 Delaware St. F A+ C F C- 35% 20% 45% D D+ D+ F F+ F A- B A B+ F A+ A+ B+ 30% 36% 34% B- B+ A F C D- A+ D+ A
0.98 79% 38% 28% +3 0 1.08 29% 0.9 .25 26% .41 75% .31 0.79 63% 16% 22% -13 -3 0.72 15% 1.2 .18 17% .18 70% .13
Nov
18		 Seton Hall F D F D D+ 28% 28% 43% F+ D- F A+ D- C+ F F F C D- A+ F F+ 41% 18% 41% C- F+ A+ D- A- C A+ F A+
0.73 46% 23% 30% -10 -2 0.78 15% 1.2 .18 23% .17 63% .10 1.10 65% 22% 40% +4 0 1.10 23% 1.1 .27 16% .19 80% .15
Dec
6		 Boston College C D A+ F B- 23% 34% 43% F C C F D C- A+ A+ A+ C C D- F F 18% 28% 55% A F D+ A+ A+ A+ F F F
1.01 50% 53% 26% -2 -3 0.93 28% 0.7 .19 16% .46 83% .38 1.08 57% 45% 45% +11 -2 1.20 33% 0.5 .15 24% .49 74% .36
Dec
10		 NJIT F+ D+ F+ F F 47% 25% 27% C- F C F+ D A- D+ F F D+ F F A- F 30% 19% 51% D+ F A A+ A C- F C- F
0.96 54% 29% 20% -10 0 0.82 34% 0.9 .30 11% .32 58% .19 1.05 69% 63% 27% +3 0 1.07 19% 0.7 .13 17% .56 71% .40
Dec
22		 Fordham F A+ F F D 26% 30% 44% D D F F F F F F F C+ F D A D- 40% 27% 33% B D C+ F D- A+ A D- B+
0.74 85% 13% 27% -5 -2 0.88 17% 0.3 .06 24% .04 50% .02 1.03 68% 46% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.2 .41 24% .17 75% .12
Dec
29		 Vanderbilt F B- D- F D 48% 24% 28% B D+ F D- F C+ F D+ F F F A+ F F 56% 7% 37% F F F+ B D+ C A+ F A
0.77 58% 31% 13% -11 0 0.81 14% 0.8 .11 19% .13 71% .09 1.40 75% 25% 43% +13 +3 1.35 39% 1.1 .43 13% .20 92% .18
Jan
2		 Stonehill C C+ F A+ B+ 36% 23% 42% D+ B F A+ D C F D F B+ A- A+ A+ A 55% 10% 35% F B+ C+ F D D C+ F+ C-
1.06 58% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 13% 1.8 .23 12% .16 67% .10 0.83 44% 20% 24% -15 +3 0.78 26% 1.1 .29 18% .22 75% .17
Jan
4		 Central Connecticut St. D C- D F F+ 37% 12% 51% C- D- A- B A F F F F F C+ F+ F F 29% 23% 48% D- F C+ F D D+ A+ A- A+
1.04 56% 33% 28% -6 +1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 19% .06 67% .04 1.23 57% 45% 48% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .32 15% .14 71% .10
Jan
8		 Le Moyne F D- F F F 33% 19% 49% C- F F F F F A F D- F F B A- F 37% 14% 49% C- F+ D D- D- F F A D-
0.77 50% 13% 29% -11 0 0.79 22% 0.8 .16 21% .39 47% .19 1.19 88% 33% 29% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 13% .45 63% .28
Jan
10		 Fairleigh Dickinson F A+ F C B- 46% 18% 36% B- B- F A+ F+ D A+ F B- A- B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 6% 58% F A B+ A+ A F+ D- D+ D-
1.04 78% 29% 36% +8 +1 1.21 13% 1.3 .17 18% .51 54% .27 0.88 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.75 26% 0.6 .17 14% .34 72% .24
Jan
17		 Wagner A- A F A+ A+ 28% 15% 57% D A+ F F F C- F A+ C- F F D- F F 36% 20% 44% C- F F B F A+ A+ C- A+
1.32 69% 14% 58% +20 0 1.41 21% 0.4 .08 15% .27 93% .25 1.22 69% 44% 45% +12 0 1.27 50% 0.9 .46 28% .16 71% .11
Jan
19		 Chicago St. D- C F D F+ 41% 3% 56% B+ D A F C F C A+ A B C D C D 48% 26% 26% F D- B- A+ A+ C+ A C A
1.06 63% 0% 32% -1 +3 1.05 46% 0.8 .39 29% .34 100% .34 0.95 55% 42% 33% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.5 .13 17% .16 75% .12
Jan
23		 Mercyhurst F A A- F C+ 44% 23% 33% D+ C F C- D- F C+ D+ C D+ C D F D- 48% 24% 28% F F+ A+ F A- C A- F C+
0.97 71% 44% 23% +1 0 1.05 24% 1.0 .24 24% .38 71% .27 1.04 55% 45% 38% +2 0 1.07 12% 1.7 .20 15% .14 100% .14
Jan
29		 Mercyhurst F D- A+ F F 38% 31% 31% F F F C- F B+ A- F C F+ A+ C+ C- A 35% 35% 29% C A C- F F F D- F F
0.84 50% 54% 8% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.0 .18 15% .44 61% .27 1.15 28% 39% 33% -11 -2 0.76 27% 1.9 .51 7% .26 87% .23
Jan
31		 St. Francis (PA) B- A+ F A+ B+ 36% 20% 43% D B F C+ F B+ A+ B+ A+ C- D- A+ B- C+ 44% 18% 38% F+ C B F D+ F+ F+ B- D
1.22 81% 0% 53% +13 0 1.27 19% 1.2 .22 15% .48 78% .37 1.04 64% 11% 32% -4 +1 0.96 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 67% .21
Feb
5		 LIU Brooklyn F C- A+ F D 52% 22% 26% C D+ F F F B D- F F A- B C A+ A+ 37% 22% 41% C A+ C C- C- C C+ F C-
0.87 54% 60% 17% -4 +1 0.96 13% 0.8 .10 16% .28 60% .17 0.95 53% 40% 21% -9 0 0.83 34% 1.0 .34 21% .26 77% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Chicago St. F F+ F B- D- 34% 5% 61% B- D F A+ F C F F F D- B- F D F 26% 43% 30% A F A+ A+ A+ F C- D- D+
0.97 53% 0% 37% -1 +2 1.05 10% 1.7 .16 19% .25 67% .17 1.07 50% 55% 36% +6 -4 1.07 19% 0.3 .06 8% .28 80% .22
Feb
12		 Central Connecticut St. D D- B+ F F+ 50% 19% 31% C D- D- A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F F D F F 30% 35% 35% C+ F A A+ A+ A F B+ F
1.10 50% 44% 27% -6 +1 0.92 26% 1.6 .42 16% .38 95% .36 1.17 79% 44% 56% +20 -2 1.37 19% 0.6 .12 22% .41 73% .30
Feb
14		 LIU Brooklyn F F F F F 48% 14% 39% B- F D- A+ B- A- A+ C- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 26% 26% C- A+ B F D- A- A+ F A-
0.89 38% 17% 18% -22 +2 0.61 28% 1.4 .38 15% .47 68% .32 0.84 57% 25% 8% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.3 .41 24% .17 75% .13
Feb
19		 Stonehill F+ C A- F D 55% 18% 27% B+ D+ B- F F+ D- F+ B+ D A- A+ F+ B- A- 42% 18% 40% C- B+ A+ F B- F B- A+ A
0.98 57% 44% 21% -5 +2 0.96 31% 0.6 .19 15% .22 75% .16 0.78 29% 44% 30% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.1 .21 15% .20 45% .09
Feb
21		 Fairleigh Dickinson A A+ D- A+ A+ 30% 20% 50% D+ A+ F A+ B- B B- F F F F B D- F 39% 18% 43% D+ F C- D D D C D C-
1.34 85% 33% 59% +26 -1 1.52 14% 2.3 .32 13% .36 50% .18 1.23 75% 33% 36% +7 0 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 16% .28 73% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 1.1 8.4 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.5 25.8 8.3 34.6 3rd
4th 9.5 14.0 23.5 4th
5th 3.2 22.4 1.9 27.5 5th
6th 3.2 0.9 4.0 6th
7th 0.8 0.8 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 7.2 33.2 42.8 16.7 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 16.7% 16.7
10-6 42.8% 42.8
9-7 33.2% 33.2
8-8 7.2% 7.2
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 16.7%
Lose Out 7.2%